CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/12/19

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03179260
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
15
Document Creation Date: 
February 25, 2020
Document Release Date: 
February 27, 2020
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
December 19, 1959
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Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Tvivi 1 I r OIC�11.1C I E DOCUMENT It 411". CO CHLEOE iN OLCUSSMNIA CLASS. CNAKhEZ TOf Is 0 NEXT R.VI,W t4TLI AUTNif hA42 AV" MO BEVIAWins 19 December 1959 3.3(h)(2) Copy No. C to3u5(c) CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN' -TOP-SECRET- ZArfpr:ecfffrTRI:a4:"2c:ST/cf.21S1"C"oci f9Aff Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 'r0-1,,-SECRE-r Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Nose '*erse' 19 DECEMBER 1959 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Moscow lecturer gives impression Soviet leaders particularly, resent earlier Chi- nese claims to have nearly caught up with USSR in progress toward Communism. 0 Chou En-lairs latest note proposes early meeting with Nehru on border dispute; makes no concessions. II. ASIA-AFRICA UAR-Israeli tensions likely to be height- ened as result of an Israeli attempt to send cargo through Suez Canal. Laos--Reformist group, excluded from new cabinet, apparently hoping to re-enter government by royal decree. Report that South Korea will attack north- ward as result of repatriation program believed of doubtful validity. Japanese Government foresees mounting popular sentiment for establishing rela- tions with Peiping as result of general relaxation of international tensions. I. I I I. THE WEST West Berlin--Mayor Brandt calls for plebiscite on whether city should retain �its ties with Federal Republic. Fl ram Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 ' Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 %NO CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 19 December 1959 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC USSR-China: A recent lecture to Moscow schoolteach- ers given by a Soviet specialist on China was notable for its patronizing tone regarding Chinese pretensions. While bal- ancing criticism with praise, the talk as a whole gave the Impression that what may nettle the Soviet leaders most a- bout their Chinese allies is their earlier claims to have leaped Into a position of near parity with the Soviet Union in progress toward communism. The Chinese were portrayed as "over- enthusiastic," attempting cultural plans that are a "little dreamy and unrealistic" in a poverty-striken economy that is "17 or 18 years away from the attainment of full socialism." The communes were characterized as a "mess" which is only gradually being straightened out. (Page 1) Communist China - Nepal: Chou En-lars letter of 17 De- cember to Nehru, like Peiping's earlier communications on the border dispute, makes no substantive concessions but seeks to mollify Indian opinion by portraying the Chinese as eager for immediate negotiations. The Chinese premier suggests that Nehru begin talks with him on 26 December either in Chinas, where there are "no activities hostile to Sino-Indian friendships" or in Rangoon. He rejected Nehru's demands that the Chinese evacuate the Ladakh area and refused to withdraw Chinese forces from Longju without a simultaneous withdrawal of Indian forces from ten other disputed outposts. Nehru endorsed the principle of talks between the two prime ministers in his letter of 16 No- vember, but he probably will not regard Chou's latest counter- proposals as reflecting the "interim understanding" which he set as a condition for such a meeting. (Page 3) (Map) TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 vs TOP SECRET IL ASIA-AFRICA UAR-Israel: Press reports indicate that Egyptian cus- toms officials have asked that a cargo of Israeli-produced cement be unloaded from a Greek ship which arrived at Port Said, This Israeli attempt to test the UAR's conditional willingness to allow goods of Israeli origin to pass through the Suez Canal is likely to produce additional tension between the two countries. Dag Hammar- skj old had previously notified Cairo that the Israelis were sending this cargo from Haifa to Djibouti f. o. b. and without publicity as specified in informal UAR conditions and had urged that the UAR allow it transit. (Page 4) Laos: The young reformist group (CDNI) recently ex- cluded from Premier Phoui's new conservative cabinet ap- parently hopes to re-enter the government by royal decree after the present National Assembly's term lapses on 25 De- cember. A CDNI communique criticizing Phoui's recent moves asserts that when the assembly expires all powers revert to the King, and it implies that the King's proper course would be to appoint a new provisional government including the CDNI pending