CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/02/11

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03169397
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RIPPUB
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U
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15
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January 27, 2020
Document Release Date: 
January 30, 2020
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Publication Date: 
February 11, 1958
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ivr L�i�Itz mar Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 3.5(c) / 3.3(h)(2) 11 February 1958 Copy�No. i CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN NO. NO C; IN CLA ; CLASS. CHANGED TO: T NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 7 . DATE. p,4 ZAr3(roved rorRILL:261/68T2C7 CA-01169i97, '1ZZ/A Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 T,_nCL_C.=M).=F� Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 "wool LATE ITEM *Spanish-French Offensive Begins in West Africa the joint Spanish-French military offensive against the irregular Moroccan Army of Liberation (AOL) forces in Spanish West Africa began early on 10 Feb- ruary. The main Spanish-French columns will pro- ceed from Villa Bens and Tindouf to cut AOL com- munication and logistic lines from the north and drive the guerrillas southward toward other Spanish-French forces operating from Villa Cisneros and Fort Trinquet. A Spanish diversionary force will operate within the Ifni enclave. Spanish forces in the general area total about 15,- 000 men with some air support, French forces in Mau- ritania number about 5,000-61000. and Army of Libera- tion forces about 7,000 men. (See map on reverse) SECRET 11 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 0 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 lok iim�A WEST AFRICA OD 11 FEBRUARY 1958 CANARY ISLANDS SOUTHERN 14)ROC Villa Bens � ( Span. Prot. El Aiun �SA -1.44 HAMRA SPANISH AD torruou AL IFNI/id Ifni SAHARA � FIDE ov-i Mils Cisneros SPAIN � GIBRALTAR tag, nJ.K.Y ) MOROCCO /..�#` cos. ott e� ALGERIA Tindouf Ft. Trinquet k7 FRENCH � WEST Ft. Gouraud N:r AFRICA 0 4--- M 11. ES 3C:0 80131 2 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 may lead to cabinet crisis. Jordanian and Iraqi Kings meet to discuss measures to counter Egyp- tian-Syrian union. 11 FEBRUARY 1958 I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Chou En-lai reiterates proposal for withdrawal of foreign troops from Korea and suggests Peiping's grow- ing concern over "two Chinas" con- cept. USSR - Foreign aid administrator Pervukhin's position as a candidate member of the party presidium ap- pears in doubt; Bulganin's position also remains shaky. USSR opposes meeting of UN Dis- armament Commission. II. ASIA-AFRICA Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 'NNW �410 vi knA.Avni. 0 France - Bombing of Tunisian village 0 / Egypt planning roundup of undergi ound Communists. Indonesia - Lt. Col. Hussein broad- casts demand that Sukarno dissolve Djuanda cabinet within five days. Kenya - African nationalists increas- ing political agitation. III. THE WEST o 0 Britain - Macmillan government faces loss in two coming by-elections. TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 I trr La ,401, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 11 February 1958 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Communist China: In his foreign policy speech on 10 February, Chou En-lai reaffirmed Peiping's declara- tion of 7 February calling for withdrawal of foreign troops from Korea, and asserted Communist China would "take the initiative" in this regard. His speech also suggested Peiping's growing apprehension over international senti- ment in favor of the "two Chinas" concept, and reempha- sized his regime's view that Taiwan must be brought un- der mainland control. Soviet leadership shifts: The position of foreign aid administrator Mikhail Pervukhin as a candidate member of the presidium appears to be in doubt. Premier Bulganin's status also appears to be shaky. (Page 1) Disarmament--Soviet view: The Soviet Union opposed the convening of the UN Disarma - ment Commission, on which the USSR has refused to serve, or discussing disarmament within the United Nations at this time. The USSR holds that such discussions wouldlurther complicate the digarmament problem and would be ill-timed since the prospects for summit talks seem tO be increasing. The Soviet Union has suggested disarmament as one of the topics for a summit meeting. TOP SECRET "Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 � \\ N 7 0 N Not L \ Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 4in II. ASIA-AFRICA Tunisia: Carefully controlled popular demonstrations in Tunisia will probably be organized by the government to channel indignation arising from the French bombing of a Tunisian village on 8 February. Tunisian indignation is partly focused on the United States because of French use of American-built planes in the attack. In Paris, there is widespread consternation over evidence that the French bombing in Tunisia may have been a calculated move to con- front the Gaillard government with a fait accompli. There are preliminary indications that the whole Algerian question may be reopened; the possible complicity of Minister for Algeria Lacoste may disrupt the cabinet. (Page 2) � Egyptian-Syrian union�Arab. countermoves: Jordan's King cliisiarn'is scheduled...lb meet King Faysal of Iraq today to discuss measures, including confederation of their two countries, to counter the impact of the Egyptian-Syrian un- ion. Hussayn flew, to Beirut on 10 February, probably in a last-minute personal attempt to persuade Lebanon at least to delay recognizing the union. Egyptian editorial praise for the idea of an Iraq-Jordan combination is probably an advance