CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1958/06/18

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03194466
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: January 27, 2020
• Document Release Date: January 30, 2020
• Publication Date: June 18, 1958

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3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2)
18 June 1958
Copy No. 140
CENTRAL
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
1
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
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REVIEWER:
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18 JUNE 1958
L THE COMMUNIST BLOC
USSR - Indications are that a cen-
tral committee plenum is in session. 0
IL ASIA-AFRICA
Lebanon - Cabinet authorizes Chamoun
to call for Western intervention. Some
army officers still planning to oust
Chamoun. Jordanian prime minister
states his country will take any action
Lebanon requests to save the coun-
try, and believes only armed inter-
vention will suffice.
TJAR starts propaganda aimed at stir-
ring up Kurdish tribal minority against
Iraqi Government.
Cyprus - Further negotiations under
consideration; Greek terrorist organi-
zation warns it is poised for action. 0
Israeli police activity in Mt. Scopus
area may provoke new incident with
Jordan.
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0 Japan has begun concerted effort to
launch its Asian economic development
program.
0 Tunisia will probably renew requests
for American aid now that agreement
with France on evacuation and Bizerte
issues has been reached.
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
18 June 1958
DAILY BRIEF
I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
*USSR: The unusual haste with which several Soviet
ambassadors associated with the central committee have
returned to Moscow, plus the failure of the top Soviet lead-
ers to appear in public since 12 June, increases the likeli-
hood that a central committee plenum is meeting on matters
of more than routine importance. The Soviet leaders are
presently facing a number of pressing problems requiring
decisions in the fields of satellite affairs, Soviet policy to-
ward the West, and internal economic matters. Any latent
disagreements among the leaders could come to the surface
with political consequences for Khrushchev or for those
elements which are not behind him all the way. The execu-
tions in Hungary will increase the sensitivity among Soviet
officials in the USSR to the consequences of political error.
II. ASIA-AFRICA
*LebalAon: President Chamoun has been authorized by
the cabinet to call for Western intervention when and if he
feels it necessary. He is still hesitant to dismiss General
Shihab, despite the army commander's continued failure to
act decisively against the rebels. Some army officers are
completing plans to force Chamoun out.
tir
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Chamoun shows signs of being under great tension, and he
believes that the most critical point in the situation has been
reached. There has been no major change in the military
situation, but a new rebel military effort in Beirut is expected
shortly. The Jordanian prime minister states his government
will take any action the Lebanese might request "to preserve
Lebanon's independence." He believes that "nothing short of
armed intervention will save the situation."
A
0
UAR - Iraq: The UAR has started radio broadcasts di-
rected toward the Kurdish minority in northern Iraq. This
propaganda is apparently designed to arouse minority senti-
ment among the Kurds against the pro-Western Baghdad gov-
ernment, and may also be aimed at forestalling the possible
use of the Kurds by Iraa in connection with the Lebanese
situation. (Page 3)
*Cyprus: The postponement of the British policy state-
ment, at the request of the North Atlantic Council, is de-
signed to allow Greece, Turkey, and Britain to agree to
further negotiations, possibly to include Greek and Turkish
Cypriots, using the British plan as a basis for discussions.
At the 16 June meeting of the council, the Greek representa-
tive said Athens had not closed the door on further discus-
sions of the proposals, and the Turkish representative ex-
pressed Ankara's willingness to join a tripartite conference.
Tension continues on Cyprus. EOKA, which was quiet during
communal clashes last week, has warned that its forces are
"poised for action." Governor Foot, however, believes his
force can cope with any situation that arises.
Israel-Jordan: Israeli police activities in the Mt. Scopus
!An area of Jerusalem may provoke a new incident there. Prime
u Minister Ben-Gurion asserts "there is a limit to what Israel
will put up with" in safeguarding its rights on Mt. Scopus.
18 June 58
DAILY BRIEF ii
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Israel also intends to protest the recent delivery of military
aircraft to Jordan and Iraq.
DISSEMINATION)
Japan: Prime Minister Kishits new government has evi-
dently already begun a concerted effort to carry out an Asian
economic development program.
Japan is planning to establish "model plants" in selected
Asian countries and in Egypt and Chile.
Foreign Minister Fujiyama has announced that he vill
visit Washington this summer to confer with American leaders,
probably in a further attempt to gain US assistance.
(Page 4)
Tunisia: The Bourguiba government will probably make
a new request to the United States for arms and assistance
in training its military forces now that an agreement has ap-
parently been reached with France on the evacuation of French
forces and the provisional status of the Bizerte base.
(Page 5)
18 June 58 DAILY BRIEF iii
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I. THE COMMUNIST BLOC
No Back-up Material
II. ASIA-AFRICA
Lebanese Situation
President Chamoun has secured permission from the
Lebanese cabinet to request foreign intervention at his dis-
cretion. The President said that, alth.oggh he was not neces-
sarily planning to request intervention, the power to do so
was essential in light of the precarious situation. Chamoun
stated that interrogation of members of the Syrian armed
forces captured in Tripoli by the Lebanese Army revealed that
over 25,Syrian militafy'personnel were In the Beirut Moslem
quarter working with opposition leader Saib Salam.
