CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1960/11/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02977805
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 16
• Document Creation Date: March 17, 2020
• Document Release Date: March 26, 2020
• Publication Date: November 4, 1960

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4 November 1960
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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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4 NOVEMBER 1960
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet desire to avoid resuming disarma-
ment negotiations at this time again indi-
cated by remarks of Soviet UN delegate. 0
East Germans harass truck traffic from
West Berlin, in effect claiming right to
decide what West Berlin can produce for
export without violating four-power agree-
ments against military production.
Chinese Communists discuss arrange-
ments with UAR for transit of Chinese
military aid to Algerian rebels.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Nehru minimizes possibility of any early
settlement of Sino-Indian border prob-
lem.
Communist guerrilla attacks in South
Vietnam now spread to area previously
quiescent.
Cambodia's Prince Sihanouk orders gov-
ernment to extend recognition to Mon-
golia.
Situation in Laos.
1�*41111.
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III. THE WEST
�Castro regime reportedly supplying
Guatemalan leftists with money, with
arms aid planned; "Havana represent-
ative" of movement said to be former
Guatemalan President Arbenz.
LATE ITEM
�Early departure for Moscow of at least
four bloc delegations suggests that inter-
party discussions of Sino-Soviet dispute
will precede October Revolution anni-
versary celebrations beginning 6 Novem-
ber.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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4 November 1960
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-UN:Gpviet UN delegate Zorin's negative stand in
his recent private exchange with Ambassador Wadsworth
provides further evidence that the USSR is not interested in
resuming disarmament negotiations, at least not until after
a new United States administration is installed. Moscow's
present objective is to induce the uncommitted nations to
bring pressure on the West to accept Soviet disarmament
proposals as the basis for negotiations. Efforts by neutral-
ist delegations, led by India, to work out a compromise UN
!resolution have created a situation which makes it difficult
and embarrassing at this stage for the bloc delegates to car-
ry out Khrushchev's threat to walk out of the UN disarmament
debate if Soviet proposals are not accepted as the basis for
discussion
Soviet official has indicated to a member of the US
delegation in New York that the bloc will seek to amend the
draft resolution being circulated by India to include provi-
sions for establishing a new 15-nation committee and spe-
cific directives for the committee to work out a treaty on
complete and general disarmament. He warned that if these
amendments are not accepted, the bloc will withdraw from
the debate:23
(Page 1)
Berlin: The East Germans are attempting to assert a
right to determine arbitrarily what types of materials can
be shipped from West Berlin, and thereby indirectly claim-
ing the right to decide what exports can be manufactured in
West Berlin without violation of four-power agreements pro-
hibiting military production in the city. The East Germans
have instituted a campaign of harassment against trucks en
route from West Berlin to West Germany with electrical and
electronic equipment--one of West Berlin's most important
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exports--claiming that this is "war material." At least
four trucks have recently been detained at the Babelsberg
checkpoint outside West Berlin; the cargoes of two were
confiscated and one other was allowed to proceed only af-
ter payment of a fine. East German authorities subjected
officials of one firm to long interrogations and demanded
to inspect the records of the firrp's shipments over the past
six months.
Communist China - Algeria: jiie Chifiege- troth-hi-blasts
have been discussing with UAR authorities arrangements
for Chinese military aid to the Algerian rebels to pass
through UAR territory,
Cairo is not
entirely pleased over the prospect of increased Chinese in-
fluence among the Algerian rebels, but feels compelled to
cooperate because of its own support for them. Peiping is
eager to assist Algerian rebel efforts to obtain international
support and reportedly promised rebel Premier Ferhat Abbas,
during his visit to China last month, "total and unconditional
aid?" (Page 2)
)
/1
II. ASIA-AFRICA
/
India-China:)
4 Nov 60 DAILY BRIEF ii
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South Vietnam: A series of recent attacks by Commu-
nist guerrillas on government installations in the central
highlands region of South Vietnam indicate that the guerril-
las now are striking in considerable force in this previously (1-cr-v- C
quiescent area. Sketchy reports suggest that the strikes were
made by bands of up to 300 mountain tribesmen from the Lao-
tian border area under cadres infiltrated into South Vietnam
through Laos from Communist North Vietnam. The spread
of guerrilla warfare in South Vietnam, which was sharply in-
tensified earlier this year in the southern delta provinces,
will add to the rnility and political pressures on the Diem
government. L (Page 4) (Map)
Cambodia-Mongolia: Cambodian Chief of State Prince
Sihanouk, currently in France, has directed his govern-
ment to extend recognition to M,onolia before he pays a
state visit there in December.
