CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/05/20

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03179250
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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March 17, 2020
Document Release Date: 
March 26, 2020
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May 20, 1960
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Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 I Vr- OCUKC I e A1_62 20 May 1960 Copy No. C CENTRAL 3.3(h)(2) INTELLIGENCE BU LETIN DOCUMENT No. WAGE IN GLASS. g ULULASSii (7,1 Ass. Cii ,��I',N.IE.11.Tr,1 TS1 4:2! ' g Nti : � : REVIEWER; 3.5(c) TOP SECRET `Or /if/ ZAp-provecif-or-Re-le-as-e: 2222222222 60119250.1 /// Approved for 70707713 C03179250 Nvie" Nor -TEIP-SV-CRET_ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Approved for Release: 20201/03/13 C03179250 - 20 MAY 1960 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR may have attempted and failed recovery of Sputnik IV cabin on 18 May. Soviet bloc military activity conveys no ' implications. USSR, Japan sign 1960 fishing agreement providing further reduction of Japanese salmon quota. II. ASIA-AFRICA Indian envoy in Moscow feels U-2 forced Khrtishchey to show himself 'tougher' than colleagues but won't reverse basic detente policy. Indonesia ousts two Chinese Communist consuls in repatriation dispute. Cambodia--Sihanouk calls for June plebi� scite to show his domestic support in dis- pute with Bangkok, Saigon. 0 South Korea studies possible reorganiza- tion of armed forces to preclude involve- ment in politics. 0Congo--Nationalist leader threatens forceful reaction to planned reinforce- ment of Belgian security units. �Iran withdraws support from Iraqi ex- iles in Jordan plotting against Cias][m regime. OGuinea--Tour e seeks foreign aid for early start on Konkoure hydroelectric project. rrn A Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 \ \\ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 ....71.31..1 11-d 1 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN -624143 N� N :\\ Soviet-Japanese Fishing Agreement: The Soviet Union and 0 le, Japan on 17 May concluded their 1960 fishing agreement, which reduces Japan's salmon catch quota by 30 percent and estab- lishes new zones where fishing operations will be banned al- ks together. Japanese fisheries interests have announced their TOP Jr- 6)6 LN . 20 May 1960 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC *USSR: Preliminary evidence indicates that the USSR may have attempted on 18 May to recover, the space cabin from Sputnik IV, and failed because of faulty orientation of the spaceship at the time of firing of the retrorocket. (Page 1) *USSR: There continue to be no significant changes in the over-all pattern of Soviet and European satellite military activity. Soviet ground forces activity appears to be normal and, while there are some indications of unusual Soviet air and naval activity, these are not evaluated as significant in- creases in the readiness of Soviet forces for hostilities. Flight activity levels of the Long Range Air Force and of tactical and air defense units have been generally normal during the past week. Flight schedules calling for redeployment of most of the jet heavy bombers based at Ukraina in the Far East to European bases are believed to represent exercise activity. these may be used in a fly-by on Khrushchev return to Ivloscow_j Twelve or more submarines may be leaving Northern Fleet waters, possibly as a precautionary deployment similar to those noted during the Middle Eastern and Berlin ( crises of 1.58. and 1959. EThe heavy bomber and possible sub- marine activity did not change the 18 May conclusion of the USI Watch Committee that no Soviet bloc military activity has been detected which conveys threatening implications.) Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 avi:x\\N& N \ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 CO3179250 I o.? 1�'1'4.01XL-a 1 IMP* 44411 extreme dissatisfaction with the agreement and called for gov- ernment compensation of fishermen who thus will lose their traditional fishing grounds. On the same day that agreement was reached, Moscow accused the Japanese of violating the 1959 fishing convention, suggesting that the USSR intends to increase pressure on the Kishi government. (Page 2) ii. ASIA-AFRICA India-USSR: Nehru's public comments in Cairo suggest he will urge moderation on both bloc and Western statesmen despite Khrushchev's recent outoursts he believes the Soviet premier "does not like walking on the ra- zor's edge of war andpeace" and will not reverse his policy of de- tente as long as there is the "slightest hope" of accommodation with the West. the firm American stand on the U-2 incident has placed Khrushchev in a difficult position, and that he now has to appear "tougher than his colleagues" in order to show himself to be "a more fervent Russian patriot than an one else!' Indonesia - Communist ma: n onesia a sked Commu- nist Wiina to withdraw its consuls from the cities of Medan in Sumatra and Bandjermasin in Borneo as the result of renewed tension over the repatriation of Overseas Chinese. D'akarta's action brings Sino-Indonesian relations to a new low. ) (Page 3) Cambodia: Prince Sihanouk, increasingly angry over South Vietnamese and Thai hostility toward his neutralist regime, has called for a referendum on 5 June to prove to the "world in gen- eral and our imperialist neighbors in particular" that he has solid popular support. Sihanouk's announcement that foreign observers