psychological effort by Nasir to minimize the anti- EmtianJiiplications of such a combination. Egyptian move against Communists: Nasir's minister of the interior has apparently completed plans, begun about 1 January, for a roundup of 250 key underground Communists in an effort to "break the back" of the Communist movement in Egypt. Previous moves of this kind have been only partial- ly successful. The new drive would seem to be in response to a recent unification of Communist factions in Egypt, and demon- strates Nasiiis determination to suppress internal Communism. (Page 3) 11 Feb 58 DAILY BRIEF TOP SECRET \Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 N \ S \ � \\ 111 \ � Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 %.1.1 wol L tl�d Indonesia: Lt. Col. Hussein broadcast on 10 February from Central Sumatra a demand to President Sukarno giving him five days to dissolve the Djuanda cabinet. It is still not entirely certain whether a rival government will be established in Sumatra. as originally planned, if Sukarno refuses. (Page 4) Kenya: Serious deterioration in the Kenya political and securargituation has resulted from a recent spurt in politi- cal agitation by African nationalists. The government has re- cently adopted repressive countermeasures, and the police commissioner foresees the possibility of martial law. Agita- tion by Africans against their constitutional position is likely to intensify further following legislative elections scheduled in March. (Page 5) III. THE WEST Britain: Despite a favorable press reaction to Macmillan's 8 February note to Bulganin, the Conservative government's standing with the British public remains low. Loss of two com- ing parliamentary byL".elections, the first on 12 February, will be a further blow. Continuation of voting trends registered in by-elections over the past year will cause both seats formerly held by Conservatives to swing to the Labor party. (Page 6) 11 Feb 58 DAILY BRIEF iii TOP SECRET sk\ Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 4_51 LA N JLA31.1L4 Nur, �L THE COMMUNIST BLOC Soviet Presidium Member May Be Slated for Demotion The position of Soviet foreign aid administrator Mikhail Pervukhin as a candidate member of the party presidium ap- pears to be in doubt. He is the only one of the 23 full and candidate members of the presidium who has not been in- cluded in published lists of nominations to the USSR Supreme Soviet, according to the American Embassy in Moscow. Evan if subsequently nominated, Pervukhin, who was until last June one of the Soviet regime t top industrial executives, has clear- ly been set apart from his colleagues on the partyt top body. As in the case of Premier Bulganin, the contempt shown in the electoral process for Pervukhint prestige may signify impending demotion. Pervukhin was dropped from full membership in the pre- sidium at the June 1957 central committee plenum, but hung on as the lowest ranking candidate member. Soon thereafter he lost his place as a first deputy chairman of the Council of Ministers and was given a lower ranking post as chairman of the Committee on Foreign Economic Relations. These moves appeared to indicate that Pervukhin, like Bulganin, had not given Khrushchev his wholehearted support in the policy debate which preceded defeat of the Malenkov-lViolotov-Kaganovich faction, but that Khrushchev hesitated to reveal the size of the opposition by making a clean sweep then. The further decline of Bulganin and Pervukhin would emphatically demonstrate Khrushchevt political pre-eminence -CONFIDENTIAL 11 Feb 58 CFNTRAI INTFI I InFNCF Rill I FTIN Page 1 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Louu TA' 11,1Ls' IN I 1.11,11.4 Nap, 11000 II. ASIA-AFRICA Reaction to French Bombing of Tunisian Village Carefully controlled popular demonstrations will probably be organized by the Tunisian Government to pro- vide an outlet for indignation arising from the French Air Force bombing of the border village of Sakiet Sidi Youssef on 8 February. Barring further border incidents, the Tunisians are likely to comply with President Bourguiba's request that order be maintained and that there be no re- taliation against French citizens residing in Tunisia. Tunisian indignation is partially focused on the United States because American-built planes were used in the French attack. This indignation is reinforced by the bit- terness prevailing in Tunisia over what is regarded as in- adequate American economic assistance to Tunisia com- pared with more generous aid recently given to France. Bourguiba has protested to the United Nations against the bombing, but has refrained thus far from severing re- lations with France. By demanding the evacuation of all French troops from Tunisia, including the base at Bizerte, however, he has retracted his public offer of December that France might continue to use the base. In Paris, there is widespread consternation over the circumstances of the attack and preliminary evidence that it may have been a calculated move to present the govern- ment with a fait accompli. The topic will be raised in the National Assembly on 11 February, and the possible com- plicity of Minister for Algeria Lacoste may disrupt the cabinet. -CONFIDENTIAL - 11 Feb 58 CFNTPAI INTFI LIGENCE BULLETIN Page 2 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 vi New, %NO Nasir May Launch New Internal Anti-Communist Drive The Egyptian minister of interior has completed lans t_for_a_roune under round Communists, Preparations were begun about 1 January, and responsible officials in the ministry hope that they will be able to convict 70 percent of those arrested. Similar moves by the Nasir regime in the past have been only partially successful. The new effort appears to be a reaction to the progressive unification of Communist factions, culminating in the formation of a single under- ground