CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/06/15
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Publication Date:
June 15, 1959
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3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2)
15 June 1959
Copy No, C
CENTRAL
62
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN'
DOCUMENT NO.
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NEXT REVIEW DATE:
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REVIEWS
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15 JUNE 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Tibet�Peiping avoiding publicity for
Dalai Lama in its effort to build up
Panchen Lanka.
IL ASIA-AFRICA
UAR deploys and alerts some military
units, probably as precautionary meas-
ures.
Iraqi Communists begin new public dis-
pute with Qasim.
Armed clashes break out in southern
Yemer rl Imam
still not fit to return to rule.
Guinea--President Toting preparing
propaganda and civil disobedience cam-
paign in neighboring Portuguese Guinea.
India�Civil disobedience campaign
against Communist-governed Kerala
State results in widespread disturb-
ances; more violence likely.
0
France-Yugoslavia�Immediate French
reaction to Joint Y'ugoslav-Algerian
rebel statement limited to a protest.
French government moves to prevent
transport stoppage during rail strike
called for 16 June.
Guatemala faces new period of political
tension.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
15 June 1959
DAILY BRIEF
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Communist China - Tibet:
News Agency correspondents in
sending material on the Dalai Lama
Peiping ordered New China
Lhasa to stop
This instruction,
together with Peiping's failure to comment on two recent pub-
lic statements by the Dalai Lama, suggests that the Chinese
Communists now intend to avoid any publicity for the Dalai
Lama which might detract from their effort to build up the
Panchen Lama. Any demands for Tibetan "independence" by
�the Dalai Lama at his scheduled 20 June press conference
could result, however, in Communist propaganda linking him
with tie "small group of reactionaries who oppose reform" in
Tibet
UAR:
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Ithe UAR has recently deployed and alerted vari-
ous elements of its military forces. These measures, if not
part of routine exercises, probably are precautionary and
would reflect Cairo's apprehension over its dispute with Israel
regarding Suez Canal shipping and possibly also Syrian-Jor-
danian border tension. Some UAR dispositions may possibly
be designed as well to support dissident Iraqi tribal element!)
(Page 1)
Iraq: The Iraqi Communist Party, which has lately re-
ceived some setbacks, has entered into a new dispute with
Pr� e *nister Qasim. The party newspaper has objected
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to Qasim's announcement that amnesty will be granted on 16
June, a religious holiday, to Iraqis banished to remote areas
of the country, who the, Communists allege are feudal or re-
actionary elements. 0,,leanwhile, there are unconfirmed re-
ports of a major split within the party's central comittee on
the question of how to deal with the Qasim regime
unconfirmed
that Qasim was moving to thwart a plot by
Communists, supported by some military elements, to assas-
sinate him. (Page 2)
Yemen: Unrest, probably related to the uncertain Yemeni
succession problem, has again developed into violence in Yemen.
"the situation is very serious" in Talz� Yemen's
southern capital, where fighting involving soldiers and civil-
ians was in progress. Government forces quelled an earlier
army uprising in Sana, the northern capital, on 18 May.
(In IlDine,
0 it is improbable that the Imam will ever be able to rule effectively
again. Physicians have characterized his treatment for drug ad-
diction as "endless and probably hopeless" Crown Prince Badr
apparently hopes to keep the Imam in Italy so that he can con-
onl'eln+ hc, rAnaifinn thia Tmamts riegiguated successor in Yemen)
Guinea: (resident Sekou Tour d of Guinea may be planning
the "liberation" of neighboring Portuguese Guinea through a cam-
paign of propaganda and civil disobedience. He apparently is
organizing a network of sympathizers there among tribesmen
t, related to those in the Republic of Guinea. Although Tour d has re
porteilyI stated that Guinea would offer armed aid in case of
1.1 an insurrection in the Portuguese territoryQ such a development
appears unlikely in the near future)
(Page 4)
15 June 59
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India: The three-day-old civil disobedience campaign by
opposition parties against the Communist government in Kerala
State has resulted in widespread disturbances. Five persons
have been killed and many injured in several clashes between
police and opposition demonstrators. Increased violence is
likely as a result of the intensive agitation planned by Catholic
and upper-caste Hindu groups against Communist education
policies. Communist offers to compromise probably will not
be considered by opposition leaders, who hope that a serious
breakdown of law and Order may force New Delhi to suspend
parliamentary government and invoke direct rule.
