CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/08/21

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02987886
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 18
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: August 21, 1958

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21 August 1958
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CENTRAL
TELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
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21 AUGUST 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Soviet party central committee may
be meeting in Moscow.
Soviet submarines continue to op-
erate in North Atlantic and Nor-
wegian Sea.
Polish security police ordered to
procure documentary proof of anti-
regime activity by Catholic clergy.
Soviet Embassy in Baghdad staffed
with experts in intelligence operations.�
II. ASIA-AFRICA
con-
tinued friction with Moroccan and
Tunisian allies.
Burma - Prime Minister Nu appears
to be losing his slim parliamentary
majority; will probably call general
elections.
� India continuing support for Tibetan
refugees despite Chinese Communist
protests.
IlL THE WEST
0 De Gaulle may make diplomatic ef-
fort to arrange modus vivendi be-
tween Western powers and Arab na-
tionalism.
0 Jordan - King Husayn says he will
accept resignation of his pro-Western
prime minister unless US agrees by
30 August to mutual defense pact and
increased financial assistance.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
21 August 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*USSR: There are indications that some high Soviet of-
ficials have assembled in Moscow and that they may have
been called for a special conclave, perhaps a party central
committee meeting. The Soviet ambassador to Prague, a
full member of the committee, departed his post on 16 Au-
gust and VIP flights inside the USSR terminating in Moscow
were noted on 14 and 16 August. None of the members of
the party presidium has appeared in public since the latter
date. A plenum called at a time when Khrushchev was
scheduled to be on vacation would suggest that particularly
pressing problems needed consideration.
Soviet submarine activity: Soviet Northern Fleet sub-
marines continue to operate in the North Atlantic and Nor-
wegian Sea. At least one group is in the Iceland area where
US naval units made two positive and separate submarine
sightings on 18 August.
a second group is moving south in the Norwegian
Sea toward the area of Iceland and the Faeroe Islands, pos-
sibly to relieve the other units. This activity, 'which ap-
pears to be operational in nature, began in mid-July and
may be related to the international situation. The USSR
now has 124 long-range submarines in the Northern Fleet
and 60 in the Baltic Fleet suitable for these operations.
(Page 1)
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Poland: The Polish Security Police have been instructed
to procure documentary proof of antistate activity by the Cath-
olic clergy for use in discrediting them publicly. By taking
such a measure, Gomulka probably hopes to be able to estab-
lish a legally sound case which would lessen popular opposi-
tion to any future moves he may have to take against the
church to satisfy party demands. (Page 2)
USSR-Iraq: The Soviet Union has staffed its embassy in
Baghdad with a group particularly well qualified to expand So-
viet penetration efforts in Iraq. Of the eight Soviet officials
bearing diplomatic passports, several appear to have been
engaged previously in intelligence operations and six have had
previous experience in the Middle East.
(Page 3)
Watch Committee conclusion--Sino-Soviet Bloc (as of
20 August)F
A. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hos-
tilities against the continental US or its possessions in the
immediate future.
B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends deliberately to
initiate direct military action against US forces abroad, US
allies, or areas peripheral to the orbit in the immediate fu-
ture.
NOTE: The Chinese Communists do not appear to intend major
offensive military action in the Taiwan Strait area in the im-
mediate future. They are increasing their capabilities to
bring heavy pressure, including interdiction by air, on the
offshore islands and could initiate an attack on them with little
or no warning, Air elashes in the Taiwan Strait area are like-
ly to recur.
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II. ASIA AFRICA
Watch Committee conclusion�Middle East (as of 20 Aupst):
Although a deliberate initiation of open hostilities in the
Middle East is unlikely in the immediate future, the situation
remains highly unstable throughout the area, particularly
where US and UK interests or commitments are involved, and
incidents and coups could occur at any time.
NOTE: The survival of the Jordanian regime continues to be
threatened. If the regime in Jordan collapses, action by neigh-
boring countries to take control of Jordanian territory is likely.
There are indications of closer accommodation between Saudi
Arabia and the UAR.
Algeria: continued friction
between the Algerian rebel movement (FLN) and its Moroccan
and Tunisian allies and some minor discord within the FLN it-
self. The FLN has apparently failed recently to carry out or-
ders from its headquarters to conduct certain terrorist ac-
tivities. In spite of these difficulties, the FLN is continuing
its campaign to minimize the number of Moslems voting in
France's September referendum.
(Page 4)
Burma: Premier Nu appears to be losing his slim parlia-
mentary majority. Left-wing members of the Communist-in-
fluenced National Unity Front, on which he relies, have indi-
cated they will not support the government on certain major
policy matters. Nu has cancelled the budgetary session of Par-
liament, scheduled for 28 August. and he will probably call
early general elections. (Page 6)
21 Aug 58
DAILY BRIEF iii
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