CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/12/02
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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02993693
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U
Document Page Count:
13
Document Creation Date:
March 17, 2020
Document Release Date:
March 26, 2020
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Case Number:
Publication Date:
December 2, 1960
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULL[15798942].pdf | 618.54 KB |
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2 December 1960
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CENTRAL
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INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN'
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2 DECEMBER 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Brief communiqu�ssued at end of Com-
munist conference in Moscow aims at
countering speculation that Sib-Soviet
differences continue. 0
East German bargaining position in trade
negotiations with West Germany strength-
ened by Soviet agreement to supply goods
if West Germany severs trade on 31 De-
cember. 0
Soviet Defense Minister Malinovsky ap-
parently either ill or away from Moscow;
evidence suggests he remains in good
favor.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
South Koreans formerly influential with
Rhee regime, in wake of recent punitive
legislation, may attempt forceful action
against Chang Myon government.
Iraq�Communist participation in 3 De-
cember Baghdad parade could lead to
clashes with nationalists.
Ethiopia shifting gradually toward more
neutralist position.
�Laos- Special assembly session may be
held in Luang Prabang to seek political
settlement.
III. THE WEST
�Venezuela- Violence has spread from
Caracas to some provincial cities; op-
position groups reported planning wave
of strikes.
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*IS �SEC= 'vow'
CENTRAL INTELLIGIENCE BULLETIN
2 December 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*International Communism: The brief communique is-
sued on 1 December at the close� of the meeting of world
Communist leaders in Moscow seems intended to dispel
speculation that the main participants have been unable to
reach any agreement on a joint statement of policy. By
noting that a "statement of worker d and Communist parties"
has been unanimously adopted, this communique resembles
the one issued at the close of the meeting which was held in
Moscow in 1957. In 1957, both a communique noting that a
Declaration had been adopted and the Declaration itself were
published some days after the meeting had ended and most
of the delegates had returned home.
The statement mentioned in the present communique may
not be released until all the delegates have returned to their
capitals, as in� 1957. Although the communique states that
the "discussions took place in an atmosphere of fraternal
friendship," the exchanges in the Soviet and Chinese press
during the past week suggest that the meeting has not success-
fully reconciled the basic differences between the two parties.
USSR - East Germany - West Germany: Khrushchev's
agreement to supply fast Germany with the "necessary raw
materials and goods" if West Germany carries out its threat
to sever trade on 31 December strengthens the East German
bargaining position on the eve of negotiations with the West
Germans. The Soviet move, following a meeting between Ul-
bricht and the Soviet premier on 30 November, is designed to
back up the East German desire to push negotiations up to the
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ministerial level�implying recognition of the Ulbricht regime
by Bonn--rather than deal with a special West German trade
agency located in West Berlin as heretofore. The East Ger-
mans probably have been encouraged by evidences of differ-
ences among West German officials concerning the conduct of
negotiations and may feel they can maneuver Bonn into making
significant concessions.
USSR: The identification of Soviet Marshal Andrey Grechko
as "iFfirii minister of defense" may indicate only that Marshal ,
Malinovsky is either ill or away from Moscow. In reaction to 0 ic
Western press speculation that Malinovsky had been deposed, a
Soviet spokesman announced he is "resting." There have been
recent rumors and unconfirmed reports of dissension in the
Soviet high command; most of the evidence, however, suggests
that Malinovsky remains in good favor. In the past, public iden-
tification of an official as "acting mipistee, has not nPr7arily
p9rtended removal of the incumbent.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
South Korea: Punitive ex post facto legislation, which
threatens South Ireans formerly influential with the Rhee
regime, may cause some of them to attempt forceful action
� against the government. The former Rhee lieutenant and strong
man, Yi Pom-sok, is reportedly attempting to rally such ele-
ments in an attempt to bring down the Chang Myon government
by disrupting the nationwide local elections scheduled to begin
on 12 December. Any demonstrations staged by Yi or former
Rhee associates are almost certain to provoke student reac-
tion with accompanying violencsp (Page 1)
Iraq: Communist insistence on participating in the 3 De-
cemEeParade on the anniversary of Qasim's release from
the hospital last year may lead to clashes between Communists
and nationalists in Baghdad.
