CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/06/16

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06834825
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RIPPUB
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U
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16
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February 25, 2020
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February 27, 2020
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June 16, 1959
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-TO-P--SECRET - � 3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 16 June 1959 Copy No. C CENTRAL c 62 INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO. NO CHANGE IN CLA3. i DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: NEXT REVIEW DATE� Ts16i EVIEWER: �TOP�SECRET� Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � -Tell-SEeRET- � -1F0-1'-SEeRET� Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 16 JUNE 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR�Communications indicate that recent jet heavy bomber deployment involved operational trainine in han- ine_nufflear weapons. II. ASIA-AFRICA Iran�Shah explains recent cabinet changes. Nasir believes British are behind UAR's current difficulties with Israel and Jordan. Japan�Prime Minister Kishi may face open break with important leader in his party. III. THE WEST French bring demands for global plan- ning into forum of North Atlantic Coun- cil. � --TOP---SEGRET .. � West Germany--CDU nominates Agri- culture Minister Luebke as its presiden- tial candidate. �Spanish general strike scheduled for 18 June. CI Caribbean--Invasion team lands in Domin- ican Republic; Venezuela alerts military forces af er its diplomatic break w th Trujillo. CI USSR exploits Brazilian financial crisis by offering to purchase $100,000,000 worth of coffee. TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 5\e') 0\4 � TOP SECRET CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 16 June 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet Long Range Air Force Training: The recent deploy- ment of BISON jet heavy boithers to Anadyr, in extreme north- east Siberia, probably involved operational training in handling of nuclear weapons. While the Soviet Long Range Air Force has long been credited with a capability for carrying out such train- ings (Page 1) (Map) II. ASIA-AFRICA , Iran�. 'The Shah has told an American official that the re- cent cabine1 changes. were an effort to weed out those ministers who have been in chronic disagreement with the government or. have demonstrated weakness and vacillation in the face of the Soviet war of nerves. In a lengthy general discussion on 11 Jun , the Shah expressed confidence and determination and made another strong bid for increased American military aid and full American participation in the Baghdad Pac9 (Page 2) UAR: [President Nasir is d that the British plan to try to reverse the trend toward improvement of the UAR's relations with the West by pro- voking the UAR into actions which would damage its standing with the United States. Characteristically, Nasir believes that the British are behind the UARis border trouble with Jordan and its dispute with Israel over transit of the Suez Canal. Meanwhile., Nasir intent:Ls to try to nutwalt the Tqrnelin on the ranal issue.] Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 00\L � -TerSECRET� Japan: Prime Minister Kishi has run into difficulties in attempting to reshuffle his cabinet and top party posts. He is facing a possible open break with one of the strongest leaders in the government party, Ichiro Kono, who has publicly threat- ened that he will no longer cooperate with lashi because of disagreement over ICono's role in the party. ICono could cause 10.shi trouble over the revision of the US-Japan Security Treaty, relations with Communist China, and other sensitive issues. (Page 3) III. THE WEST France - NATO: CDe Gaulle% demands for planning on global security, hitherto discussed only among France, Britain, and the United States, have for the first time been brought into the North Atlantic Council. A French statement made acceptance of the demands a condition for the establish- ment of nuclear stockpiles for USAF squadrons in France. Full NATO discussion, as urged by several members, will probably bring into the open the opposition of other European natio to De Gaulle's approach on auestions of common de- fens; (Page 4) West Germany: The Christian Democrats' nomination of Agriculture Minister Heinrich Luebke for the presidency re- flects the party's effort to avoid further internal disputes be- fore the 1 July election. Luebke's candidacy will probably appeal to conservative elements, particularly in the small ,L German party (Deutsche Partei), whose support is necessary DI to ensure his election over the Social Democrats' popular candidate, Carlo Schmid. Election of Luebke, a Catholic, would temporarily upset the ten-year religious balance be- tween the presidency and the chancellorship but would improve the chances of a Protestant�either Erhard or Etzel--suc- ceeding to the chancellorship. (Page 5) 16 June 59 -TOP DAILY BRIEF ii SECRET //, / Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � TOP SECRET