CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/12/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03177767
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: December 6, 1957

Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767,
,
0
dl
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
t#
3.5(c)
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
. DECLASSIFIED
6 December 1957
Copy No,
CLASS. CHANGED TO: T' "_2e
NEXT REVIEW DATE:rfiD__
AUTH:h 10.:Ak
REVIEWEK
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
ofts, robt,
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
%de Nand
CONTENTS
1. KHRUSHCHEV URGES WEST TO RECOGNIZE STATUS QUO
IN EASTERN EUROPE (page 3).
20 SOVIET OFFICIAL'S COMMENT ON YUGOSLAV POLICY
(page 4).
6242, 3. COMMUNISTS HAMPERED BY BERLIN'S FOUR-POWER
STATUS (page 5).
74-16
4. SPAAK PROPOSES SPECIAL NATO MINISTERIAL CONFER-
ENCE IN MARCH (page 6).
5. GREEK TACTICS FOR CYPRUS DEBATE OUTLINED
(page 7).
6. POSSIBLE CRITICAL ILLNESS OF IMAM OF YEMEN
(page 8).
-7z.to 7. GHANA DECIDES ON DIPLOMATIC EXCHANGE WITH USSR
(page 9).
- 8. INDONESIA LIKELY TO BE MORE RECEPTIVE TO BLOC
AID (page 10).
9. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC PLOTS COUP IN GUATEMALA
(page 11).
ANNEX--Conclusions of the Watch Report of the Intelligence
Advisory Committee
(page, 12)
6 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 2
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
1 JUL. .11-4.1. V JL
Nigo
1. KHRUSHCHEV URGES WEST TO RECOGNIZE STATUS QUO
IN EASTERN EUROPE
Comment on:
In a statement to a group of ambassadors
at a Burmese embassy reception on 3
December, Soviet party chief Khrushchev
called for Western recognition of the sta-
tus quo in Eastern Europe as the "important thing" in lessen-
ing East-West tensions. He disparaged the "hopes" of the
West that Communist control can be changed and called on
the West to give up such an objective in exchange for a Soviet
agreement not to attempt to change the system of government
in capitalist countries. In reply to a question regarding the
USSR's role if a Communist revolution took place in a capital-
ist state, Khrushchev asserted that the Soviet Union would not
intervene, but would give the revolutionaries "sympathy."
Khrushchev reiterated that the question of
German reunification must be settled directly by the Federal
Republic and the East German regime and asserted that the
USSR would not discuss the question even if the West "waited
a hundred years."
The party chief also repeated the Soviet
proposal that the NATO and Warsaw pact powers might be able
to conclude a nonaggression agreement and the view that fur-
ther progress in the UN disarmament talks depends on "bal-
ancing" the UN Disarmament Commission. When Ambassador
Thompson pointed out the difficulty of serious negotiations in a
further enlarged body, Khrushchev suggested that the size of
the commission could be reduced in such a way as to "balance"
its membership.
The ambassador believes that Khrushcheves
remarks reflect Soviet long-range concern over the situation
in Eastern Europe and fear of renewed satellite uprisings. Mos-
cow may feel that the present international situation has im-
proved the chances of gaining Western recognition of Soviet
hegemony over Eastern Europe.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
irlIATIE/TTIVNTrIPT A T
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
'cowl Noe
2. SOVIET OFFICIAL'S COMMENT ON YUGOSLAV POLICY
Comment on:
Soviet leaders seem to believe Yugo-
slavia's policy of independence between
East and West will eventually become
untenable and will be modified to ac-
cent closer relations with the USSR on Moscow's terms.
The Soviet official stated that a draft of
the declaration had been sent to prospective signatories well
in advance. The line taken in this draft may have promoted
Yugoslav suspicions regarding the course of Soviet policy.
Yugoslav confusion over future relations with the USSR has
been suggested by virtual silence from Belgrade since Zhukov's
ouster.
President Tito is at present conferring
on Brioni with Vice Presidents Kardelj and Rankovic and other
leading officials about the Moscow meetings. Any statement
resulting from this meeting is not likely to reflect any drastic
changes in Belgrade's present policy of cool but correct rela-
tions with the Soviet Union.
6 Dec 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 4
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
%be Nuo,
3. COMMUNISTS HAMPERED BY BERLIN'S
FOUR-POWER STATUS
Comment on:
Berlins status as
a city under quadripartite control is
inhibiting measures the East German
regime considers essential to close the
sector border between East and West Ber-
lin,
the USSR had
given Party First Secretary Walter Ulbricht a free hand to
solve the Berlin problem, but there is evidence indicating
that he was warned not to violate the city's quadripartite
status. :�apid and drastic measures
are required to halt black marketing, stop the flow of cur-
rency and refugees to West Berlin, and obstruct the activity
of Western agents.
In a further move tb enhance East Ger-
man sovereignty, Soviet officials at the Berlin Air Safety
Center on 4 December rejected for the third time an Amer-
ican request for clearance for a courier flight between Ber-
lin and Warsaw on the grounds that such clearance can be
given only by the German Democratic Republic, which, Soviet
officials say, has full control over its air space. The Rus-
sians then made an informal offer to submit American requests
for the "consideration of the authorities of the German Demo-
cratic Republic." The Allied position is that the USSR, as one
of the four occupying powers, is the only responsible authority
In East Germany.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Nue lee
4. SPAAK PROPOSES SPECIAL NATO MINISTERIAL
CONFERENCE IN MARCH
Comment on:
Secretary General Spook's proposal for
a special NATO ministerial conference
next March to work out a unified military
policy seems designed to speed up action
by member governments on MC-70--the paper on the essen-
tial forces needed to carry out NATO's military mission--
which is to be completed late in January.
