CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/02/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03169390
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 19
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: February 6, 1958

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6 February 1958
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CENTRAL
NTFLLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. _
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CLASS. CHANGED
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
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6 FEBRUARY 1958
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Bulganin's political standing in doubt.
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!L. ASIA-AFRICA
USSR renews efforts to obtain diplo-
matic relations with Morocco.
Algerian rebels seek to highlight
international implications of con-
flict with France.
Saud has informed Jordan he is un-
able to pay subsidy.
Israelis continue pressure in Syr-
ian border zone.
ILL THE WEST
Cyprus - Violence by either or both
Greek and Turkish Cypriots almost
inevitable.
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DAILY BRIEF
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
6 February 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
ulganin's political position is in doubt. The
Sovie preMier has not been renominated in his home
district in Moscow for election to the Supreme Soviet, and
the publicity given his nomination in two provincial districts
has been far below that given other leaders.
(page 1)
Poland faces worker discontent:
The high level of discontent in Poiand
among urban workers during 1957 will continue and may
Increase this year because of the low standard of living
which probably will not improve significantly this year.
(page 3) (Map)
Soviet military
Travel to eastern Rumania by Western attaches has been
restricted since 18 January 1957.
(See map on reverse)
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II. ASIA -AFRICA
Morocco: Foreign Minister Ahmed Balafrej has told
the graT6E-Fin cabinet that Soviet ambassadors in London,
Paris, and Cairo recently approached their Moroccan col-
leagues abQut the desuhility Qf excYarigyig_amliassadors-' A
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Moroccan government official states that the ability of the
Moroccans to delay responses to the Soviet approaches de-
pends on the outcome of and negotiations with the United
States and France. (page 4)
Algerian rebel activity: The Algerian rebels are main-
taining their military effi-it, apparently with the primary
aim of impressing the Moslem population and forcing France
to maintain its heavy Algerian commitment. At the same
L.-- time, the rebels are endeavoring to highlight the interna-
tional implications of the conflict in the apparent belief
that external pressure will prove a decisive factor in in-
ducing French concession of Algeria's right to independ-
ence. (page 5 )
Jordan subsidy problem: King Saud has informed the
Jordanian Government he will be unable to provide Jordan
the subsidy of about $14�000,000 he had promised for the
next fiscal year. Saud has indicated
that he would meet this "moral obligation� if Jordan were
desperate. The sum involved is 22 percent of Jordan's
1958 budget. (page 6)
*Israeli-Syrian border: Tension continues on the north-
ern sTaiTir�� of the Israeli-Syrian border, where Israeli forces
have been increased during the last few days. The 60-man
Israeli force which entered the northern demilitarized zone
on 4 February remained in the zone on 5 February in defiance
of an order by the Israeli-Syrian Mixed Armistice Commis-
sion to withdraw. Israeli aerial reconnaissance of the border
area continued on 5 February. No Syrian countermoves have
been observed, but the Syrian Army is reported concerned
over its ability to control Syrian villagers who are sensitive
to Israeli military activity near their lands.
(page 7) (Map)
6 Feb 58
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III. THE WEST
� 13ritish:problem on Cyprus: Although British officials
On Cyprus statFniliain m-a75-6 forced to choose between
Greece and Turkey as allies, London will seek to postpone
a crisis. Violence by either or both Greek and Turkish
Cypriots now seems almost inevitable. Among other meas-
ures, London is now considering whether to send Governor
Foot to the Greek Government and Makarios with an interim
plan involving the return of Makarios and the institution of
eventual self-government. Foot himself Is now) very pessi-
mistic. - He feels British action is severely inhibited by
Turkish opposition. (page 8)
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Bulganin's Political Position in Question
Premier Bulganin's political stature may have suf-
fered severely, judging from the manner in which his
nomination for election to the Supreme Soviet is being
handled in the soviet press.
According to the American Embassy in Moscow, he
was not listed among the Soviet leaders proposed for can-
didacy in the first round of nominations reported in the
press on 2 February. Presidium member Shvernik was
nominated in the Moscow electoral district which elected
Bulganin in 1954. When the press on 4 February included
Bulganin in listing the nominations of all presidium mem-
bers, the treatment given him was plainly perfunctory.
Pravda alone, among the central press, noted his nomina-
tion, and then only for one district each in the Ukraine and
Latvia. Pravda and Izvestia editorials on 2 February made
special n6te-C7rthe nominations of seven other presidium
members, and editorials in the army and agricultural news-
papers on 4 February mentioned 14 of the 15 presidium mem-
bers, ignoring only Bulganin.
While nomination and election to the Supreme Soviet is
pro forma in the case of presidium members, the number
of districts which offer them nomination and press coverage
of the proceedings usually provide a carefully contrived re-
flection of hierarchical rank.
Bulganin was said to have wavered in his support of
arushchev during last Junes battle in the presidium, and
there were indications soon thereafter that his political
position was shaky. Although he had seemed to recover
some of his lost prestige more recently, these latest signs
may foreshadow his imminent downgrading and removal
from the premiership.
