CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1957/10/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Keywords: 2018 Sanitization
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03153730
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 13
• Document Creation Date: December 12, 2019
• Document Release Date: December 20, 2019
• Publication Date: October 9, 1957

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9 October 1957
DOCUMENT NO. _
NO CHANGE. IN CLASS.
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Ci 1:HAE0 TO:
NET REVIEW DATE'
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Copy No,
REVIEWER:
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OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
W/177/ 7. 00
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CONTENTS
AP/
. KHRUSHCHEV INTERVIEW TO ADD TO ANTI
WESTERN PRESSURE IN UN (page 3).
/to 2. EGYPT AND SYRIA MAY PLAN INCREASED
TERRORIST ACTIVITY AGAINST JORDAN
(page 5).
)1-0 3. SAUD'S STATE VISIT TO BEIRUT
.(page 7).
ks, 4. NASIR'S VIEWS ON US-EGYPTIAN RELATIONS
(page 8).
5. PEIPING AND MOSCOW SEEK TO ENHANCE
KADAR'S PRESTIGE (page 9).
(02, 6. HAITIAN INAUGURATION MAY BE CRITICAL PERIOD
(page 10).
7. FRENCH ATTITUDE TOWARD DOMESTIC NUCLEAR
WEAPONS PROGRAM (page 11).
`h,e_.> 8. IRANIAN EXTREMISTS MAY BE AIDED BY ARREST
OF NATIONALIST LEADERS (page 12).
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%..� '0 La I
Two
1, KHRUSHCHEV INTERVIEW TO ADD TO ANTI-
WESTERN PRESSURE IN UN
Comment on:
The tone and content of Soviet
party chief Khrushchev's interview
of 7 October in the wake of the
launching of the Soviet earth satel-
lite and the announcement that a "mighty hydrogen de-
vice" has been detonated by the USSR will increase pres-
sure on the West in the UN General Assembly to accept
Soviet disarmament proposals. Khrushchev offered to
subject the Soviet earth satellite and missile program to
international control, possibly an elaboration of the So-
viet proposal of last March to control all missiles capa-
ble of carrying nuclear warheads as part of the second
step in an omnibus disarmament scheme. This latest
offer is designed to encourage wavering or neutral na-
tions to support Soviet proposals for a two= � to' three-year
nuclear test ban and a five-year prohibition on the employ-
ment of atomic and hydrogen weapons.
Khrushchev said the only obstacle to
an accord on the control of all new weapons is the refusal
of the United States to accept the principle of peaceful co-
existence. He singled out Secretary Dulles for attack in
calling on the United States to renounce the cold war and
end the arms race.
The Soviet disarmament campaign in
the UN will also profit from the positions on nuclear test-
ing taken by Japan and India and by the Polish and Czech
proposal to prohibit manufacture and stationing of nuclear
weapons on their territories and that of the German states.
Ambassador Lodge has warned that public apprehension
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over radioactivity has already made it difficult for the
representatives of governments normally backing the
Western disarmament position to vote against a Soviet
proposal for a nuclear test ban if the Russian resolu-
tion should be brought to a vote first. The attacks on
the West by the Saudi Arabian and Egyptian delegates
in their 3 October speeches before the General Assembly
have already made it difficult for friendly Arab states to
take any pro-Western position.
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NkS
2. EGYPT AND SYRIA MAY PLAN INCREASED
TERRORIST ACTIVITY AGAINST JORDAN
Comment on:
Egypt and Syria may contemplate
an expanded program of clandes-
tine violence and intimidation in
Jordan,
Jordanian security forces reported
on 8 October seizure in West Jordan
of a cache of Czech arms and explosives, including 42
such fuses, probably smuggled from Syria. Another cache
of smuggled Czech arms was reported seized in North Jor=
da,n in late September. On the night of 7-8 October explo-
sives were set off outside the homes of two American diplo-
matic personnel in Amman. A similar act was attempted
against a USIS installation in Amman earlier in the summer.
Explosives were also used to sabotage communications fa-
cilities, such as bridges and telephone lines, but there had
been a lull in such activity in recent weeks.
Commencement by Egypt of "some of
the work" in Jordan at this time would probably be intended
to harass the pro-Western cabinet's forthcoming attempt to
obtain a vote of confidence from the lower house of the leg-
islature. After three months' suspension, the lower house
convened on 1 October with only three fourths of the mem-
bership present, the remainder being under indictment or
having fled abroad. If the lower house is out of control, the
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government might try to dissolve the legislature and rule
by decree until it is able to assure election of a more co-
operative legislature.
Intensification of underground ac-
tivity in Jordan would undermine King Saud's belief that he
had achieved a moderation of Syrian extremism on his re-
cent visit to Damascus.
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3. SAUD'S STATE VISIT TO BEIRUT
Comment on:
until the
Although pro-Western Lebanese of-
ficials presumably hope that the
state visit of King Saud to Beirut,
scheduled to begin 10 October, will
counteract the effects of Saud's visit
to Damascus last month, there are
indications that the King may be very
cautious in expressing support for pro-
Western Arab elements.
Azzam Pasha, Saud's special emissary
in the United States, advised the King
that it might
be best to postpone the Beirut visit
"political maneuvers become elPar frnm all ciripq
Saud himself, seems to feel that his
tactic of using purely private persuasion to tone down Syrian
extremism is effective. He has informed the American embas-
sy in Jidda that he regards his visit to Damascus as "very suc-
cessful," and that Syrian civilian and military leaders appeared
receptive to his counsel. The King noted with emphasis, how-
ever, that he had been unable to answer the Syrian argument
that American policy, as exemplified in the question of the
Arab-Israeli dispute over the use of the Gulf of Aqaba, is "nega-
tive" toward the Arabs. Given this state of mind and the advice
of his counselorsSaudsviit to Beirut may well disappoint pro-
Western forces.