Sihanouk has proposed
that either the Cambodian ambassador in Peiping or the one ----)4,0-1
in Moscow also be accredited to Ulan Bator. Mongolia has
tried hard in recent years to erase the impression that it is
nothing more than a Soviet colony, and has been particularly
anxious to gain foreign recognition. The only other free
world countries now recognizing Mongolia are Burma, Guinea,
India, and Indonesia. (Page 5)
Laos: Premier Souvanna is reported to have taken fresh
steps to induce Prince Souphannouvong, leader of the Neo Lao
Hak Sat, the Pathet Lao's political front, to come to Vientiane
for peace talks. This action may have been prompted by the
recently formed Committee for Neutrality and National Unity,
4 Nov 60
DAILY BRIEF ill
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with which both Souvanna and Souphannouvong are asso-
ciated. Souvanna may feel that he and Souphannouvong
can come to terms on the broad outline of a unification
agreement that will guide the negotiatine teams mpptina
in Vientiane.
III. THE WEST
Cuba-Guatemala: (The Castro regime is giving fi-
nancial assistance and ntends to provide weapons to the
Guatemalan Communist party an �
Guatemal
uevara, with the approval of Fidel and Raul Castro,
is said to have given the Guatemalan groups $15,000 last
month on the condition that the Guatemalan Communists play
the leading role in the revolution. Former Guatemalan Pres-
ident Arbenz, now in Cuba, is to be the "Havana represent-
ative" of the movement. The goal is the destruction of the
Guatemalan Army and the arming of the "masses," as in
Cuba.
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding two weeks)
Outlook for India Over Next Few Years: Likely Political
and Economic Developments, Military CapabilitiesandFor..
eign Relations. ME 51-60. 25 October 1960.
Outlook for Iraq Stability of the Qasim Regime in View
of Qasim's Failure to Solve Political and Economic Problems;
Weakness of the Opposition; and' Foreign Policies. NIE 36-2.60.
1 November 1960.
Problems Affecting the North Atlantic Alliance: Factors
Likely to Challenge Basic Concepts and Arrangements of NATO
During the 1960s and Concepts Most Likely to Be Challenged.
ME 20-60. 1 November 1960.
4 Nov 60
DAILY BRIEF iv
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ATIT=rafzTar SIMISESSTAT
LATE ITEM
*Communist Bloc: The departure for Moscow of at
least four top-leve1 bloc delegations by 3 NoYembrk0o-
gether with indications that Ithrushchey returned from
his vacation on 3 November, suggests that a round of
party discussions on the Sino-Soviet dispute will precede
the October Revolution anniversary celebrations which be
on 6 November. Bilateral talks were held by Khru-
shchev with various bloc delegations prior to the fortieth
anniversary celebrations in November 1957, and again be-
fore last February's major meeting of bloc leaders in Mos-
cow. Soviet presidium member :Polyansky has indicated
that as of 29 October the Soviet leadership had not decided
to hold a full-scale meeting of the bloc delegations, although
all bloc parties had been invited to send representatives to
the anniversary celebrations. The Chinese have not vpt
iii-
dicated how high ranking a delegation they will send.
