CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1954/12/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03009177
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: August 20, 2019
• Document Release Date: August 30, 2019
• Publication Date: December 9, 1954

Approved for Release: 2019/08/13 C03009177
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3.3(h)(2)
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Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. -.76
NO CHANGE IN CLASS,
El DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE 2.6 /0
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: r/deo REVIEWER:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Afghanistan to establish diplomatic relations with Communist
China (page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Chinese Communist submarines now considered capable of
offensive operations (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Laotian minister in Washington warns against deal with Pathet
Lao (page 4).
4. Burmese foreign minister surveys pressing issues before UN
(page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Albania reported seeking to improve relations with Greece
(page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Comment on possibility of anti-Adenauer government in Bavaria
(page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Afghanistan to establish diplomatic relations with Communist
China:
The Afghan government has agreed to
establish diplomatic relations with the
Chinese People's Republic
Comment: The Afghan agreement was
presumably made in response to a Communist Chinese approach.
Premier Chou En-lai announced on 23 September before the
National People's Congress that contacts were being made to es-
tablish diplomatic relations with Afghanistan.
Kabul recognized the Communist regime
in Peiping in January 1950, and Chinese interests in Afghanistan
have been safeguarded by the USSR since that time.
Afghanistan has an approximately 30-
mile common border with China in the remote Wakhan corridor,
which lies north of Kashmir. This border is one of the most
difficult mountainous territories in the world, and there is little
contact between Afghanistan and China across it.
FAR EAST
2. Chinese Communist submarines now considered capable of
offensive operations:
9 Dec 54
The state of training of Chinese Commu-
nist submarine crews is now considered
sufficiently advanced to permit offensive
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operations, according to the American Pacific Fleet. As yet,
however, these submarines, which are based at Tsingtao, are
not believed to have operated in waters outside the Yellow Sea.
Comment: There are three small coast-
al submarines and at least two and possibly three long-range
"S-class" types at Tsingtao. The use of these submarines in
coastal waters would present a real danger to Chinese Nationalist
vessels, the crews of which are considered unskilled in anti-
submarine warfare.
A number of recent reports
have told of submarines sighted near Nationalist-
held islands, but none of the reports have been confirmed. There
is some possibility, however, that the Nationalist destroyer escort
lost near the Tachens in November may have been torpedoed by a
submarine.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Laotian minister in Washington warns against deal with Pathet
Lao:
Comment: In a recent interview at the
Department of State, the minister expressed his low opinion of
Premier Katay, the principal proponent of reconciliation with
the Pathet Lao. He accused Katay of opportunism before the
war with respect to the French, during the war toward the Japa-
nese, and now toward the Pathet Lao.
Whatever Ka,tay's motives, the convic-
tion is likely to persist among most Laotian officials that some
sort of compromise with the Pathet Lao leaders must be con-
cluded to regain control over the two northern provinces now in
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Communist hands. The cease-fire agreement calls for a political
settlement, and Indian truce officials have interpreted their mis-
sion as that of "getting the two sides together."
Laotian leaders have reproached Pathet
Lao prince Souphanouvong for having sold out to the Viet Minh,
not so much because the Viet Minh is Communist as because it
is Vietnamese. Prior to their association with the Viet Minh,
none of the Pathet Lao leaders had a Communist background, a
fact which has perhaps unduly allayed Laotian fears of Commu-
nist infiltration via the Pathet Lao.
4. Burmese foreign minister surveys pressing issues before UN:
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Comment: Burma generally avoids tak-
ing sides on issues before the UN which reflect the East-West
power struggle.
The Burmese find themselves in a par-
ticularly embarrassing position, as their premier is currently
being wined and dined on a spectacular scale in Peiping. The
chances are, however, that Burma will abstain on the above items, as
it did earlier this week on the question of inscribing on the agenda
the item regarding the American fliers.
EASTERN EUROPE
5. Albania reported seeking to improve relations with Greece:
Albania
wishes to restore normal relations with Greece. The Greeks
maintain, however, that Albania must first show a desire for a
satisfactory rectification of their common border.
Comment: Albanian efforts to improve
relations with Greece are a reflection of Moscow's present policy
of promoting "peaceful coexistence" with the non-Orbit world.
Tirana's recent resumption of normal diplomatic relations with
Yugoslavia now highlights the total absence of any diplomatic inter-
course with Albania's southern neighbor.
Greece is very unlikely to agree to the
establishment of normal diplomatic relations with Albania in the
near future. Athens has consistently held that the two countries
are at war by virtue of Albania's declaration of war on Greece in
1940, and that a peace treaty must be concluded before normal
relations are established.
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