CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/05/11

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03161858
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
May 11, 1956
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15740186].pdf393.27 KB
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I " Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 CO3161858 V 4, CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN TOP SECRET 3.3(h)(2) 11 May 1956 3.5(c) / Lopy NO. DOCUMENT NO NO CHANGE IN CLASS DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTI4: HR 7 DA REVIEWER. OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 " 1r11111 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 CONTENTS 1. SOVIETS DISPLAY JET HEAVY BOMBERS EQUIPPED FOR IN-FLIGHT REFUELING page 3). 2. USSR MAKES FISHERIES AGREEMENT WITH .JAPAN DEPENDENT ON DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS (page 5). 3. BRITISH PRESTIGE SEEN DECLINING IN IRAQ :page 6). 4. SPAIN TO APPOINT AMBASSADOR IN RABAT (page 7). 5. FRENCH-MOROCCAN TENSION NEARS BREAKING POINT (page 8). 6. NEW COUP IN CUBA REPORTED IMMINENT (page 9). 7, ARMY MAY SEIZE CONTROL IN ECUADOR (page 10). 8. PRE-ELECTION TENSION INCREASING IN SOUTH KOREA (page 11). 9. HUNGARY RELAXES CONTROLS ON AUSTRIAN BORDER (page 12). THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (page 13) 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 _ _ 414, 1. SOVIETS DISPLAY JET HEAVY BOMBERS EQUIPPED FOR IN-FLIGHT REFUELING Photographs of BLSONS participating in rehearsals for the annual May Day air show in Moscow show two aircraft equipped with nose booms. The booms, similar to one seen during the Soviet Air Force Day Show on 3 July last year, are about one foot in diameter and about 13 feet long. Comment This equipment is probably the probe element of a probe-and-drogue in- flight refueling system. With one in-flight refueling from a compatible tanker, i. e., a tanker with similar perform- ance characteristics, the combat radius of the BISON could be extended from 2,450 to 3,300 nautical miles. (See map, p. 4.) The absence of squadron markings on both probe-equipped aircraft, which were interspersed among about 20 other BISONS when observed, suggests they are still under the control of the Ministry of Aviation Industry rather than the Long Range Air Force. The aerial tanker element of the refuel- ing system has not been identified. Of known Soviet aircraft, another BISON or a BEAR would be best suited for this role. (Prepared by OSI) 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 COMBAT RADII OF SOVIET JET EAVY BOMBER WITH 0,000-POUND BOMB LOAD 11 MAY 1956 Ii May 56 60510 3 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 2. USSR MAKES FISHERIES AGREEMENT WITH JAPAN DEPENDENT ON DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS A Japanese-Soviet fisheries agreement will be signed in Moscow on 11 May, ac- cording to an announcement by Japanese foreign minister Shigemitsu. He later informed Ambassador Allison that Pre- mier Bulganin had made clear to the Japanese negotiator in Moscow, Minister of Agriculture and Forestry Kono, that implementation of the agreement would depend on the reopen- ing of diplomatic relations between the USSR and Japan. Shigemitsu clearly implied that the Japanese government would probably accede to Bulganin's condition. II May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 sir Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 3. BRITISH PRESTIGE SEEN DECLINING IN IRAQ Ambassador Galimam reports from Iraq that a steady decline of British prestige there is one of the most significant developments in the area since the summer of 1955. Gallman s in part to the worsening British position in Jordan, Cyprus, and the Persian Gulf shejkdoms, but also to the conduct of British officials and businessmen in Iraq. He says British ambassador Wright is increasingly criticized by Iraqis for his "unwarranted interference" in internal affairs. Gallman adds that a generally pro- British Iraqi news correspondent told him that Wright's "high-handed and arrogant" conduct is building up real trouble for Britain in Iraq. The correspondent said that he had warned British embassy officials that "Britain will lose this, her last foothold in the Middle East," unless Wright and others in the embassy change their tactics. Comment The decline in British prestige in Iraq has accompanied a loss of influence by the British throughout the Middle East. Iraq tends to blame Britain for its failure to obtain an influential position in the Middle East through the medium of the Baghdad pact. Iraq's present leaders almost certainly wish to continue their cor- dial relationships with Britain. They are not likely, however, to maintain this position should strong popular pressure de- velop. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 -7-71-7tr-Eitg-14-E4-74Tzr-i-da__ _ Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Sir NO0 4. SPAIN TO APPOINT AMBASSADOR IN RABAT Comment Spain has been eager to curry favor with the Arab states by being the first to accord Morocco diplomatic recognition. The sultan par- ticularly desires the presence of accredited ambassadors at post-Ramadan celebrations on 12 May. France has in- sisted on delaying diplomatic exchanges until fall. Spain's action will probably force Paris to alter its schedule radi- cally. The British government issued a state- ment on 10 May recognizing Morocco and Tunisia as sovereign and independent states, but deferring an exchange of ambassa- dors until French-Moroccan negotiations are concluded. