CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/09/07

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03161842
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: September 7, 1957

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CONTENTS
04, 1, TURKEY PREPARING FOR MANEUVERS NEAR SYRIAN
BORDER (page 3).
(g.42___ 2. CUBAN SITUATION REMAINS TENSE
91-0
(page 4).
3. PROPOSAL FOR EXCHANGE OF GREEK-TURKISH MI-
NORITIES RECEIVES HIGH-LEVEL SUPPORT
(page 5).
6-41- 4. HUNGARIAN DIPLOMAT ASSERTS UN NOMINEE WOULD
BE PERMITTED TO ENTER HUNGARY (page 6).
6-47� 5. WEST GERMANY TO SEEK PERMISSION TO PRODUCE
ANTITANK MISSILE (page 7),
"fe--- 6. JORDANIAN TRIBAL LEADERS REPORTED IRKED WITH
PALACE OFFICIALS (page 8).
6-it 7. INDONESIAN OFFICIALS U1sTR".1STAI LON_OUTCOME OF
NATIONAL CONFERENCE (page 9).
8. COMMUNIST CHINA APPARENTLY RELUCTANT TO CON-
CLUDE NEW RICE-RUBBER AGREEMENT WITH CEYLON
(page 10).
7 Sept 57
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1. TURKEY PREPARING FOR MANEUVERS NEAR
SYRIAN BORDER
Turkey's Fifth Armored Brigade and
elements of the 28th Infantry Division
located near Ankara are preparing to
move by rail to the vicinity of the Syrian
border, according to the American serv-
ice attaches in Ankara. These units had returned to home
stations only last month from similar movements undertaken
during the Jordanian crisis last spring.
According to Ambassador Warren, Turkey's
concern over the security of its southern border may be the
cause for these movements. Officers of the Turkish general
staff denied that the intention is to pose a threat to Syria and
said extensive military maneuvers have been ordered for Sep-
tember and late October prior to annual NATO maneuvers.
All military leaves have been canceled for the maneuvers.
The Turks have increased irregular air
patrols along the Syrian border and plan to deploy fighter squad-
rons to bases in southern Turkey "in a realistic maneuver to
determine actual capabilities'
There is no evidence available to indicate
that the Turkish navy is planning any unusual movements.
7 Sept 57
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2. CUBAN SITUATION REMAINS TENSE
Late on 5 September the American em-
bassy in Havana reported persistent
unconfirmed rumors of serious discord
within the Cuban government and the army.
Despite the loyalty shown by army and air
force units in drastic action against insur-
gent forces in Cienfuegos on 5 September,
some dissident elements probably do exist
within the armed forces, which have been the bulwark of Batista's
strength. Cuban officials insist that naval personnel did not join
the revolt but most observers disagree. The navy has been sus-
pected of disaffection since Batista's 1952 coup.
Batista has again demonstrated his willing-
ness to use ruthless measures against revolt and can be ex-
pected to act quickly to ferret out possible disaffection in the
armed forces. Recent events will increase resentment against
him, but he will probably be able to maintain his position unless
sizable segments of the opposition, including those elements
possessing effective arms, coordinate their attacks.
7 Sept 57
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3. PROPOSAL FOR EXCHANGE OF GREEK-TURKISH
MINORITIES RECEIVES HIGH-LEVEL SUPPORT
Turkish Ambassador Vergin in Athens
has informed Ambassador Allen that he
believs the time may have come for
another large-scale exchange of popula-
tions between Greece and Turkey. Citing tensions over the
Turkish minorities in Greek Thrace and on Cyprus and the
Greek minority and Orthodox Patriarchate in Istanbul, Vergin
indicated that Turkish Prime Minister Menderes is beginning
to consider a transfer of populations as a solution to Greek-
Turkish problems.
Greek Foreign Minister Averoff, in a
subsequent conversation with Allen, said he personnaly would
accept the plan for an exchange of populations. Although Averoff
warned that a "sentimental" problem would be created were the
Patriarchate of Constantinople moved, he believed_that even this
issue could be resolved.
Comment A large-scale Greek-Turkish exchange
of populations in 1923 involved some
1,300,000 Greeks from Turkey and nearly 400,000 Moslems
from Greece. At present, there are about 90,000 ethnic Turks
on Cyprus and over 100,000 in Greece. Approximately 80,000
Greeks live in Istanbul.
A transfer of minorities would eliminate
a constant source of friction in Greek-Turkish relations and
might pave the way for a settlement of the Cyprus dispute. The
Turks, however, have previously argued that continued British
presence on Cyprus is essential to the security of their southern
coast.
7 Sept 57
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Nor,
4. HUNGARIAN DIPLOMAT ASSERTS UN NOMINEE WOULD
BE PERMITTED TO ENTER HUNGARY
the Hungarian
government would not refuse admission
if the UN General Assembly decided to send one outstanding
personality to Hungary, such as Prince Wan of Thailand. The
Hungarian delegation, however, would oppose any debate of
the special committee's report and, if the decision went against
it, denounce the committee as a tool of the American govern-
ment. It would also vote against any Western-sponsored res-
olution.