On 29 November Qasim gave in to Communist pressure
and ordered the release of several Communist editors arrested
2 Dec 60 DAILY BRIEF
11
72
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--ttrtniEr *44,
in mid-November for criticizing the regime. His intervention
to save Communists from punishment by the military courts
will further ant agoraz e anti-Communist rnillthry
P1PmPrito
Ethiopia - Communist China: cAni official Ethiopian cultural C)
This trip, which
LOLLOWS tours in .v.; thiopia by two Chinese cultural groups, is in
/7--)
response to considerable urging by Peiping for closer, ties. It
is the latest sign of Addis Ababa's gradual shift toward a more
neutralist position, as recently indicated in its vote against the
West in connection with the ssue of seating Communist China in
the UN2 (Page 2)
*Laos: D. National Assembly delegation led by former Pre-
mier Tiao msanith has agreed with General Phoumi in Sayan-
nakhet to convoke a special assembly session soon in Luang
Prabang to seek a political settlement. In spite of this agree-
ment, contact between Vientiane's and Phournits forces in the
ak Ca Dinh area is continuing; a Vientiane-held outpost ap-
arently has been captured by Savannakhet elements. The at-
Lacks by Phoumi's forces may persuade the Souvanna Phouma
government to prevent assembly deputies still inVientiane from
attending any session in Luang Prabang.-
(Page 3)
delegation is ea
in
III. THE WEST
Venezuela: Sporadic violence which began on 25 No- 0 K
vember in Caracas has now erupted in some provincial
cities, and opposition groups are reported to be planning 4
a wave of strikes, Strong progovernment labor components I
are moving to counteract the labor unrest, and l3etancourt
continues to have the support of the armed forces. However
the Venezuelan Government also fears a rightist coup attempt
backed by Dominican dictator Trujillo. Should such an attempt iLtc,,
be made and gain even limited military backing, instability
would be compounded and Betancourt's regime threatened.
(Page 5)
2 Dec 60
DAILY BRIEF
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ending e2�--.--co i uld threaten
pro nent South Koreans associated with the former Rhee
regime may be encouraging some of them to attempt force-
ful action against the government. Such legislation would
� impose confiscatory fines totaling about $20,000,000 on 24
leading industrialists and businessmen. Some 19,000 per-
sons, including 21 legislators, would lose their civil rights
for seven years, and an estimated 50,000 others would be
subject to screening by special revolutionary tribunals.
Many former high civilian and military officials would be
subject to the death penalty:)
The constitution was amended on 29 November to per=
mit enactment of ex post facto legislation. Efforts by Prime
Minister Chang Myon the following day to moderate punitive
provisions of the pending bills were defeated in the House of
Representatives. Ambassador McConaughy, however, sees
a good chance that the range of the persons to be affected by
the legislation will be narrowecE,
Former Fthee lieutenant and strong man Yi Pom-sok, one
of tIi 21 legislators proscribed by the pending laws, report-
edly, hopes to gain enough support from others who would be
affected to bring down the government by disrupting the na-
tionwide local elections scheduled to begin on 12 December.
In addition, the demonstrators will demand the recall of
McConaughy, whom they accuse of taking_a major part in
Rhee's ouster, lave alleged that
Yi, with the support of some military officers, is plotting to
seize power3
rAny demonstrations staged by Yi or other former R.hee
associates would almost certainly provoke student reaction
and could result in renewed mass violence. The police prob-
ably have not regained enough strength to handle such a situa-
tion. The military forces have the ability to preserve public
order, but there have been reports of dissident activity among
senior army commanders who are critical of Prime Minister
' 7 -..,n. Choe Kyong-nok:7
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Nor
Ethiopia Sending Delegation to Peiping':
1M official Ethiopian cultural delegation is being
sent to Communist China on 9 December,
Par-
ticipating in this visit to Peiping and other Chinese
cities will be the Ethiopian vice minister of press and
information as well as a troupe of folk dancers. In re-
cent years at least two Chinese cultural groups have
visited Addis Abab a.
The decision to send the cultural delegation is a
further indication of Ethiopia's gradual shift toward the
neutralist bloc. Early last month Emperor Haile Selassie
implied to American officials that he might soon recog-
nize Communist China. As part of its efforts to maintain
good relations with Afro-Asian neutrals, Ethiopia also
voted this year to consider Peiping's admission to the UN--
the first time it has taken this position at the General As-
sembly..
