CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1959/02/27
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03023205
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Publication Date:
February 27, 1959
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CENTRAL
3.3(h)(2)
27 February 1959
3.5(c)
Copy No. C
63
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. _
NO CHANGE fN CLASS.
5ECLASSIFiro
_
CLASS CHANGED TO: Tr w
NEXT REVIEW DATE:o
ii;uA-14/14." 7 REVIEWER: _
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-TOP-SEGRET
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27 FEBRUARY 1959
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Khrushchev talks of six-power sum-
mit conference to deal with Berlin
and German peace treaty.
Sino-Soviet trade for 1959 to increase
20 percent over 1958.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq - Qasim attempting to replace
two potent_allv dissident division c m-
1:i
manders.
Hammarskjold concerned over revival
of Egyptian-Israeli border incidents.
Liberia to adopt foreign policy more
independent of US.
Rioting spreads in Nyasaland and Rho-
desias.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
is
27 February 1959
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
AMPZZZ
*USSR: rushchev has said he favors a six-power sum-
mit meeting including Poland and Czechoslovakia, with an
agenda limited to Berlin and a German peace treaty. Ehru-
shchev appears determined to demonstrate, either in summit
talks or in an exchange of notes, that the West has rebuffed
Soviet efforts to settle these two issues. He probably be-
lieves these tactics will strengthen the USSR's justification
for signing a separate peace treaty and transferring access
_control o tis__t_.stGermans:
USSR- Communist China: A Sino-Soviet trade agree-
ment was signed in Moscow on 26 February. The agreement
provides for larger Soviet shipments of industrial equipment
to support China's ambitious program for economic develop-
ment, but Peiping, as was the case last year, will probably
export more to the USSR than it receives in order to continue
repayments for loans received prior to 1956. Total trade
between the two countries is planned to reacl ckl _R hillion
a 20-percent increase over 1958.
I IL ASIA-AFRICA
Iraq: Prime Minister Qasim is attempting to transfer
two FOgfitially dissident division commanders to the Iraqi
foreign service as ambassadors
The em-
bassy expects the commanders will resist being transferred
and that Qasim will take "countermeasures" against them.
A similar maneuver by Qasim preceded the dismissal of
former Deputy Premier Arif. (Page 2)
e''
/e//
i
, TOP SECRET
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TOP SECITT
Nur
Arab-Israel: Hammarskj old is becoming increasingly
concerned over a revival of Egyptian-Israeli border inci-
dents and is reported considering sending Undersecretary
General Bunche to Cairo. Apparently on the basis of ob-
servations by the UN Emergency Force, Hammarskjold has
cited Israeli overflights of Egyptian territory averaging four
a day, and an increasing number of around reconnaissance
Patrols bv both sides.
Liperia:aresident Tubman has indicaWd to the Amer-
ican ambassador that he has made a definite and fundamental
shift in his attitude toward the United States in favor of a
more independent policy oriented toward the Asian-African
bloc in the United Nations. The Liberian leader is under
growing pressure from nationalistic elements within his gov-
ernment who are dissatisfied with Liberia's lack of influence
in African circles. Tubman's new international approach
could result in a more receptive attitude toward Sovi t d
East European diplomatic and economic overtures".3
(Page 3)
Rhodesia-Nyasaland: The African nationalist threat to
the federation's stability has grown appreciably within the
past two days. A spread of Nyasa rioting and political agi-
tation has prompted a sharp reaction on the part of the gov-
erning authorities. The situation remains tense throughout
Nyasaland, and Nyasa organizers are believed partially re-
sponsible for a strike of over 5,000 African workers at the
Kariba Dam site in Southern Rhodesia. The Southern Rho-
,
desian Government has declared a state of emergency, out-
lawed the four leading African nationalist organizations, and
arrested most prominent leaders. (Page 4)
(Map)
I IL, SIGNIFICANT INTELLIGENCE
REPORTS AND ESTIMATES
(Available during the preceding week)
The Current Moroccan Political Situation. 17 February
1959. SNIE 71-1-59.
The Communist Threat to Iraq. 17 February 1959.
SNIE 36-2-59.
27 Feb 59 DAILY BRIEF
TOP SECRET
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Neve Nue
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Khrughchei-Spells Out Views on Summit Meeting
an a conversation with the French ambassador following
his speech on 24 February, Khrushchev said he favors a six-
power summit meeting including Poland and Czechoslovakia,
with the two German states participating in an advisory capac-
ity. He also indicated that a summit agenda should be limited
to Berlin and a German peace treaty, and that such questions
as European security and disarmament should be discussed
only in a broader context with the participation of additional
states."/
Khrushchey's statement may have been an attempt to sound
out French reaction to parity of representation in any forthcom-
ing negotiations.