In the draft of his report to be made at
the 16-18 December NATO meeting, Spaak voices concern
over the widening gap between forces requirements and coun-
try commitments. He feels that foreign, defense, and finance
ministers and NATO military authorities should meet to analyze
the MC-70 conclusions and agree on a distribution of commit-
ments which might be more binding on the member countries
than present Annual Review procedure.
Spook's suggestion is designed to facilitate
decisive action on politically sensitive subjects, by bringing to-
gether political, economic, and military officials at ministerial
level at the outset of planning for whose implementation they
would later be responsible. Spook views the March conference
as preparatory to decisions which would be taken at the regular
spring NATO ministerial meeting usually held in May. The
proposal has some points in common with recent British ideas
on the need for a revised NATO strategy that "makes sense" and
is economically feasible,
6 113c 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
New 1100
5. GREEK TACTICS FOR CYPRUS DEBATE OUTLINED
mment on:
reek Foreign Minister Averoff appears
tiling to accept postponement until next
ear of the UN Cyprus debate, scheduled
o follow the current debate on Algeria.
He will be particularly receptive to postponement if the UN
requests implementation of last February's General Assembly
resolution calling for continued negotiations toward a settle-
ment. Greece has consistently interpreted the proposed nego-
tiations as involving only representatives of Britain and Cyprus.
Postponement of the debate would serve
Greek interests by preventing Turkey from specifically being
recognized as a participant in the dispute. The Greek govern-
ment might even take the position that postponement affords a
means for deferring a decision until Britain has a labor govern-
ment, which would be more favorably disposed toward self-
determination for Cyprus than is the present government.
In any UN Cyprus debate, the Greeks,
pressed by Archbishop Makarios, are certain to bring up the
issue of alleged British atrocities on Cyprus. London has in-
dicated a desire for a short, smooth debate but has warned
that if Greece raises the atrocities question, Britain will re-
ply by presenting evidence that Athens and Makarios have been
connected with past violence on Cyprus.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved O Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Nui veir,
6. POSSIBLE CRITICAL ILLNESS OF IMAM OF YEMEN
Comment on:
Death or incapacity of the Imam would
invite a bitter struggle for succession in which Crown Prince
Badr would be opposed by many important tribes which claim
the traditional right to elect each new Imam.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
s-Ar I J. JL-ELJJLALL.V AL
Niue
Neio
7. GHANA DECIDES ON DIPLOMATIC EXCHANGE
WITH USSR
Comment on:
Prime Minister Nkrumah of Ghana plans
to announce, probably about 15 December,
that his government will establish diplo-
matic relations with the USSR "in due
courser However, Accra apparently does not intend to ex-
change representatives until the latter part of next year.
Permanent Secretary for Defense and
External Affairs Adu says the USSR was told that a personnel
shortage precluded acceptance of a Soviet diplomatic estab-
lishment in the near future and that the Ghana government would
not enter such a relationship until after its trade mission visits
the Soviet Union "next July." Adu appeared confident thatany
Soviet effort to advance the timing of the exchange could be fore-
stalled.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
CONFIDENTIAL
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Nati Nor
8. INDONESIA LIKELY TO BE MORE RECEPTIVE
TO BLOC AID
Indonesia can be expected to be in-
creasingly receptive to Soviet bloc
offers of economic and technical as-
sistance in view of the anti-Dutch
drive which is almost certain to create
a serious vacuum of technical talent.
According to two reliable sources, the
Indonesian embassy in Moscow has been
approached by Soviet officials with an
offer of ships. According to another source, the Soviet em-
bassy in Djakarta has requested permission to hold an
atomic exposition in 1958 and has also asked if it may send
survey teams to Indonesia to test land and water for radio-
activity.
Approximately 1,000 Soviet jeeps have
been delivered under a contract signed about a year ago for
the purchase of 4,000. In addition, �the Soviet aid agreement
for $100,000,000 is still awaiting implementation.
Faced with the probable loss of Dutch and
Australian pilots and technicians, the Indonesian national air-
line is seeking the services of other foreign personnel. The
British embassy in Djakarta has received a report that Indo-
nesia has asked Poland to provide pilots and maintenance men.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
LJJ-J � La A
Nee
9. DOMINICAN REPUBLIC PLOTS COUP
IN GUATEMALA
Agents of Generalissimo Trujillo of
the Dominican Republic are exploit-
ing the deteriorating Guatemalan po-
litical situation in the hope of install-
ing a rightist regime friendly to the Dominican dictatorship.
Since mid-November, the Dominican radio
has been beaming to Guatemala lurid charges of a vast "Com-
muniSt conspiracy" involving many members of the govern-
ment of the late President Castillo Armas.
Members of a Guatemalan congressional
committee now investigating alleged Dominican involvement
in the assassination of Castillo Armas last July are being
subjected to threats and bribery by the Dominicans,
Although there is no firm
evidence of Dominican implication in the murder, Trujillo's
agents are known to have been involved in a plot against
Castillo's government as early as last May. Trujillo con-
sidered Castillo "soft" on Communism and resented Castillo's
refusal to bestow a decoration on him.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11
SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767
*AO
ANNEX
Watch Report 383, 5 December 1957
of the
Intelligence Advisory Committee
Conclusions on Indications of Hostilities
On the basis of findings by its Watch Committee, the
Intelligence Advisory Committee concludes that:
A. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostil-
ities against the continental US or its possessions in
the immediate future.
B. No Sino-Soviet bloc country intends to initiate hostil-
ities against US forces abroad, US allies or areas pe-
ripheral to the orbit in the immediate future.
C. A deliberate initiation of hostilities in the Middle East is
unlikely in the immediate future. However, tensions in
the Middle East continue to create possibilities for serious
incidents.
6 Dec 57
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12
TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03177767