CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/09/19

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02869410
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: September 19, 1953

.PP'r�VeCi
SEC
TOP S
INFORMATION
ET r/iyr7
for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
19 September 1953
Copy No. �
b
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO 7
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
Iv Li DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE. 200 9
AUTH: HR 70-2
DATE: isheirs_ REVIEWER:
3.5(c)
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP S ET
SECU INFOR/viATION
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
N..,TOP 'REF
SECURITY INFORMATION
SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. IL-28 bombers apparently leaving East Germany again (page 3).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
�01.' Taipei's plan to avoid evacuation of Chinese Nationalists from
4, Burma reported (page 3).
pr: Chinese Communist military build-up near Burma border reported
(page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
/ Iranian prime minister reportedly threatens to resign in dispute
with shah (page 4).
5. Comment on the rumored Qashqai tribal revolt in Iran (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6.
WESTERN EUROPE
French reportedly suggest EDC ratification with delayed
implementation of treaty (page 6).
* * * *
-2
CIET
19 Sept 53
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
vow, 1 OF Kt 1
ECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
SOVIET UNION
1. 1L-28 bombers apparently leaving East Germany again:
Comment: All IL-28 bomber and
reconnaissance units were withdrawn from East Germany for
unknown reasons in late June and early July. It now appears
that the return of some of these aircraft was temporary and
may have been an exercise in tactical redeployment from rear
area bases, It may also reflect a decision to retain the 1L-28's
in the western USSR with former bases in East Germany serving
as forward tactical airfields.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
2. Taipei's plan to avoid evacuation of Chinese Nationalists from
Burma reported:
19 Sept 53
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Nor, 1Ukk�CKEI
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment:
3.3(h)(2)
Formosa has at no time taken the evacua-
tion effort seriously. In view of this, little credence can be given
to the assertion of the Chinese Nationalist foreign minister on 17
September that his government wanted to cooperate with Thailand
and the United States in carrying out the evacuation plan even if
Burma refused to sign the agreement.
3. Chinese Communist military build-up near Burma border reported:
Chinese Communist military preparations
in southwestern Yunnan have proceeded be-
yond defense requirements,
Although there are
no firm indications that the Chinese are planning aggressive action
against Burma, they appear to be developing the strength to do so.
Some evidence is also reported which sug-
gests that Peiping's forces are cooperating with the Burmese against
the Chinese Nationalists and against disaffected ethnic minority groups
in northeast Burma.
Comment: The possibility that the Chinese
Communists are preparing to take action against the Nationalists
cannot be wholly dismissed in view of the breakdown of the Bangkok
negotiations, which might induce the Burmese to request Peiping's
assistance in dealing with the Nationalists.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Iranian prime minister reportedly threatens to resign in dispute
with shah:
Prime Minister Zahedi has threatened to
resign if the shah does not dismiss Chief
of Staff Batmangelitch and Deputy Chief of
Staff Dehimi.
- 4 -
ToOSE }CI"
19 Sept 53
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
'towI U1iURE 1
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
Comment: There are no indications that
the shah will agree to the dismissal of Batmangelitch, who approves
of the monarch's attempts to take over complete control of the army.
The disagreements between the shah and
his prime minister will probably not cause a break at this time.
Continuation of the present friction, however, may produce another
serious crisis.
5. Comment on the rumored Qashqai tribal revolt in Iran:
6.
No evidence supports the rumor that
70,000 Qashqai tribesmen are marching on Shiraz in southwestern
Iran after delivering an ultimatum to Prime Minister Zahedi demand-
ing the release of former prime minister Mossadeq. The rumor may
have arisen from movements connected with the tribe's annual fall
migration, which is now under way.
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
Qashqai leaders were strong supporters
of Mossadeq and have not made their peace with the Zahedi regime,
although they reportedly told the provincial governor general that
they would not cause trouble if the army did not attack them. The
tribe, some 200,000 strong, is traditionally opposed to the monarchy
and has long sought semiautonomy. The tribe cannot put 70,000 armed
men into an operation against the government; in any case, the army
would probably be able to control the situation.
EASTERN EUROPE
19 Sept 53
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410
vieer.R.K.E, 1
SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
WESTERN EUROPE
French reportedly suggest EDC ratification with delayed implementa-
tion of treaty:
3.3(h)(2)
According to Dutch Foreign Ministry offi- 3.3(h)(2)
dais, the French have suggested that EDC
ratification be completed and the recruiting
of German forces begun but that full imple-
mentation ot tne treaty p�pread over several years. During this
period the national governments would retain control over the Com-
missariat, the EDC executive.
Foreign Ministry officials, some of whom
suspect that the French proposal is a delaying tactic, understand
that the initial West German reaction to the idea was favorable.
The Dutch Defense Ministry and the prime minister's personal staff
think that it may provide a solution to the problem of French ratifi-
cation.
Comment: This is the first report of such
a French proposal.
Foreign Minister Bidault may be attempting
to adapt the EDC to the slower timing he considers necessary to win
rightist acceptance for an over-all European political authority.
-6-
19 Sept 53
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/07/10 CO2869410