CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/08/15

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03179853
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: August 15, 1957

Approved for Release: 2019/12/10
�i#m
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
15 August 1957
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Copy No. 136
_
\UTH HK70-2
DATEINArIREVENER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
This document contains classified information affecting
the national security of the United States within the
meaning of the espionage laws, US Code Title 18, Sections
793, 794, and 798. The law prohibits its transmission
or the revelation of its contents in any manner to an un-
authorized person, as well as its use in any manner
prejudicial to the safety or interest of the United States
or for the benefit of any foreign government to the detri-
ment of the United States.
TOP SECRET
A
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
IOW owitkt
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
CONTENTS
� 1. JORDANIAN KING PLANNING EUROPEAN TOUR DURING
CRITICAL PERIOD (page 3).
2. FORMER INDIAN FINANCE MINISTER DESHMUKH MAY
RETURN TO OFFICE (page 4).
6.4._ 3. GUATEMALAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PLANNED FOR
20 OCTOBER (page 5).
Yt-o,
4. WEST GERMAN SOCIALIST LEADER PESSIMISTIC ON
ELECTION OUTCOME (page 6).
15 Aug 57
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
(page 7)
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
T7P,T1rr
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
4* aerk.
1. JORDANIAN KING PLANNING EUROPEAN TOUR DURING
CRITICAL PERIOD
Comment on:
King Hussain is reported planning to leave
Jordan on about 17 August to visit Turkey
and Western Europe, despite several at-
tempts to dissuade him. This trip would
dome at a time when Egyptian and Syrian political action is
creating a mounting sense of isolation and insecurity among
Jordanian moderates who support him. In addition to reports
of plans to assassinate Hussain and key Jordanian officials,
recent bombing and sabotage attempts and growing antiregime
rumor campaigns have accentuated the prevailing uneasiness.
The pro-American has privately
admitted that he is "scared stiff," and the King himself appears
disheartened. Hussain is particularly concerned over the at-
tempt to undermine the delicate position of the cabinet, which
has limited popular support and depends on the army for its au-
thority. If the King departs as planned, his absence will prob-
ably invite further Egyptian-Syrian attempts to promote unrest
in Jordan.
15 Aug 57
Current Ititelligence Bulletin Page 3
Approved for Release: i61-972/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
2. FORMER INDIAN FINANCE MINISTER DESHMUKH
MAY RETURN TO OFFICE
Comment on:
Prime Minister Nehru is reportedly plan-
ning to replace Indian Finance Minister
Krishnamachari, who is scheduled to come
to the United States for financial talks in
pteurDerwitrFhintaman Deshmukh, whose performance as
finance minister from 1950 to 1956 was a major factor in the
success of India's First Five-Year Plan (1951-1956). Deshmukh
is considered strongly pro-US.
Deshmukh's recommendations while in office
in favor of a more realistic but less politically attractive Second
Five-Year Plan were not accepted by Nehru despite his often-
expressed confidence in Deshmukh's financial abilities.
Nehru reportedly has grown increasingly
despondent as India's economic crisis has deepened, and while
he is publicly supporting Krishnamachari's policy of pushing
ahead with the Second Five-Year Plan, he has been reported un-
certain as to whether this is the proper course. Deshmukh re-
portedly would return to office only if Nehru would guarantee
support for his financial policies.
15 Aug 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
crr'D FT
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
3. GUATEMALAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PLANNED
FOR 20 OCTOBER
Comment on:
The state of siege in Guatemala is to be
lifted on 20 August and the election of a
successor to the late president Castillo
Armas is planned for 20 October,
By setting the election for October, at
least two months earlier than is constitutionally required,
the administration forces would minimize inroads into the
strength of the politically dominant MDN by any new party,
including leftist or pro-Communist groups which might be
organized.
The chief threat to the MDN appears to be
the developing split between the dominant right-of-center group
in the government which has the support of Defense Minister
Col, Juan Francisco Oliva, and a group further to the right
led by his half-brother, Col. Enrique Oliva, who may soon an-
nounce the formation of a new political party, taking some MDN
members with him. Enrique Oliva is the coordinator of intelli-
gence for the government and is reported to be receiving organ-
izational and financial support from Dominican dictator Trujillo.
15 Aug 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
/
Nee Ner.
4. WEST GERMAN SOCIALIST LEADER PESSIMISTIC
ON ELECTION OUTCOME
Comment on:
A high-ranking member of the West
German Social Democratic party (SPD)
has confided to American officials in
Bonn that he considers his party has only
a ry s im c an 1 of forming a government after the 15 Sep-
tember Bundest election. He expects the present govern-
ment coalition to win a majority of the seats, and would not be
surprised if the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) wins a ma-
jority by itself.
This pessimism is in contrast to the pub-
lic show of confidence by other SPD leaders, but,according
to the US embassy in Bonn, qualified observers in West Ger-
many agree with this estimate of the situation. The party has
failed to improve its position in recent public opinion polls, and
voter response to its campaign against atomic weapons and
conscription has been unenthusiastic.
The American embassy's latest estimate
gives the government parties a working majority of four seats
or more if the present trend continues. The embassy estimates
that if the election were held now. the CDU would win 44 percent
of the popular vote and the SPD 35 percent.
