CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/04/20

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03003292
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
11
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 20, 1957
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15755574].pdf337.22 KB
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fr Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 A. �,17x- 43,n TELLIGENCE ILLETIN 7 2, 9)7#707/MM 3.5(c) 20 April 1957 C;opy NO. 134 DoCumENT NO Np.) CLAS=3. GHANc:ZD1,..): !'1EXT REVEV't DATE: 70-2 ilelft71 OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY .// , .// 04/ Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 wA � Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 [VT' CONTENTS 1.__BONN CABINET SHAKEN BY ATOMIC DISPUTE ) (page 3). 2. THE SITUATION IN JORDAN (Secret Pivot Noforn) (page 4). l/ �3 KING SAUD ATTEMPTS TO BLOCK OIL TO ISRAEL VIA AQ A ) (page 6). 0 64, TITO UNRECEPTIVE TO NEW SOVIET LINE (pag.e 7). 0 1)5, KADAR REPORTEDLY MAY BE REPLACED AS HUNGARIAN PREMIER (page 8). Ath 6. THAI PREMIER REPORTEDLY IN PRECARIOUS POSITION (page 9). fr 7. NEW CHINESE COMMUNIST smpy CONSTRUCTING 0 I / LANDING CRAFT (page 10). 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 k.,,C,L N1'11512,11 I .1.1-1..Li 801, 1. BONN CABINET SHAKEN BY ATOMIC DISPUTE West German atomic affairs minister Balke has threatened to resign because of a dispute with Chancellor Adenauer and Defense Minister Strauss over equip- men o a e es erman army with atomic weapons. Adenauer has demanded that Balke retract his statements in support of the position of a group of leading German nu- clear scientists who on 12 April stated that West Germany could best protect itself and serve world peace by refusing to participate in an atomic weapons program. Comment Chancellor Adenauer's political opposition has charged that he has kept the public in the dark about secret negotiations on atomic weapons. This is the hottest issue that has arisen in the election campaign. Some members of Adenauer's Christian Democratic Union be- lieve he took too hasty a stand on this issue. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Awe 2. THE SITUATION IN JORDAN Comment on. While King Hussain continues to empha- size efforts to ensure loyalty within the army, he is also reported planning to assume an increasingly active political role. The king is accordingly consider- ing the creation of a new cabinet post of minister of the court, and also plans to appoint conservative leader Samir Rifai as president of the Senate. Hussain is pglieved to envisage a far more impor- tant role for the 20-man appointive Senate. One of Hussain's next major tests will be to obtain approval for the Khalidi cabinet from the legislature. He reportedly be- lieves that he now has sufficient support- ers in the legislature to ensure a vote of confidence. Should the leftist-dominated lower house withhold support, the king is in a position to suspend parliamentary ov- ernment and rule under martial law. the king has no intention o re- taining former premier Nabulsi in the cabinet for long. Na- bulsi's inclusion in the cabinet was stated to be a temporary concession to the opposition political parties. In neighboring Syria on 16 April, members of the left-wing Baath party reportedly agreed that Syria should grant asylum to Jordanian Baathis who had taken nart in the Plotting against King Hussain Although Nases public reaction to events in Jordan has been cautious thus far, he is reported to have instructed 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 4**.JI1LII11 the Egyptian press on 16 April to allude to collaboration be- tween Hussain and Western embassies prior to the move against the Nabulsi cabinet. Nasr is also planning to retaliate for alleged American and Saudi support of Hussain by fomenting troubl among Palestinian oil workers in Saudi Arabia. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 .1% I IL 1-a I 14W1 3. KING SAUD ATTEMPTS TO BLOCK OIL TO ISRAEL VIA AQABA Comment on: King Saud is taking the lead in oppos- ing oil shipments to Israel, following the 6 April arrival of an American tanker at Eilat carrvina Iranian oil The Shah will be able to prevent the Na- tional Iranian Oil Company from sending oil to Israel but can- not legally block consortium shipments. The American com- panies in the consortium are subject to Arab pressures, how- ever, because of their oil interests in the Arab states and would probably refuse to sell Israel oil rather than risk re- prisal. