CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/09/30
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03164687
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Publication Date:
September 30, 1959
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30 September 1959
Copy No. C 63
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. ?Of
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11IS
30 SEPTEMBER 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet and Chinese Communist lead-
ers concerned that Nehru is drifting
Into "American camp."
IL ASIA-AFRICA
VAR role in plans for overthrow of
Iraqi Prime Minister Qasim.
India�New oil refinery to be built
by USSR.
Japanese Government determined to
assure voluntary repatriation of
Koreans.
Laos--Tunisian member of UN subcom-
mittee recalled.
III. THE WEST
0 UN--Poland stands good chance of win-
ning seat on Security Council,
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
6
30 September 1959
DAILY BRIEF
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR - Communist China - IndiarIndian Communist
party Secretary Ajoy Ghosh, who recently returned from a
visit to Moscow and Peiping, stated that there is serious
concern among Soviet and Chinese leaders that Nehru is
drifting into "the American camp," according to a credible
report. Ghosh was told in Moscow that, if New Delhi woul
not press Peiping on the McMahon line, an accommodation
would be reached on "pockets of disputed territory," a line
Peiping has consistently taken. Soviet leaders advised the
Indian party to follow a "middle way" in handling the Sino-
Indian disnute and neither the Chinese nor
Nehrt9 (Page 1)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
UAR-Iraq: CNasir privately stated on 25 September that
he is in touch with the head of the Iraqi Council of State, Gen-
eral Rubai, one of the leaders of a group of senior officers
planning a coup to overthrow Prime Minister Qasim. Although
claiming he was not involved in the coup planning, Nasir ad-
mitted he was "counseling" the conspirators who intend to have
Qasim assassinated within the next week, although Nasir has
advised a delay. If Qasim is assassinated and an anti-Commu-
nist successor regime with the appearance of legitimacy calls for
outside help, Nasir will send UAR troops to fight any counter-
move by the Iraqi Communists. He claimed to have no aspira-
tions concerning uniting Iraq with the UAR:3
(Page 2)
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India-USSR: India's second government-owned oil re-
finery is to be built by the USSR under terms of an agreement
concluded in New Delhi on 28 September. Financing to the ex-
tent of $25,000,000 will be provided under the long-term Soviet
credit of $378,000,000 extended in July for the Indian Third
Five-Year Plan (1961-66). India has also requested Soviet
technical assistance in operating the 2,000,000-ton refinery,
to be built at Barauni in Bihar State in east-central India.
Last October New Delhi signed an agreement with Rumania
for construction of a refinery in Assam with a capacity of
750,000 tons annuajly.
Japan - North Korea: LTokyo has rejected demands by pro-
Communist Koreans in Japan for the elimination of "objection-
able" procedures for repatriation to North Korea, especially a
provision to assure that no Korean is sent against his will. A
Communist-inspired boycott of the repatriation program has
resulted in the application of fewer than 200 Koreans for repa
triation in the first three days of the registration period.
Tokyo's rejection will provide the Communists with an excuse
for blaming the government for the failure of a significant num-
ber of Koreans +n anniV fnr r enatriatiOn as the Communists
had predicted:3
(Page 3)
Laos: The Tunisian member of the UN subcommittee,
Habib Bourguiba, Jr., was recalled from Laos on 29 Septem-
ber to resume his post as ambassador to France. His presence
in France may be required in connection with the Algerian sit-
uation.
dile subcommittee's investigation of areas accessible only
by helicopter, which the American ambassador feels is essen-
tial to its task, has been made almost impossible by the sub-
committee's acceptance of the UN secretary general's recom-
mendation to the mission that no helicopters or pilots of any
permanent member of the Security Council or of any country
bordering on Laos be used.
30 Sept 59
DAILY BRIEF ii
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III. THE WEST
UN Security Council - Poland: Poland stands a good chance
to defeat Turkey for the UN Security Council seat now occupied
by Japan. No Soviet bloc representative has held this elective
office since 1950. The present trend of opinion among UN mem-
bers is such that many members may support Poland for the sea
they have long considered allocated to "eastern Europe!' Warsaw
may gain the votes of at least half of the 20-member Latin Amer-
ican bloc, in addition to strong African, Asian, and Soviet-bloc
supoort, according to the Ecuadoran UN delegate,"3
30 Sept 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet and Chinese Views on India
0,ndian Communist party General Secretary Ajoy Ghosh,
who has recently returned from talks with too leaders in both
the Soviet Union and China, both
countries were seriously concerned about India. The Soviet
leaders fear that Nehru is changing his policy and drawing
closer to the "American camp." According to Ghosh, the
Chinese Communist leaders, who were angry at India's reac-
tion to events in Tibet, have totally changed their attitude to-
ward Nehru since the Kerala intervention. They now call him
a "running dog of Amprican imperialists" who has at last come
out from "behind the curtain" and "lifted his maskl
[Ghosh came away from his meeting with the strong impres-
sion that the two powers are closely united on the border issue.
He was told in Moscow that if New Delhi shows flexibility con-
cerning the McMahon line, "various pockets of disputed territory,
up to 200 square miles each, could be exchanged between India
and Communist China," and an accommodation could be reached.