Comment This is the first explicit statement on
proposed Hungarian action at the Gen-
eral Assembly from a high-level representative of the Hun-
garian government, although Premier Kadar previously indi-
cated that Secretary General Dag Hammarskj old would be per-
mitted to visit Hungary. There has been no other indication
that the regime would, in fact, allow the entry of the UN nominee,
and the minister by appearing cooperative may hope to influence
the uncommitted countries against a strongly condemnatory res-
olution.
Bebrits, long a high-level Hungarian offi-
cial,was minister of transport and communications prior to the
uprising.
7 Sept 57
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5. WEST GERMANY TO SEEK PERMISSION TO PRODUCE
ANTITANK MISSILE
The Bonn Foreign Ministry has informed
the American embassy that West Germany
wants to manufacture an antitank missile
now prohibited by the WEU treaty. The
British and French governments and the WEU armaments con-
trol agency were informed of this request several weeks ago.
According to a Bonn Foreign Ministry official, the British and
French "hinted" they would support the German request. Bonn
plans to submit a formal request to WEU within a few weeks.
The missile in question is the Cobra I, which
can be operated by one man. The Boelkow engineering firm in
Stuttgart is prepared to produce a prototype, and the manufactur-
ing cost is alleged to be considerably under the cost of purchase
abroad.
Comment In April, Ludwig Boelkow was quoted by the
West German press to the effect that his firm
had been engaged for some time, within the limits of the London
and Paris agreements, in research on missiles for the German
Home Defense Forces. The Cobra I reportedly has a range of up
to about one mile and can be guided to a visible target.
The Federal Republic has not previously asked
for modification of any of the Paris treaty clauses regulating its
armament. The present WEU restrictions on German missile
production can be modified on request of the SHAPE commander
with approval of two thirds of the WEU council.
7 Sept 57
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6. JORDANIAN TRIBAL LEADERS REPORTED IRKED
WITH PALACE OFFICIALS
There is widespread dissatisfaction
among Jordanian tribal leaders over
the attitude of the Jordanian court
toward the tribes,
Comment King Hussayn would almost certainly be
forced to depend on tribal support should
another political crisis occur in Jordan in the near future.
Even if the tribes were not to consider the King personally
responsible, their resentment against his officials could be a
serious handicap if rapid and drastic action were needed to
support Hussayn's position.
7 Sept 57
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7. INDONESIAN OFFICIALS UNCERTAIN ON OUTCOME
OF NATIONAL CONFERENCE
Comment on:
Prime Minister Djuanda has told the
American ambassador that he is "def-
initely not pessimistic" about the out-
come of the national conference set
for 10 September in Djakarta. Both
Djuanda and former vice president
Hatta, however, continue to feel that
about the best that can be hoped for is
a temporary compromise which would
create better understanding between the
disaffected provinces and Djakarta and
would lay the basis for further discus-
sions. Djuanda has expressed fear that
failure to reach a compromise will result in Sukarno's taking
"drastic action."
So much provincialS resistance to
Djakarta's authority exists that President Sukarno is reported
worried that his concept of "guided democracy" may be totally
rejected. He is reported to have stated privately that if it be-
comes obvious at the conference that there is no possibility of
agreement, he is willing to eliminate certain foreign exchange
regulations, remove army chief of staff General Nasution, and
reorganize the present cabinet. Such concessions, however,
probably would not satisfy regional objectives of greater polit-
ical and economic autonomy, the elimination of Communist in-
fluence in Djakarta, and increased regional representation in
the central government.
On 6 September, Lt. Col. Hussein in
Central Sumatra had still not announced whether he would at-
tend the conference. He feels Djakarta should have invited
disaffected Colonels Simbolon and Lubis and the former armed
forces chief of staff, General Simatupang,
7 Sept 57
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8. COMMUNIST CHINA APPARENTLY RELUCTANT TO
CONCLUDE NEW RICE-RUBBER AGREEMENT WITH
CEYLON
Comment on:
the
Chinese plan to purchase only 30,000 tons
of rubber annually rather than the 50,000-
ton quota of the previous agreement. In
addition, the Chinese no longer offer pre-
mium payments and have proposed burden-
some packaging and inspection standards.
Prime Minister Bandaranaike will face
strong opposition attacks if--as appears likely--he cannot ob-
tain a renewal of the favorable terms of the expiring agree-
ment. Since Ceylon, a high-cost rubber producer, often finds
it difficult to sell its rubber on the world market, the elimi-
nation or reduction of assured Chinese purchases at premium
prices would have unfavorable repercussions on its already de-
teriorating foreign trade position.
7 Sept 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin
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