CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/11/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 06232629
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 24
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: November 3, 1958

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3.3(h)(2)
PeSir 3.5(c)
3 November 1958
CENTRAL
Copy No. C
59
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 2
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3 NOVEMBER 1958
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
Taiwan Strait - Lull continues, but
forces on mainland remain at strength.
USSR may claim credit for "limited"
tin exports in 1959. -
Polish foreign minister outlines new
version of plan for "atom'-free zone"
in Central Europe;
New Polish five-year plan provides
for industrial growth at same rate
as present.
USSR- Pasternak affair not yet fin-
ished.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
. �The Arab-Israeli situation.
�Anti-British rioting in Aden.
�Saudi arms being sent to Omani '
rebels.
�Moroccan crown prince to visit Nasir:
III. THE WEST
French foreign minister redefines
De Gaulle's plan for tripartite policy
coordination.
Haiti- Army officers may oust Pres-
ident.
LATE ITEM
� USSR- Nuclear explosions in oKapustin
Yar and Krasnovodsk areas.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3 November 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*Taiwan Strait situation: The Chinese Communists re-
sumed sporadic shelling of Big Chinmen on 3 November
following a 38-hour lull. The Chinese Communists have
maintained the strong forces deployed in and near the strait
area in July and August, and in some ways they have been
augmenting and attempting to improve the capabilities of
these forces. The movement into Manchuria of up to a reg-
iment of Soviet MIG-19's on 25 and 26 October has been
confirmed. (Page 1)
USSR-West: Soviet negotiations with the International
Tin Council (ITC) suggest that in 1959 the USSR intends to
export all available surplus Sino-Soviet bloc tin, and at the
same time claim credit for alleviating economic difficulties
in Free World tin-producing countries by appearing to limit
its exports. The Sino-Soviet bloc will have available from
current production only an estimated 10,000 tons of tin for
export in 1959. Moscow, by drawing from stockpiles this
year, will export about 18,000 tons and may agree to "limit"
future exports by about 50 percent--the quota now imposed
on Free World exporters by the ITC in an attempt to stabilize
tr price of tin
Atom-Free Zone plan: During his recent visit to Oslo,
Polish Foreign Minister Rapacki discussed a new version of
his plan for an "atom-free zone" in Central Europe. This
version probably will be presented as a Soviet bloc proposal
at the forthcoming Geneva talks on Prevention of Surprise
Attack. The revised plan envisages two phases: the first
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step would prohibit equipping additional forces in the zone
with nuclear weapons and ban their manufacture there; the
second phase would be concerned with the "gradual with-
drawal" of all such weanons and the reduction of conventional
forces in the zone
'Poland: The Gomulka regime in Poland has outlined a
moderate economic plan for the period of 19614965; the
scheduled rate of industrial growth is about the same as
that of the present five-5year plan: The new_plail, which con-
tinues Poland's dependence on bloc raw materials and mar-
kets, will not serve to moderate greatly the present dissatis-
faction with low living standards, but will reduce some of the
worst existing shortages. (Page 4)
USSR: Pasternak's letter to Khrushchev probably will
not still the campaign of vilification and the threats which
forced the writer to demean himself with admission of pos-
sible error and to plead to be allowed to remain in the Soviet
Union. The Kremlin will probably try to obtain a more abject
confession, but efforts to do so run the danger of intensifying
popular interest in Pasternak's book and of further damaging
the USSR's standing abroad. Copies are now believed to be
circulating clandestinely in intellectual and student circles.
(Page 5)
II. ASIA-AFRICA
The Arab-Israeli situation: UAR forces remain on a
precautionary alert and are taking steps to protect airfields
and ports against surprise attack. The chief of the Israeli-
Syrian Mixed Armistice Commission stated on 30 October
that Israel suspended work at noon that day on a controver-
sial irrigation ditch near Lake Tiberias. This appears to
put off for the moment a threatened engagement between UAR
and Israeli forces.
3 Nov 58
DAILY BRIEF
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