April elections. The King is considered sympathetic to the CDNI. Should he disappoint the reformists on this issue and some compromise not be worked out, they might attempt a power move against Premier Phoui with army backing. South Korea President Rhee will order an invasion of North Korea following the departure for North Korea on 21 December of n V. the second group of Korean repatriates from Japan. While V " Rhee is worked up over South Korea's failure to block the re- patriation and might be considering rash action, it is morq 19 Dec 59 DAILY BRIEF ii TOP SECRET \Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260' \ \\\\�; Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 01) (likely that this threat was deliberately circulated in an ef- fort to induce the US to intervene to halt the repatriation. South Korean forces have been on an alert since 13 Decem- ber but there is no evidence of preparations for an attack, and any order for one would almost certainly become known command before it could be implemented. (Page 6) Japan: The Japanese Government expects popular sen- timent for the establishment of normal relations with Com- munist China to intensify as a result of a relaxation of in- ternational tensions which it believes will flow from the exchange of visits between President Eisenhower and Khru- shchev. The Japanese Foreign Ministry has requested sev- eral diplomatic missions to ascertain the views of local influential groups on the timing and the manner in which various governments may be planning to recognize Peiping a in order to use thr data "for handling,- this situation and Ps tablishin policv.' - III. THE WEST West Berlin: Mayor Brandt recently expressed his seri- ous apprehension over possible Western moves at a summit meeting which could weaken West Berlin's ties with the Fed- eral Republic. Pointed Soviet attacks on the links between West Berlin and Bonn are at the base of Brandt's concern. *Replying to these attacks, Brandt urged in a speech to the city assembly on 17 December, that West Berlin's far- reaching integration into the Federal Republic be continued "under the umbrella of the unchallengeable rights of the West- kOFORN ern Powers in Berlin." He said his government will be readl at any time to support a four-power agreement concerning a plebiscite in Berlin, "if the USSR wishes to determine the de- sires of the population of Berlin regarding our city belonging to the Federal Republic." 19 Dec 59 DAILY BRIEF lApproved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 111 m�, Approved for Re-lea: 2020/02/21 C03179260 "*Avrif I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Criticism of China in Soviet Public Lecture In a lecture on 11 December to Moscow schoolteachers, V. I. Danilov, Soviet specialist on Communist China, sharply criticized certain Chinese practices and views. The lecture, while balancing criticism with praise for genuine accomplish- ments, was notable for its apparent tone of patronizing belit- tlement of Chinese pretensions. It supported the impression that what may nettle the Soviet leaders most about their Chi- nese allies is their earlier claims to have leaped into a posi- tion of near parity with the Soviet Union in progress toward communism. The lecturer alleged that the creation of the communes in 1958 was a "mess" which is only gradually being straightened out. He said the Chinese had enlarged their cooperatives by combining many of them and then had "unfortunately" named them communes, which led poorly educated Communists to conclude that the commune must be some sort of jump to com- munism. Actually, Moscow has been concerned that a similar conclusion was being drawn by other bloc Communists. Khru- shchev had discussed the issue with the Chinese leaders, ac- cording to the speaker, and they had redefined the communes as socialist rather than communist, but much confusion still remained to be corrected. In fact, he pointed out, China is still 17 or 18 years away from full socialism, ,and since the USSR is so far ahead, Soviet aid to China will increase. Danilov extended criticism of the Chinese into the cultural and educational fields, an area which Moscow had avoided be- fore. The Chinese were said to have a correct basic approach and to have made great advances in the field of culture, but they are over-enthusiastic and their plans are a little dreamy and unrealistic. In this respect, their timetable is off by 20 or 30 years. In addition, their "literature is very sick" because most of their writers joined the "right opposition" in 1957 and have not yet found themselves, and the few good revolutionary writers are too busy with political work to write. The Chinese standard of living is so poor, Danilov said, that Soviet technicians have to be specially prepared before -CONFIDENTIAL_ 19 Dec 59 e.rki-rn A I ikrrm ir�wore ni II I Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Nine