CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1955/11/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03002344
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: September 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: September 26, 2019
• Publication Date: November 2, 1955

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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
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TOP SECRET
Approved for Release: 2019/09/16
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CONTENTS
I. EAST GERMANY REPORTEDLY CURTAILS TRAVEL
TO BERLIN (page 3)0
2. ISRAEL MAY FAVOR SYRIAN ADHERENCE TO BAGHDAD
PACT (page 4).
3. PINAY SEES NO OBSTACLE TO BEN YOUSSEF'S RETURN
TO MOROCCAN THRONE (page 5).
4. COMMUNISTS IN JORDAN EXPLOITING EGYPTIAN-
SOVIET BLOC ARMS DEAL (page 6).
5. CHINESE NATIONALIST GUERRILLAS MAY BE JOINING
BURMESE INSURGENTS (page 7).
2 Nov 55
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/ XL, I
1. EAST GERMANY REPORTEDLY CURTAILS TRAVEL
TO BERLIN
Travel from East Germany to Berlin
was subject to new limitations as of
24 October,
A zone has been set up with-
in a radius of 50 miles from Berlin
and tickets to localities within this
blockaded area are to be issued only
to holders of special permits.
The American mission in Berlin re-
ported on 31 October that the number of refugees arriving
in Berlin in the preceding week was only 3,839, or 1,113
less than the week before.
Comment The reported move, evidently aimed
at curtailing the refugee flow to the
West may be a prelude to the long-expected formal estab-
lishment of East German armed forces after the foreign
ministers' conference in Geneva.
The sharp decrease in the flow of ref-
ugees to West Berlin follows nine months of generally
steady increases. Factors believed principally responsi-
ble for this refugee flow are the fear of conscription and
mounting pessimism regarding German unification�
'2 Nov 55
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VI-4
Noppe
2. ISRAEL MAY FAVOR SYRIAN ADHERENCE TO BAGHDAD
PArT
Israel would now like to see Syria join
the Turkish-Iraqi pact,
Israel now feels the Baghdad pact
Is becoming "more Western" and "less Arab" and, there-
fore, the threat to Israel is decreasing.
he pact
might be used as an instrument for dividing the Arab League.
Comment Israel initially strongly opposed the
Turkish-Iraqi pact, signed on 24 Feb-
ruary 1955, and said it was directed against Israel. In
reappraising its approach to Middle Eastern problems,
Israel is now apparently exploring ways and means of di-
viding the Arab world for its own protection.
2 Nov 55
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3. PINAY SEES NO OBSTACLE TO BEN YOUSSEFS
RETURN TO MOROCCAN THRONE
French foreign minister Pinay is
now willing to have former sultan
Mohamed ben Youssef return to the
Moroccan throne. He said on 30
October he hoped to negotiate a new treaty with the
Moroccans in time to permit withdrawal of recent troop
reinforcements before the French elections.
Pinay said he believes strongly in
the necessity for a real rapprochement between France
and Spain. If Spain showed a conciliatory attitude toward
France, he would be willing to go to Madrid to try to set-
tle outstanding French-Spanish questions with Franco.
Comment Faced with Moroccan unanimity on
the throne issue, the French govern-
ment has taken several positive steps to appease the na-
tionalists, probably largely because Premier Faure con-
siders national elections imminent. If a new treaty with
Morocco enables him to bring the reservists home, pub-
lic resentment over their transfer to North Africa would
be mollified before the elections.
There are indications that Madrid,
despite its proclaimed support of Ben Youssef, does not
want his immediate return to the throne. Spain appears
more intent on posing as champion of the Arab world
against the West than on improving its relations with
France. A workable agreement between the French and
Ben Youssef would threaten such a role and also exert
pressure on Madrid to match reforms in French Morocco
with similar action in the Spanish zone.
2 Nov 55
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I 101 1
New
4. COMMUNISTS IN JORDAN EXPLOITING EGYPTIAN-
SOVIET BLOC ARMS DEAL
The Jordan Communist Party is win-
ning public support as a result of the
Soviet bloc's arms agreement with
Egypt,
party mem-
bers have been called to Amman for the opening of par-
liament and the 3 November visit of President Bayar of
Turkey, presumably in order to foster demonstrations.
Comment
The press and public opinion in Jordan
have generally approved of Egypt's
arms deal with the Soviet bloc. The Communists, the
best-organized political group in Jordan, even though
they number only a few thousand, can probably mobilize
widespread support for Jordanian action to obtain Soviet
arms, either directly or through Egypt. They will also
try to block Turkish efforts to secure Jordan's adherence
to the Baghdad pact.
King Hussain is probably already un-
der Saudi pressure to abandon his position of neutrality
between Turkey and Iraq on the one hand, and Egypt, Syria
and Saudi Arabia on the other. He cannot rely on strong
pro-Western support in his government. Public demand
abetted by the Communists could push him closer to the
Egyptian alignment.
2 Nov 55
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�-� 1 1-4
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5. CHINESE NATIONALIST GUERRILLAS MAY BE JOINING
TITTRIVESE INSURGENTS
permission had been granted for the southward
movement of 2,000 Nationalist guerrilla troops into Karen
and Mon territory.
PAK
Myitkyina �
CHINA
Lashio �
� Mandalay
THAILAND
Rangoon
BURMA
2 NOVEMBER 1955
Area of Karen concentration,
Area of KMT activity _
miles
SECRET
Bangkok
51101 3
Comment A movement
of 2,000 guer-
rillas would involve approx-
imately half of the National-
ists estimated still in Burma.
Such a reinforcement of the
Karens would not strengthen
them enough to threaten the
Rangoon government. The
Burmese government would
undoubtedly hold the United
States responsible for its in-
creased difficulties with the
insurgents,arguing that they
could only be maintained in
strength by aid from Thailand
and Formosa, which Burmese
officials regard as under
American guidance.
Although Taipei
has formall, disavowed the
Nationalist rregulars in Burma,
during the
past few weeks revealing the close collaboration of both Bang-
kok and Taipei with the insurgents.
2 Nov 55
Current Intelligence Bulletin Page 7
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