CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/10/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03015181
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 12
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: October 4, 1956

Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 CO3015181,
1 C1.1- '
CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
3.3(h)(2) 3.5(c) 0
4 October 1956
Copy No, fc%
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
0 DECLASSED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVON DATE:
AUTH: H 70-
ATE
REVIEWER.
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
OM% ' (10:14
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.20
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I �tsar
CONTENTS
1. KE1RUSHCHEV REPORTED CONSIDERING 7.E-ESTABLISH-
ING INTERNATIONAL COMMUNIST LINKS
(page 3).
2. BRITAIN FAVORS STATIONING IRAQI TROOPS IN JORDAN
(page 4).
3. NEWS OFFER OF ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE TO IRAN
(page 5).
4, THREAT OF VIOLENCE INCREASES IN HONDURAS
(page 6).
5. INDONESIAN ARMY OFFICERS ALLEGEDLY PLAN COUP
(page 7).
4 Oct 56
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Top Secret Eider) (page 8)
* * * *
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
(page 10)
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
rop-sEeRET
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Nixie
1. KHRUSHCHEV REPORTED CONSIDERING RE-
ESTABLISHING INTERNATIONAL COMMUNIST LINKS
Comment on:
Soviet leaders had under study
proposals to "re-establish links" be-
tween Moscow and foreign Communist
parties to exchange views and informa-
tion. They discussed the possibility of
having representatives of Communist parties meet at regu-
lar intervals and forming a telegraphic news agency to
transmit information to Communist parties. Khrushchev
agreed that something of the sort was necessary.
Moscow believes it neces-
sary to establish some new form of international control
prevent serious deviations in Communist parties0
speculation that this is the subject of current talks has
probably inspired press reports that Khrushchev has al-
ready proposed such a plan to Tito. Tito would fear the
inevitable domination of an arrangement of this sort by
Moscow and would prefer to exert Yugoslavia's influence
through bilateral relations.
Any loose organization along Cominform
lines would be inadequate to deal with Moscow's problem of
maintaining, and where necessary re-establishing, discipline
over Satellite Communist parties. An overt organization
reminiscent of the old Comintern or Cominform would damage
Communist efforts to establish unity of action with West
European Socialists.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3
sE.GRE_T__
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2, BRITAIN FAVORS STATIONING IRAQI TROOPS
IN JORDAN
The British Foreign Office is convinced
it would be desirable from the stand-
point of Western interests to have Iraq
station troops in Jordan, as requested
by Jordan's King Hussain. In particular, London believes
such a move would greatly enhance Iraq's prestige at the
expense of Nasres in the entire region.
According to the American embassy in
London, the Foreign Office appears confident that it could
allay any of IsraePs fears which might result from Iraq's
movement into Jordan.
Comment Britain is probably assisting Iraq to
strengthen its influence in Jordan in
order to be in a position to profit from an eventual parti-
tion of Jordan and to strengthen Iraq as a counterweight to
Egypt. In addition to recent diplomatic moves aimed at
promoting the proposed Iraqi troop movement, the British
are evidently active in Jordan itself on Iraq's behalf.
Israeli prime minister Ben-Gurion has
said Israel would not attack Jordan as a result of move-
ment of Iraqi troops into Jordan as long as the troops re-
main east of the Jordan River.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
SECRET
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NW,
3. USSR RENEWS OFFER OF ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE
TO IRAN
The Shah informed Ambassador Chapin
on 30 September that N. M. Pegov, the
new Soviet ambassador to Iran, told him
that the USSR is ready to give Iran eco-
nomic assistance of any kind and in almost any amount Iran
wishes to name. Specifically, Pegov proposed joint con-
struction of a million-kilowatt hydroelectric project on the
Araks River on Iran's northwest border with the USSR. The
USSR offered to submit plans shortly for Iranian concurrence.
Comment When the Shah visited the Soviet Union in
July, he was assured by Soviet leaders
that the USSR was prepared to give Iran unconditional large-
scale assistance for its economic development, but no spe-
cific offers were made. The Shah indicated interest at the
time in common development of water resources along the
border.
The present offer comes at a time when
Iran faces serious economic problems and is uncertain of the
extent of aid from the West, and will be difficult for Tehran
to reject.
In its negotiations with Afghanistan, Burma
and Indonesia, the USSR quickly followed up acceptance of ini-
tial general offers of economic assistance with specific pro-
posals on terms and projects.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
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4. THREAT OF VIOLENCE INCREASES IN HONDURAS
The political struggle in Honduras is
approaching a crisis, and the election
3f a constituent assembly scheduled
for 7 October seems likely to provoke
disorders and, possibly, an attempted
revolt. The election will be rigged against the Nationalist
and Liberal Parties on behalf of a government-supported
National Union slate dominated by the small Reformist
Party.
The Nationalists, angered at illegal
government actions against them, announced on 1 October
that they would boycott the election. The Liberals, whose
hatred for the government surpasses their traditional en-
mity for the Nationalists, have considered co-operation on
common political action with the Nationalists. Together,
the two parties polled 79 percent of the votes in the rela-
tively free 1954 national elections. There are indications
that Nationalist Party chief Carias may now be preparing
for armed action against the government.