Although the details of such an arrangement have not been spelled
out by Peiping, its position has consistently been that a negotiated
settlement could be made concerning isolated places if India did
not insist on the McMahon line_)
d'he Soviet leaders advised Ghosh that in such a "delicate
situation" the Indian Communist party should take a "middle
way," denouncing neither Communist China nor Nehru. That
the party has taken this advice is reflected in its careful state-
ment on 26 September that the dispute can be resolved if neither
side makes prior acceptance of its own claims a precondition for
negotiations.T\
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Nasir States Views on Possible Iraqi Coup
The UAR is in contact with Iraqi Army officers, led by the
head of the Iraqi Sovereignty Council, Lt. Gen. Rubai, who are
planning to assassinate Prime Minister Qasim within the next
few days. Although claiming he was not involved in the coup,
Nasir admitted he was "counseling" the conspirators. Nasir,
who is advising delay, is concerned that the anti-Qasim nation-
alists, who are frightened and desperate, may move before the
UAR is fully able to help them. If Qasim is assassinated, how-
ever, and an anti-Communist group with a plausible basis for
claiming legal control of the government calls for outside help
Nasir plans to send not only refugee Iraqi officers now in Syria
but regular UAR troops as well to fight any Iraqi Communist
countermove)
(It is Nasires belief that an unsuccessful coup would be fol-
lowed by mutinies in the Iraqi Army and the killing of political
prisoners by the Communists. Unless there were a legitimate
successor government, there would be no basis for intervention.
Nasir stressed the importance of the seizure of Radio Baghdad
by the plotters. He claimed that he would withhold aid unless
this propaganda organ was in friendly hands. Nasir claimed to
have no aspirations to unite Iraq with the UAR. He expressed
the hope that Jordan would not play an important part in support-
ing a post-coup government against Iraqi Communists, if a strug-
gle should ensue
the group
headed by Rubai aims at the removal of the Communists from po-
sitions of power, and the maintenance of a neutralist foreign pol-
icy. This plan is said to be supported by the commanders of the
First, Second, and Third divisions, as well as the commander of
the unit responsible for guarding the Ministry of Defence where
Qasim sleeps and other key points in Baghdad
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NNW �Nor
Japanese - North Korean Repatriation Program Boycotted
By Pro-Communists
dhe Japanese Government has rejected demands by the pro-
Communist General Federation of Koreans in Japan (Chosen
Soren) for the elimination of "objectionable" procedures for re-
patriating Koreans to North Korea, especially the provision for
a final screening to prevent involuntary repatriation. Chosen
Soren has instituted a nationwide boycott of the repatriation
program among Korean residents, with the result that fewer
than 200 applied for repatriation during the first three days of
registration)
CA representative of the International Committee of the Red
Cross (ICRC), which is supervising the repatriation program in
Japan: has informed Japanese authorities that the ICRC would not
approve substantive changes in provisions for individual and di-
rect contact between the ICRC and each repatriate at the Niigata
embarkation center or for spot screening at some 3,665 registra-
tion points throughout Japan. The Japanese vice foreign minister
has indicated that the repatriation procedures will not be changed
for the time being: although another Foreign Ministry official says
Tokyo may relax the quarantine at Niigata to permit immediate
relatives to visit the repatriates. Initial sailings to North Korea
tentatively are scheduled for 10 November.)
(Some 117,000 Korean residents signed petitions last spring
expressing their desire to go to North Korea. A considerable num-
ber are known to have done so under pressure from Chosen Soren,
which recently claimed that as many as 170,000 actually desire re-
patriation. An official Japanese service believes the number is
closer to 70,000--slightly more than 10 percent of the Koreans in
Japan. The boycott, backed by North Korean and Chinese Commu-
nist propaganda, is intended to place the blame on the Japanese
Government in case the number of repatriation applications falls
short of Communist predictions.)
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III. THE WEST
Polish Candidacy for UN Security Council Gaining Support
(Poland stands a good chance to defeat Turkey for the UN
Security Council seat--now occupied by Japan�which many UN
members consider allocated to eastern Europe. No Soviet-bloc
regime has held this high elective office since 1950, when it was
occupied by the Ukraine. This year at least half of the 20-member
Latin American bloc Will vote for Poland, according to the Ecu-
adoran delegate. In addition, Warsaw can count on strong sup-
port from the Asian-African and Soviet blocs. This support would
be sufficient to prevent Turkey from getting the necessary two-
thirds majority and may be impressive enough to cause a substan-
tial swing toward Poland on the second or third ballot-)
CMany UN members, in explaining their support for Poland,
argue that the past practice of relegating Soviet-bloc candidates
to lesser UN offices is inappropriate in view of the present "re-
laxed" atmosphere. The Latin American delegates also question
how the United States could oppose election of a Soviet-bloc mem-
ber to the Security Council, when the West granted parity to the
bloc in the ten-nation disarmament group. Speculation among UN
members that Moscow is willing to permit the Eastern European
seat on the UN's Economic and Social Council to go to an Asian
country this year in return for Poland's election to the Security
Council may have influenced other members, particularly Asian)
(The Scandinavian countries are known to favor the Polish
candidacy and, according to a I3elgia,n UN delegate, some other
members of NATO may have difficulties in supporting the Turk-
ish candidacy.
CONFIDENTIAL
30 Sept 59
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11.4 'I aa as-a
vire'
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
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