CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1956/08/21

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03193803
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
14
Document Creation Date: 
October 25, 2019
Document Release Date: 
October 31, 2019
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Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
August 21, 1956
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15742055].pdf352.89 KB
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for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 - 0. _ . 21 August 1956 Copy .No / . 105 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) // / o :AEFM--4-----'� .CURRENT INTELLIGENCE , / BULLETIN CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S NEXT REVIEW DATE: / AUTH: H 0- DATE' 0 /I� 4 OFFICE OF CURRENT INTELLIGENCE CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY / 0/ 4 / 0 4 e4/ .4 % �/ / / (7 / #./74 /1/A - T r ) T c 1 � " - 6 9 1 LE - 7 . , Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Now) Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Visit CONTENTS L USSR PROMISES EGYPT TO 7FFER ALTERNATIVE TO INDIAN PROPOSAL ON SUEZ (page 3). 2. NASR REPORTEDLY wfirmn ACCEPT 12-NATION OVER- SEER BOARD ON SUEZ (page 4). 3. PANAMA SEEKS VOICE IN CANAL OPERATIONS (Top (page 5). 4. MOLLET MAY RESIGN IF SUEZ OUTCOME UNSATISFACToRY (Confidential) (page 7). 5.� SOVIET I CRAFT DEPLOY TO EASTERN EUROPE page 8). 6. TERRORISTS ON CYPRUS ASK FOR TRUCE (page 10). 7. LAOTIAN GOVERNMENT OUTLINES TERMS FOR MILITARY SETTLEMENT WITH PATHET LAO (page 11). 8. CZECH COMMUNIST PARTY REJECTS POLISH TYPE OF "LIBERATION" (page 12). 21 Aug 56 THE ARAB-ISRAE SITUATION (page 13) Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TOP-SE-eR&T Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 __� Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Nair 1. USSR PROMISES EGYPT TO OFFER ALTERNATIVE TO INDIAN PROPOSAL ON SUEZ Egyptian officials in London and Soviet representatives at the London confer- ence decided, following submission of the Indian compromise proposal on the Suez, that it would be necessary for the USSR to "present a plan on the basis of the ElYvntian nnint nf view," Comment Menon's plan proposed revision of the Convention of 1888 and establishment of an advisory council of user nations which the Egyptian canal company would be obliged to consult. The company's annual report would also be transmitted to the United Nations. Despite the fact that the concept of a con-, sultative council appears agreeable to Nasr, the council's role under the Indian plan may have seemed dangerously undefined. to the Egyptians in London. A Soviet plan drawn up in agreement withl the Egyptians probably would incorporate the main features of the Indian proposal, but with a special eye to Noses requirements for limiting international participation in Suez affairs. The USSR, in presenting its proposal would be on record as acting directly on Egypt's behalf. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 TOP SECR-E-7 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 501171672-3-003193803 Noe 2. NASR REPORTEDLY WOULD ACCEPT 12-NATION OVERSEER BOARD ON SUEZ Nasr is willing to accept a compromise �on the Suez Canal issue which would in- clude a 12-nation commission to oversee operation of the canal, but which would have no direct operating responsibility, The suggested commission would be corn- posed of six permanent members chosen from the major mari- time powers and six members chosen in rotation from among ' the "lesser powers!' 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 -steittur Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 003193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Nue 30 PANAMA SEEKS VOICE IN CANAL OPERATIONS Comment What appears to be Panama's ultimate ob- jective of achieving participation in the operation of the canal is demonstrated in the current protracted negotiations on the United States proposal to establish radar sites in Panama to assist in the defense of the canal. Panama has balked at fulfilling treaty commitments which permit the establishment of defense sites in Panamanian territory and wants an entirely new agreement for the sites. The immediate Panamanian objective appears to be to weaken US treaty rights and establish the basis for future Panamanian claims to "partnership" in the operation of the canal. Panama has shown an intense interest in the Egyptian nationalization of the Suez Canal and undoubtedly hopes the Suez crisis will result in an international agreement which 1 Panama could later use in asserting its "rights" in the operation of the Panama Canal. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 -140-19-3feRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 003193803 r.nr. Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 liosse 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 Tefl�SEeRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 crtDENL� �140.0 MOLLET MAY RESIGN IF SUEZ OUTCOME UNSATISFACTORY Premier Mollet's personal spokesman told American officials in Paris on 16 August that Mollet feels he would have to resign if the Suez crisis were not resolved to France's satisfaction0 jThe spokesman said Mollet believes an unsatisfactory out- come of the London conference would undermine France's determination to fight in Algeria and that twin defeats on Suez and Algeria would lead to a real crisis for the Fourth Republic. The American embassy cautions that while' this interpretation may be unduly pessimistic, it reflects the views of many responsible Frenchmen. The embassy be- lieves the growing dissatisfaction with the Algerian campaign in France is apt to increase sharply if prospects for an end to the fighting become worse. Comment France reacted strongly to the Suez crisis, fearing that another boost to Nasr's leader- ship would markedly stiffen Moslem resistance to France in Algeria,, Should the outcome heighten Mazes prestige, those who favor an early end to the war in Algeria might gain the upper hand in the National Assembly. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7 CONFIDENTIAL Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 003193803 run .01 ir% 111.1 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 �,4�00 Nur 5. SOVIET AIRCRAFT DEPLOY TO EASTERN EUROPE A large-scale deployment of Soviet bombers to airfields in Hungary and Poland began in the early morning of 18 August with the movement of as many �60 medium bombers and transports of the Long Range Air Force. On the following day, several Long Range aircraft presumably en route to East Ger- many. Although most of the aircraft appear to be subordi- nate to the First Long Range Air Army, aircraft of several other Long Range Air Force organizations and other com- mands are involved. Several of the aircraft apparently re- turned to the USSR on 20 August. At least 35 IL-28 jet light bombers of the 15th Air Army and the IL-28 unit based at Shchuchin also participated in the movement to Poland on 18 August. Comment The unprecedented deployment to east- ern Europe of Long Range Air Force aircraft and the associated light bomber moves suggest the commencement of a joint Long Range-Tactical Air. Force Berlin Schoenfeld4 Briesen� P ON 11.-26 :Shchuctin Poznan -)Guben iwOVEI'AS Area Warsaw Prague \ � Lodz Area -\; � 'rOstov 'GA Y A�RBudapest \ HUNG Debrecen, U. S. S. R. LRAA �Moscow 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 8 TOP SECRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2i5I9F16723 C03193803 Noe NuerT, exercise which may involve the entire forward area. Prep- aration for this exercise probably began as early as 1 June when Long Range Air Force transport aircraft began visiting eastern Europe with increasing frequency. Almost daily flights to Briesen and Schoenfeld by Long Range Air Force TU-4's and headquarters transports since 6 August suggest there may be further deployment of Long Range aircraft to East Germany. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 9 _T�DP�SEeRET Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 NNW NIMe 6. TERRORISTS ON CYPRUS ASK FOR TRUCE The American consulate general in Nicosia reports that the Cypriot nationalist organization EOKA, which asked for a truce on 16 August "to test the sincerity" of Britain, has not con- demned violence and is ready to resume operations if the British response is not favorable. The consul general says EOKA may be asking for a truce because the security forces have been making progress against its members and many Cypriots are beginning to be disillusioned with its methods. Greek officials in Athens were taken by urprise by EOKAs action, and the Cyprus ethnarchy repre- sentative in Athens also claims to have had no prior knowledge that a truce was to be called. Prime Minister Karamanlis, although pleased at the improved prospects for settling the dis- pute, has complained that his government should have been consulted so it could have laid the diplomatic groundwork for American support of compromise attempts. Cypriot nationalists still maintain that Makarios must be consulted in any planning for the future of the island and probably hope that the British will now return him from exile. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 10 -3reiRE-T- Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 "vierie' 7, LAOTIAN GOVERNMENT OUTLINES TERMS FOR MILITARY SETTLEMENT WITH PATHET LAO Royal government- Pathet Lao military commissions are scheduled to begin de- tailed negotiations on 22 August regarding the integration of Pathet troops into the The gov- ernment's plan is to relate the number of Pathets to be inte- grated to the number of modern weapons they turn in and, after selective screening, form them into one or two battal- ions0 once under royal government control, the battalions would be broken up by reassignment to other units. Comment ment "treachery," that leave them in tory. The Pathets, have revealed concern over possioie govern- and are likely to insist on settlement terms effective control of their forces and tern- 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 11 -TOP-SEC-REF Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 8., CZECH COMMUNIST PARTY REJECTS POLISH TYPE OF "LIBERATION" The central committee of the Czecho- slovak Communist Party, recently instructed editors that an incorrect interpretation of the Soviet 20th Party Congress had led to serious mistakes in Poland and Hungary which, it implied, must be corrected. The central committee warned that the Poznan riots and other events in Poland "teach us a lesson" as to how the "class enemy" exploits weaknesses, such as Poland's "reckless am- nesty." According to the central committee's in- structions, Yugoslavia is not to be taken as a model; wage questions must be handled cautiously, as improvements evoke pressure for more concessions; the bureaucracy should not be attacked in general but only in concrete terms; decentraliza- tion is not a panacea and centralization is not bad per se; agri- cultural collectivization must be speeded up; and the press must weed out numerous "incompetents." Comment � The regime in Prague is still concerned over dissidence, and these instructions support earlier indications that concessions will be kept to a minimum. The Czech implication that the Polish and Hungarian parties must rectify their post-congress "errors" gains interest from the fact that both parties have continued, and possibly ac- celerated, their liberalization programs. 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 12 :�ECREZ Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803 -CONFIDENTIAL THE ARAB-ISRAELI SITUATION (Information as of 1700, 20 August) The Syrian defense minister has publicly stated that King Hussain has accepted an offer from Syria, Egypt and Saudi Arabia to help equip the Jordanian National Guard in building up its defense against Israel. According to the Syrian official, this is separate from a previous offer to replace the Brit- ish subsidy and provides for aid on a permanent and unconditional basis. (Press) Israel has doubled and in some cases tripled its production of "military items," according to an official public announcement. (Press) 21 Aug 56 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 13 Approved for Release: 2019/10/23 C03193803