CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/10/11

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02869428
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 11
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: October 11, 1953

01/
DOCUMENT NO 26 NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
0 DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: OD
AUTH: HR 70
DATE: .?='17/1.2/ 79 REVIEWER
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EC INFORMATION
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11 October 1953
Copy No.
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
3.5(c)
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC INFORMATION
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SECURITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
SUMMARY
GENERAL
101( British action in Guiana may influence Latin American UN voting
(page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Chou En-lai's political conference proposal (page 3).
3. Coup against Rhee believed unlikely (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Thailand's resistance reportedly depends on prompt arrival of
American troops (page 4).
Langson raid reportedly less successful than.French claimed
(page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
VOil field in southeastern Turkey recorded as a major reservoir
(page 5).
7. Comment on Syrian elections (page 7).
8. Kenya officials pessimistic over elimination of Mau Mau (page 8).
EASTERN EUROPE
Vr( Comment on Yugoslav reaction to Trieste demarche (page 8).
WESTERN EUROPE
itle Italy to maintain its claims to entire TrieSte territory (page 9)..
11. German delegate sees progress made on EPC at Rome (page 10).
LATIN AMERICA
12. Copper strike threatened in Chile (page 1.0).
11 Oct 53
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SECURITY INFORMATION
GENERAL
1.
British action in Guiana may influence Latin American UN voting:
Latin American reaction to the Guiana
situation has shown a strongly national-
istic tone which may have its effect in
the UN when the Tunisian-Moroccan and
3.3(h)(2)
the nonself-governing territorial issues are debated,
A Venezuelan official and the ambassadors
from Luba, Ecuador and Argentina reportedly have made statements
favoring the liquidation of the "colonial system in America."
Comment: Last year Cuba, Ecuador and
Venezuela. joined Brazil and other Latin American countries in sponsor-
ing a mild resolution on North Africa designed to give the French time
to undertake reforms in the area. The French, confident of defeating
any Arab-Asian proposal, have asked the Latin Americans not to take
any initiative on the issue this year,
3.3(h)(2)
FAR EAST
2. Chou En-lai's political conference proposal:
Chinese Communist premier Chou En-lai's
10 October message to the UN secretary-general proposes meetings
between Communist and American representatives at Panmunjom to
decide the time and place of the Korean political conference and, "more
important," its composition. Chou specifically reaffirms the Communist
demand for the participation of "neutral nations" in the conference itself.
The only modification of Chou's position of
13 September is the withdrawal of the demand that Chinese Communist
and North Korean representatives be invited to conduct "joint negotia-
tions" at the UN General Assembly. The current statement waters
down, but does not withdraw, the 13 September demand for settlement
of the composition question before discussing the time and place.
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Chou's message does not reflect any
Sino-Soviet disagreement on the conference. A Polish UN delegate
told an American official on 5 October that the USSR favors a two-
phase conference, I. e., preliminary negotiations on procedure to
be followed by the conference itself. Such a procedure would lend
Itself to the familiar Communist delaying tactics.
3. Coup against Rhee believed unlikely:
The American embassy in Seoul reports
that in desperation supporters of Yi Porn-
sok might attempt to unseat President Rhee,
but that such action is unlikely at this
juncture. It points out that police and possibly army support would
be needed, and the president has successfully removed Yi supporters
from key positions in both organizations.
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: Contrary to the embassy's
views, General Chong Il-kwon, commander of South Korea's II Corps,
reportedly stated in late September that Yi still could determine the
actions of the army, and that there is danger of a coup by elements
of the I Corps. There is no other evidence to indicate that an army
coup is likely.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Thailand's resistance reportedly depends on prompt arrival of
American troops:
in the event of a Communist
invasion, the Phibun regime would not
resist unless the United States immediately
sent infantry units to Thailand's aid,
the Thai armed forces alone would put
up only token resistance, but that with American assistance they
would fight "to the last man." The Thais would insist on an American
commander in chief in any general Southeast Asian defense effort.
3.5(a)(2)
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3.5(c)
Thai leaders are under the impression
that the United States has given Malaya definite assurances that it
will defend the latter tn case of Communist attack, whereas it has
made no similar guarantee to Thailand.
Comment: These views are in accord
with those of other observers. They are given added substance by
a high Thai defense official's recent public admission that "foreign
forces" would be required to defend Thailand against Communist
aggression.
5. Langson raid reportedly less successful than French claimed:
the French High
Commissariat in Saigon told the assist-
ant US army attache on 8 October that the
French raid on Langson last July was not
as successful as had been expected, and
had novsigniftcant effect on Viet Minh capabilities.
A security leak gave the enemy time to
evacuate vehicles and other supplies with the result that automatic
rifles were the only important stocks at the depot. Considerably
less than 1,000 tons of enemy materiel was destroyed, in contrast
to the figure of 5,000 tons which was given to the press.
Comment: The Langson raid was widely
acclaimed as a successful manifestation of a new aggressive policy
instituted by General Navarre. The commander in chief carried out
only one other operation of six which he reportedly planned during
the summer rainy season, and it was even less successful.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Oil field in southeastern Turkey recorded as a major reservoir:
Oil reserves at the Raman field in south-
eastern Turkey (see map, p. 6) are now
estimated at 400,000,000 barrels, enough
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3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
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