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 CONVIDENTT A I_ Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 -003161858 Am! 5. FRENCH-MOROCCAN TENSION NEARS BREAKING POINT Consul General Porter in Rabat believes that the failure of the Moroccans to reach an agreement with Paris regarding for- eign affairs may bring current tension to a breaking point. Many French residents in Morocco insist that the situation is more serious now than it was prior to the Oued Zem massacre on 20 August. The Moroccan population and elements of the "Liberation Army" are becoming restive. The French military forces, smarting under continued Moroccan harass- ment, have thus far been restrained by their high command. Comment The sultan does not have the security forces necessary to prevent widespread attacks on French residents and is relying on personal ap- peals for order. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 t'i i vrirtt47 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 irt Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Now 6. NEW COUP IN CUBA REPORTED IMMINENT Comment There have been previous reports that officers who served under former pres- ident Prio were planning a general revolt, which would be set off by the assassination of President Batista, On 9 May the Cuban police expelled Prio from Cuba on charges of in- citing uprisings and the en- tire Prio "clique" is to be deported. Popular dissatisfaction with the Batista regime has been mounting, and Batista, in an effort to strengthen his position, is reorganizing the military and has suspended constitutional guarantees. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 . 1PTEIT Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 ----t....�1,eyrib -ler Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Aink 7. ARMY MAY SEIZE CONTROL IN ECUADOR Comment The approach of the 3 June national elections for president, vice presi- dent and congress has occasioned numerous reports of plots to gain control of the government by force. The army is the most important factor in Ecuadoran politics. In the past 30 years Ecuador has had some 22 presidents, only one of whom was regularly elected and served out his four-year term. Velasco was ousted from the presidency in 1935 and again in 1947 be- cause of his dictatorial measures. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 wrif 8. PRE-ELECTION TENSION INCREASING IN SOUTH KOREA Comment on: Reports that Cho Pong-am, President Rhee's remaining opponent in South Korea's presidential race, has gone into hiding for fear of assassination reflect increasing tension in South Korea prior e 15 May presidential elections, a est indications point to a close race be ween ang yon and Rhee's running mate, Yi Ki-pung, with victory for Yi dependent on the extent of police aid in rural areas. Both Yi and Chang are regarded as political moderates and friendly toward the United States. However, election of Chang would arouse Rhee's ire, and might prompt him to block Chang's inauguration or amend the rules of suc- cession. Opposition anxiety concerning possible fraud in connection with vote-counting procedures suggests that large-scale irregularities might lead to postelection violence in opposition strongholds such as Seoul and Pusan. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 rr -.1 in. I Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 � M.. -MAL, .11,/, V-.M. 9, HUNGARY RELAXES CONTROLS ON AUSTRIAN BORDER The announced Hungarian decision on 9 May to "abolish the technical barrier along the western frontier of the coun- try is a possibly important step in the Soviet bloc campaign to reduce interna- tional tensions and to convince the Satellite people that past harsh policies are being abandoned. The Hungarian announce- ment was preceded by Austrian Communist proposals to Hungary, on the eve of general elections in Austria, that restrictions on the Austro-Hungarian border be lifted since they represented a "remnant of the cold war." This maneuver is unlikely to improve the chances of the Communists in the election. The "technical barriers" the Hungarians intend to abolish are presumably the mine fields and barbed wire fences. While the Hungarian action is likely to encour- age many Hungarians to attempt to escape to the West, the regime's 15,000-man frontier border guard will probably be able to maintain relatively strict control of the border. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12 "I a TINT A '71' Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 22 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858 vowe Ner THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 10 May) Clashes and incidents continue on the Jor- danian and Egyptian borders with Israel. An Israel military spokesman reported that the Tel Aviv-Beersheba railway was cut two miles north of Beersheba, and that Jordanian infiltrators had attacked a civilian truck 10 miles north of Tel Aviv. Israeli patrols killed a Jordanian infiltrator in a clash south of Jerusa- lem, and engaged in a skirmish with Jordanians 40 miles north of Jerusalem. Egypt charged that armed Israelis killed an Arab farmer and wounded a National Guardsman near Gaza. (Press) the six Vampire jet fighters with Syrian markings which landed for refueling in Athens on 26 April, presumably on their way to Syria, were delivered to Syrian air force officers train- ing in Egypt. they were delivered under an old contract and added that 12 more_almraftAvere-in_cludesLin_tlie_ contract for future delivery. (old the Arne-Han a-rmy "attdbhe in Damascus that Israel had released the Syrian vessel Feisal and grew and that it was on its way back to Syria. Israel captured the vessel in August 1955 for violating Israeli territorial waters. Israel agreed at the time of the Israeli-Syrian prisoner exchange of 29 March to release the vessel and its crew in the near future. 11 May 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 13 Approved for Release: 2019/10/21 C03161858