[Communist China has been competing with Nationalist
China for Ethiopia's recognition. Last February a Commu-
nist ambassador and a Nationalist Foreign Ministry good-
will mission visited Addis Ababa simultaneously. Peiping's
ambassador to the Sudan, who escorted a troupe of Chinese
acrobats to Ethiopia, reportedly told the Emperor about
Mao Tse-tung's desire for diplomatic relations:1
i Recognition and exchange of representation between
Addis Ababa and Peiping may not be long delayed. Diplo-
matic exchanges may be accelerated if the Somali Republic,
Ethiopia's neighbor and bitter rival, implements its appar-
ent intention of establishing relations with Communist China
with several other Communist nations./
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2 Dec 60 CEKITRAI IKITPI I in.rmr= RI iii CTIki
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The Situation in Laos
A delegation of National Assembly deputies from
Vientiane, led by former Premier Tiao Somsanith, agreed
with General Phoumi in Savannakhet on 1 December to hold
a special assembly session in Luang Prabang in another
ttempt to find a solution to the four-month crisis. Later
n the day the delegation flew back to Vientiane, 5...vhere it
lanned to discuss the subject of the meeting with the 36
eputies still remaining in the capital. The remaining 23
embers of the assembly are outside the capital and are
believed for the most part to be sympathetic to Savannakhet.3
In an apparent maneuver to ensure that the Luang
Prabang session would be held, Phourni in his talks with
Somsanith did not close the door on a government of nation-
al union, including the Pathet Lao's political front, the Neo
Lao Hak Sat (NLHS). Lphoumi indicated
that once in Luang Prabang, his group would
hold out against NLHS participation in a compromise govern-
mentn He probably hopes that enough of the Vientiane con-
-1.J
tingent of the deputies would vote with his bloc to overthrow
the Souvanna government, paving the way for the formation
of a rightist government which he could dominate. A vote
on any no-confidence motion against Souvanna might be ex-
tremely close, however, in view of reports that many of the
deputies are persuaded that his concept of a government of
national union provides the only way out of the present im-
passe.
Phoumi's offensive in the Nam Ca Dinh area, some 100
miles east of the capital, is apparently meeting ith some
success. now ad-
mits that Phoumi's troops have taken a Second Paratroop
Battalion outpost south of the Ca Dinh River. He said
Vientiane forces were either dispersed in the brush or with-
drawing across the Ca Dinh. Phoumi's attacks may lead
Souvanna to oppose the proposed National Assembly sessioLii
2 Dec 60 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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Lm Luang Prabang, Captain Kong Le, who is now Vientiane
garrison commander, is probably keeping the deputies under
surveillance in order to prevent their departure to Luang
Prabang;
Captain Southep, who was supposed to command Souvanna's
projected attack on Luang Prabang, has defected to the Luang
Prabang garrison, together with the three companies under
his direct command. He claims that some 2,000 Pathet Lao
were to participate in the attack. Souvanna has deferred giv-
ing the order for an attempt to take Luang Prabang pending
the outenme of the erent efforts for a political settlement.)
2 Dec 60 rpkyre Al 11.17 /.r e. E1 I 1.kir nil. nrik
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Now *siv�
Unrest Continues in Venezuela
Sporadic violence, which has continued in Caracas
since 25 November, has now erupted in some other Ven-
ezuelan cities. The sharp division within organized labor
and the death of a student at the hands of government se-
curity forces are contributing to the tension.
President Betancourt is still believed to command the
support of most of the armed forces and to be in control of
the immediate situation. He may be expected to act against
the leftist pro-Castro opposition with increasing firmness.
The government has made widespread arrests of agitators,
and on 30 November it banned the Communist newspaper
and that of a Marxist faction involved in the recent disturb-
ocal headquarters have been alerted to prepare troop
units for prompt transfer to Caracas if needed to maintain
order.
Leftist opposition groups are reported to be planning a
wave of strikes which strong pro-government labor elements
are moving to counteract. Such strikes would probably in-
tensify Betancourt's critical economic problems, which in-
clude a large budget deficit. During a discussion with Am-
bassador Sparks on 30 November, the new finance minister
expressed the opinion that Betancourt could not long sur-
vive without sizable US aid, and stressed his fears of a pro
Castro takeover.
The government, which also fears a rightist coup attempt
supported by Dominican dictator Trujillo, requested the Or-
ganization of American States on 30 November to consider its
charges that the Dominican Republic was again plotting to in-
tervene in Venezuela. Betancourt was seriously injured by a
Dominican-backed assassination effort last June. A rightist
coup attempt, with even limited backing by dissident military
elements, in combination with the present leftist violence
would pose a grave threat to Betancourt's regime.
2 Dec 60
CEMTD AI IKITDI I inckirc 11111 I CTIM
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-CONFIDENTIAL
4.se
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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