being sent to China. He noted that the Chinese have gone too far in demanding outside physical work of their students, who become so exhausted that they sleep over their studies. Dan- ilov ridiculed Chinese explanations that this extra work is beneficial, saying that this only provokes a Soviet smile be- cause the Russians know the real reason lies in China's pov- erty. Apparently because the lecture was intended to describe conditions within China, foreign policy topics were avoided n d nn mAntinn 7 made of the Sino-Indian border dispute. CONFIDENTIAL 19 Dec 59 eCkITD A I 11.ITC1 I ir�ekiee DI III CTIkl Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 2 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Atiwe Nisol i .%\ ������-% JAMIVI...,,,,_ AND KASHA �..) (Status in dispute) . ..�.... ...., i'll-Tgat '-----VV:� , )''� ::. �.. � % \ ...., -," \A .....; ......., -1-1 �.. PAKI TAN NEW DELHI Selected road -- �Selected trail 18 DECEMBER 1959 MILES 200 UNCLASSIFIED 9 12 18 Road constructed by inese in 1957 Boundary shown on Indian maps � Boundary shown on recent Chinese Communist Maps Boundaries are not necessarily those recognized by the U.S. Government, Gartok TIBET CHINA NEPAL Kanpu KATMANDU 1M Gangto Gyangtse Shillong� EAST PAKISTAN IN1301..51.1 ago uensang BURMA 30790 ixit ::g 5 II RI orNIAZ.710 MiTiAl CiTb4:1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260-- Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 %NO *reis4 Peiping Calls for Chou-Nehru Meeting Premier Chou En-lars letter of 17 December to Prime Minister Nehru, like Peiping's earlier communications on the border dispute, sought to mollify inflamed Indian opinion by portraying the Chinese as eager for immediate negotiations. Chou suggested a meeting with Nehru to begin on 26 December "any place in China," because there are "no activities hostile to Sino-Indian friendship" there, or in Rangoon. Chou ex- pressed agreement with Nehru's proposal that neither side send out patrols from their frontier posts and declared that Peiping had in fact stopped such patrols. Peiping� however� flatly rejected Nehru's demand that the Chinese troops evacuate Indian-claimed territory in Ladakh pointing out that the Chinese had made no corresponding demand on New Delhi to withdraw its forces from the Chinese-claimed area south of the McMahon line. As a "partial solution" pend- ing agreement on his proposal of 7 November for a mutual with- drawal along the "entire borders," Chou agreed to the evacuation of Chinese forces from Longju outpost in Assam, but only on the condition that the Indians withdraw also from ten other dis- puted outposts, most of which are located on the western sector of the frontier. New Delhi is not likely to find Chou's proposals acceptable. Indian doubts regarding Peiping's real intentions in the border area will be reinforced by Chou's insistence on maintaining the "status quo" in Ladakh, thereby retaining possession of large slices of Indian-claimed territory� and by his refusal to withdraw from an outpost forcibly seized by Chinese troops un- less Indian forces evacuate ten other points. In his letter of 16 November to Chou, Nehru endorsed the principle of early talks between the two premiers� but stressed that a meeting would be fruitful only after preliminary steps were taken to reach an "interim understanding." Nehru is not likely to re- gard Chou's reply as fulfilling this condition. CONFIDENTIAL 19 Dec 59 r"Ekrrn A I 16.ITEI I 1"r1.1,-.r nhtIIr,9hI Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 3 Approved G 202/02/21 C03179260 *me Nur IL ASIA-AFRICA UAR Detains Another Israeli Cargo What was ostensibly an unpublicized Israeli test of the UAR's willingness, under certain conditions, to allow passage through the Suez Canal of cargoes of Israeli origin apparently has misfired. According to a press report from Port Said, Egyptian customs officials there--following an earlier press report that they were examining a cargo from Israel�have asked the captain of the Greek-flag freighter Astypalea to un- load its cargo of cement from Israel. Confiscation or "deten- tion" of the cement would exacerbate UAR-Israeli tensions and undermine UN Secretary General Hammarskjold's efforts to resolve the long-standing dispute over Israeli use of the canal. Hammarskjold had notified the UAR that Israel was send- ing this cargo f, o. b. from Haifa to Djibouti, French Somali- land, and that the Israelis had said they had imposed strict censorship on the matter. This was in accordance with the conditions of the "effective position" which Cairo had privately stated with regard to Israeli shipping. Cairo's public policy prohibits cargoes from Israel� as well as Israeli-flag vessels, from transiting the canal. Nile UAR also stipulated that cargoes bound through the canal from Israel were to be shipped f, o, b, and that those en route to Israel were to be c. i.f. --Israel