Spain: 6he 24-hour general strike, which the underground Communist party has been trying to promote for some time, is reportedly scheduled for 18 June. Increasing worker discontent over economic conditions may give it limited success, particu- larly in the Barcelona area where Christian Democrats and Socialists are also said to be backing it, but the authorities should have no difficulty in maintaining public order. To pre- vent a further extension of labor discontent, however, Franco may be obliged to take a public stand explaining and defending Spain's economic stabilization program, now on the eve of final agreement with the �EEC) (Page 6) Venezuela - Dominican Republic: Following its suspen- sion of diplomatic relations with the Dominican Republic on 12 June, Venezuela has placed its armed forces on alert Status as a precaution against possible retaliation. Dominican dictator Trujillo is increasingly disturbed over revolutionary activities in the Caribbean and has informed the US that an 18-man inva- sion force, allegedly from Cuba, landed about 55 air miles from iudad Trujillo on 14 June. He may take violent action against Cuba or Venezuela if he feels he is about to be attacked by any siderable force from either nation. The Dominican air force, army, and navy have been placed alert as a precaution against further incursions from abroad. (Page 7) Brazil-USSR: 6he Soviet trade delegation in London has of- fered, through the Brazilian Chamber of Commerce there, to buy $100,000,000 worth of Brazilian coffee under a three-year barter agreement. Since this is greatly in excess of the USSR's current rate of consumption, the offer was probably designed largely to exploit for political purposes Brazil's international fj. cial crisis. Brazil did ship a small amount of coffee to the SSR in early June--its first direct shipment in postwar years-- ut has insisted that any large-scale sal of coffee must be ac- ) com anied b a arantee ainst resale. (Page 8) DAILY BRIEF TOP SECRET ," 07/if#7W/MZZ f/Z iii Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � SOVIET FAR EAST o..."-'.----,.../.!Providenlya Anadyr 2$0 4(10 SOO MILES �Chita MONGOLIA USSR .Mag a . AT" Pettopavlovsk, Sakhalin Komsomolsk. 5TH LONG RANGE AIR ARMY Q Blagoveshchensk MANCHURIA Mukden. � CHINA Peiping. ,24308 90615 4 � Voros iIov 1./Vladivostok oiR E . I I, 1 � -TOP SEGRE Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 TOPS I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC � Probable Soviet Air Force Training With Nuclear Weapons the exercise probably involved operational train- ing in the handling of nuclear weapons. It has been fairly well establishe0 that the USSR uses the word "carriers" to refer to aircraft carry- ing nuclear weapons. The term "article" is a cover word frequently used to denote military equipment such as an aircraft, a guided missile, or a bomb. The word "articles" most likely refers to nuclear weapons. A regional nuclear weapons storage site is believed to he lnea_ted nPar Anadv�. TOP SECRET 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � SE e R E -T- I L ASIA-AFRICA � Cabinet Changes in Iran 6._�anian Prime Minister Eqbal, who has consistently op- posed any concessions to the USSR, probably helped convince the Shah that Foreign Minister Hekmat should be replaced to- gether with Interior Minister Batmanqelich, with whom Eqbal could not get along, and Commerce Minister Neisari, whom the Shah regards as weak. The new iloreign minister3, Jalal . Abdoh, who was permanent Iranian delegate to the UN, is re- garded by the Shah as being a strong personality, experienced, and strongly anti-Soviet. Newly appointed Interior Minister Atabaki and Commerce Minister Etebar are tentatively rated by the US Embassy as inadequate for their positions. klie cabinet changes may mean that the Shah, who returned from Europe full of confidence and angry over Soviet propaganda, intends to embark on a more dynamic course:inlnternalreforms andfor- eign affairs. He recently said that he must push reforms in order to divert popular attention and show Soviet propaganda charges to be absurd. He believes, however, that the USSR cannot precipitate a revolution in Iran because the Iranian Army is the only force inside the country capable of overthrowing him, and he believes the army to be loyal. The Shah told an American official on 11 June that he had decided to replace Hekmat because of Hekmat's constant pressing for an improvement in relations with the USSR, despite continuing Soviet propaganda attacks. Hekmat was instrumental in convincing the Shah in January that Iran should open nonaggression treaty )nego- tiations with the USSR for e purpose of applying pressure on the US to provide additional aid. @ince the breakoff of the talks in February, the USSR has con- ducted an intensive propaganda campaign against the Shah. Hekmat apparently now is paying for this blunder, which caused apprehen- sion among Iran's allies that the :Shah might repeat the maneuver without warning.) 