QUARTERLY ECONOMIC SURVEY OF THE FORMER SOVIET REPUBLICS (U)

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06614204
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RIPPUB
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U
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23
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March 8, 2023
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August 13, 2019
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F-2018-00127
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December 1, 1991
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Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Directorate of Intelligence NOT MICRUF Hifi ED � 00 A�e - For Data Entry Only Cz6pa. v pq4 24. -"ConfidentiaL_ (b)(3) Quarterly Economic Survey of the Former Soviet Republics (u) Third Quarter 1991 207 SOV E90004 91 300-301 0 SOY ESQ 91-004 December 1991 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Copy 300 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Warning Notice Intelligence Sources or Methods Involved (WNINTEL) National Security Unauthorized Disclosure Information Subject to Criminal Sanctions Dissemination Control Abbreviations NOFORN (NF) Not releasable to foreign nationals NOCONTRACT (NC) Not releasable to contractors or contractor/consultants PROPIN (PR) ORCON (OC) Caution�proprietary information involved Dissemination and extraction of information controlled by originator REL WN This information has been authorized for release to WNINTEL�Intelligence sources or methods in ol ed All material on this page is Unclassified Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Directorate of Intelligence Quarterly Economic Survey of the Former Soviet Republics (u) Third Quarter 1991 Reverse Blank This survey was prepared by the Office of Soviet Analysis Comments and queries are welcome and may be directed to the Chief ----Milliteri that� SOV ESQ 91 004 December 1991 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 --ratttleotiaL__ Scope Note Reverse Blank Quarterly Economic Survey of the Former Soviet Republics (u) This Quarterly Economic Survey of the Former Soviet Republics is the first issue of a redesigned serial publication replacing the Quarterly Bulletin on Soviet Economic Performance, which was last published in August 1991. The combination of text and graphics familiar to readers of the Bulletin has a new format, and the contents highlight regional aspects of economic developments in the former Soviet Union, focusing particular- ly on Russia and the next largest republics. In addition, each issue of the Survey will include a tabular appendix of key indicators of economic change by republic. Reader reaction to these changes in presentation would be most welcome; (u) 111 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 (b) V Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Chief, vi SOVA Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Contents Scope Note Current Developments Page 111 After the Coup 1 Food and Energy Shortages 2 Hard Currency Crunch 3 Financial Mess 4 Human Pain 5 Appendixes A. Indicators of Economic Change, by Republic, 1988-91 7 B. The Former Soviet Republics on the Eve of the Breakup 11 vii -"roifilteri Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 --05111ftleit4iaL_ Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Mondani reptesentabon Is not notesssrity outhantative. . 