-CONFIDENTIAL
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EAST
GERMANY
USSR
POINTS OF POLISH
INTERIOR TROOP
ALERTS
.Poznan
POLAND
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'Wroclaw
CZECHOSLOVAKIA
6 FEBRUARY 1958
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Unrest in Poland Over Economic Conditions
Polish interior forces were under almost continuous
alert in the southern and western industrial areas of the
country between 24 January and 3 February, a period
which coincided with tension over a strike threatened by
workers in Wroclaw on 22 January.
The security alert may be indicative of the Polish re-
gime's anxiety over the continuing discontent of Polish
workers generally. The standard of living in Poland is
unlikely to rise during 1958 to the extent it did in 1957.
Reserves of food and consumer goods which were de-
pleted in 1957 to satisfy demand are to be restored this
year, and the use of expensive short-term credits from
abroad is to be restricted. Possibly as much as 50 per-
cent of the increase in personal consumption in 1957 was
financed by foreign credits. Exports of focid are to be
Increased in 1958 by 33 percent, while imports of items
like grain and butter are to be reduced 60 and 53 percent
respectively. Consumer goods imports are to be re-
duced 15 to 20 percent.
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II. ASIA-AFRICA
Morocco Pressed to Establish Diplomatic Relations
With the USSR
Moroccan Foreign Minister Ahmed Balafrej is
reported to have told the cabinet, prior to his depar-
ture on 28 January for a two-week visit to the Middle
East, that Soviet ambassadors in London, Paris, and
Cairo had recently approached their Moroccan col-
leagues to convince Rabat of the desirabilitypof ex-
changing ambassadors. These approaches apparently
are a follow-up to the Soviet note in mid-December to
which Rabat made a noncommittal reply. Balafrej is
reported to question how much longer he could delay.
the
ability of the Moroccans to delay the opening of a So-
viet dmbassy in Rabat will depend on the extent and
rapidity with which the United States and France fur-
nish economic aii Negotiations were opened 27 Janu-
ary on the $50,000,000 in aid requested last November
when the King was in Washington. Although Paris an-
nounced on 28 January that it would subsidize Rabat in
the amountoof some $15,000,000 to offset a 20-percent
devaluation of the Moroccan franc, more extensive
French assistance remains to be negotiated.
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6 Feb 58
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Algerian Rebels Believed to Have Altered Ba.sic Strategy
The Algerian rebels are maintaining their military
effort in a manner which suggests a reorientation of their
entire basic strategy. They have apparently abandoned
their earlier objective of fomenting internal unrest among
the increasingly war-weary Moslem population in favor of
impressing their Moslem compatriots with a show of force
add preventing France from diminishing its Algerian com-
mitment. Tactically, the rebels have virtually, given up
indiscriminate economic sabotage and many small-scale
engagements for fewer but larger. 6ca1e and more carefully
selected operations.
Simultaneously, apparently as an integral part of the
new strategy, the rebels are enddavoring to highlight the
international implications of the Conflict�presumably in
the belief that external pressure will eventually prove a
decisive factor in inducing French recognition of Algeria's
right to independence. Thus, the rebels appear to be
stepping up their propaganda effort abroad and have sought
to extract maximum advantage from a recent Interniational
Red Cross mission inside Algeria to visit four French
soldiers captured near the Tunisian border on 11 January.
Algerian leaders may also consider it to their advantage to
keep world attention focused on the Tunisian and "Moroccan
border areas and to prevent a genuine rapprochement be-
tween these countries and France.
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King Saud Seeking to Avoid Payment of Annual
Subsidy to Jordan
King Saud has informed the Jordanian Government
that because of his government's precarious financial
condition he will be unable to provide Jordan the $14, -
000,000 subsidy promised for the fiscal year beginning
in April. Saud has acknowledged his moral obligation
to assist Jordan, however, and has said that if it were
essential for Jordan's survival he would attempt to fur-
nish the funds. Saud indicated, meanwhile, that he would
seek to induce the United States and Iraq to advance the
funds. He was hopeful that he would be able to resume
the payments in the following year.
Jordan's King Hussayn asserts that Saud's default
would seriously endanger Jordan and the stability ,of his
government. The Saudi subsidy amounted to about 22 per-
cent of Jordan's 1958 budget, more than half of which is
provided by foreign aid.
Saudj raised the possibility of suspending the subsidy
during the recent visit of Jordan's Deputy Prime Minister
Rifai to Riyadh to seek Saudi support for a confederation
of kings to oppose �Nasir's union. Saud's reluctance to
support Hussayn and his alleged inability to provide funds,
due in part to shortage of foreign exchange resulting from
Na8ir's closure of the Suez Canal, underscores the shaky
basis of Hussayn's government and the CliViSiVP fnreps
prevailing among the Arab Kings.
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ISRAELI SYRIAN BORDER ) !