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � SECRET � Japanese Prime Minister Meets Difficulty in Reshuffle Of Cabinet and Party Posts Japanese Prime Minister Kishi, although strengthened by the favorable results of recent elections, has run into difficul- ties in attempting to reshuffle his cabinet and top party posts. He is facing a possible open break with one of the strongest leaders in the government party, Ichiro Kono, who aspires to succeed Kishi as prime minister. ICono publicly threatened on 12 June that he would no longer cooperate with the government because Kishi had not appointed him secretary general of the ruling Liberal Democratic party. He declared that he would not accept any party or cabinet post regardless of any further overtures from Kishi. Konots record of unprincipled opportunism and his flirta- tions with the Communist bloc mark him as a source of danger to Kishi and to US interests in Japan. He has said that the man . who brings about diplomatic relations with Communist China will be the next Japanese prime minister. He could cause Kishi trouble over the revision of the US-Japan Security Treaty, rela- tions with Communist China, and other sensitive issues. Although Kono's decision not to participate in the cabinet may not be final, the bitterness of his public attack on Kishi seems certain to damage their previously close relationship. The loss of Kono's support could be crucial to Kishi in the event of a chal- lenge to his leadership during consideration of the security treaty at the Diet session next fall. -SECRET- 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � SECRET TIE THE WEST De Gaulle's Demands Brought Into NATO Forum (Erance for the first time has officially advised NATO of De Gaulle's demands, hitherto discussed only at a tripartite level, for Western policy and strategy coordination on a global basis. This suggests that Paris may soon seek NATO approval of its defense plans for North and sub-Sahara Africa and may press for creation of :Lother international Western commands in such areas as the Pacific) (Mter General Norstad explained to the North Atlantic Council (NAC3 ..., on 11 June that French refusal to permit the establishment of nuclear stockpiles in France had necessitated the redeployment of several USAF strike squadrons to other bases, the French rep- resentative stated that his government could not dissociate the stockpile issue from global security. He added that Paris can make no additional co . itments in NATO which have no reference to "global necessities." cn This bald statement, which in effect conditions French participa- tion NATO defense on recognition of Paris' political claims outside NATO, led Italy and the Netherlands to call for full coun- cil discussion of De Gaulle's proposals of September 1958 for global policy planning. Further discussion could take place at the � , next regular NAC meeting on 17 June. Belgium has already raised the issue of whether one country can arbitrarily and unilaterally take action which undercuts the whole NATO defense program SECRET 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � CONFIDENTIAL West German Christian Democrats Choose Agriculture Minister Luebke as Presidential Candidate The nominating commission of the West German Christian Democratic Union (CDU) on 15 June chose 64-year-old Agricul- ture Minister Luebke as its presidential candidate. Although the office still carries prestige value for the party, .it had little at- traction for politically ambitious CDU members since both Erhard and Adenauer have rejected the nomination. The party was under pressure, however, to select a candidate Acceptable to all factions and of sufficient stature to defeat the Social Democrats' popular nominee, Carlo Schmid. Luebke is a respected and conservative figure long associated with farming elements. He will probably appeal to the small, largely agrarian German party (Deutsche Partei), whose 24 votes are needed by the CDU as the latter is a few votes short of a majority in the 1,038-member electoral convention. Election of Luebke, a Catholic, would upset the religious bal- ance between the chancellorship and the presidency which the CDU has endeavored to maintain in the past in considering presidential nominees. Protestant elements apparently accepted Luebke's nomination in the expectation that the balance would be restored when Adenauer leaves office. It also strengthens the chances of -Economics Minister .Erhard, a P,rotestant, to succeed Adenauer. A construction engineer by profession, Luebke has been ac- tive in agricultural affairs since he became manager of the Ger- man Farmers' Association in 1926. A member of the Center par- ty, he served in the Prussian state legislature from 1931 until 1933, when he was arrested and imprisoned by the Nazis for 20 months. After the war Luebke joined the CDU and was elected to the state legislature of North Rhine - Westphalia, where he served as state agriculture minister from 1947 until 1953 when he joined the Adenauer administration in the same post. He has sponsored eco- nomic assistance to farmers and opposed liberalization of tariffs on agricultural imports. He supports the Common Market but is less than enthusiastic over the proposed European free trade area. CONFIDENTIAL 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � SECRET � General Strike May Be mminent in Spain A 24-hour strike which the Spanish Communist party has been urging for some time now is reportedly scheduled for 18 June. Increasing worker discontent over economic