1Rand Norwegian Sea United Kingdom Poland Maria Black Se Caucasus Turkey Armo Yereva Caspian Sea Iran Unclassified --Ctretfleatj& Aral Sea Ian Afghanistan Pat Arctic Ocean Russia 0 viii 560 Mongolia 1000 Mks China Sea of Okhotsk S7'>mth Kora f!. 723854 (100026) 12-91 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Current Developments After the Coup The disintegration of the Soviet Union in the wake of the failed August coup has been accompanied by continuing economic deterioration. Mirroring this dis- integration, Soviet official statistics for January- September 1991 were reported for only 12 republics� excluding the newly independent Baltic states�rather than the former 15. These statistics reflect declining output and employment, rapidly rising prices, and a sharp drop in the volume of foreign trade. Moreover, shortages show no signs of abating, barriers to interre- public trade remain widespread, the value of the ruble is plummeting, and several republics are contemplat- ing separate currencies. Negotiations on Economic Treaty.... By mid- November, representatives of 10 republics had signed a treaty establishing�on paper�an economic com- munity committed to move promptly toward markets, lower barriers to internal trade, and develop more open trade with the rest of the world. The treaty, however, was more a promise to reach agreement at some future date than a concrete agreement; it left Soviet Official Indicators of Real Economic Performance the resolution of a variety of critical issues, such as the voting and veto rights of individual republics, to be worked out in auxiliary agreements . Overtaken by Commonwealth. Efforts to conclude those agreements have been overtaken by an accord signed by Russia, Ukraine, and Byelarus on 8 Decem- ber. The three Slavic republics have declared the USSR defunct as a geopolitical reality, established a commonwealth of independent states among them- selves, and invited other former Soviet republics to join. Meanwhile, Boris Yel'tsin has announced that Russia will step up its own move toward markets by removing price controls on all but a limited range of output, such as energy, transportation, and essential consumer goods and services; by rapidly privatizing small and medium-size enterprises; and by lowering barriers to trade with the outside world. Although some form of price controls for oil and gas will remain in place, Russia has indicated it will raise the prices of these fuels, boosting the import bills of most other republics. Ukraine, the major exporter of food, is likely to see its purchasing power in interrepublic trade decline Percent change Trade and Financial Indicators Fifteen Republics, 1990 Twelve Republics, January-September 1991 a GNP b �12 Industrial output b �1.2 �6 Agricultural output b �2.3 �10 Retail sales 10.4 �12 State investment �5.4 �4 Centralized �19 �11 Decentralized 8 2 Total employment �0.6 �2d State employment �1.7 �3 a As compared with January-September 1990. b GNP reflects final output of goods and services for uses such as consumption and investment, or, equivalently, value added by primary inputs, such as labor and capital, used in production. The indicators of industrial and agricultural output, in contrast, reflect total output including materials used in production. Soviet GNP fell by 4 to 5 percent in 1990. the unemployment rate was less than 2 percent in mid-1991. This figure, however, masks the longstanding enormous underemployment that is increasing sharply this year as GNP declines while state subsidies enable firms to avoid massive layoffs. Fifteen Republics 1990 1991 a Hard currency exports Billion US $ 35.6 31.0 Hard currency imports 35.2 27.1 Gross hard currency debt b c 59.4 57.7 Net hard currency debt b c 50.7 54.7 Debt service to hard currency earnings Percent 24.6 32.1 Budget deficit Billion rubles 105 300 to 350 Money stock b 733 1,200 to 1,300 a Projection for whole year. b stocks on 1 January 1991 and 1 January 1992. . Excluding Soviet trade debt to Eastern Europe and the former German Democratic Republic. d Including cash, demand deposits, and time deposits. This table is Unclassified. Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Food and Energy Shortages Shortages of food and energy are worsening rapidly as a result of falling output, depleted stocks, the prolifer- ation of trade barriers between republics and regions, and continuing price controls. The impact of these shortages will be uneven�and dangerous in vulnera- ble areas�because of regional variations in produc- tion and consumption. Food. The 1991 grain crop in the former Soviet Union is likely to be about 25 percent smaller than last year's near-record harvest, and we expect meat and milk output to be down 5 to 6 percent. The potato and vegetable crops probably will exceed depressed 1990 levels by about 2 percent. Ukraine and Kazakhstan, which usually export grain, will not have large enough grain crops this year to cover their normal internal needs for food and live- stock feed. Meat output will suffer as a result in Byelarus and Moldova, which depend heavily on imports of feed, and even in Ukraine. Grain deliveries from the United States, however, will help keep meat production up in the Baltic countries Surplus or Deficit of Selected Foods, by Republic a Meat Milk b Grain c Potatoes c Vegeta- bles Russia Ukraine Byelarus Moldova Kazakhstan + Kyrgyzstan Tajikistan Turkmenistan � Uzbekistan Armenia Food shortages are likely to be particularly severe in regions of Russia that depend almost entirely on imports�industrial centers in the Urals and Siberia, plus the far north and far east. The republics of Central Asia (excluding Kazakhstan) and the Cauca- sus�which import large amounts of grain, meat, and milk�will also experience serious shortages. A com- bination of food shortages and popular dissatisfaction with republic governments could spark protests in Azerbaijan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Energy. Oil output fell by 10 percent during January- September 1991 as compared with the same period last year, coal output dropped by 11 percent, and gas production leveled off for the first time in four decades. The republics likely to suffer least from the resulting shortages are the major energy producers� Russia and Turkmenistan, which satisfy almost all of their own needs from internal production, and Azer- baijan and Kazakhstan, which export some fuels while importing others in small amounts. The most vulnerable energy consumers, which depend on im- ports for more than 95 percent of their needs, are Byelarus, Moldova, Armenia, Georgia, and Latvia. Oil, Gas, and Coal Balances, by Republic Crude Oil Gas Coal Oil Products Russia Ukraine Byelarus Moldova 0 Kazakhstan Kyrgyzstan 0 Tajikistan Turkmenistan X Uzbekistan Armenia Azerbaijan Azerbaijan Georgia Estonia Latvia Georgia 0 Estonia Latvia Lithuania + Lithuania Note: + Production greater than normal consumption. � Production less than normal consumption. = Production roughly equal to normal consumption. a Based on Soviet b Including butter. Excluding amount fed to livestock. production and consumption. Note: X = Net exporter. 0 = Net importer. = Production roughly equal to consumption. � No production or refining capacity. This table is Unclassified. This table is Unclassified. Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 �confidential__ Hard Currency Crunch The former Soviet republics face a daunting combina- tion of problems in their economic relations with the outside world. The volume of trade has plunged, the hard currency debt has become a serious burden, and the previously reliable centralized mechanism for servicing the debt has broken down. Trade. Total exports during January-September 1991 were 30 percent lower than in the same 1990 period, while total imports were down 45 percent may exaggerate the decline because of the increased difficulty of collecting data and the proliferation of barter trade. Nonetheless, the steep drops in exports and imports reflect the collapse of trade with Eastern Europe