TWO ARTICLES ON ISRAEL FROM THE NID

• Document Type: FOIA
• Collection: FOIA Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06806133
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: March 8, 2023
• Document Release Date: July 25, 2019
• Case Number: F-2018-00205
• Publication Date: September 24, 1982

Approved for Release: 2019/07/16 C06806133
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Director of
Central
Intelligence
OCPAS/CIG
,
National Intelligence Daily
Friday
24 September 1982
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CPAS NID 82-2241X
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Contents
1 Israel-Lebanon: Israeli Activities
1
NR
Record
/0International: IAEA Vote on Israel's Expass.on 13
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�
Beirut
US Ambassador I Real ence
�
it Presidential Palace \
Lebanese Armed Forces
area of control
Refugee area
Crossing point
Government building
Main urban area
632732 9-82
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C) ISRAEL-LEBANON: Israeli Activities
Tel Aviv is adhering to its plan for a staged withdrawal from
West Beirut and intends by Monday to have returned Israeli forces
behsnd their positions of 15 September. At the same time, the
Israelis appear determined to keep pressure on President Juma
to negotiate a peace treaty.
in Beirut
350 French troops landed there today.
Status of the Israeli Withdrawal
The Israelis continue to hand over areas of West
Beirut to the Lebanese Army.
Israel
,f7 intends to withdraw its forces to positions behind u
,4 cease-fire line of 15 September. the with-
drawal area well away from the Beirut suburbs
but still dominating the high ground around the city.
1
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a firefight yesterday between
Israeli troops and unidentified forces in West Beirut,
during which at least three Israelis were wounded. Else-
where in Lebanon, another
cease-fire violation in the Bekaa Valley by Palestinian
guerrillas. No Israeli soldiers were injured.
Tel Aviv is continuing its policy of timely announce-
ments of cease-fire violations in order to set the stage
1-for possible retaliatory action.
Lebanese Political Situation
Amin Jumayyil was inaugurated yesterday as Lebanon's
seventh president. The government of Prime Minister
Wazzan will continue in a caretaker capacity until a new
Prime Minister is named.
Initial speculation centers on Sa'ib Salam, to whom
Jumayyil owes a political debt. Salam's support for him
r was a key fact or in creating the Muslim consensus backing
his candidacy.
Problems
,.the Israelis.
5y
(42
are already developing between Jumavvil and
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New Reports on the Massacre
A prominent newspaper in Tel Aviv yesterday quoted
two Israeli soldiers stationed near the Shatila camp as
saying they suspected Palestinians were being massacred
but were reassured by their superiors. They said
several Palestinian women ran out of the camp crying
hysterically that their children were being butchered,
but each time the soldiers contacted their officers they
were told not to concern themselves.
A film taken surreptitiously by a Danish journalist
shows members of the Christian militia disarming a
Lebanese Army patrol outside of the Shatila camp. The
militiamen were loading Palestinian women and children
onto trucks.
The film also shows that the Lebanese Army was
prevented from interfering in the camps by the Israeli-
.,/controlled militias. No information is available on the
ate of the women and children loaded onto the trucks.
A spokesman for the International Red Cross reported
that 293 bodies have been recovered in the refugee camps
thus far. According to their lists, another 370 are
missing and probably are buried under the rubble.
Soviet Commentary
President Brezhnev sent a brief congratulatory
telegram to President Jumayyil on Wednesday, the same
day that Syria and the PLO extended their congratulations.
Brezhnev had not congratulated Bashir Jumayyil after his
election on 23 August. Moscow has still not commented
authoritatively on the redeployment of the multinational
force to Beirut.
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Comment: In each case, the Soviets have been care-
ful not to get out in front of Syria and the PLO. They
may reason that, since PLO chief Arafat called for the
return of the multinational force, their criticism of the
move should be restrained. Moscow's reticence also might
stem from a realization that Brezhnev's warnings to the
US against the first deployment of the multinati
force put the USSR in an embarrassing position.
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INTERNATIONAL: IAEA Vote on Israel's Expulsion
Reaction to the massacre of Palestinians in Beirut
is undercutting the US-led effort to defeat an Iraqi pro-
posal to expel Israel from the IAEA. The vote is expected
1
to take place today at t1 e General Conference of the IAEA
in Vienna.
Comment: West European member-states still appear
determined to back Israel, but some Latin American and
African countries that had planned to support Tel Aviv
are beginning to waver. Most African states, in fact,
may vote in favor of expulsion. There is no predetermined
number of votes to decide the issue, because abstentions
will be thrown out in calculating the two-thirds majority
required for expulsion. If almost all the Western nations
and Japan back Israel, they probably will be able to
block expulsion.
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