NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03008372
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 4
• Document Creation Date: March 9, 2023
• Document Release Date: September 18, 2020
• Case Number: F-2017-01987
• Publication Date: February 9, 1977

Approved for Release: 2020/09/11 C03008372
The
National Intelligence
Published by the Director of Central Intelligence for Named Principals Only
WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 9, 1977
VOLUME 4, NUMBER 032
Copy No.
TCS 532/77
NR Record
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2 WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 9, 1977
TCS 532/77 THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY
NR Record
BRAZIL - WEST GERMANY
Political Benefits of Geisel's Nuclear Stand
President Geisel is benefiting politically
from his refusal to consider revisions in
the Brazilian - West German nuclear ac-
cord or to delay its implementation.
Under the agreement, West Germany will
sell Brazil plants for uranium enrichment
and spent fuel reprocessing. The support
Geisel is receiving from military leaders
and politicians in both political parties is
apparently stiffening his resolve to persist
in his hard-line approach.
Until a few weeks ago, opposition to
Geisel appeared to be growing. One of
Brazil's leading newspapers strongly at-
tacked his year-end address to the nation
for its failure to admit any responsibility
for current economic problems. In
mid-January, a presidential decision to
add a surcharge to the price of gasoline
sparked more public criticism and threats
of major strikes by bus and taxi drivers in
Sao Paulo.
These problems are not resolved, but
they have been overshadowed by US ef-
forts to force a revision of the nuclear
treaty that Brazil signed with West Ger-
President Geisel
many in 1975.
Brazilians view US pressure on this
issue as an insult and have rallied behind
Geisel's decision. Pro-government senti-
ment is so strong that widely circulating
reports that the administration will not
permit direct elections for state governors
in 1978, and that Geisel intends to
reorganize the party structure before
Congress reconvenes next month have
provoked little public comment. Both
rumors, however, are causing extreme un-
easiness in opposition circles.
In the past, the Brazilian government
has rarely used foreign policy issues to
rally domestic support; it has preferred to
tie diplomatic relations closely to national
economic objectives. Brazil regards nu-
clear development, however, as essential
to technological and economic progress.
One prominent political commentator
predicts that if the nuclear controversy is
prolonged and Geisel does not shift his
position, his popularity could increase to
the point where he would exercise more
control over the choice of his successor
than any of his predecessors have and
reinforce the concept that Brazil con-
tinues to need a military president.
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THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY TCS 532/77 WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 9, 1977 3
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4 WEDNESDAY FEBRUARY 9, 1977
-T-CS 532/77 THE NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY
NR Record
Warning Notice
Sensitive Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved
NATIONAL SECURITY INFORMATION
Unauthorized Disclosure Subject to Criminal Sanctions
The National Intelligence Daily is prepared in the
Central Intelligence Agency in cooperation with the
other US foreign intelligence organizations, Late items
prepared by CIA alone are S4 marked. Analytical fea-
ture articles are attributed to their authors.
Security and control abbreviations
used in this publioetion:
TSU�Top Secret UMBRA
SS�Secret SPOKE
S�Secret
C�Confidential
U�Unclassified
NOFORN�Not Releasable to
(NF) Foreign Nationals
ORCSN�Dissemination and Es.
(00) traction of Information
Controlled by Origi-
nator
REL ...�This Information has
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Release to
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CG NID 77-032JX
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