since the transfer of such trade to world market prices in January. In addition, falling output has curtailed exports of oil, coal, timber, and ferrous metals, and a shortage of hard currency has forced painful cuts in imports of both raw materials and equipment needed for domestic production and food and clothing for the shortage-ridden consumer market. Hard Currency Debt. With imports down more sharp- ly than exports and trade with Eastern Europe shift- ing to a hard currency basis, the hard currency trade surplus could approach $4 billion this year. But the centralized mechanism for making payments on the hard currency debt is in shambles. In large part, the Hard Currency Trade by Half Year, 1988-91 a Billion US $ 25 11111 Oil exports El Other exports Ell Imports 20 15 10 0 I II 1988 I II 89 90 a Trade with the USSR's traditional hard currency partners. 91 Unclassified 333662 12-91 (b)(1) (b)(3) problem is that a growing share of trade is carried out by organizations operating on behalf of the republics, by individual enterprises, by commercial trading firms, and on a barter basis. We estimate that about one-third of oil exports, for instance, bypass central channels. moreover, gold and hard currency reserves have been drawn down to rockbottom levels. On 21 November eight republics agreed to a tentative debt deferral program proposed by the G-7 countries. This program would defer payment of the principal on some official debt, and Western officials also promised to maintain financing for imports. The republics, in turn, agreed to bear collective responsibility for payments on the debt that was not deferred and to implement reforms under the direction of the IMF. Then on 4 December the central Foreign Economic Bank announced that it would suspend immediately payments of principal on its debt to commercial banks but continue to pay interest on sched- ule. Although the G-7 program called for negotiations on a deferral of these principal payments, the unilateral suspension caught some commercial banks off guard. The (b)(3) republics subsequently reached agreement with the com- mercial banks to formally defer principal payments due before 1 April. These agreements with the G-7 and the commercial banks will give the republics some breathing space to move forward on economic reforms and work out a longer term plan for servicing the USSR's debt. (b�)(;(3) (b)(3) Hard Currency Debts at Midyear, 1991 Total= 63 billion US $ Commercial $34 billion Official $29 billion � Canada US UK Austria US Germany a Includes several billion dollars' worth of trade debts to the former East Germany, which are now owed to Germany. (b)(3) 33366312-91 (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 "rtntfideatit Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Financial Mess With the budget deficit ballooning and the money supply growing rapidly, a combination of adminis- tered price increases and an easing of price controls has brought triple-digit inflation. Fiscal and Monetary Excess. In planning their 1991 budgets, union and republic officials alike paid lip- service to the need to reduce deficits. During the course of the year, however, disputes over the alloca- tion of revenues have left the union budget strapped for funds. At the same time, increasingly generous measures to soften the blow of rising prices on the population have brought soaring expenditures in most republics. As a result, the combined 1991 deficit of union and republic budgets, plus off-budget stabiliza- tion funds, is likely to approximate 300-350 billion rubles�roughly triple the 1990 deficit, or 15 percent of 1991 GNP. This soaring budget deficit and a rapid expansion of bank lending�including credit extended by new private banks�probably will boost the money stock by 65 to 75 percent this year. Inflation. wholesale and retail prices