condi- tions may give it limited success, particularly in the Barcelona area where Christian Democrats and Socialists are said to be backing it, but public order is not likely to be endangered. To prevent a further extension of labor unrest, however, Franco may soon be obli ed to defend publicly Spain's economic stabl, lization.program &tailed production, lay-offs in Catalan industries, and elimination of overtime pay have already resulted in protest strikes in several firms in and near Barcelona. Hopes for new wage increases to help meet the rising cost of living have been dashed by repeated official statements--the most recent by the ) labor minister on 28 May--that pay boosts must be tied to greater productivity.. (pespite labor concern over some aspects of the stabiliza- tion program, no top official has explained adequately its ob- jectives and implications. Recent pronouncements by the finance and commerce ministers have tended to gloss over various as- pects of the program that could have serious repercussions on the economy. While Franco is said to be fully committed to the program, he has avoided taking a public position, perhaps to escape personal blame for any hardships it may impose on la- bor. Final approval is expected when a high-level OEEC mis- sion arrives in Madrid on 22 June) -SECRET' 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � -SECRET Break in Dominican-Venezuelan Relations � Venezuelan armed forces have been placed on alert status. This is a precaution against possible retaliation for Venezuela's suspension of diplomatic relations with the Dominican Republic on 12 June after weeks of strained relations and will probably in- tensify the revolutionary unrest in the Caribbean. The immediate cause of the break was the expulsion of the Venezuelan military attach�t Ciudad Trujillo. Trujillo appears disturbed by revolutionary activities through- out the Caribbean area and particularly by the revolutionary plot- ting of Dominican exile groups in Venezuela and Cuba. He may take violent action if he believes he is going to be attacked by a large force from either country. On 14 June, Trujillo advised the US Embassy that an 18-man invasion force had just landed near a mountainous area about 55 air miles from the Dominican cap- ital. The force allegedly came from Cuba. The Dominican. gov- ernment on 15 June claimed that additional invading forces were expected from Venezuela. and Cuba. The Dominican air ferce, army, and navy have been placed on the alert. The Venezuelan Government has been seriously disturbed by the effects of a hostile Dominican propaganda. campaign di- rected against President Betancourt, long an implacable enemy of Dominican dictator Trujillo. a group of the Venezuelan military is conspiring with Trujillo to overthrow Betancourt, and a coup attempt is immi- nent. Betancourt, however, is believed to retain the support of the majority of the Venezuelan armed forces. -5-EGFIET 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 7 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 � rONFIDENPIAL-- Brazil Studying Soviet Barter Offer 16'lle Soviet trade delegation in London has offered, thro.igh the Brazilian Chamber of Commerce there, to buy $100,000,000 worth of coffee under a proposed three-year barter agreement. Moscow reportedly has not specified the prui..tcts it will offer in return. Negotiations are being carried ou secretly in Rio de Janeiro between a British businessman and Brazilian Foreign Ministry representatives, according to the British ambassador in Brazil. The Soviet offer may have been transmitted before Brazil suspended loan talks with the International Monetary Fund on 9 June but was probably based on the knowledge that Brazil is facing a severe balance-of-payments crisis) amount of coffee involved--about 650,000 bags per year over the three-year period--is nearly 10 times the USSR's cur- rent annual rate of consumption and would be nearly 10 percent of what the US bought from Brazil in 1957. In past talks with the USSR, Brazil has expressed concern that Moscow might resell large quantities of coffee, and Brazilian officials have insisted that any large sale would have to be accompanied by a firm guarantee against re-export. Several of the East European satel- lites are currently negotiating independently with Brazil concern- ing coffee purchases. The Soviet offer therefore probably does not reflect a plan to purchase for the entire b1o9 c th Brazil in early June shipped 17,000 bags of coffee to e USS --its first direct shipment since the war-- further coffee transactions will be scrutinized carefully, particularly if barter is involved. A small- scale cocoa-for-oil barter deal concluded last October encountered several snags over payments arranzements CONFIDENTIAL 16 June 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 8 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825 COTFIDENTIAL AL- THE PRESIST The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense , The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of the Interior The Secretary of the Interior The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director United States Information Agency The Director -GONRDENTTAT Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C06834825