CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/11/03

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03178396
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
12
Document Creation Date: 
December 12, 2019
Document Release Date: 
December 20, 2019
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Publication Date: 
November 3, 1957
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15757460].pdf383.68 KB
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V AApproved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396, 3 November 1957 Copy No. 1,3c CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY R E T 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) 0 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 .0110tt Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019%12/10 C03178396 CONTENTS 1. USSR LAUNCHES SECOND SATELLITE (page 3). 2. FURTHER REPORTS ON ZHUKOWS OUSTER (page 4). 3. SOUTH ASIA MAY REQUEST OVER 2.000,000 TONS OF US EMERGENCY FOOD AID (page 6). 4. SYRIAN ANTI-AMERICAN CAMPAIGN (page 7). 5. FRENCH PUBLIC'S COMPLACENCY MAY PROLONG CRISIS (page 8). 6. MALAYAN LEADERS PLAN ALL-OUT EFFORT TO SUPPRESS COMMUNIST SUBVERSION (page 9). 7. SUDAN TO CUT COTTON PRICES (page 10). 8. BRITAIN FACES INDUSTRIAL STRIFE THIS WINTER (page 11). 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 -TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 201r2/10 C03178396 1%6,1 'tad 1. USSR LAUNCHES SECOND SATELLITE Comment on: Moscow radio announced on 3 No- vember the successful launching of a second earth satellite, apparently again after completion of at least one complete orbit. The official announcement stated that the new satellite weighs about 1,120 pounds, is some 930 miles above the earth at the farthest point in its orbit, and is car- rying a live dog and instrumentation for transmitting data. The new satellite is circling the globe abOut every hour and 42 minutes and has been noted transmitting on 20- and 40- megacycle frequencies like its predecessor. The reported weight of the second sat- ellite is by far its most significant military characteristic because of the propulsion capability required to place such a weight in orbit. Preliminary assessment indicates that such a rocket-launching system, if used in an ICBM, would be at least capable of delivering a 2,000-pound warhead a distance of 5,500 nautical miles. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 tntl crrin'T Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 4-41 4 %LI .5 *awe 'Nose 2. FURTHER REPORTS ON ZHUKONPS OUSTER Information on the events leading up to Marshal Zhukovts purge from the Soviet party presidium and central committee On 19 October, while Zhukov was still in Albania, the party central committee issued a secret letter entitled "Improvement of Party-Political Work in the Soviet Armed Forces," he letter, which was widely discus.. �litary or- ganizations, charged that party-political work in the armed forces had fallen behind in recent years, the political appara- tus had been shoved aside, and commanders had not properly evaluated political work in the army. The basic blame was placed on the leadership of the Ministry of Defense, although Zhukov was not named specifically. the letter directed that the Chief Political Directorate of the Armed Forces be included on the "Supreme Military Council" of the Ministry of Defense. The party presidium is said to have de- cided on 22 October to oust Zhukov as defense minister. On 24 and 25 October, Khru- shchev explained the decision to party meetings of the Moscow Military District by charging Marshal Zhukov with overvaluing the role of one-man command in the armed forces, with con- tinually petitioning for the removal of Colonel General Zheltov as head of the Chief Political Directorate of the Ministry of Defense, with failing to inform the central committee regularly as to his activities, and with refusing to allow his subordinates to contact the central committee directly. Khrushchev also charged Zhukov with recommending that Serov be replaced as head of the secret police by a military man. Khrushchev also 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Neasf asserted that Marshal Rokossovsky had been posted to the Transcaucasian Military District as a move to exert pres- sure on Turkey. , the Khru� - shchev-led group of "moderates" in the central committee was opposed on the extent of the purge by a group of extrem- ists led by Party Secretary Nikolai Belyayev, who had been put on the party presidium by Khrushchev. Belyayev, although little known outside the party, was considered a rising star, and in his view would be Khrushchev's eventual successor. Comment Zhukoves ouster tend to confirm that the confidential explanation within artv circles provide additional specific detail on how the ouster was accomplished. There has been incon- clusive evidence of differences between Zhukov and Khrushchev over political control in the army, leadership of the secret po- lice, and Middle East policies. 