in September 1991 were Soviet Official Indexes of Wholesale Prices September 1991 (percent of September 1990) Total GNP 216 a Industry 264 Construction 250 Agriculture 156 Transportation 158b Trade 195 c Services 135 d a Average of indexes shown (plus rough estimate of increase in military pay), weighted by GNP by sector. b Average of indexes for freight and passenger transportation. c Index of prices in official retail trade network, used as proxy for prices of services provided by all trade organizations. d Average of retail price indexes for consumer services including free services such as education and health care. This table is Unclassified. COTIldt entiaL, more than twice as high as in September 1990. The Pavlov government raised wholesale prices by decree on 1 January, and retail price hikes followed on 2 April. In addition, roughly half of industrial output is reportedly being sold at free wholesale prices, and half of retail sales are at prices that have been decontrolled at least partially. The wholesale prices of industrial products have continued to climb since January at rates generally ranging from 5 to 10 percent per month and by yearend will be at least triple the level of last December. Retail prices, which rose only slightly from April to September, reportedly are climbing more rapidly now as a result of upward pressure from budget deficits, wholesale prices, and rising personal money incomes. Inflation in both wholesale and retail prices has been slightly faster in Russia than in most of the other former Soviet republics, excluding the Baltic states. Retail prices also have risen more than average in the Caucasus�probably as a result of sharp declines in production and deliveries of goods from other repub- lics�but less than average in Central Asia, where republic authorities have used large budget subsidies to keep the prices of basic foods low. Soviet Official Indexes of Retail Prices a April-June 1991 (percent of April-June 1990) Consumer goods and services 192 Consumer goods 196 Food 225 Alcohol 126 Nonfood 206 Consumer services b 164 a Including state retail trade network and farmers' markets. b Excluding free services such as education and health care. This table is Unclassified. 4 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Human Pain Already suffering from rising prices, unrelieved short- ages, and worsening poverty, the population will have to bear the additional pain of unemployment and further inflation as the transition to markets gets under way in earnest. Moreover, the further disinte- gration of the former Soviet Union could prompt a surge of migration that would uproot skilled workers and make housing shortages even more acute. Poverty. Estimates indicate that consumer prices increased by about 135 percent on average from mid-1989 to September 1991, running ahead of personal money incomes, which rose by an average of about 100 percent. These higher prices have hit people with low incomes partic- ularly hard, largely because sharp reductions in subsi- dies have resulted in steep price hikes for necessities. The poverty problem is especially serious in Central Asia (excluding Kazakhstan) and Azerbaijan, where incomes are substantially lower than in the other republics. Unemployment. Central officials claim that unem- ployment affects less than 2 percent of the labor force currently working or seeking jobs, but this number masks the enormous underemployment that long has existed in the economy and that has increased sharply this year. In the next few years such concealed joblessness will give way to open unemployment. Readjustments accompanying the transition to a mar- ket economy are likely to cause high unemployment in industries producing investment goods and weapons, which are concentrated in Russia, Byelarus, eastern Ukraine, and northern