NATIONAL INTELLIGENCE DAILY
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
05103744
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
19
Document Creation Date:
December 28, 2022
Document Release Date:
December 1, 2017
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
F-2017-01734
Publication Date:
March 20, 1981
File:
Attachment | Size |
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Body:
Approved for Release: 2017/11/17 C05103744
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National Intelligence Daily
Friday
20 March 1981
op Secret
CO NID 8I-065JX
20 March 1981
Copy
229
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Warning Notice
Intelligence Sources
and Methods Involved
(WNINTEL)
National Security Unauthorized Disclosure
Information Subject to Criminal Sanctions
Dissemination Control
Abbreviations
NOFORN (NF) Not Releasable to Foreign Nationals
NOCONTRACT (NC)
PROPIN (PP)
NFIBONLY (NO)
ORCON (OC)
Not Releasable to Contractors or Contractor/Consultants
Caution�Proprietary Information Involved
NFIB Departments Only
Dissemination and Extraction of Information
Controlled by Originator
REL...
FG I
This Information Has Been Authorized for Release to...
Foreign Government Information
The National Intelligence Daily is prepared in the
Central Intelligence Agency in cooperation with the other
US foreign intelligence organizations. Analytical feature
articles are attributed to their authors.
Th ic rp I 'Prrntirirrntri-
(b)(3)
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Contents
El Salvador: Balance of Forces
2
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Appvmdmate Arras of ellASEME FFonts
G uatem a a
0 30
Kilometers
629313 3-81 CIA
LenP.
EI
,
CL'Ar
SATi
\ �
Salvado
Guatemala
SAN SALVADOR!'
El Salvador
Riedic Ocean
Honduras
TEGUCIGALPA
Nicaragua
MANAGUA
Honduras
Boundary representation is
not necessarily authoritative
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Gyt
Nicaragua
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p et-
EL SALVADOR: Balance of Forces
rtL
Sweep operations by government forces appear to be slowing
insurgent efforts to regroup and rearm, but the guerrillas have
not committed all their reserve forces and still expect increased
weapons shipments.
Government forces this week carried out their 15th
counterinsurgency sweep since mid-January in central and
northern El Salvador. San Salvador claims to have killed
at least 50 subversives during these sweeps.
The insurgents,
on the other hand, claim costly casualties have been in-
flicted on government troops.
To improve its counterinsurgency capability, the
Salvadoran military is trying to standardize its weapon
inventory and restructure its forces. The plans are
based on the acquisition of large amounts of US-supplied
arms, including 13,000 M-16 rifles and more US training.
Plans also call for a new rapid reaction force of perhaps
10 infantry companies--1,500 troops--to augment the cur-
rent manpower of 16,000.
Status of Insurgents
Some 3,000 to 4,000 full-time guerrillas are dis-
tributed among five vaguely defined battle fronts. Sev-
eral thousand more part-time irregulars may augment the
primary forces. The current slowdown in external supply
to the insurgents, together with government counterinsur-
gency sweeps, however, has reduced the level of major
guerrilla operations. These factors will be debilitating
over time, but have not yet critically affected the poten-
tial of the guerrillas. Their present manpower resources
and relatively sophisticated operational capabilities will
enable them to continue their war of attrition for an ex-
tended period of time, even with present stores.
2
--continued
Top Sarr.A
20 March 1981
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In the last week, 200-man insurgent units assaulted
government posts in three widely separated locations.
Current government sweep-and-clear operations are still
apparently only disrupting insurgent timetables and have
not delivered any telling defeats.
The guerrillas have gradually become better trained.
Sect
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