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 (AM Nr /1/ril It 11AL 4. TITO UNRECEPTIVE TO NEW SOVIET LINE In a speech on 18 April, Yugoslav pres- ident Tito rejected recent Soviet concil- iatory remarks and indicated clearly that some major shift in Soviet policy toward Eastern Europe would be required before a return to harmonious relations with Belgrade would be pos- sible. Tito stated that Khrushchev's remarks on 15 April stressing the need to improve relations had "aroused a spark of hope" but that they were followed up by Suslov's at- tack on Yugoslavia for "national Communism" and "revision- ism!' "Whom are you to believe now? Today one speaks in this way, then tomorrow another turns by 180 degrees," Tito declared. He claimed he was seriously worried by Albania's Soviet-inspired attempt to stir up its minority in Yugoslavia and the possibility of Hungary's doing the same. In a remark sure to inspire a counterattack, Tito asserted that, while Soviet leaders had made some revision of "Stalinist tendencies in their policy, these tendencies still have root in their policy toward other countries in general!' Tito professed a willingness to argue prob- lems reasonably, but added that he expected the other side to refrain from malevolent criticism of Yugoslavia, its internal system, and its relations with the West, which would not be changed. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 i'Y bATVIThriv-rt 7 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Itav, 410# KADAR REPORTEDLY MAY BE REPLACED AS IE Kadar will probably be removed from leader- ship in the near future because Moscow is dissatisfied Kadar, ith his inability to stabilize the situation. resents continued Soviet control over the Hungarian economy. Comment Although there may be grounds for mutual dissatisfaction between Kadar and the USSR, Kadar apparently received Moscow's full blessing during his trip to the Soviet Union last month and still appears to be the USSR's first choice for the top Hungarian Communist position. A re- shuffling of the major positions in Hungary is possible, but no purge of the leadership appears likely. On 18 April the American legation in Buda- pest reported rumors the first sucn rumors since belore KaclarTs trip to Moscow--that Istvan Dobi, currently president of the Presi- dential Council, might replace Kadar as premier, with Kadar retaining his post as party first secretary. This would restore the separation of the party and government leadership, normal throughout the Satellites. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 1,./.1Lar,1-4.11P-ILJI-4 6. THAI PREMIER REPORTEDLY IN PRECARIOUS POSITION Premier Phibun has "lost tremendously in the last few weeks" and is in a "very pre- carious position," the milu- ence of the king may be used to bring about a new government of "experts" backed by Defense Minister Sarit and the army. Sarit is thinking of asking Phibun to go abroad for an indefinite period. Comment Although Sarit emerged as the "hero" of the election crisis in early March, he has since seemed to have acquiesced in Phibun's continued leadership. Sarit may be dissatisfied, however, by the fact that the power of his rival, Police Director General Phao, has not been sig- nificantly reduced. Under the circumstances, therefore, he may be trying to force Phibun to cut down Phao's influence by threatening to take over the government. By all accounts. Sarit has the military backing to make good any such threat. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 4 4 Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292 Approved for 2CT1-9712/04 C03003292 *Ns" 7. NEW CHINESE COMMUNIST SHIPYARD CONSTRUCTING LANDING CRAFT Reference: Chinese Nationalist aerial photograpns taken on 13 April show a small ship- yard near Chenhai about 80 miles south of Shanghai. Fourteen vessels were ob- served under construction and 125 units, probably small land- ing craft, were moored nearby along the bank of the Yung River. The installation is well protected by high surrounding terrain and antiaircraft emplacements. The shipyard employs a side- launching technique used in the USSR which is highly adaptable to the mass production of small craft. The craft were described as being 60 feet by 12 feet, approximately the size of the LCM (Landing Craft Medium) type built at Dairen and currently in use in :lim- ited numbers in the Chinese Communist navy. These vessels-- the largest number of landing craft ever observed south of Shanghai--may be preparing for an amphibious exercise or de- ployment to other naval bases. This type of craft can carry approximately 110 troops and is suitable for limited coastal amphibious operations such as would be required for an attack on the offshore islands. 20 Apr 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 SECRET- Approved for Release: 2019/12/04 C03003292