and "particularly journalists" will be invited as wit- nesses indicates he is planning a full-blown propaganda show. 20 May 60 DAILY BRIEF 11 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 I ,L.F1 a Sihanouk recently charged that US military aid makes possible the "aggressive designs" of South Vietnam and Thailand, and hinted that Cambodia could get additional arms from the Sino- Soviet bloc. (Page 4) 0 South Korea: [Minister of Defense Lt. Gen, Yi Chong- chan says a study of the South Korean military structure is under way. The probability that any reorganization would be designed to preclude military involvement in politics is indicated by Yi's hints that any particular organizations involved in political activ- ities would be abolished or revamped. Yi's refusal to indicate any plans to punish commanders involved in the rigging of the 15 March election suggests he wishes to avoid widespread resigna- tions that would weaken the Korean defense posturej (Page 5) Belgian Congo: Patrice Lumumba, leader of the influential National Congo Movement, is threatening a forceful reaction to Belgium's plans to add 1,000 regulars to the 2,000 army troops and some 24,000 men of the paramilitary Force Publique in the Belgian Congo. In Stanleyville, where recent anti-European demonstrations are believed to have been instigated� by his followers Lumumba warned on 18 May that "we will take to the streets to demand the withdrawal of Belgian troops. . . and the immediate transfer of power" to an African provisional government. Iran-Iraq-Jordan: withdrawal of support, because of "the lack of security and im- potence of the committee," from Iraqi exiles led by former Pre- mier All. Jawdat Ayyubi who have been preparing for possible action against Iraq. Iran apparently sees no "necessity" for ac- tion against Iraq at this time because of recent shifts in Qasim policy. The Joruanian Government, which was cooperating with Iran in backing the Iraqi exiles, re- portedly is also discouraged about the Ayyubi group but remains interested in exploiting the Iraqi situation.] (Page 6) 20 May 60 DAILY BRIEF 111 isk\' ---Ter-sEeRg-T_ Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C0317925oL Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 A `,.."1 va,..a a NOV Guinea: Sekou Tours apparently has assigned a high priority to early implementation of the large-scale Konkoure" hydroelec- tric dam project, which France had agreed to underwrite before Guinea opted for independence in 1958. Toure has followed up a recent public appeal for foreign aid with private approaches to US officials in Conakry and Washington. He told the American ambassador in Conakry last week that the USSR, Czechoslovakia, East Germany, and three Western companies already had ex- pressed an interest in the project, but that Guinea had not yet entered any "engagements." (Page 7) III. SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE REPORTS AND ESTIMATES (Available during the preceding week) Sino-Indian Relations. NIE 100-2-60. 17 May 60. Soviet Capabilities and Intentions re Introduction of Weapons of Mass Destruction intoUS. NIE11-7--60. 17 May 60. 20 May 60 DAILY BRIEF iv TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 TOP SECRET I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Possible Attempt at Recovery of Sputnik IV Preliminary evidence indicates that the USSR possibly at- tempted recovery of the space cabin from Sputnik IV on 18 May and failed because of faulty orientation of the spaceship at the time of firing of the retrorocket. As Sputnik IV was approaching the Tyura Tam rangehead on its 63rd orbit, the rangehead was preparing for some undeter- mined operation, with timing signals to begin at about 1949 EDT when Sputnik IV was nearby. Subsequent to this time :he orbital period of Sputnik IV has increased by three to four minutes. multiple objects aloft which could indicate that separation of the space cabin has taken place. At present the evidence is not conclusive, but it is possible that the retrorocket intended to return the space cabin to earth was oriented improperly at the time of firing and instead sent the cabin into a higher orbit with an attendant lengthening of the orbit- al period. A 20 may 60 rplATIN IAITCI I DI II I DT11%.1 Page 1 ""-'Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 CONFIDENTIAL 4wire Soviet-Japanese Fishery Agreement After three months of negotiations, the Soviet Union and Japan on 17 May concluded their 1960 fishing agreement. The accord limits the Japanese to a total salmon catch of 67,500 tons--a 30-percent reduction compared with 1959--and enlarges the prohibited zone in an area considered by them vitally impor- tant to the success of smaller fishing operations. Since 1957, When the quota was set at 120,000 tons, the figure has been stead- ily reduced. Japanese fisheries interests have announced their extreme dissatisfaction with the agreement and called for govern- ment compensation for fishermen who will thus lose their tradi- tional fishing grounds. CAlthough the Japanese ambassador to Moscow had earlier re- ported that the fisheries negotiations were more difficult than ever before, the Japanese were struck by Khrushchev's obvious attempt to avoid provocative statements in a talk they had with him on 10 May. Khrushchev, according to Vice Foreign Minister Yamada, did bring up the subject of US bases in Japan. The Soviet leader also said that it would be impossible to conclude a civil aviation pact with the Japanese allowing them to fly into Moscow, as "he knew the Japanese