3 Nov 57 Current IntelligenceBulletin Page 5 SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 NA: JUL I.V4.1. _IL JI-CIL.14 *or' 3. SOUTH ASIA MAY REQUEST OVER 2,000,000 TONS OF US EMERGENCY FOOD AID Comment on: India, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Nepal are seeking emergency food-grain assist- ance from the United States which may eventually total over 2,000,000 tons. Se- rious food shortages, caused by adverse weather conditions, exist in these coun- tries as well as in Ceylon, which may also soon seek similar aid. Pakistan and Afghanistan have already re- quested 100,000 and 40,000 tons, respectively, of US emer- gency wheat shipments, and Nepal has indicated its desire for similar assistance. The Indian Food and Agriculture Min- istry estimates that drought in North India will require im- ports of 2,000,000 tons of food grains over and above present stocks of 1,000,000 tons and previously planned purchases of 1,500,000 tons. Ceylon, which is suffering drought for the third successive year in some areas, is to be supplied by Communist China with 70,000 fewer tons of rice annually un- der its new five-year rice-rubber agreement than under the one expiring at the end of 1957. It may also seek food aid in the future. Australia, normally an exporter of wheat, is itself suffering a drought and will not have any export sup- plies. Burmese and Thai rice supplies are apparently normal, but are already committed under earlier contracts. Ceylon, which has just concluded an agreement with Burma for the pur- chase of 200,000 tons, may have trouble increasing the amount if needed. Canada has announced that it will help ease India's food crisis with 100,000 tons of wheat offered under the Colombo Plan. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 CONFI1)E1VT1,1 T. Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 � � Nivre 4. SYRIAN ANTI-AMERICAN CAMPAIGN Comment on: While the Syrians have withdrawn their request for a UN resolution on the Turk- ish threat to Syria, Damascus has stepped up "defense preparations" and harass- ment of American nationals. The public is being kept in a state of tension by in- creased "popular resistance" training, the digging of trenches around Aleppo and Damascus, and the alerting of doctors for civil defense. Bombastic speeches by President Quwatli and Chief of Staff Bizri, as well as Communist-inspired anti-Amer- ican rallies throughout the country, have marked Syria% "Na- tional Fortification Week." Accompanying these public manifestations has been a campaign of harassment of Americar nationals and local employees of the embassy and consulates. The American embassy comments that nu- merous previous protests against harassment of embassy per- sonnel have been ineffective, largely because civilians in the Foreign Ministry are unwilling to take strong exception to army actions. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 *Al %or 5. FRENCH PUBLIC'S COMPLACENCY MAY PROLONG CRISIS Comment on: The French public seems almost entirely unaware of the implications of France's political-economic-financial crisis, and British officials in Paris believe it will take a real shock to change this attitude. The American em- bassy points out that, because of postwar foreign economic aid, the French parliament and public had been shielded from the first-hand experience necessary to achieve external eco- nomic balance. Foreign economic aid is virtually exhausted, and military aid is beginning to dwindle. In view of this attitude, the National Assem- bly deputies are unlikely to return to Paris from the long holiday week end in their home districts under any urgent compulsion to install a new government on the terms Premier-designate Felix Gaillard seems to have in mind. Gaillard has hopes of backing up a request for a foreign loan by evidence that the French themselves are making an effort by accepting new taxes and drastic cuts in government spending. The American embassy in Paris estimates that even with additional short-term foreign aid, external eco- nomic equilibrium will not be achieved short of an early change in certain basic policies. France must reassess its policy on military expenditures, with special reference to the continuation of Algerian hostilities, and its policy on expenditures for social welfare, expansion of industry, and atomic energy development. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 STeRE-T- Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Nre %re 6. MALAYAN LEADERS PLAN ALL-OUT EFFORT TO SUPPRESS COMMUNIST SUBVERSION Comment on: Top government officials of the newly independent Federation of Malaya have expressed their determination to sup- press subversive activities of the local Communists, particularly in labor unions and Chinese schools. Deputy Prime Minister Razak told the American charg�n Kuala Lumpur that the recent arrest of four leftist labor union leaders was designed to impress on organized labor that it must keep free from Communist influ- ences, and that failure to do so will result in immediate inter- vention by the government. The minister of education has also stated that he will not tolerate such "nonsense" as student strikes and passive resistance to government policies in Chi- nese schools. The government's campaign against Com- munism may lead to friction with Indonesia. Razak has flatly accused Indonesian Communists of providing funds for both the Malayan Communists and ultranationalist Malays. Both Prime Minister Rahman and Razak have also expressed deep concern over the Indonesian government's soft policies toward expand- ing Communist influence and its irresponsible anti-Dutch cam- paign for the "return" of Netherlands New Guinea. Malayan leaders believe that strained rela- tions with Indonesia will create serious political problems for their own government. Malaya's abstention on the United Nations vote to put the New Guinea issue on the UN agenda is already being used in rural areas of Malaya to portray government leaders as supporters of a colonial power against a friendly neighbor which has a common religious and ethnic heritage. At the same time a crackdown on the Chinese schools risks upsetting carefully de- veloped Malay-Chinese political cooperation because of tradi- tional Chinese sensitivity to any government action which can be construed as an attack on Chinese culture. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 irldlociLTIFT11770TrrT A T Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 � Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 %01 N%d 7. SUDAN TO CUT COTTON PRICES Comment on: The Sudanese finance minister informed the American ambassador in Khartoum on 31 October that cotton prices would be re- duced "adequately" within the next three or four days. The ambassador comments that the resignation of Mekki Abbas, director of the Gezira Board�Sudan's chief cotton marketing agency--and the return of Minister of Agri- culture Hamza Mirghani from his relatively unsuccessful at- tempt to sell Sudanese cotton in Europe have clarified the gov- ernment's cotton position. Although the ambassador views the adequacy of the promised price cuts with some reserve, he believes that the Sudanese government "now means business." The Sudan now has on hand about 500,000 bales of unsold cotton. Khartoum's failure to market the bulk of its cotton crop this year is largely the result of the govern- ment's belief that because the Soviet bloc purchased large amounts of Egyptian cotton, the free world would be willing to pay premium prices for Sudanese cotton. However, a world surplus of long staple cotton exists and Western buyers have purchased from other sources. While the Sudan has reduced prices somewhat, Sudanese cotton is still priced about 20 per- cent higher than the world price. It is unlikely, in view of the forthcoming elections next February, that the government would make cuts large enough to move the bulk of the 500,000 bales of unsold cotton. Vague Soviet offers to purchase cotton in the context of an over- all development program have not yet been seriously considered by Khartoum. 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 flNIT1)flVTT4 1. Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396 N-r .1. .11.X...11-4J. AL 1.-CMJLI Nov ,�����, 8.. BRITAIN FACES INDUSTRIAL STRIFE THIS WINTER Comment on: The Macmillan government on 1 Novem- ber rejected an independent tribunal's rul- ing that 32,000 workers for the National Health Service should receive a 3,percent pay raise. This adds to the growing signs that industrial strife will dominate the Brit- ish domestic scene this winter. Trade unions had already reacted sharply to the government's unusually firm insistence that further wage increases would be an intolerable addition to inflationary pres- sures and would imperil the pound sterling. Unions represent- ing one third of the 9,000,000 trade union members have sub- mitted wage demands. The government's response to the claims of the railway men, which are expected to be announced in mid- December, will be critical, for action on their annual demands usually sets the pattern throughout British industry. The Conservative government and the Labor opposition will compete for public opinion on this issue, with the government posing as the protector of sterling and of real incomes and Labor charging the government with penalizing wage earners for an inflationary situation caused by a defec- tive fiscal policy. According to the American embassy in Lon- don, "Whoever wins this argument presumably will win the next election." 3 Nov 57 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 -C447V-PMPV--T-T-A-1.- Approved for Release: 2019/12/10 C03178396