Kazakhstan. Eventually, up to 20 percent of the workers in these regions could be at risk. Discharges of soldiers from the military and cutbacks in conscription will increase the pool of jobseekers in Central Asia, where unemployment is already a problem, but the region may experience some relief if opportunities for private agriculture and service businesses open up. Migration. Growing resentment of ethnic Russians in non-Russian republics could prompt a mass migration back to Russia, leaving shortages of skilled workers in other republics and exacerbating unemployment and housing shortages in Russia. Slavic workers reported- ly have been leaving Central Asia at a sharply higher rate in the last two years, and many Russians there fear violence from largely Mus- lim local populations. Substantial numbers of Arme- nians and Azeris have already fled violence in their native republics, and future flashpoints could include ethnically mixed areas of Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Uzbekistan, and southern Kazakhstan. Income Distribution, by Republic, 1990 Percent Share of Population With Per Capita Monthly Income Less Than 75 Rubles 75 to 100 Rubles 100 to 150 Rubles 150 to 200 Rubles 200 to 250 Rubles 250 to 300 Rubles More Than 300 Rubles Russia 3.2 8.2 27.2 26.0 17.3 9.6 8.5 Ukraine 2.7 8.6 31.2 28.0 16.2 7.9 5.4 Byelarus 1.5 5.9 27.0 28.9 19.1 10.0 7.6 Moldova 6.1 12.5 32.9 24.5 13.0 6.4 4.6 Kazakhstan 10.0 14.4 31.1 21.5 11.9 6.0 5.1 Kyrgyzstan 24.8 21.7 30.8 13.7 5.5 2.1 1.4 Tajikistan 45.1 22.7 21.6 6.8 2.4 0.9 0.5 Turkmenistan 26.9 22.3 29.6 12.7 5.1 2.0 1.4 Uzbekistan 34.1 23.0 26.8 10.1 3.7 1.4 0.9 Armenia 5.4 11.3 31.6 24.6 14.3 7.1 5.7 Azerbaijan 29.7 19.7 26.8 13.0 6.0 2.7 2.1 Georgia 65 11.2 28.7 23.1 14.5 8.2 7.8 Estonia 0.6 2.7 15.4 23.6 21.7 16.2 19.8 Latvia 09 3.8 19.5 26.1 21.3 13.9 14.5 Lithuania 1.2 4.5 20.9 25.8 20.5 13.3 13.8 This table is Unclassified. (b)(b)(3) (b)(3) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 --ranfitlentit., Appendix A Indicators of Economic Change, by Republic, 1988-91 National Income Produced, 1988-91 . Percent change 1988 1989 1990 January-September 1991 b Twelve republics Russia 4.3 1.7 -5.0 -9 Ukraine 3.8 3.6 -1.5 -8 Byelarus 3.2 5.7 -1.4 _5c Moldova 3.1 3.9 -6.6 _13.5c Kazakhstan 2.6 1.3 -1.7 Kyrgyzstan 5.9 5.3 -0.9 -5 Tajikistan 8.2 0 -8.9 Turkmenistan 4.3 3.2 0.5 Uzbekistan 5.1 3.4 3.4 _1.4c Armenia 0.1 9.9 -9.8 -9.7 Azerbaijan 1.6 -1.8 -5.0 0.3c Georgia 4.5 -3.6 -4.3 _16.7c Baltic countries Estonia 4.0 5.2 1.1 Latvia 4.0 5.0 -3.2 -6.1 . Lithuania 5.3 2.9 -3.9 a National income produced reflects value added by primary inputs, such as labor and capital, used in the production of material goods and services; it excludes depreciation and services that do not contribute directly to material output. b As compared with January-September 1990. Overall decrease reported for 12 republics together was 13 percent-substantially below weighted average of rates of change reported for individual republics. This may reflect inclusion of export and import duties in overall figure but not in republic statistics. . January-June 1991, as compared with January-June 1990. This table is Unclassified. Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 "rtritfideali!..L Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Industrial Output, 1988-91 . Percent change 1988 1989 1990 January-September 1991 b Twelve republics Russia 3.8 1.4 -0.5 -3.3 Ukraine 4.1 2.8 -0.4 -4.7 Byelarus 6.3 4.6 1.6 Moldova 3.3 5.7 1.7 -7.3 Kazakhstan 3.7 2.5 -0.8 Kyrgyzstan 6.8 5.2 -1.2 _2.7c Tajikistan 5.5 1.8 0.4 Turkmenistan 4.3 3.3 2.6 6d Uzbekistan 3.3 3.6 1.5 Armenia -1.1 -8.3 -7.3 _34e Azerbaijan 3.4 0.7 -5.5 5.4 e Georgia 3.2 0.7 -6.2 -22 Baltic countries Estonia 3.1 0.7 -1.9 -6.8c Latvia 3.5 3.1 -2.0 -6.3 Lithuania 5.7 4.2 -1.3 -1.5 a Total output, including material inputs used in production. b As compared with January-September 1990. Overall decrease reported for 12 republics together was 6.4 percent-substantially below weighted average of rates of change reported for individual republics. The reasons for this discrepancy are not clear. e January-June 1991, as compared with January-June 1990. d January-July 1991, as compared with January-July 1990. e January-March 1991, as compared with January-March 1990. This table is Unclassified. 