(Page 5)
III. THE WEST
� France-Yugoslavia: The quick protest of the French gov-
ernment over the hint Yugoslav-Algerian statement of 12 June,
proposing French-Algerian negotiations to end the Algerian war,
reflects Premier Debre's desire to stress his firm position with-
out being obliged to follow through on his threat to break diplo-
matic relations with states formally recognizing the rebels'
0 Provisional Algerian Government. While the statement reflected
no basic change in the Yugoslav position toward the rebel gov-
ernment, Paris nevertheless regarded it as ah "inadmisdibleintru-
sion in French affairs." (Page 6)
France: Premier Debrd's decision to draft key workers
will probably prevent a serious transportation stoppage in the
8-hour strike all French railroad unions have called for 16 June.
The Communist-led General Labor Confederation will take full
advantage of the government's action, however, to play up the
oh first large-scale strike collaboration it has been able to achieve
with the non-Communist unions since 1953. The government
hopes to delay wage hikes until 1960, but, if labor restiveness
becomes more serious itimfeabliged to make some con-
cessions earlier. (Page 7)
15 June 59
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Guatemala: A new period of political tension appears in
prospect. Maneuvering has begun for the election on 5 July
to fill the important office of mayor of the capital, Guatemala
City. At the same time, Communists are increasingly active
and are planning to instigate student-labor demonstrations on
25 June. There is also a continuing possibility of a coup effort
0` against President Ydigoras by rightists who want to prevent
further gains by the Communists and other leftists.
(Page 8)
15 June 59
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
No Back-up material
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Deployment and Alert of UAR Military Forces
A deployment and alerting of elements of the TJAR's mil-
itary forces has occurred recently.
all military leave outside of the country was pro-
hibited on 8 June, and the most senior personnel in training
groups in the Soviet Union have been recalled to Cairo.
(Several
squadrons of the UARTs MIG-15s and MIG-17s ap-
peart_ o have been moved from the Cairo area, possibly to the
Sinai peninsula or Syria, and all tanks and three artillery reg-
iments have been missing from camps in the Suez Canal zone,
although there was no change in infantry strength there. How-
ever, 51 tanks have been observed along the Sinai coast of the
Gulf of Suez, and earlier reports indicated there was a concen-
tration of troops and armor, including tanks, in the Sinai penin-
sula. Roughly one half of the UAR Navy, including three Russian-
made W-class submarines and two destroyers, were absent from
Alexandria harbor as of 11 June)
This deployment of planes, tanks and naval ships could be
associated with routine maneuvers. However, the UAR's dis-
persal of its heavy equipment may also be precautionary
measures taken as a result of current tensions involving the
UAR with Israel over Suez Canal shipping, and with Jordan be-
cause of Cairo's recent closure of Syria's Jordanian border.
Some of the activity may also be related to UAR support of dis-
sident Iraqi tribal elements along the Syrian-Iraqi border.
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Current Position of the Iraqi Communist Party
The Iraqi Communist party has entered into a new public
dispute with Prime Minister Qasim--this time on the issue of
his decision to grant amnesty on the occasion of a 16 June re-
ligious feast to a large number of Iraqis who had been "exiled"
to various parts of the country. The party newspaper has com-
plained that those banished included "feudalists and reaction-
aries who had participated in imperialist plots." A UAR mes-
sage from Baghdad said about 2,000 people had been released.
Quarreling with the government's statement that stability
and security prevail in Iraq, the Communist organ said that
during the past two weeks there have been a series of violent
assaults by "reactionary groups" against trade unions, peas-
ant organizations and "other democratic bodies." It added
that activities of the Popular Resistance Forces have been
curtailed and that officials had been transferred to special
units in governmental departments to "watch progressive move-
ments."
Beginning with Qasim's rejection in May of Communist de-
mands for governmentalsandtion of party activities and for ap-
pointment to the cabinet of acknowledg9dI Communist party
representatives, the Iraqi Communists have suffered a series
of setbacks. These have included a governmental proclama-
tion emphasizing that judicial procedures even in security mat-
ters are the province of the courts, a directive cautioning the
press and radio to be prepared to substantiate charges pub-
lished against individuals, and moves by the army command
to assert tighter control over the Popular Resistance Forces.
Leaders of the socialist National Democratic Party (NDP)
have shown an increasing willingness to make decisions inde-
pendent of the Communists, and Finance Minister Hadid� an
NDP stalwart, has been elected chairman of the Communist-
front Afro-Asian Solidarity Committee, The Communist-packed
Iraqi delegation to promote fraternal relations with other Arab
countries had its departure date twice postponed and so far has
been circumspect in its public statements in other countries.
Most important of all, there are indications of some gradual
resurgence of anti-Communist groups throughout Iraq.