Chamoun is still unwilling to dismiss army commander
General Shihab, despite Shihab's reluctance to take effective
action against the rebels. However, Chamoun does have plans
to replace certain general staff officers with men on whom he
can rely, Their presence would assure Chamoun of effective
control if Shihab should resign or be dismissed.
A group of anti-Chamoun officers has decided to carry
out a coup against the president regardless of Western sup-
port or opposition. On the night of 17 June the group was
distributing articles to the local press which would give a
favorable propaganda background for a coup. The timing of
the coup has not been set. While the success of a coup is
possible, it would depend on secrecy and many variable factors
which could disrupt the plan.
Some indication that the coup plans may already be known
outside the group of plotters can be inferred from the expressed
attitudes of some supporters of Chamoun who hint that they
would prefer a military coup to foreign intervention. They
have intimated that they would give the coup tacit approval by
standing aside in the event it is carried out.
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The military situation remains essentially unchanged, with
some fighting in Tripoli. An unsuccessful attack was made on
the Iraq Petroleum Company terminal at Tripoli.
rebel forces are planning to seize a
number of tall buildings in the European section of Beirut,
particularly near the American University, where they can
fire from the rooftops. the opposi-
tion will make a major effort using UAR fedayeen on 18 June.
A pfcimary target is to be the presidential palace. Ammunition
was being distributed in large quaiitities in the Moslem quarter
on 17 June.
Lebanese authorities are now telling the press that if the
UN does not pledge to guard Lebanon's borders and "do it fast,"
they will ask the United States and Great Britain fu armed
forces to do the job. Jordanian Prime Minister Rif at said that
his government will take any action requested by Beirut "to pre-
serve Lebanon's independence," but commented that, in his
opinion, "nothing short of armed intervention. 011 save the sit-
uation."
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UAR Initiates Kurdish-language Broadcasts
The UAR has begun Kurdish-language broadcasts, pre-
sumably beamed primarily at the Kurdish minority of 800,-
OGO in Iraq. This propaganda is apparently designed to
arouse minority sentiment among the Kurds against the pro-
Western Baghdad government, and may also be aimed at
forestalling the use of the Kurds by Iraq in connection with
the Lebanese situation.
The broadcasts, which have a strong, clear signal in
northern Iraq, are ostensibly designed to "strengthen rela-
tions between the Kurdish nation and the UAR," and include
newscasts, commentary, and Kurdish national songs. The
newscasts, which are almost verbatim translations from
Cairo's Voice of the Arabs, have recently emphasized the
"rebel cause" in Leb7on and stressed that "Kurds also
want independence."
Nasir and Kamal Rifat, his chief
of clandestine operations, had met with Kurdish leaders in
Syria and that Nasir had discussed the Kurdish question with
Soviet\ leaders during his trip to the USSR. Initiation of these
broadcasts will tend to confirm the Iraqis' belief that their
government is likely to be Nasir's next target, and might lead
them to revive their threat of protesting UAR activity to the
UN Security Council.
Most of the Kurdish tribal leaders have been reported
disillusioned over outside attempts to exploit their long-
standing desire for a separate national state, and an offer
of assistance from the UAR would probably be viewed with
considerable suspicion. However, in addition to their stand-
ard catalogue of grievances, the Iraqi Kurds this year have
been disturbed by the formation of the Arab Union between
Iraq and Jordan.
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Kishi Government Renews Program for Asian Economic
Development
The government of Japanese Prime Minister Kishi,
whose new cabinet supports his plan for an Asian economic
development program, apparently has begun a concerted ef-
fort to implement such a program and probably will make
a strong attempt to gain US assistance.
Foreign Minister Fujiyama,
has initiated a study of methods for de-
veloping industries in various countries. He is contemplat-
ing the establishment of "model plants" in Burma, Indonesia,
India, Egypt, and Chile, utilizing Japanese funds and tech-
nical services. Kishi has announced that he favors a de-
ferred-payments system in trade with Southeast Asia and
also stated, "There is considerable room for US coopera-
tion in pushing Japanese exports to Southeast Asia."
Kishi may send Fujiyama to Washington this summer to
confer with US officials. Economic problems, especially
Asian development and restrictions on Japanese exports to
the US, would be a major topic in such discussions.
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Tunisia Probably Will Renew Request for American
Military Aid
The Tunisian Government probably will renew its request
to the United States for arms and assistance in training its
military forces as soon as it reaches an agreement with France
on the evacuation of French forces and a provisional status for
Bizerte. Such an agreement was reported to have been signed
in Tunis on 17 lune.
The Tunisian Government, which resents its almost total
dependence on France for its materiel, will react adversely
to the slightest implication that France is tacitly conceded by
other Western powers the exclusive responsibility for supply-
ing and training the Tunisian Army. Bourguiba and other
Tunisian officials were embittered by US and UK refusal to
supply the small arms and ammunition he requested on 16 May
and seriously question the practicability of pursuing an openly
pro-Western course.
Tunisia last week officially asked Iraq for small arms, "no
matter what kind or in what quantity," and may have made a
similar approach to the United Arab Republic. On two occasions
during its prolonged crisis with France, it has borrowed arms
from the Algerian rebels based in Tunisia, and Bourguiba is re-
ported to fear that the Algerians might exploit the Tunisian mili-
tary weakness.
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