had four or five U-2 planes and might want to take photographs..J These and similar pressures were brought on the Japanese delegation in order to obtain maximum concessions. The necessity of reaching an agreement in time for the start of the fishing season, however, normally about 15 May, was probably the decisive factor in the Japanese decision to conclude the agreement. On the same day the agreement was reached, Moscow accused the Japanese Government of violating the fishing convention of 1959. The commentary claimed that this action shows the failure of Jap- anese Government agencies to honor its international commitments. The timing of this propaganda attack suggests that the USSR, in the wake of the collapse of the summit talks, intends to increase pres- sure on the Kishi government. CONFIDENTIAL 20 May 60 CEKITD A I IlkITCI I i tu ncrp RI II I PTIKI 'Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 CONFIDENTIAL ASIA-AFRICA Indonesia Requests Withdrawal of Two Chinese Consuls New' Indonesia has asked Communist China to withdraw its consuls from the cities of Medan in Sumatra and Bandjer- masin in Borneo, It is not clear, however, whether all other members of the two consulates will be withdrawn. Djakarta's action is the most drastic yet taken in the pro- longed Sino-Indonesian friction over the Overseas Chinese problem. At the same time, Indonesia also rejected a Chinese protest over the recent house arrest of the consul in Bandjer- masin and filed a counterprotest against the activities of , Chinese officials in Indonesia. Djakarta complained that Chinese officials have behaved in "an improper and unfriend- ly manner" toward Indonesian functionaries and that the Chi- nese Embassy in Djakarta has issued anti-Indonesian state- ments to both the foreign and domestic press. Incidents in Sumatra and Borneo, which led to Indonesia's action, developed when the local Chinese consuls apparently Influenced repatriating Chinese to resist Indonesia's involved emigration procedures. Approximately 14,000 Chinese have left Indonesia as the result of Djakarta's ban on alien retail trade in rural areas. This reactivation of a major foreign policy dispute may to some extent divert official and public attention.in Indonesia from recently revived anti-Dutch issues which the Indonesian Communist party is exploiting. The Indonesian Communists have attempted to avoid involvement in the Chinese problem. 20 May 60 CEA own, � IL errI I 1" k. .1..k 10.41 nt II I ���ii pproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 CONFIDENTIAL Sihanouk Calls for Referendum to Clarify Cambodian Situation Cambodian leader Sihanouk has called for a referendum on 5 June to disprove to the world the propaganda charges by "trai - tors and their imperialist masters" that his neutralist policy is opposed by the masses. Prince Sihanouk charges that this prop- aganda provides a pretext for interference or intervention in Cambodian affairs and poses a grave danger to the nation. Sihanouk--who resigned from the premiership last month but still runs the country with solid popular backing�recently has be- come increasingly agitated over South Vietnamese and Thai hos- tility toward his regime. South Vietnam's recent claim to several islands in the Gulf of Siam considered Cambodian territory by Phnom Penh apparently� forms the basis of Sihanouk's accusations, but there are other factors. These include persistent reports of South Vietnamese and Thai support of dissident Cambodian bands, the recent reactivation of a clandestine anti-Sihanouk radio, and� large-scale incidents along the Cambodian - South Vietnamese bor- der in recent months. Sihanouk last October proposed a referendum to choose between his leadership and that of dissident leaders Sam Sary and Son Ngoc Thanh, but no date was ever set and the project was quietly shelved. His intention this time seems firmer, and the announcement that foreign observers and "particularly journalists" are to be invited suggests a full-scale propaganda effort. In a recent editorial, Sihanouk pointed a finger at "increased" American military aid to South Vietnam and Thailand as making possible their "aggressive designs." Asserting that Cambodia must act quickly to defend itself against an "imperialist encircle- ment," he stated that Cambodia has some "big friends" who will supply arms--now provided solely by the United States. Sihanouk previously has hinted that he could get military, aid for the asking from Communist China, and he apparently looks on Chou En-lai's statements of support for Cambodia, made during Chou's visit earlier this month, as a guarantee of Cambodian national integrity. I 20 may 60 1.1.1% � L owir�I I I ps oNr�L Ii.r� i II I 1�.1.1L `-clApproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 CONFIDENTIAL Nair South Korean Armed Forces May/Ele Reorganized CNew South Korean Defense Minister Lt. Gen. Yi Chong- chan appears to be moving to preclude the involvement of the military in domestic political affairs. Unit commanders, un- der instruction from the Rhee administration, had delivered the military vote to Rhee and his running mate in the 15 March presidential elections. Also under Rhee, military counter- intelligence and security units had been diverted from normal missions, including countersubversion, for use against non- Communist political opponents of the administration.] 