Egyptian Communist party at the end of January. The elimination of divisions within the party can be ex- pected to increase its subverOve notential. which the re- me presumably presumably recognizes. I arrests probably will not take place until after the Egyptian-Syrian plebiscite for union on 21 February. Large-scale action against Egyptian Communists shortly after union, accompanied by an expected curtail- ment of overt party activity in Syria, would accentuate Nasies claim that the new United Arab Republic will be strictly neutralist and will not be undermined by Com- munist influence. By contrast, the Syrian Foreign Minis- try instructed its ambassador in Moscow to present the LIAlt as a "strong front against Imperialism," devoted to "strength- ening friendship between the two countries and the USSR. " TOP SECRETl 11 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Vi .11.PJUI I .1 .a..ex.s,a verof Central Sumatran Leader. Broadcasts Demand to President Sukarno Lt. Col. Hussein, commander in Central Sumatra, on 10 February broadcast a demand that President Su- karno dissolve the Djuanda cabinet within five days. Hus- sein asked for a new cabinet headed by former Vice Presi- dent Mohammed Hatta and the Sultan of Jogjakarta. Should Sukarno refuse, Hussein said, the dissidents would declare themselves "free from any obligation to obey President Sukarno." The dissidents' next step, if Sukarno ignores their de- mands, presumably will be the establishment in Sumatra of a rival Indonesian government, as they had earlier planned. However, their wording Opears sufficiently indefinite to permit compromise, and the dissidents themselves are not now united on the desirability of establishing a rival govern- ment. Former Vice President Hatta, on whom the dissidents count heavily, asserts he will not participate in either a rival government or in a successor to the Djuanda cabinet Lt. Col. Barlian, commander in South Sumatra, has co- operated extensively with the dissidents, but apparently has not as yet decided to join any government proposed by them. North Sumatran sunnort for a rival government is even more uncertain. CONFIDENTIAL 11 Feb 58 CFNTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 vireo, Kenya Political and Security Situation Deteriorating Serious deterioration in the political and security situation in Kenya has occurred recently because of grow- ing agitation by African nationalists. The eight African elected representatives to the Kenya Legislative Council have refused to participate in the government for the past 11 months, and in November denounced the constitutional reform plan announced by the British Government. Their stand has received popular endorsement from all sections of African opinion. The tempo of nationalist activity has quickened, particularly around the capital city of Nairobi, and is likely to be intensified following legislative council elections scheduled for March. The government has recently become so disturbed by the over-all pattern of disruptive events that it has adopted repressive countermeasures, and the Kenya police commis- sioner foresees the possible imposition of martial law. The authorities have banned political meetings in Nairobi and recently uncovered a subversive African organization with /s /me similarities to Mau Mau. 11 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 5 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 ILAAL !L. _ NW, III. THE WEST Macmillan Government Faces Future Blows to Prestige The Conservative government's standing with the Brit- ish public remains low despite the favorable press reaction to Prime Minister Macmillan's 8 February reply to Bulganin regarding a possible summit meeting. The government faces a critical period, with its new firmness in restraining wage increases yet to be tested to the point of risking major strikes. The loss of two coming parliamentary by-elections may limit the government's ability to deal effectively with overriding do- mestic and foreign policy issues. The government therefore is inclined to curry public opinion on those issues which have wide all-party support, such as European security and nuclear disarmament. In 15 by-elections over the past year, the Conservative share of the vote has fallen on the average from 7 to 10 per- cent from the 1955 general election. A continuation of this trend would give the Labor party a fairly easy victory in the contests in the marginal constituencies of Rochdale, on 12 February, and Kelvingrove. Liberal party candidates, who have captured a large share of the disgruntled Conservative vote in several recent by-elections, are contesting both seats. According to the American Embassy, Conservative leaders have not only conceded defeat but also fear that at Rochdale the Liberals may, for the first time in the post- war nerinri finish shparl nf Cnnsprvativp eandiristP. -CONFIDENTIAL 11 Feb 58 CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 \� N Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169397 -vz %La kw, CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 11 February 1958 DAILY BRIEF I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC Communist China: In his foreign policy speech on 10 FeWivary, Chou En-lai reaffirmed Peiping's declara- tion of.? February calling for withdrawal of foreign troops from Korea, and asserted Communist China would "take the initiative" in this regard. His speech also suggested Peiping's growing apprehension over international senti- ment in favor of the "two Chinas" concept, and re-:empha- sized his regime's view that Taiwan must be brought un, der mainland control. Soviet leadership shifts: The position of foreign aid administrator Mikhail Pervukhin as a candidate member of the presidium appears to be in doubt. Premier Bulganin's status also alApproved'for'Relealsel: 2019/08/20 C03169397 (Page 1)