CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/09/13

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Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
03000948
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RIPPUB
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U
Document Page Count: 
7
Document Creation Date: 
September 20, 2019
Document Release Date: 
September 26, 2019
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Publication Date: 
September 13, 1955
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15722017].pdf234.59 KB
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r Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 f fr# TOP SECRET WIO .#4 3.3(h)(2) / 44 If � /// cre. rtil#714/ 13 September 1955 3.5(c) Copy No. CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMNT NO /Q NO CHANGE IN CLASS. 0 DECLASSIFIED CLASS, CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE:_ eoio AUTH; HR 70100 DATE: _________ REVIEWER; Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY " 99 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 :we New CONTENTS 1. BOHLEN ANALYZES BASIC SOVIET FOREIGN pOLICY OBJECTIVES (page 3). 2. COMMENT ON FRENCH AGREEMENT WITH MOROCCANS (page 4). 3. GREEK AND TURKISH GOVERNMENTS MOVE TO EASE TENSION (page 5). 41. USSR URGES IRAN TO FOLLOW A NEUTRALLST COURSE (page 6). 13 Sept 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 2 TnP cFrPFT Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 vr J.LLALL Nue 1. BOHLEN ANALYZES BASIC SOVIET FOREIGN POLICY OBJECTIVES Ambassador Bohlen believes that the Soviet press campaign emphasizing that the Geneva conference has en- hanced the outlook for world peace has aroused general relief and satisfaction among the Soviet people. As a result, he feels it would be more difficult now than in the past for the Soviet Union to re- turn to a campaign of anti-Americanism and hostility to the outside world. Bohlen also points out that the series of high-level, visits abroad planned for well into neNt year makes a swift reversal of the Soviet official attitude un- likely. Bohlen believes that Soviet policy ob- jectives, particularly in Europe, were set forth with un- usual clarity at the Geneva conference. For the present the USSR is seeking to gain the acceptance of the status quo, particularly the division of Germany. Equally clear is the longer-range objective of dissolving NATO and achiev- ing the withdrawal of American and British forces from the Europea,n continent. Bohlen believes that the disarmament question may offer an area of agreement with the West, particularly in view of the common recognition of the need for safeguards against surprise attack. He suggests four factors accounting for the USSR's adoption of this new attitude: the institu- tion of committee rule in place of one-man rule, which he sees as the key factor in post-Stalin development; the final official acceptance by Soviet political leaders of the impli- cations of modern nuclear warfare, which Stalin deliberately avoided, and which Marshal Zhukov probably had a hand in achieving; the apparent realization by the Soviet leadership that self-isolation was harmful to Soviet technical and in- dustrial development; and the influence of Western strength and cohesion and particularly the adoption of the Paris ac- cords. In connection with the last factor, Bohlen points out that while the USSR has not primarily yielded to pres- sure, it has recognized that its former policies were in- creasing the danger of war. 13 Sept 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 3 TCLEL�CV-Peim- Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 2. COMMENT ON FRENCH AGREEMENT WITH MOROCCA7 French premier Faure can be ex- pected to take steps immediately to implement the Moroccan agreement his cabinet accepted on 12 Sep- tember. Protectorates Minister July told American officials on 10 September that a Moroccan Council of the Throne would be announced within a few days and a Moroccan government formed possibly within 10 days July anticipates long and tedious negotiations with this government to determine Morocco's eventual relation- ship with France. Faure will attempt to head off the opposition when the National Assembly convenes on 4 Weber with a plea for patience until such negotia- tions result in an agreement. Faure has strained his right-wing support to a dangerous degree, and his ability to retain the premiership will depend to a large extent on an end to terrorism in Morocco and Algeria. Former sultan Ben Youssef will be the key man in France's attempt to establish a new re- lationship with Morocco. Paris, however, will remain distrustful of Ben Youssef after his return to France. American minister Holmes in Tangier warned again on 11 September that the Moroccan nation- alists would not hesitate to revert to force and sabotage, since they are convinced that they have gained concessions only through the use of force. Holmes cautioned that, though nationalist leaders are believed to have counseled patience, the Moroccan "resistance" has gained such mo- mentum that there is always the danger of wilder elements getting out hand. 13 Sept 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 4 �-r.r% n ort-Nnrrr Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 101' bt.C;Kt. Nar, 3. GREEK AND TURKISH GOVERNMENTS MOVE TO EASE TENSION he Turkish and Greek governments re moving to cairn passions aroused uring and since the London talks on Cyprus. he American consul general in Istanbul redicts an early major reshuffle ol the rkish cabinet, with the elimination of cting Foreign Minister Zorlu, whose tatements in London were particularly ffensive to the Greeks, and others. e minister of the interior has already n replaced for not having prevented e anti-Greek riots of 6 and 7 September. Moreover, the militant "Cyprus-is-Turkish Society" has been banned and most of its officers arrested. The Greek government, meanwhile, is taking steps to prevent any anti-Turkish demonstrations in Greece. Although Athens has canceled Greek participation in the NATO naval exercise scheduled for 22-30 September, Deputy Premier Kanellopoulos says he hopes the atmos- phere will improve enough to allow Greek participation in NATO exercises next month. Greece will probably insist on airing the Cyprus question in the UN General Assembly, but the discussion there may be more temperate than had been an- ticipated earlier. Some Greek leaders are even reported to be seeking a means of putting the Cyprus issue "on ice for many months to come." 13 Sept 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 5 nr,.."%ri Cy n Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948 Noe 4. USSR URGES IRAN TO FOLLOW A NEUTRALIST COURSE Soviet ambassador Lavrentiev, dur- ing an audience with the Shah on 8 September, urged a policy of neu- trality as best for Iran and said the ovie Union would respect such a policy. According to Prime Minister Ala, Lavrentiev protested in "strongest terms" against what he described as heavy pressure be- ing brought on the Iranian government to join the Turkish- Iraqi pact. He stated that Iranian adherence to the pact would be a blow to world peace, prejudicial to friendly relations between the USSR and Iran, and contrary to ex- isting Soviet-Iranian treaties. Prime Minister Ala told the American ambassador on 9 September that the Shah is "somewhat concerned" at Lavrentiev's approach. Comment By offering Moscow's assurance that Iran's neutrality would be respected by the USSR, Lavrentiev is acting on Bulganin's statement at the end of the Geneva conference that the USSR was pre- pared to guarantee the neutrality of any country desiring such a guarantee. This Soviet approach may encourage Iran to maintain its traditional policy of playing off the big powers against one another. It also has given the Shah another opportunity to increase his pressure for more American aid. 13 Sept 55 Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 6 _TtIP ccflioFT Approved for Release: 2019/09/16 C03000948