4 Nov 60
DAILY BRIEF
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gook ma,
Soviet Disarmament Tactics
I oviet UN Delegate Zorin's negative stand in his private
exchange with Ambassador Wadsworth on 1 November pro-
vides further evidence that the USSR is not interested in re-
suming disarmament negotiations, at least not until after the
new United States administration is installed, and that Mos-
cow's present objective is to induce the uncommitted nations
to press the West to accept Soviet disarmament proposals as
the basis for discussions. Zorin termed Wadsworth's state-
ment on American policy "unfortunate and discouraging" and
insisted that the USSR's plan for complete and general dis-
armament offered the only way to solve real problems. He
said the US proposal to terminate the production of nuclear
weapons would only create false illusions and could not lead
to progress. t
,Efforts by Afro-Asian neutralist delegations, led by India,
to work out a compromise disarmament resolution have cre-
ated a situation which makes it difficult and embarrassing at
this stage for bloc delegations to carry out Khrushchev's threat
to walk out of the UN disarmament debate if the Soviet position
is not accepted as the basis for discussion.
A member of the Soviet UN delegation has indicated pri-
vately that the Indian draft resolution offers the only possible
hope for agreement and that the bloc will seek to amend it to
include provisions for establishing a 15-nation committee and
specific directives for the committee to work out a treaty on
complete and general disarmament. He warned that if these
amendments are not accepted, or if the Indian resolution with
Soviet amendments fails, the bloc will withdraw from the debate
and wait for a special session of the General Assembly to re-
consider disarmament next spring. In a recent talk with Am-
bassador Thompson, First Deputy Premier Kosygin insisted
that this proposal for a special session was not a propaganda
maneuver but a serious bid to "give a push" to disarmament
negotiations.
4 Nov 60
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Peiping Exploi Possibilities of Extending MI, wary Aid
To Algerian Rebels
Communist China has been discussing with the UAR means
,of sending military assistance to the Algerian rebels across
UAR territory,
the UAR, although disturbed over the
prospect of increased Chinese influence among the rebels,
feels compelled to cooperate because of its own support for
ithe AlgeriansjEU_AR fears are shared by the Moroccan and
!Tunisian governments,which, according to officials of these
governments, have been asked to facilitate passage of materiel
and some personnel.
oderate rebel Premier Abbas, although reported personally
reluctant to accept Communist aid, attended Peiping's National
Day celebrations last month to impress the West that the rebels
were determined to take aid from any source. The Algerians now
seem firmly committed to accept Communist assistance, which
Abbas claims "can significantly alter the context" of the struggle.
The Chinese desire to expand their influence in the rebel move-
ment, and Mao Tse-tung is said to have promised Abbas "total
and unconditional" aid.
the USSR was sending military assistance to the reb-
els through gypt across Libya. This statement followed the
USSR's recent shift from a cautious attitude toward the Algerian
rebellion to a pro-insurgent position involving de facto recogni-
tion and statements by Khrushchev promising "all possible, as--
sistance."
� Previous assistance to the Algerian rebels from Communist
bloc countries has apparently been limited to $5,000,000 worth of
assistance from Communist China in January 1959 in the form of
funds and possibly small amounts of military equipment and an
undetermined amount of aid from Czechoslovakia in the form of
World War II surplus arms. In addition, the USSR and East Euro-
pean countries have supplied rebel refugees in Morocco and Tunisia
with relief supplies, given scholarships to Algerian students, and
provided hospitalization for small numbers of wounded rebel per-
sonnel.
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4 Nov 60
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Nehru Rejects U Nuts Offer to Help Resolve Sino-
Indian Dispute
Prime Minister Nehru reportedly has rejected an offer
by Burmese Premier U Nu to assist in bringing about a solu-
tion of India's border dispute with Communist China. The
Indian leader, however, welcomed Nu's planned visit to New
Delhi on 11 November. Nehru, in explaining his action, min-
imized the possibility of an early settlement of the Sino-Indian
border question, stressing that the problem is not as simple
as Rangoon's dispute with Peiping was and emphasizing that
Indian public opinion will not support any territorial conces-
sions to China. He observed that he does not expect the issue
to be resolved during his lifetime.
Nuis offer of assistance is said to have been contained in
a letter to Nehru written shortly after the Burmese premier
had returned from a trip to Peiping where he signed an agree-
ment resolving the long-standing Sino-Burmese border dispute.
He attributed to Chou En-lai a statement of China's desire to
see the dispute with India settled. Peiping probably hopes that
U Nufs satisfaction with the Sino-Burmese compromise will
make him an effective advocate of some compromise solution
of the disputed Sino-Indian border area.