then would not legally own any of these cargoes-4 e resumption of Israeli shipping according to these pro- visos, which Hammarskjold had negotiated, was to begin a gradual return to the situation which obtained in 19582 in which transit of both Israeli-chartered ships and Israeli cargoes was permitted, although not of Israeli-flag vessels. UAR Foreign Minister Fawzi had indicated to Danish officials this week that unpublicized transit of the Astypalea might be a "useful precedent" for release of the Inge Toft, the Danish ship that has been detained at Port Said since May with its cargo from Israel. The new incident in the canal dispute comes at a time when the World Bank is considering approval of a loan to the UAR for TOP SECRET 19 Dec 59 r=kITD AI IkITCI I unckirc RI II I =TIM Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 4 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 fte' stale canal improvements. Israel has been waging a diplomatic and propaganda campaign against granting the loan because of the restrictions against Israeli shipping through the canal. Meanwhile, the Israelis are also agitated about alleged Syrian transgressions on Lake Tiberias. Israel claims the Syrians have installed pumping apparatus near the shore of the lake and have put pipes across the Israeli-controlled ten- meter zone on the northeastern shore. Israel also contends the Syrians are fishing on the lake without the "necessary" Israeli permits, and that 196 Israeli fishing nets have been destroyed and 92 nets stolen. if the UN Truce Supervision Organization fails to effect a stoppage of such activities. Israel will have to take "nnlieett action. TOP SECRET 19 Dec 59 CFNTRAI IKITFI I IMPKIrP RI II I PTIKI Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 5 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 *we President Rhee Allegedly Planning to Order Invasion of North Korea President Rhee intends to order an invasion of North Korea following the de- parture from Japan of the second group of Koreans on 21 De- cember for North Korea. Rhee is said to hope that such ac- tion will cause international intervention and bring the repa- triation question before the United Nations. South Korean forces were alerted on 13 December, but there has subse�- quently been no evidence of military preparations; such an order would almost certainly come to the attention of the UN Command before it could be implemented. � The most likely possibility is that this threat is being deliberately circulated in an effort to induce the United States to make representations to Japan to halt further repatriation. Rhee recently stated that Washington was his last hope of block- ing the repatriation, that be did not want a shooting incident, and that he intended to confine himself to political action. It is also possible that this report is a desperate maneuver by the South Korean mission chief in Tokyo, who is under a cloud for having misled Rhee into believing that the repatriation could be stopped. Rhee's growing concern over the failure of allied policy to secure Korean unification, however, suggests that some rash action to draw attention to the Korean problem should not be completely discounted. SECRET 19 Dec 59 f-PKITD A I IKITPI I inpkorr RI II I CTIK1 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Page 6 Approved for 14-e-leas-e75-05-0705721 C03179260 %se *ftsi# THE PRESIDENT The Vice President Executive Offices of the White House Special Assistant for National Security Affairs Scientific Adviser to the President Director of the Budget Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy Executive Secretary, National Security Council The Treasury Department The Secretary of the Treasury The Department of State The Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs The Deputy Under Secretory for Administration The Counselor Director, International Cooperation Administration The Director of Intelligence and Research The Department of Defense The Secretary of Defense The Deputy Secretary of Defense Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs The Secretary of the Army The Secretary of the Navy The Secretary of the Air Force The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff Commandant, United States Marine Corps The Director, The Joint Staff Chief of Staff, United States Army Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy Chief of Staff, United States Air Force Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force Supreme Allied Commander, Europe Commander in Chief, Pacific The Department of Commerce The Secretary of Commerce Federal Bureau of Investigation The Director Atomic Energy Commission The Chairman National Security Agency The Director National Indications Center The Director CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C03179260 Approved for Release: 2020/02/21 C031792bu TOP SECRET p�ro�v e�d for Release: 1050701/2-1 CO317926O