8 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 --teltfifleutiat Agricultural Output, 1988-91 a Percent change Cooperative Sales, 1988-90 Percent change 1988 1989 1990 January- September 1991 b 1988 1989 1990 Twelve republics Twelve republics Russia 1,877 648 72 Russia 3.3 1.7 �2.7 �10 Ukraine 1,784 472 54 Ukraine �1.6 5.0 �2.6 Byelarus 1,178 523 68 Byelarus �8 9 �6 Moldova 2,159 567 49 Moldova 0 6 �12 �23 Kazakhstan 2,295 478 68 Kazakhstan 4 �8 5 Kyrgyzstan 1,488 303 24 Kyrgyzstan 4 3 0 �13 Tajikistan 740 691 88 Tajikistan 13 �12 �9 Turkmenistan 748 732 71 Turkmenistan 8 0 4 Uzbekistan 1,070 677 22 Uzbekistan 9 �4 4 Armenia 1,379 249 70 Armenia 0 �21 0 Azerbaijan 752 456 �12 Azerbaijan �3 �10 �3 Georgia 941 384 76 Georgia 6 �18 11 Baltic countries Baltic countries Estonia 1,124 279 154 Estonia 0 6 �5 Latvia 1,864 466 89 Latvia �3 7 �10 Lithuania 831 451 62 Lithuania 2 2 �8 This table is Unclassified. Total output, including material inputs used in production. b As compared with January-September 1990. This table is Unclassified. Reverse Blank 9 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 ial Appendix B The Former Soviet Republics on the Eve of the Breakup Government Leaders, 1991 President Chairman of Legislature Prime Minister or Head of Government Twelve republics Russia Boris Yel'tsin Ruslan Khasbulatov Boris Yel'tsin Ukraine Leonid Kravchuk Leonid Kravchuk Vitol'd Fokin Byelarus Stanislav Shushkevich Vyacheslav Kebich Moldova Mircea Snegur Aleksandr Moshanu Valeriu Murayski Kazakhstan Nursultan Nazarbayev Verik Asanbayev Sergey Tereshchenko Kyrgyzstan Askar Akayev Medetkan Sherimkulov Vacant Tajikistan Rakhmon Nabiyev Akbarsho Iskandarov Izatullo Khayeyev Turkmenistan Saparmurad Niyazov Sakhat Muradov Vacant Uzbekistan Islam Karimov Shavkat Yuldashev Vacant Armenia Levon Ter-Petrosyan Vacant Gagik Arutyunyan Azerbaijan Ayaz Mutalibov EI'mira Kafarova Hasan Hasanov Georgia Zviad Gamsakhurdiya Akaki Asatiani Vazgen Gugushvili Baltic countries Estonia Arnol'd Ruutel Edgar Savisaar Latvia Anatolijs Gorbunovs Ivars Godmanis Lithuania Vitautas Landsbergis Gediminas Vagnorius a Acting. This table is Unclassified. 11 --rattfrdeatitl, Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 General Information, 1990 Population (thousands) Ethnic Composition (percent) Area (thousand sq km) Capital Administrative Units Titular Nationality Russian Other Autonomous Republics and Other Units Krays and Oblasts Twelve republics 280,631 22,101 38 120 Russia 148,041 81.5 81.5 18.5 17,075 Moscow 31 55 Ukraine 51,839 72.7 22.1 5.2 604 Kiev 25 Byelarus 10,259 77.9 13.2 8.9 208 Minsk 6 Moldova 4,362 64.5 13.0 22.6 34 Kishinev Kazakhstan 16,691 39.7 37.8 22.5 2,717 Alma-Ata 17 Kyrgyzstan 4,367 52.6 21.5 25.9 199 Bishkek (former- ly Frunze) 2 Tajikistan 5,248 62.3 7.6 30.1 143 Dushanbe 1 2 Turkmenistan 3,622 72.0 9.5 18.5 488 Ashkhabad 3 Uzbekistan 20,322 71.4 8.3 20.3 447 Tashkent 1 10 Armenia 3,293 93.3 1.6 5.1 30 Yerevan Azerbaijan 7,131 82.7 5.6 11.7 87 Baku 2 Georgia 5,456 70.1 6.3 23.6 70 Tbilisi 3 Baltic countries 7,993 175 Estonia 1,583 61.5 30.3 8.2 45 Tallinn Latvia 2,687 52.0 34.0 14.0 65 Riga Lithuania 3,723 81.1 9.4 9.6 65 Vilnius This table is Unclassified. frdentist, 12 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 --CO71111ei Macroeconomic Indicators, 1989 a Percent of former USSR GNP, 