The ailing Julio Lozano, whose strenu-
ous efforts to create a stable coalition government have led
merely to an increase in tension, temporarily turned the
government over to popular ex-president Galvez last month.
Lozano's return as chief of state, which may occur before
the election, would probably spark serious disorders.
Most top army leaders are loyal to
Galvez and Lozano and could probably suppress a revolt at
this time.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6
SECRET
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government,
They expected to implement their plans sometime after 2 Oc-
tober and anticipated no resistance from within the army ex-
cept in East Java.
As of mid-September, three high-ranking
Indonesian army officers--one of them
former deputy chief of staff Colonel Lubis--
were still planning action to take over the
Comment Reports of an impending army coup have
appeared regularly since mid-summer,
and it is quite likely that Colonel Lubis is eager to take some
form of action against the government. In such an action, he
would be supported by a number of young officers, chiefly at
the brigade command level, in West Java.
Army dissatisfaction derives from a feel-
ing that the army is not receiving adequate material support
from the government, a belief that the government has inter-
fered unnecessarily in strictly military affairs, and disillu-
sionment over corruption in the government. Army leaders
may also be disturbed by President Sukarno's strong show of
friendship toward Communist countries during his current
tour of the Sino-Soviet Orbit,
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
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TrID
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 3 October)
Israel plans to restrict its future partici-
pation in the proceedings of the Israeli-Jordanian Mixed Armi-
stice Commission, according to an unconfirmed report from
the israeli sector of Jerusalem. It plans not to request meet-
ings to discuss armistice violations by Jordan, and will not
attend meetings called by Jordan to consider alleged armistice
violations by Israel. Israel, according to a Foreign Ministry
spokesman, "sees no useful purpose in continued routine ex-
aminations of border incidents...in view of steady attempts by
the UN Truce Supervision Organization to equalize Jordanian
acts of aggression with justified Israeli measures in self-
defense." The spokesman denied that the new policy amounted
to a complete boycott of the commission, and stated that Israel
would continue to register complaints against Jordan if border
violations were reported. (Press)
the movement of Iraqi troops into Jordan is immi-
nent,
Other reports however, suggest that if any Iraqi
troops are sent into Jordan the force will probably not exceed
a battalion0
many people questioned whether
Jordan was a viable state, and that even the British doubted
whether it could survive.
The Israeli government,
recognizes that retaliation is not a solution to the border problem,
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8
IMP E e RE-T
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but considers it an effective deterrent and believes that con-
ditioris w�iild h nuch worse along the border without retalia-
tion.
Rapid Egyptian response to Jordan's appeal
for military aid following the Israeli raid
suited in delivery of 21 tons of arms by air and
60 tons on the following day,
the arrival of five
Egyptian transport aircraft, described in the press as IL-14's,
on the 28th, and an additional eight aircraft were
expected later, three planeloads of
Egyptian arms were delivered to Amman, and a shipload of un-
disclosed size was dispatched to Jordan via the Syrian port of
Latakia. In addition, Syria is attempting to expedite delivery of
$1,300,000 worth of arms to Jordan from Czechoslovakia.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9
TOP-StEr-e-REz
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BIWEEKLY SUMMARY
(20 September-3 October 1956)
THE TAIWAN STRAIT
Report of the IAC Current Intelligence Grotty)
for the Taiwan Strait Problem
1. The only noteworthy combat activity during the period
occurred when four Chinese Nationalist F-84's on a reconnais-
sance mission along the South China coast on 1 October were
engaged by four. Chinese Communist jet fighters near Swatow.
In the ensuing engagement two Communist aircraft were damaged,
according to Chinese Nationalist claims, and one F-84 received
minor damage. The incident appears to have been a chance en-
counter between the Nationalist aircraft and a Communist jet
fighter patrol on a routine mission.
2. The eighth congress of the Chinese Communist Party,
which concluded on 27 September, and statements made on
National Day (1 October) reiterated Peiping's intention to "lib-
erate" Taiwan by either peaceful or other means, but this theme
received little stress.
3. In a statement on 21 September on the Johnson-Wang
talks at Geneva, the Chinese Communist Foreign Ministry indi-
cated that it regards further discussion of the question of renun-
ciation of force as fruitless and proposed that the talks move on
to the question of trade controls. The tone of the statement was
moderate and gave no in
off the talks at this time.
4 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10
SECRET
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SECRET
TAIWAN STRAIT SITUATION
CHINESE COMMUNIST AIRFIELD LEGEND
DESIGNATIONS
SECONDARY AIRFIELD
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AREA WITH PREPARED RUNWAY RUNWAYS GENERALLY LESS THAN
GENERALLY 5000 FEET OR LONGER 5000 FEET.
ACTIVE BASE FOR MILITARY & CIVILIAN AIR-
CRAFT. SOME BASES USED BY PISTON TYPES
MAY BE USABLE BY JETS
INACTIVE BASES CAPABLE OF USE BY AIRCRAFT
CURRENT STATUS UNDETERMINED
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