CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/11/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03157407
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: February 25, 2020
• Document Release Date: February 27, 2020
• Publication Date: November 4, 1959

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4 November 1959
Copy No. C 65
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c),
BULLETIN
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k.AS
4 NOVEMBER 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet UN delegate's warning that a
French nuclear test would "free" USSR
to resume testing believed made for po-
litical effect rather than as an expres-
sion of intent.
Peiping refuses Nehru's request that
Chinese troops be withdrawn from bor-
der posts preliminary to negotiations;
India to strengthen its forces in the area.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Egypt and Sudan reportedly reach agree-
ment on sharing of Nile waters, opening
way for construction of Aswan High Dam, 0 \
Prospects improve for resumption of dip-
lomatic relations between UAR and
Britain.
Moroccan crown prince and King upset by
UAR vice president's refusal of ipvita
tion to national claT celebration.
Pakistani President to invite Afghan for-
eign minister to Karachi for discussion of
Pushtoonistan problem.
0
t
III. THE WEST
0 Official Cuban paper advocates inviting
Mikoyan, who is going to Mexico, to
visit Cuba.
LATE ITEM
Panama- -Further anti-American out-
breaks may follow yesterday's disorder.
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CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
4 November 1959
DAILY BRIEF
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR-France(In an apparent effort to increase support
for the draft Moroccan resolution which calls on France to re-
frain from beginning nuclear testing, the Soviet chief delegate
to the United Nations is warning that such French ac-
tion would free the USSR to resume testing. In what is prob-
ably an accurate reflection of Soviet intentions, the Soviet del-
egate to the test-cessation talks in Geneva told a UN official
recently that the USSR would resume testing only if the United
States or Britain did so, giving the impression that a French
test would be of no great importance.)
Communist China - India:CC_hinese Communist officials
reportedly have told the Indian ambassador in Peiping there
could be no question of Chinese withdrawal from disputed bor-
der posts, thus rejecting Nehru's condition for negotiations.
Peiping probably feels a withdrawal would be interpreted as
bowing to Indian pressure.
New Delhi, estimating that the Chinese, before agreeing
to negotiate, will try to expand their occupation of the border
territory they claim, reportedly now has decided to counter
with the swiftest possible expansion of "Indian presence" in the
same areas. Indian forces on the Assam-Tibet frontier_appar-
ently areto be augmented by at least one division)
(Page 1)
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Egypt-Sudan: An agreement reportedly resolving the long
dispute between Cairo and Khartoum over the sharing of the
Nile waters is scheduled to be signed this week. The terms of
the settlement reported by a semi-official Egyptian newspaper
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indicate that Egyptian negotiators made major concessions and
that most of the Sudanese demands were met. Egypt will re-
ceive about 75 percent of the useable Nile flow, according to the
report, and will pay the equivalent of $53,050,000 in indemnities
for Sudanese lands to be flooded by the Aswan High Dam. Con-
struction is scheduled to begin next month.
UAR-Britain: lations between London and Cairo have
been improving gradually, and further progress toward the re-
sumption of diplomatic relations may be made during the visit
to London next week of Salah Salim, a confidant of Nasir.
(Page 2)
Morocco-UAR: The UAR ambassador in Rabat, in a message
of 30 October, reported that the crown prince and, according to
the latter, the King were highly upset that UAR Vice President
Amir--busy with his new assignment as Nasir's viceroy in Syria--
had canceled a previous acceptance of an invitation to attend the
mid-November celebration of Morocco's national holiday. r.
The crown prince probably wants Amir Lo at-
tend to demonstrate to Moroccan radicals and to the Moroccan
public that the palace has the support of the UAR.
(Page 3)
Afghanistan-Pakistan: (president Ayub of Pakistan, after
some hesitation, has decided to invite Afghan Foreign Minister
Naim to Karachi to explore the possibilities for settling the long
standing Pushtoonistan tribal problem. The Pakistani Governme
maintains its hard attitude toward Kabul, and may not be able to
persuade Naim that the prospects are good enough to justify talks
between Daud and Ayub.
Afghan Prime Minister Daud has suggested that Naim discuss these
possibilities before Daud himself accepts Avub's invitation of 19 Oc-
tober to visit Karachi. ?age 4)
4 Nov 59 DAILY BRIEF
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III. THE WEST
*Cuba_ USSR: On 3 November Revolucion, the official daily
of Fidel Castro's "26th of July Movement," advocated that Soviet
Deputy Premier Mikoyan, who will inaugurate the Soviet exhibi-
tion in Mexico on 22 November, be invited to visit Cuba as a
prelude to the resumption of diplomatic relations and to expanded
trade between Cuba and the USSR. ) (Page 5)
LATE ITEM .