1989 National Income Produced, 1989 Cooperative Sales, 1990 Employment, 1989 Capital Stock, 1988 Capital/Labor Ratio,b 1988 Twelve republics 96.8 96.8 93.9 97.0 96.8 Russia 60.9 61.3 63.6 54.8 61.6 19.3 Ukraine 16.2 16.2 11.8 18.7 15.5 14.2 Byelarus 4.0 4.2 2.2 3.9 3.4 14.4 Moldova 1.2 1.3 2.3 1.4 1.1 11.5 Kazakhstan 4.5 4.2 4.0 5.3 5.8 18.5 Kyrgyzstan 0.8 0.8 0.5 1.1 0.8 10.4 Tajikistan 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.7 8.5 Turkmenistan 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.9 0.9 15.5 Uzbekistan 3.4 3.2 3.2 4.8 3.4 10.9 Armenia 0.9 1.0 2.0 1.1 0.8 11.8 Azerbaijan 1.7 1.7 0.5 1.9 1.5 13.4 Georgia 1.7 1.5 2.6 1.9 1.4 12.2 Baltic countries 3.2 3.2 6.1 3.0 3.2 Estonia 0.7 0.7 1.5 0.6 0.7 19.8 Latvia 1.1 1.1 3.0 1.0 1.1 17.5 Lithuania 1.4 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.4 17.0 a Adjacent years as shown. b Thousand rubles per worker. This table is Unclassified. 13 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Socioeconomic Indicators, 1989 Consumption Per Capita (rubles) Savings Per Capita (rubles) Living Space Per Capita Urban Share of Population (percent) Specialist Share of Labor Force a (percent) Urban (sq m) Rural (sq m) Twelve republics Russia 1,903.6 1,626 9.9 13.3 74 29.7 Ukraine 1,691.8 1,614 10.2 14.3 67 28.5 Byelarus 1,779.2 1,468 9.7 16.0 66 28.5 Moldova 1,711.6 1,471 9.0 15.2 47 25.3 Kazakhstan 1,558.9 1,361 9.3 9.5 57 27.6 Kyrgyzstan 1,290.6 1,377 8.0 8.7 38 25.5 Tajikistan 1,001.0 1,300 7.7 6.0 32 22.5 Turkmenistan 1,156.4 1,682 7.5 8.9 45 22.8 Uzbekistan 1,078.7 1,443 7.8 8.5 41 25.9 Armenia 1,430.8 2,672 8.4 12.4 68 28.7 Azerbaijan 1,135.8 1,298 7.8 7.7 54 25.3 Georgia 1,563.6 2,219 10.3 16.0 56 27.1 Baltic countries Estonia 2,408.4 2,039 12.7 17.1 72 30.7 Latvia 2,248.0 1,782 11.3 15.9 71 28.4 Lithuania 2,059.3 2,496 10.7 16.3 68 30.5 a Specialists with higher education and technical training as share of all workers. This table is Unclassified. Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 -ennfideakaL Socioeconomic Indicators, 1989 Percent of Russia Consumption Per Capita Savings Per Capita Living Space Per Capita Urban Share of Population Specialist Share of Labor Force a Urban Rural Twelve republics Russia 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 Ukraine 88.9 99.3 103.0 107.5 90.5 96.0 Byelarus 93.5 90.3 98.0 120.3 89.2 96.0 Moldova 89.9 90.5 90.9 114.3 63.5 85.2 Kazakhstan 81.9 83.7 93.9 71.4 77.0 92.9 Kyrgyzstan 67.8 84.7 80.8 65.4 51.4 85.9 Tajikistan 52.6 80.0 77.8 45.1 43.2 75.8 Turkmenistan 60.7 103.4 75.8 66.9 60.8 76.8 Uzbekistan 56.7 88.7 78.8 63.9 55.4 87.2 Armenia 75.2 164.3 84.8 93.2 91.9 96.6 Azerbaijan 59.7 79.8 78.8 57.9 73.0 85.2 Georgia 82.1 136.5 104.0 120.3 75.7 91.2 Baltic countries Estonia 126.5 125.4 128.3 128.6 97.3 103.4 Latvia 118.1 109.6 114.1 119.5 95.9 95.6 Lithuania 108.2 153.5 108.1 122.6 91.9 102.7 a Specialists with higher education and technical training as share of all workers. This table is Unclassified. 15 Ideni Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 -.-MaifdentiaL_, Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Population Changes per 1,000 Persons, 1989 Natural Growth Births Deaths Infant Mortality a Twelve republics Russia 3.9 14.6 10.7 17.8 Ukraine 1.7 13.3 11.6 13.0 Byelarus 4.9 15.0 10.1 11.8 Moldova 9.7 18.9 9.2 20.4 Kazakhstan 15.4 23.0 7.6 25.9 Kyrgyzstan 23.2 30.4 7.2 32.2 Tajikistan 32.2 38.7 6.5 43.2 Turkmenistan 27.3 35.0 7.7 54.7 Uzbekistan 27.0 33.3 6.3 37.7 Armenia 15.6 21.6 6.0 20.4 Azerbaijan 20.0 26.4 6.4 26.2 Georgia 8.1 16.7 8.6 19.6 Baltic countries Estonia 3.7 15.4 11.7 14.7 Latvia 2.4 14.5 12.1 11.1 Lithuania 4.8 15.1 10.3 10.7 a Infants dying in first year per 1,000 live births. This table is Unclassified. 16 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204 Approved for Release: 2019/07/30 C06614204