the USSR would agree to a tour-power summit comer-
ence on the Geneva pattern, but would insist on parity at any
foreign ministers' conference, with Poland and Czechoslovakia
on the Soviet side:)
ilihrushchev's interest in confining any summit discussions,
at least at the outset, to Berlin and a German treaty were also
reflected in his speech of 24 February, in which he insisted
that the first task of such a conference should be to conclude
a German treaty which would include a solution of the Berlin
question. The Soviet notes of 10 January stated that the prob-
lem of European security calls for special discussion and "can-
not be lumped together with other questions including the Berlin
issue." The notes charged that the West is trying to hamper
agreements on both Berlin and European security by making
settlement of one dependent on the other:3
[The USSR's efforts to locus attention on Berlin and a Ger-
man treaty reflect Moscow's determination to demonstrate,
either in summit talks or in an exchange of notes if such talks
do not materialize, that the West has rebuffed Soviet efforts to
settle these two issues. Khrushchev probably believes these
tactics will strengthen the USSR's justification for signing a
separate peace treaty and transferring Berlim access controls
to the East Germans:3
27 Feb 59
SECRET
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Page 1
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II, ASIA -AFRICA
The Situation in Iraq
In a move to strengthen his control over the army, Iraqi
Prime Minister Qasim is attempting to remove two divisional
commanders by annointinff them ambal5sadors,
These generals, Tabaqchali
of the 2nd Division, stationed at Kirkuk in northern Iraq, and
Aqili, commander of the 1st Division, south of Baghdad at
Diwaniyah, have been outspokenly anti-Communist. Qasim
previously attempted to reassign Tabaqchali to a new post,
but the general refused. Tabaqchali has been a bulwark of
anti-Communist sentiment in northern Iraq, and the Commu-
nists recently spread rumors that he was plotting against
Qasim.
The highly suspicious Qasim may be motivated by these
rumors, as well as by Tabaqchali's past attitude. These com-
manders have resisted Qasim's maneuvers up to the present,
although one divisional commander was "kicked upstairs" to
a cabinet post on 9 February. Qasim may feel strong enotIgh
to take "countermeasures" against the recalcitrant generals,
as he did in the case of former Vice Premier Arif when he
was appointed ambassador to West Germany. Unless the ar-
my soon resists Qasim's attempts to replace its leaders with
men personally loyal to him, it is doubtful that it willS long be
in a position to resist further Dro-Communist inroads in the
government and army.
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27 Feb 59 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Page 2
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Libeelan Pifesident Tubman to Follow More Independent Policy
(president Tubman indicated to the American ambassador on
23 February that Liberia "would not be tied to US coattails" but
would pursue a policy more in line with that of the Asian-African
bloc in the United Nations. His remarks emphasized the appar-
ent deterioration in American-Liberian relations over the past
year, although they were probably motivated, in part, by dis-
satisfaction over the American aid program in Liberia and re-
cent unfavorable comment about him in the American press�.3
(Liberia has watched the attention being showered upon Pres-
ident Tour d of Guinea and Prime Minister Nkrumah of Ghana,
particularly by Communist trade and diplomatic delegations.
Tubman is aware of Liberia's lack of influence in African cir-
cles and realizes that newer nations are the continent's leaders
and that his own position is threatened by a clique of young but
influential officials who are growing more vocal in their crit-
icism of the republic's foreign policies-.-S
(Even if Tubman does effect a change of policy and adopt a
more "neutralist" orientation, Liberia is unlikely to enhance
its regional influence and may instead acquire unmanageable
problems if it welcomes Communist trade and diplomatic del-
egations. Few of the rising African nationalists consider Tub-
man truly representative of Africa in view of his American
Negro ancestry and generally conservative posture. Further-
more, his recent appeal for a permanent association of African
states to provide for tariff reduction and cooperation on health
and cultural matters is out of step with the regional olitical
associations envisaged by most African leaders.)
27 Feb 59
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3
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ANA
RHODESIA AND NYASALAND
GU
LI
*Locations of recent diaorders
UNCLASSIFIED
2 r`cE3F3.1.1.AFtY 19, 5
LEI .III)O
ELG
COM
GAIL,
.Lusaka �
be ' River
SALISBURY
S 0 II,HEN
RHODESIA
Bla nt re
� �
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Noe Nal
Rhodesian Federation Beset With Growing African Disorders
Disorders continue to grow in the Federation of Rhodesia
and Nyasaland. Rioters in Nyasaland, spurred on by extrem-
ist Dr. Hastings Banda and the Nyasaland African National
Congress, have provoked disturbances in scattered towns
throughout the entire British protectorate, continue to hold
the only airfield in northern Nyasaland, and have blocked the
main road between Nyasaland and Tanganyika. Local police,
reinforced by Rhodesian police and troops, are hampered by
poor transport facilities and have not been able to suppress
the disorders even with the use of planes and tear bombs.
The nationalist-inspired unrest has spread into the Rhodesian
area. At the Kariba Dam site on the Zambezi River, Nyasa agi-
tators are believed to be partly responsible for a strike of over
5,000 African workers.
In an effort to forestall rioting in Southern Rhodesia, the
local prime minister has proclaimed a state of emergency which
gives the authorities power to ban meetings, control the move-
ment of persons, impose curfews, control publications, and
search premises without warrant. The government has banned
the four leading African nationalist organizations in Southern
Rhodesia and arrested most known leaders.
Although the federal and local governments will probably
remain in general control of the situation, African agitation
against the white-dominated federation will probably grow and
spread into all three component territories. Such agitation
would increase the pressure on British and federal officials to
exclude Nyasaland and other areas containing few European
settlers from the federation when they discuss its political evo-
lution in 1960.
-CONFIDENTIAL-
27 Feb 59
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4
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II A I 11-., 1..4 IIC � 1-P. -4
INF
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense and Civilian Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
Executive Secretary, National Security Council
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State for Economic Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
The Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff for Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
The Department of the Interior
The Secretary of the Interior
The Department of Commerce
The Secretary of Commerce
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
CONFIDENTIAL
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