Nehru's private remarks to Nu are consistent with recent
public statements designed to prepare Indian public opinion for
a long struggle. Indian and Chinese border experts will arrive
in Rangoon during the next few days for their third and final
round of meetings to write their report detailing each other's
border claims and documentation. Little is expected to come
of these sessions, and it is doubtful that either side will press
for higher level discussions before early 1961.
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4 Nov 60
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Communist Guerrillas Active in Central Highlands of
South-Vietnam
Recent guerrilla attacks on South Vietnamese government
installations in the highlands of central Vietnam indicate that
the Communists now are striking in a considerable force in
this region, which previously has been relatively secure. Al-
though details are sketchy, a number of attacks apparently were
made between 20 and 25 October against military outposts and
road construction camps in Kontum and Pleiku provinces near
the Laotian border, with diversionary actions occurring in
Quang Ngai and Binh Dinh provinces to the east. The guerril-
las, who were driven off by local militias reinforced by reg-
ular army and paratroop battalions, reportedly were operating
in bands of up to 300, consisting chiefly of mountain tribesmen
from the border region. They are believed to have operated
under cadres infiltrated through Laos from North Vietnam.
There is no evidence, however, to substantiate initial re-
ports from some South Vietnamese officials that the attacks
were a large-scale incursion by regular North Vietnamese
forces crossing Laos. The Diem government may have exag-
gerated evidence of North Vietnamese involvement in the hope
of charging Hanoi with violations of the1954 truce agreement
and justifying its position that military needs to meet the Com-
munist guerrilla threat require the postponement of political
and social reforms. The North Vietnamese have clearly shown
in the past few months that they intend to increase both violence
and political agitation in the South. Hanoi, however, has denied
Saigon's claim that North Vietnamese troops entered the South
from Laos, charging that this "Western fabrication" was in-
tended as an excuse for South Vietnamese intervention in Laos.
The spread of guerrilla activity to central Vietnam places
an increasing burden on local security forces as well as on the
army, which has over the past year been partially diverted
from border defense to meet the stepped-up Communist war-
fare in the southern delta provinces near Saigon. Deteriorating
security may also be taken by Diem as evidence of the need for
maintaining authoritarian control, thus adding to growing dis-
satisfaction with his regime.
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'1001 None
Cambodia to Recognize Mongolia
Prince Sihanouk, Cambodian chief of state who is visit-
ing Ulan Bator from 5 to 8 December, has instructed his
ent to recognize the Mongolian Peonle
Sihanouk desires that the Mongolian Government be informed
of the recognition before his arrival there en route from Mos-
cow to Peiping. He has proposed that either the Cambodian
ambassador in Peiping or the ambassador in Moscow be ac-
credited to Ulan Bator but has stated that he would prefer the
Moscow ambassador, Khim Tit, who is concurrently the Cam-
bodian minister, to Poland.
From the Cambodian point of view, recognition of Mongolia
at this time is merely a housekeeping detail intended to clarify
relations prior to Sihanouk's visit. At this time Phnom Penh
exchanges diplomatic representatives with four bloc countries--
the Soviet Union, Communist China, Czechoslovakia, and Po-
land.
Cambodia will become the fifth free-world nation to recog-
nize Mongolia, joining India, Indonesia, Burma, and Guinea.
Mongolia was virtually a Soviet colony during Stalin's lifetime,
but in recent years has moved toward greater independence in
bloc and world affairs. The Mongolians have been particularly
anxious to acquire diplomatic recognition from non-Communist
countries as a status symbol of independence. Like the other
Asian satellites and Communist China, the Mongolians are con-
centrating their effort on the new African republics and the
Asian neutrals who might be expected to support a bid for mem-
bership in the United Nations. Cuba, which has recognized all
the Asian Communist regimes except Mongolia, probably will
add Ulan Bator to its list in the not-too-distant future.
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4 Nov 60
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� NI 1
*use
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Civil and Defense Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary of State for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Departn-tent of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations ,
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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