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4. NASIR'S VIEWS ON US-EGYPTIAN RELATIONS
COM-meld 6ri:'
Despite hints from some circles
in Cairo that Egyptian-American
relations might be improved, Pres-
ident Nasir apparently is giving no
encouragement to the idea,
he
is still acting in accordance with
his previous statements that he
prefers friendship with the United States but that the
initiative for a reconciliation will not come from him.
Nasir may consider that for the
time being he can adequately balance his reliance on the
Soviet bloc by encouraging a return to more normal eco-
nomic relations with France and Britain. To this end,
Egyptian Information Minister Hatim apparently is mak-
ing a variety of offers to the British.
Foreign Minister Fawzi and Egyp-
tian Ambassador Hussayn in Washington, however, have
both submitted pessimistic reports in the past week on the
possibility of any rapprochement with the United States.
Hussayn was instructed by Nasir not to try a final sound-
ing out of the State Department prior to his impending re-
turn to Cairo on leave, and the Egyptian finance minister
was ordered not to undertake any discussions with Ameri-
can officials during his recent attendance at the Interna-
tional Monetary Fund meeting in Washington.
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NIS
5. PEIPING AND MOSCOW SEEK TO ENHANCE
KATI A RIR DPVQTTCIV
The honors given to Hungarian Pre-
mier and Party First Secretary Kadar during his recent
visits to Peiping and Moscow underline the bloc's effort
to enhance his prestige and to strengthen his position in
his own party. They are also designed tO impress neutralist
nations with the normalization of conditions in Hungary.
En route to China, Kadar was ban-
queted in Moscow by Mikoyan. In Peiping, he was received
by Mao Tse-tung, personally praised by Chou En-lai at the
National Day celebrations, where he was the featured for-
eign notable, and was pointedly introduced by Chinese of-
ficials to dignitaries from nonbloc nations. On his return
to Moscow, he was feted by Khrushchev and Mikoyan.
The recognition that Kadar is the
Kremlin's picked man in Hungary will reduce opposition to
him in his own party and in Hungary generally. Former
Stalinist elements who have supported only his hardAine
political measures will be more restrained in challenging
his policies, notably the continued relaxation in economic
affairs. The Kremlin's reindorsement of Kadar will make
it clear to potentially hostile elements in the Hungarian
populace that they have no alternative to his regime and
will deepen their apathy with the approach of the anniversary
of the national uprising.
As Kadar's control over the party and
country improves, he may act to be able to afford 'further .
concessions, such as a limited political amnesty. The Krem-
lin might also be willing to make a token withdrawal of So-
viet troops.
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Nue' "Nue
6. HAITIAN INAUGURATION MAY BE CRITICAL PERIOD
The approaching inauguration of
Haitian President-elect Duvalier,
reportedly scheduled for next week,
has sharpened speculation concern-
ing the army's future role in politics.
The interim military government has
been severely criticized because of the brutal treatment
of opposition elements, the death of a US citizen during
police interrogation, and an apparent anti-American at-
titude on the part of some high officials. Some Haitians
reportedly feel that the curtailment of US economic aid
announced on 4 October may have been a result of the
government's failure to offer an acceptable explanation
of the American's death.
A reported lessening of tension during
the past few clays does not preclude a resurgence of civil
disorder. The period immediately following Duvalier's
inauguration is expected to be the most critical.
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"W� Nei
7. FRENCH ATTITUDE TOWARD DOMESTIC
NUCLEAR WEAPONS PROGRAM
The American embassy in Paris reports
that statements in the French National
Assembly and in the press seem to indi-
cate acceptance of a French nuclear
weapons production program "as a foregone conclusion."
Although the government has announced no decision to pro-
ceed with such a program, the deliberate ambiguity of offi-
cial statements has created a widespread public impression
that at least preliminary weapons work is already under
way.
The embassy estimates that French
public opinion now would be temporarily satisfied with a
token program, but considers it practically certain that
the French military will press for the manufacture of
the widest range of nuclear weapons the French budget
can possibly support.
The most recent confirmation of
French intentions to proceed with nuclear weapons pro-
duction was provided by French insistence that the
charter for OEEC's proposed nuclear energy agency
not bar technicians engaged in this project from using
the resultant information for weapons production.
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8. IRANIAN EXTREMISTS MAY BE I' ED BY
ARREST OF NATIONALIST LEADERS
Comment on:
The recent arrest in Iran of ap-
proximately 70 nationalists on
charges of conducting propaganda
activities against the Shah may
ease tne inhluence of extremists within the Na-
tional Resistance Movement (NRM), which was backed
by former premier Mossadeq. These arrests may have
convinced a larger number of its members that
forceful removal of the Shah is needed before Iran's
problems can be solved. In addition, the action may
facilitate Communist penetration of the NRM.
The Iranian Intelligence and Se-
curity Agency, Savak, in mid-September started round-
ing up nationalists in Tehran, Meshed, Tabriz, and Is-
fahan under direct orders of the Shah. Savak seems to
have tried to keep the action from the Iranian public,
but it is now well known in Tehran. The government
apparently does not have enough evidence to bring most
of the prisoners to trial despite the confiscation of a
� quantity of propaganda material.
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