CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/10/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03155134
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 10
• Document Creation Date: October 25, 2019
• Document Release Date: October 31, 2019
• Publication Date: October 6, 1956

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6 October 1956
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CURRENT
INTELLIGENCE
BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. Oir"
LI DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS
NEXT REVIEW DATE:
AUTH: W 7O
DATE
REVIEWER:
OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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1. SHE PILO
(page 3).
CONTENTS
ONVERSATION
2e ANTI-COMMUNIST DEMONSTRATIONS SEEN POSSIBLE
IN HUNGARY AND POLAND (page 4).
3. SOVIET LOAN TO HUNGARY
(page 5)0
4. SOVIET JET HEAVY BOMBER pprIttAlaT VPvirTTED
IN AIR ON LONG TEST FLIGHT (page 6).
6 Oct 56
* * * *
THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(page 8)
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2
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1. SHEPILOV- :40NVE RSAT ION
Soviet foreign minister Shepilov
opposes the idea of the Security Coun-
cil's forming a committee to foster
a Suez agreement, even if Egypt favored it, because the ma-
jority "would be against us" and it would not be possible to
"cniarantee the results"
Shepilov stated his preference for a Suez solution "outside
the council."
Shepilov and Fawzi were in agreement
that "it would be clever to bring about a solution which would
place the West in the awkward position of agreeing with us."
Comment
Shepilov's reluctance to see the Security
Council call for a negotiating committee
is probably based on the fear that a direct compromise between
the West and Egypt would lead to a solution unfavorable to the
USSR's position as the Arab world's advocate.
6 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin
Page 3
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2. ANTI-COMMUNIST DEMONSTRATIONS SEEN POSSIBLE
IN HUNGARY AND POLAND
Comment on:
Communist and anti-Russian demon-
strations may occur in Hungary and
Poland during the next few days.
The Hungarian party, apparently in
symbolic rejection of Soviet domina-
tion, has announced a ceremonial
funeral procession in Budapest on 6
October bearing the remains of Laszlo Rajk, the former
Titoist and "national deviationist" now hailed as an "out-
standing leader of Hungarian labor," and three Commu-
nists executed with Rajk. Before the Communist takeover,
6 October was traditionally celebrated as a day of mourn-
ing for 13 Hungarian generals executed by the Austrians
in 1849 as a direct result of Russian intervention in
Hungary's struggle for liberation.
The public, which has not been involved
so far in the party's disputes, may use the occasion to
demonstrate its dislike for the Communists and the Russians.
In Poland, tension reportedly is high in
Poznan as the city awaits the 8 October verdict in the trial
of three youths accused of murdering a secret police cor-
poral. Western newsmen in Poznan claim that many groups,
and particularly young workers, feel they must indicate
their solidarity with the accused by demonstrating when the
verdicts are announced. The government is prepared, with
reinforced security forces in Poznan, to quell any disturb-
ances quickly.
6 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4
CONFIDENTIAL
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3. SOVIET LOAN TO HUNGARY
Comment on:
The $25,000,000 Soviet credit to Hungary
announced on 4 October was granted at
a time of political unrest and economic
need in the country, as was also the case
in the 23 September loan in the same amount to Poland. It
is probably designed to rebut the arguments of Hungarian
party "moderates" who have been claiming that the USSR is
draining the country's economy. Moscow probably believes
that Soviet financial assistance would bolster the Moscow-
oriented position and policies of Hungarian party leader Gero,
who has been engaged in talks with Soviet leaders in the
Crimea.
Fifteen million dollars of the grant will
be in raw materials, the remaining $10,000,000 in converti-
ble currency. This sum will do little to alleviate Hungary's
economic problems; these are caused by a perennial short-
age of foreign exchange, heavy dependence on imported raw
materials, a commitment to increase average real wages
during the next five-year plan (1956-60) by 25 percent, and
existing obligations to the USSR totaling approximately
$340,000,000.
By granting loans to recalcitrant Satel-
lites such as Poland and Hungary in an attempt in part to
deal with the internal ferment in these countries, the USSR
may stimulate demands by other Satellites for additional
economic assistance. (Prepared jointly
with ORR)
6 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5
SECRE-T-
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40 SOVIET JET HEAVY BOMBER PROBABLY REFUELED
IN AIR ON LONG TEST FLIGHT
a Moscow-based M-4 (BISON) jet
heavy bomber, under the control of
the Ministry of Aviation Industry
(MAP), was scheduled to fly possibly 8,700 nautical miles
during an 18-hour period on 26 September. The flight was
to be a round trip originating at Moscow/Ramenskoye, MAP
flight test center, and covering almost the entire width of
the Soviet Union. the actual
flight show that the M-4 flew only about 13 hours, covering
about 6,000 nautical miles, at altitudes between 30,000 and
38,000 feet,
Comment The reason the flight was not carried
out as scheduled is not known. The
flight plane the longest noted to date, exceeds the 6,400 nau-
tical mile estimated optimum combat range of the M-4 with
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6 Oct 56
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Chelyabinsk
Omsk
Tashkent.
LONG DISTANCE TEST FLIGHT
27 SEPTEMBER 1956
SCHEDULED ROUTE - 8700 N. MILES
ACTUAL: PLIGHT
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a 3,000-pound bomb load. This indicates that at least
one aerial refueling was planned, since the allotted time
would not allow for refueling on the ground.
The 6,000-mile flight at the altitudes
reported, which are considerably under those required to
attain optimum combat range, suggests that the plane was
actually refueled in flight. Jet heavy bombers have been
observed with forward projecting nose booms which are con-
sidered to be probe elements of a probe and drogue in-flight
refueling system.
6 Oct 56
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
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THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION
(Information as of 1700, 5 October)
An Israeli Defense Ministry spokesman
announced on 4 October that five Israeli civilians were killed
and one wounded in an ambush of two vehicles six miles south
of Sodom on the Dead Sea, and four miles from the Jordan bor-
der. An Israeli Foreign Ministry statement charged that the
ambush was the work of an "organized, well-trained group from
Jordanian territory." The new fatalities once again raise the
Prospect of retaiintion by Israel.
the Jorda �
Sodom, is a likely target.
Recent ambushes of Israeli vehicles in the
Negev region may have been carried out by Egyptian-directed
terrorists operating from Jordan-- ssibl
of the Jordan overnme
ordil��th�rities had ar-
wi-recfi submachine guns, near Hebron
in West Jordan. The men claimed they were working for Egyptian
military intelligence. Earlier, Cairo had indicated plans to dis-
avow an individual arrested in Jordan to prevent him from com-
promising "the new operations." Cairo also planned efforts to
convince Jordanian authorities that Egypt no longer directed ter-
rorist operations from other Arab states. The recent Israeli
retaliations against Jordan are reported to have strengthened
pro-Nasr elements in the Arab States. and to hp v undercut con-
servative criticism of Egypt.
Iraq has refused to send forces to Jordan
because of a disagreement over corn
6 Oct 56
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Israel has apparently taken advantage of
Egypt's preoccupation with the Suez crisis and the partial with-
drawal of Egyptian units from the Israeli front to reduce its
standing ground strength to about 80,000,
The force consists of 55,000
regulars and reserves on active duty, and 25,000 paramilitary
Nahal troops. The Israeli forces that remain at full strength
or can be quickly brought to full strength are grouped mainly op-
posite the border of Jordan and Syria. Some of the units in the
south facing Egyptian forces are estimated to have been reduced
to approximately thirty-percent strength. Israel has apparently
taken advantage of the situation to reduce temporarily the heavy
financial burden of maintaining its force in a state of semimobili-
zation during the past year.
6 Oct 56
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