*Panama:CFurther anti-American rioting and attempted incur-
sions into the Canal Zone may follow yesterday's oUtbreaks. The
wounding of several Panamanians by US troops, who defended
Canal Zone entrances when the Panamanian National Guard failed
to do so, may serve as a pretext for extremists to provoke addi-
tional disorder during the next few days. Panamanian grievances
against the American administration of the Canal Zone are being
exploited by nationalist politicians maneuvering in anticipation of
next May's presidential election. The corrupt ruling oligarchy in
Panama appears willing to use anti-American sentiment regarding
the Canal Zone in order to divert attentionirom the underlying so-
cial discontent of the lower income groups
4 Nov 59
DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Peiping Rejects Nehru's Call for Troop Withdrawal
Despite indications that Peiping is willing to negotiate the
Sino-Indian border dispute and head off a possible shift in New
Delhi's nonalignment policy, Communist China has rejected
Nehru's stipulation that Chinese troops must first withdraw from
disputed outposts. The Chinese reportedly have told the Indian
ambassador in Peiping that they are merely occupying their own
territory and there could be no question of withdrawing before
negotiations. This stand is in line with Mao Tse-tung's recent
remark that there should be no "prior conditions" to negotiations
and indicates Peiping's view that withdrawal would weaken its
negotiating position and would be interpreted as bowing to Indian
pressure.
New Delhi, estimating that the Chinese will try to expand their
occupation of the territory in dispute before agreeing to negotia-
tions, apparently has decided on a policy of countering Peiping's
moves with the swiftest possible expansion of "Indian presence."
Nehru's insistence on the McMahon line in the east in contrast to
his less rigid position on the more remote portions of Ladakh is
based on Indian Army estimates that only a frontier following the
highest ranges of the Himalayas is militarily defensible.
Despite Indian concern over the extent to which military units
can safely be withdrawn from the West Pakistan border, a deci-
sion apparently has been made to reduce "substantiall "re r
forces in this area, and at least one army division,
is being moved to the nor
irontier region in Assam,
eas
ern
As Indian units are moved up to the border, the likelihood of
further clashes will increase. According to press reports, Indian
Canberra jet bombers are making daily survey flights along the
northeast frontier. where ChinARP and Indian forces clashed in
September.
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IL ASIA-AFRICA
'Further Improvement in UK-UAR Relations Expected Soon
rther progress toward the restoration of diplomatic rela-
tions between London and Cairo may be made during the visit to
London next week of Salah Salim, a confidant of Nasir. In view of
Nasir's suspicion of Britain's Middle East policy, the British be-
lieve the best they can hope for is an exchange at the charge level
by the end of the year. Nasir complains that the British are still
conducting a press campaign against the UAR despite their asser-
tions that they want to restore relations to a businesslike basis
as part of the UK policy of getting along with Arab nationalism.
Nasir is believed interested in restoring ties with Britain but
may dicker further over details. London, for example, wants to
establish consulates in various Egyptian cities and fears Cairo may
reciprocally demand consulates in such sensitive areas as Aden and
Kuwait. London is encouraging Cairo by offering to make credits
available under the government's export credit guarantee system.
This seems to be the basis for rumors of a huge British loan offer,
which the Foreign Office has told Cairo it cannot make because of
demands from the Commonwealth.
Economics Minister Qaysuni reported back to Cairo after his
September visit to London--which included talks with Selwyn Lloyd--
that the British had proposed credit facilities of up to $42,000,000
annually, or $168,000,000 to $210,000,000 during the UAR's five-year
development plan. London is already in-
directly providing some credits to individual Egyptian importers
and is evidently hopeful of expanding trade once diplomatic relations
are re-established. BOAC--excluded from Egypt since Suez--has
made plans to resume flights to Cairo by th end of the year.
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Moroccan King and Prince Displeased that UAR Vice President
Declines Invitation
The UAR ambassador in Rabat informed Cairo on 30 October
that Crown Prince Moulay Hassan, and, according to the prince,
King Mohamed V as well, had been perturbed by UAR Vice Pres-
ident Arnie s cancellation of his earlier agreement to attend the
three-day celebration in mid-November of Morocco's national hol-
iday. The ambassador urged that Amir reconsider his decision.