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(I:here are, at the same time, persistent reports of a major
split within the Central Committee of the Iraqi Communist party
itself. One wing allegedly favors continuing of pressure tactics
of all types to force the party's incluSion in the government; the
other counsels caution and continued ostensible support of the
Qasim regime until the hard core of the party has had time to
improv the organization and discipline of its mass of recent ad-
herents)
A street demonstration staged by the Communists in Bagh-
dad on 12 June in favor of a "National Union Frolit" of iiolitiaal
parties--defying Qasim's, wishes for a suspension of party ac-
tivity--came off without incident. However, press reports now
indicate clashes have occurred in the 'countryside between Com-
munists and NDP members who are vying for leadership of
Iraq's peasantry0
unconfirmed report that Qasim has discovered a
Communist plot, to assassinate him, which involved army tank
corps officers. As a result the ammunition of the tank reg-
iments and armored units stationed in Baghdad reportedly was
withdrawn and several officers are to be transferred. Cairo
newspapers are now printing 3rpports of the alleged plot.
15 June June 59
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inea May Intervene in Portuguese Territory
o_ Guinea President Sekou Tour d plans to "liberate" neighbor-
ing rtuguese Guinea by a campaign of propaganda and agitation,
Tour's plan, which has apparently been approved by
the powerful political bureau of Guinea's single party, envisages
the development of a network of sympathizers in Portuguese
Guinea, the use of civil disobedience, and finally insurrection.
Toure would employ African tribesmen related to those in
Guinea�presumably his own Moslem Mandingo tribesmen,
who make up about 65,000 of the half-million population of the
Portuguese territory. The Mandingo are considered intelligent,
very aggressive, and well supplied with firearms)
kou Tour d reportedly stated his willingness to furnish
insurrectionists clandestinely with arms)
ouc Guinea
Lisbon will not readily abandon Portuguese because
it w d fear the effect on other overseas provinces in India
and Africa. Portuguese officials have shown growing apprehen-
sion over the effect of the Africans' emancipation movement on
Portugal's African holdings. Last October after French Guinea
became independent the American consul general in Dakar re-
ported that the Portuguese were "literally trembling" at the
possible threat this posed to Portuguese Guinea. Lisbon has
recently opened three new army installations in Portuguese
Guinea although its armed strength there is onl about 1,200
African enlisted men led by Portuguese officers,
Portuguese secu-
rity authorities in mid-May suggested to the government the
establishment of prison facilities in the Azores to house natives
from the 'overseas African provinces who engage in subversive
activitie9
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Agitation Against Communist Government in India's
Kerala State
The widespread agitation against the Communist regime in
Kerala State, which the local Congress party and other opposi-
tion groups opened with a general strike on 12 June, has re-
sulted in continuing disturbances. Five persons were killed and
30 injured on 13 June when Communist-directed police opened
fire on a large crowd in northern Kerala. Many opposition vol-
unteers have been arrested following "nonviolent" demonstra-
tions in the capital city of Trivandrum and other centers through-
out the state.
Further violence is likely when the intensive agitation planned
by the Catholic and Hindu Nair communities against Communist
education policies begins on 15 June. These groups have long
planned an all-out effort to challenge the Communist government
and apparently have been amassing weapons in anticipation of
clashes with Communist security forces)
Both government and opposition leaders had hoped to place
ee responsibility for whatever violence occurred on the other.
A group of top Kerala and all-India Communist party leaders re-
portedly agreed at a meeting in Bombay on 7 June to avoid police
firing during the first stages of the agitation, and resort to "in-
tensive repression" only when it is clear such action is essential
to prevent serious disorders,. Opposition strategists now are
likely to exploit the police shooting on 13 June to incite further
"direct action" against the Communists.
Communist Chief Minister Namboodiripad has offered to
� compromise with the opposition parties, and he invited Prime
Minister Nehru to visit Kerala following Nehru's recent st te-
ment that he would go there if it would help resolve the situation
peacefully. Anti-Communist leaders, in Kerala are unlikely to ac-
cept the compromise offer, since they hope that a serious break-
down of law and order will either force the Communists to resign
or cause New Delhi to suspend parliamentary government in the
state and institute direct rule. If the Communist position deteri-
orates drastically, party leaders may also conclude that direct
President's Rule--with the onus for intervention on New Delhi--
is the best way out of an unfavorable situation.
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III. THE WEST
French-Yugoslav Relations Strained Over Algeria
The quick protest Paris made to the joint communique is-
sued in Belgrade on 12 June by representatives of Yugoslavia
and of the Algerian rebels' provisional government (PAG) indi-
cates that France intends to press strongly its official policy
of discouraging other countries from recognizing the rebels.