15 Aug 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
or,t. rcr,
Aft Sirk
SUMMARY
11 July - 14 August 1957
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Group
for the Taiwan Strait Problem
iel
1. There were no significant ground or air combat o -
erations in the area during the period.
2. On 7 August, two Chinese Nationalist submarine chas-
ers engaged a small Communist naval group in a 45-minute naval
battle in Fu Tou Bay, approximately 50 miles southwest of the
Quemoys. The Communist ships apparently were sighted as they
were departing Amoy harbor, and the two Nationalist vessels were
diverted to intercept them. Only two small Communist patrol
craft and four motorized junks were involved, with only one of the
patrol craft reported sunk.
This action indicates an increased aggressiveness on the
part of the Nationalist naval patrols. Minor naval engagements
have occurred from time to time; however, Nationalist naval pa-
trols have been extending their activity farther south than usual,
probably in an effort to enforce their port closure policy with re-
gard to Amoy.
15 Aug 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
Approved for Release: 019712/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
SECRET- Voir
Yung-ting.
117'
(,ung-yen
1),�,
1.1-a-pu\
/
ti
e \
I4-,WANG TII19
Huang-hang !
Chao-an
t WA OW
C 'AO-YANG
23 4-7-r--
Chao-an
'en -hai
�
y(tatoWE
watow
HSON-HUI I.
117:
_
( LUNG-CH
iung-SharTh-,L,..
*
T'UNG-SHAN TAO
'
Chang-Ong --'.- :-chun
Hua-an.
C HI N A
un
�
�Ch'ang-t'ai
Hai-ch'eng
Chang-p'u
\
NAN-P'ENG CH'ON-TAO
AN-CHI
lung-an
11012a ri
Hui an
CHIN CHIANG�,
9l;TIN---?':y�C1 11 g
ma-dvang (H
k-1 , C -7.---- --i; '
II /riccimP1 e
ir
i�-
4 oy
Kao-ch 1,
rop-y:�';`_ cc. Chin men CH
.,.
6'1?, HSU (LITTLE QUEMOY I I
�liSC/ (IQNu -MENEmT)
,y. t A0
�
"1-P& "4N
'TUNG-TING FISO
(CHAPEL IL
NAVAL CLASH
ON 7 AUGUST 1957
� Primary airfield
(runway 5,000' or over)
A Secondary airfield
(runway less than 5,000')
Railroad
Selected road
C Causeway
4� Principal port
NAUTICAL MILES
50
STATUTE MILES 510
KILOMETERS
510
'i4.
23�
118' 119'
24622 8-57
-SECR-E-T-
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
TAIWAN ST.,RAIT SITUATION
14 ESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND: AUG 1957
PRIMARY AIRFIELD AuncttlePasEIMMAs Es
CONSIDERED MOST IMPORTANT IN OR FIELDS OF LESSER IMPORTANCE.
AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN
GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER. 5000 FEET.
DESIGNATIONS
ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY & CIVILIAN AIR�
CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES
MAY BE USABLE BY JETS
�
INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
OPERATIONAL A
SERVICEABLE
UNKNOWN
CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED
6SABILITY
MIG-15 TU-2, z
MIG-17 3
111-9/11 0
111-4 L1-2
IL 2e. ETC.
FIELDS NOT CONSIDERED CAPABLE
OF SUPPORTING SUSTAINED OPER
MAW, AT PRESENT.
yt� 120
K_Thl, A NGSU
NANKIN\
.-- , 4 ,�I HIU r. NG
1. ,...,/
\ N CHURSIEN.
/
) I \ _
NANCHAN SHANG V_ __/
. LUCHIA00 TAC EN
_ 7(
s tCHANGSHA --,
9 ( '-r-: WENCHOW 0
c....) -
. jou
1 ,1 9,1 a 7_ '
, 1
/ -
��
,,,
/
c , )93;000
i . ;4
5 HENGYANG 1 vOOPS )
6 CHIENOU
,�eNingte
...
�, ) )N,a,nping
x 16 ..,___ ,
i ,l--
V - r FOOC
H�i iSiCRERG ( *iv) Yungan
531:1616ro I MAT
SUS
CHANGTINGAc LIEN H ENG LUNGTIEN
.", / THOVUAI
TAIPEI
/ ) s--
I -- - \ MAC p HUIAN 1*
e �, �
1 HSiNCHU LAB
4 89,00 � AtcHuNG
K WA NGTUNG
/ 1 NV
CHENGHA 1
NG CANTON A
_ SWATOW -17,4,Ay13 i 0, 000
SHUIROLI 000 AHAN
ptTuNG
-,CHIAHSING0
\ J,-
0
HANGCHOW _ 4-- �-,-, �..
) NINGPOO
r
...t ?
NAL, 11,1. MIL
SB 100 150
50 100 150
iTATULE MI LES
NATIONALIST AIRFIELD
Railroad Primary roach
I ItUnder construction or projected Secondary roads
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853
0 CO3179853
r_Of /7)17;122 for
aParin
.10/
/Jr
I TOP CR 1ETW
A/
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03179853