1.3i stated publicly on 17 May that a study of the over-all organization of the military is under way and implied that those units primarily concerned with political activities would be abolished or revamped. The Joint Provost Marshal Gen- eral Command--headed by U. Gen. Won Yong-tok, a Rhee hatchet man�reportedly is one of those slated to be dropped. It has been decided that units of the Army Counter Intelligence Corps, which under }thee was semiautonomous, will be subor- dinate to the various unit commands in order to end the organi- zation's political activitiesj tli's refusal to indicate any plans to punish commanders involved in the rigging of the 15 March elections suggests he wishes to avoid widespread resignations that would weaken South Korean defensive capabilities. He also may feel that a purge at this time would dissipate the prestige gained by the military's handling of the postelection disorders that toppled Rhee from power. Yi had previously been quoted in the press as stating that all commanders proven to have been involved in the election rigging and the diversion of military funds for olitical urposes would be punished.] CONFIDENTIAL � I 20 May 60 CErA vv.... .r.1 1 11..1. 114.41 no I rvi..1 o pproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 TOP SECRET Iran Withdraws Support of Iraqi Exiles Plotting Against Qasim Iran's National Intelligence and Security Organization (SAVAK) has withdrawn its support from the committee of Iraqi exiles led by former Iraqi Premier Ali Jawdat Ayyubi which has been prepar- ing for possible action against the Iraqi Government. SAVAK re- ferred to "the lack of security and the impo- tence of the committee" which indicated "there was no hope for their activities." "the government of Iran sees no necessity for this type of activity," in view of recent changes in the policy of the Iraqi Government--presumably including Qasim's anti-Communist moves. The door was left open, however, for pos- sible future cooperation with a new committee of exiles. The Jordanian Government apparently is also discouraged about backing the Ayyubi group. Nevertheless, King Husayn probably con- tinues to believe that he could successfully exploit an upheaval in Iraqj aiyyubi reportedly told the Jordanians on 15 May that Iran had withdrawn its support, although he indicated that its dissolution ac- tually was a maneuver to get rid of certain members and that the committee would continue to function. According to this report, a split developed within the committee between a group determined to restore monarchical rule in Iraq and aftin led by Ayyubi which advocates a republican regim.e3 Meanwhile, the Jordanians have received information that a group of high-ranking army officers in Iraq is ready to cooperate with Jordan. Amman also has reports, however, that certain other Iraqi officers are preparing coups in Jordan and Syria. While none of these reports are confirmed, Qasim continues to promote his plan for a Palestine republic which would incorporate portions of Jordan and the UAR. In a speech on 15 May to Palestinian cadets�the nucleus of a projected Palestinian army backed by Iraq--he spoice ominously of his plan, which he said would be implemented sudden17 and "astonish and destroy the enemy." TOP SECRET 20 May 60 CErApproved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 CONFIDENTIAL Guinea Intensifying Effort to Implement Konkpure Hydroelectric Project ET'he Guinean Government apparently has assigned a high priority to early implementation of the large-scale Konkourd hydroelectric project, which has been in abeyance since Guinea opted for independence from France in September 1958. That action had prompted Paris to drop plans to participate directly in the project's financing and also to underwrite a $60,000,000 loan expected from the World Bank. As envisaged in 1958, the scheme called for the construction on the IConkourd River of a dam and power plant capable of furnishing up to 3. 2 bil- lion kilowatt-hours of cheap electricity a year. The energy was intended for an aluminum smelter which private interests were prepared to build, as well as for other, industrial project.s27 [Early last month President Tour* speaking at an economic conference convened to consider the Three-Year Plan which Guinea intends to launch on 1 July, made a public appeal for foreign help in constructing the dam. Subsequently, Ameri- can officials in Conakry and Washington received several pri- vate approaches-which dwelt on Guinea's need for electric power and, in effect, inquired as to the possibility of obtaining US assistancej COn one such occasion last week Tour, in response to a question raised by the American ambassador, indicated that Guinea already had received "offers" from the USSR, Czech- oslovakia, East Germany, and three Western companies, but that it had not yet entered into any "engagements." The Guinean leader claimed that the USSR had asked either for the existing dossier on the project or for permission to send technicians to draw up new plans. He said the Czechs and East Germans jointly had offered to form a "mixed" construc- tion company or to extend a loat_g �CONFIDENTIAL- 20 May 60 CrAp-p7O\;6d fOr're�n2i:127/671'ina-631i9250 Page 7 Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 -WNt1L)LP411AL Nae �1140 THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff The Director, The joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Commandant, United States Marine Corps Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center �The Director PCIAIrlrirlky-rit A Approved for Release: 2020/03/13 C03179250 d' d' s # z/ZIWZIWZMM/t/M:741-41/7-7,7/ Approved for 2020/03/13 C03179250 PI "411.., � 4111. 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