Paris seems to be acting on the basis that the Yugoslav-Alge-
rian statement, which followed a visit to Belgrade by Ferhat
Abbas, premier of the PAG, did not imply diplomatic recog-
nition. The Paris press notes that the expression "representa-
tives" for the Yugoslav signatories, may mean the Yugoslav
Government need not be directly involved.
Without formal acknowledgment of recognition by Belgrade,
Premier Debrd may have decided to use this incident to reem-
phasize the strong public position he and President de Gaulle
have taken that relations will be cut with any nation which recog-
nizes the rebels.
Belgrade has consistently taken a sympathetic attitude
toward the rebel goverpment� but so far has refrained from
formal recognition. e French government warned Belgrade
in April that such a m ve could automatically result in a
severance of relations. In recent months, however, the Yugo-
slays have given haven to wounded Algerian rebels and have
attempted to interject themselves as intermediaries between
the Algerian rebels and the De Gaulle government.
Aside from the Algerian issue, relations between Paris and
Belgrade have been good, and both sides have concrete reasons,
mainly in trade and economic aid,for avoiding a break. Belgrade,
however, made a strong official protest on 13 June concerning
the detention for three hours the same day of a top Yugoslav trade
union official, Misa Pavicevic, on his arrival at Paris airport to
attend a French trade union congress.
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French Labor Unrest Increasing
Premier Debrd has the authority and the means of enforcing
his decision to force key transport workers to remain on their
jobs during the 8-hour strike period proclaimed by all the major
railroad unions for 16 June. He insists that wage increases now
will ruin the economic stability that France is achieving as a re-
sult of broad reforms instituted at the beginning of the year.
Labor leaders are increasingly inclined to force his hand.
Their bargaining power had been weakened in 1958 by fear of a
recession as well as by the general desire to avoid complicating
De Gaulle's task. The effect of reduced earnings and reduced
purchasing power became apparent in March, however, when wide-
spread local demonstrations and short work stoppages occurred
during a "week of action" sponsored by the Christian Workers'
Confederation.
As the government's statements on improved financial con-
ditions became more and more optimistic, labor restiveness
increased. Workers in the nationalized transport services have
been particularly irked because an agreement to bring their wages
up to the levels of private industry has been held up for over a
year. On 6 May, a 24-hour rail strike brought Parisian subur-
ban traffic to a virtual standstill, and on 1 June a Paris subway
strike halted rush-hour traffic.
The Communist-led General Labor Confederation (COT) has
avoided taking the initiative in these demonstrations, but it has
joined agitation started by other labor groups. It can now cite a
number of instances of unity of action and it will be increasingly
difficult for the non-Communist labor leaders to justify their ef-
forts to avoid formal collaboration, particularly if the government
holds firm. Increased COT pressure can be expected, particularly
since the French Communist party has been reduced to a handful of
deputies in the National Assembly, and has no other legal means of
pressing its influence.
There are some signs of private management's willingness to
adopt a more flexible wage policy, and the government has indicated
that adjustments may be possible by the end of 1959. It seems
likely, however, that some concessions beyond the minor family
allowances just announced, will be necessary by fall.
CONFIDENTIAL
15 June 59
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Nine
� New Period of Political Tension Developing in Guatemala
A new period of political tension appears to be developing in
Guatemala� June and July have traditionally been months of po-
litical violence there, and this year the situation is complicated
by the political maneuvering for the important mayoralty election
in the capital on 5 July. In addition, Communists are preparing
to instigate student-labor demonstrations on 25 June, the third
anniversary of bloody student riots. They could get out of hand,
particularly if accompanied by counterdemonstrations by rightists.
The capricious President Ydigoras, though a skillful polit-
ical manipulator, appears to be losing political strength. The
economic situation is deteriorating and he may again attempt to
distract attention from his domestic difficulties, by some move
similar to his provocative attack on Mexican fishing boats last
December, although this action and earlier threats against neigh-
boring British Honduras only fleetingly served this purpose.
Ydigoras apparent personal grudges against the United States
and his failure to obtain additional economic assistance might
lead him to attempt to exploit the latent anti-American feeling
among many diverse groups in Guatemala.
Ydigoras' efforts to control Communism have been half-
hearted, and the Communists have refrained from attacking him
in the realization that a successor regime might be less favor-
able to their present interests. His efforts to curry favor with
the increasingly strong non- Communist leftist groups reflect a
growing conviction among many Guatemalans that the leftists
will inevitably succeed to power in Guatemala. Extreme right-
ists, alarmed at these trends and thoroughly disillusioned with
Ydigoras, may in the coming months, be sufficiently encouraged
by Ydigoras' declining strength to implement their long-standing
desire to effect a coup.
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
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