NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY

Document Type: 
Collection: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
05103744
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
19
Document Creation Date: 
December 28, 2022
Document Release Date: 
December 1, 2017
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
F-2017-01734
Publication Date: 
March 20, 1981
File: 
AttachmentSize
PDF icon national intelligence dai[15346676].pdf153.72 KB
Body: 
Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 //U G4 G DITee.:03 Off Ce7st,C., A " s,7 17.tehigenCe ucire National Intelligence Daily Friday 20 March 1981 op Secret CO NID 8I-065JX 20 March 1981 Copy 229 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Warning Notice Intelligence Sources and Methods Involved (WNINTEL) National Security Unauthorized Disclosure Information Subject to Criminal Sanctions Dissemination Control Abbreviations NOFORN (NF) Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals NOCONTRACT (NC) PROPIN (PP) NFIBONLY (NO) ORCON (OC) Not Releasable to Contractors or Contractor/Consultants Caution�Proprietary Information Involved NFIB Departments Only Dissemination and Extraction of Information Controlled by Originator REL... FG I This Information Has Been Authorized for Release to... Foreign Government Information The National Intelligence Daily is prepared in the Central Intelligence Agency in cooperation with the other US foreign intelligence organizations. Analytical feature articles are attributed to their authors. Th ic rp I 'Prrntirirrntri- (b)(3) (b)(3) Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Contents El Salvador: Balance of Forces 2 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Appvmdmate Arras of ellASEME FFonts G uatem a a 0 30 Kilometers 629313 3-81 CIA LenP. EI , CL'Ar SATi \ � Salvado Guatemala SAN SALVADOR!' El Salvador Riedic Ocean Honduras TEGUCIGALPA Nicaragua MANAGUA Honduras Boundary representation is not necessarily authoritative Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Gyt Nicaragua Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 p et- EL SALVADOR: Balance of Forces rtL Sweep operations by government forces appear to be slowing insurgent efforts to regroup and rearm, but the guerrillas have not committed all their reserve forces and still expect increased weapons shipments. Government forces this week carried out their 15th counterinsurgency sweep since mid-January in central and northern El Salvador. San Salvador claims to have killed at least 50 subversives during these sweeps. The insurgents, on the other hand, claim costly casualties have been in- flicted on government troops. To improve its counterinsurgency capability, the Salvadoran military is trying to standardize its weapon inventory and restructure its forces. The plans are based on the acquisition of large amounts of US-supplied arms, including 13,000 M-16 rifles and more US training. Plans also call for a new rapid reaction force of perhaps 10 infantry companies--1,500 troops--to augment the cur- rent manpower of 16,000. Status of Insurgents Some 3,000 to 4,000 full-time guerrillas are dis- tributed among five vaguely defined battle fronts. Sev- eral thousand more part-time irregulars may augment the primary forces. The current slowdown in external supply to the insurgents, together with government counterinsur- gency sweeps, however, has reduced the level of major guerrilla operations. These factors will be debilitating over time, but have not yet critically affected the poten- tial of the guerrillas. Their present manpower resources and relatively sophisticated operational capabilities will enable them to continue their war of attrition for an ex- tended period of time, even with present stores. 2 --continued Top Sarr.A 20 March 1981 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 In the last week, 200-man insurgent units assaulted government posts in three widely separated locations. Current government sweep-and-clear operations are still apparently only disrupting insurgent timetables and have not delivered any telling defeats. The guerrillas have gradually become better trained. Sect 3 (b)(3) 20 March 1981 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 pproved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 pproved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 ,e NR Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 s. .r NR Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 NR Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 NR Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744 Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744