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6 FEBRUARY 1953
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I
Israel Continues Pressure on Syrian Border Zone:
Tension continues along the northern sector of the
Israeli-Syrian border, where Israeli forces have been in-
creased during the last few days. By 5 February, accord-
ing to the American army attach�n Damascus,
the Israelis had concentrated at least a battalion�approx-
imately 800-1,000 men--in this area with the principal
force at the settlement of Dan. �The 60-man force of Israe-
li combat engineers, which entered the northern demilita-
rizedzoneon 4 February to remove mines, remained there
on 5 February with its covering force of armored cars and
border police in defiance of an order to withdraw by the
Israeli-Syrian Mixed Armistice Commission. Israeli
aerial reconnaissance of the border area also continued
on 5 February. Information on Israeli troop movements
has been rendered difficult by am Israeli restriction since
3 February on the movement of UN truce observers in the
entire area north of the Rosh Pinna - Jisr Banat Yaqub
road, which constitutes the northern half of the Israeli-
Syrian border.
No military preparations by the Syrian front com-
mand have been reported by the truce observers. The
Syrian Army was reported concerned, however, over its
ability to control Syrian villagers, who are sensitive to
Israeli military activity near their lands in the demilita--
rizedzoneg, where the Israelis are now asserting sovereign-
ty. Maintenance of Israeli pressure on the northern part
of the Syrian border continues to suggest that the Israelis
may attempt to provoke an incident with the Syrians which
would give them a pretext for an action against Syrian mili-
tary positions.
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Noir
III. THE WEST
Cyprus
British officials have stated in the last few days that
the Cyprus situation is becoming a "horrifying dilemma"
which may rapidlylforce London to choose between Greece
and Turkey as allies. There appears to be little hope for a
solution which would not give either the Greeks or the Turks
a further excuse for violence. Colonel Grivas), head of the
Greek Cypriot underground organization EOKA, has already
ordered his followers to start all-out war against the British.
While the recently reinforced British security forces appear
capable of eventually controlling EOICA by force, they are
reluctantto take on the added burden of suppressing Turkish
Cypriot violence.
London must make an early decision on Governor Foot's
suggestion that he visit Athens to try to sell an interim plan
to the Greek Government and Archbishop Makarios. Foot's
new plan proposes the return of Makarios and the introduc-
tion of virtual self-government, leaving the ultimate status
of the island to be resolved later through tripartite negotia-
tions. While London is anxious to show some progress on
the Cyprus question, Foot himself is very pessimistic about
gaining more than an uneasy stalemate now.
Athens might accept the proposals if the method of deter-
mining the island's ultimate status were left vague, but Ankara
and the Cypriot Turks may react violently. London will prob-
ably seek to postpone the crisis by adopting Foot's recommenda-
tion to make only a noncommittal statement on Cvnru. in Parlia-
ment, perhaps next week.
6 Feb 58
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.1001
DISTRIBUTION
THE PRESIDENT
The Vice President
Executive Offices of the White House
Special Assistant for National Security Affairs
Scientific Adviser to the President
Director of the Budget
Office of Defense Mobilization
Special Assistant for Security Operations Coordination
Operations Coordinating Board
Board of Consultants on Foreign Intelligence Activities
Special Assistant for Foreign Economic Policy
The Treasury Department
The Secretary of the Treasury
The Department of State
The Secretary of State
The Under Secretary of State
The Deputy Under Secretary for Political Affairs
The Deputy Under Secretary for Administration
The Deputy Under Secretary for Economic Affairs
The Counselor
Director, International Cooperation Administration
Director of Intelligence and Research
The Department of Defense
The Secretary of Defense
The Deputy Secretary of Defense
The Secretary of the Army
The Secretary of the Navy
The Secretary of the Air Force
The Chairman, The Joint Chiefs of Staff
Commandant, United States Marine Corps
The Director, The Joint Staff
Chief of Staff, United States Army
Chief of Naval Operations, United States Navy
Chief of Staff, United States Air Force
Assistant to Secretary of Defense for Special Operations
Deputy Director for Intelligence, The Joint Staff
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Army
Director of Naval Intelligence, Department of the Navy
Assistant Chief of Staff, Intelligence, Department of the Air Force
Supreme Allied Commander, Europe
Commander in Chief, Pacific
Federal Bureau of Investigation
The Director
Atomic Energy Commission
The Chairman
National Security Agency
The Director
National Indications Center
The Director
United States Information Agency
The Director
-Ci2X-PM1?7T-W7-244F�
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
6 February 1958
DAILY BRIEF
THE COMMUNIST BLOC
pu,Iganints political position is in doubt. The
Sovie premier has not been renominated in his home
district in Moscow for election to the Supreme Soviet, and
the publicity given his nomination in two provincial districts
has been far below that given other leaders.
(page 1)
Poland faces worker discontent:
The high level of discontent in Poland
among urban workers during 1957 will continue and may
Increase this year because of the low standard of living
which Drobablv will not improve significantly this year,
(page 3) (Map)
Soviet military
Travel to eastern Rumania by Western attaches has been
restricted since 18 January 1957.
(See map on reverse)
Algerian rebel activity: The Algerian rebels are main-
taining their military effort, apparently with the primary
aim of impressing the Moslem population and forcing France
to maintain its heavy Algerian commitment. At the same
time, the rebels are endeavoring to highlight the interna-
tional implications of the conflict in the apparent belief
that external pressure will prove a decisive factor in in-
ducing French concession of Algeria's right to independ-
ence. Approved for Release: 2019/08/20 C03169390
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