The ambassador reported that the King had planned friendly
references to the UAR in the message he will deliver during the
festivities. The ambassador commented, however, that after
Amir's refusal, the King must be wondering how Cairo would re-
act to a similar cancellation by the King ten days before the date
announced for his visit to Cairo. The King, according to press
reports, plans to make an initial and long-postponed visit to Cairo
early in January.
The prince, who is also army chief of staff and has made two
official visits to Cairo in the past few years, apparently hopes that
a military demonstration of considerable proportions before an
imposing array of distinguished guests might impress left-wing
supporters of the Ibrahim government who have sharply attacked
his "parade ground" army. The recent presence in Cairo of prom-
inent Moroccan leftiseMehdi ben Barka and3Mahjoub ben Seddik,
btoth of whom aF6suspected of engaging in antimonarchist activ-
ities, probably makes it doubly important in the prince's eyes that
Vice President Amir attend the Moroccan festivities.
Cairo's reluctance to take Amir away from his new assignment
as Nasir's viceroy in Syria illustrates the importance attached to
his presence there. Since his appointment on 21 October, Amir
has been giving his full attention to the economic and political re-
forms which Cairo hopes will counteract the rising public discontent
with Egyptian control over Syrian affairs.
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Afghan Foreign Minister To Be Invited to Karachi for Talks
kistani President Ayub, after some hesitation, has de-
cided to invite Afghan Foreign Minister Naim to Karachi to dis-
cuss the Pushtoonistan tribal problem.
Ayub had invited Afghan Prime Minister
Daud on 19 October, but Daud suggested that Naim should first
explore the possibilities for agreement before the heads of the
two governments meet.
The Afghan Government has long been angered by the Pak-
istani position that there is no bona fide dispute over Pushtoon-
istan and that the issue is simply Kabul's invention. Daud's
primary objective in any meeting at this time would be to secure
Pakistani acknowledgment.of Pushtoonistan as a legitimate issue.
The Pakistani Government, however, still questions the value of a
conciliatory approach to Kabul and accordingly may not be able to
convince Naim that there are sufficient prospects for progress to
justify talks between Daud and Ayub.
President Ayub has privately expressed the opinion that a
"shock treatment" is required to persuade Afghanistan to follow
a foreign policy more favorable to the free world. He has sug-
gested that the United States threaten to withhold economic as-
sistance unless Kabul changes its outlook. Publicly, the Pak-
istani Government since early September has been conducting a
propaganda counteroffensive to Kabul's Pushtoonistan campaign.
Pakistan's delay in inviting Naim to Kfaxachi for preliminary talks
further suggests it is not ready to make concessions to the Afghans.
On 28 October, the Pakistani Government arrested an impor-
tant chief of a Baluchi tribe in the southern portion of the area
Kabul calls Pushtoonistan, and local unrest�exploitable by the
Afghans�may result. On 1 November, Karachi announced that
a Pushtu tribe living in Afghanistan close to the Pakistani border
was in revolt against Kabul. In addition, each country claims the
other is sending military aircraft arossthebnrder.in the tribal
region.
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,kinee Nal
Cuba May Re-establish Relations With USSR
The Castro government may be planning to resume rela-
tions with the USSR and to open trade relations with East Ger-
many. On 3 November the semi-official daily Revolucion
urged that Soviet First Deputy Premier Mikoyan be invited
to visit Cuba as the first step toward renewed relations and
further trade with the USSR. Ambassador Bonsal in Havana
has reported that East German economic officials are expected
in Cuba soon, and he considers it quite likely that some rap-
prochement may be contemplated.
Moscow has announced that Mikoyan will inaugurate the
Soviet exhibition in Mexico City on 22 November, and it is likely
that he would accept an official Cuban invitation. The USSR would
welcome the re-establishment of relations with Cuba, broken in
1952, as a means of encouraging nationalistic and anti-American
movements throughout Latin America. A Soviet cultural official
made an unpublicized visit to Havana in October, and the USSR
has ordered 500,000 tons of Cuban sugar during 1959, the largest
amount since 1955.
Cuba's foreign policy has been increasingly defiant of the US
in the UN, OAS, and elsewhere. Foreign Minister Raul Roa has
recently appeared to be more closely identified with the leftist
extremists now believed to be dominant in the Castro government.
"Che" Guevara, a pro-Communist, who reportedly exercises great
influence over Castro in matters of foreign and economic policy,
was reliably quoted in March 1959 as beim determined to restore
diplomatic ties with the Soviet Union�
4 Nov 59 CENTRAL Its1TELLIGENCT R1111 Fru.]
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THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Director, Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Director, National Aeronautics and Space Administration
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Chairman, Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Adsistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretzry for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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