CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/09/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02872235
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: September 2, 1953

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2 September 1953
Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Britain prefers Satellite candidate for Security Council seat
(page 3).
lee British seen favoring limited aid for Iran (page 3).
FAR EAST
Comment on mission of North Korean delegation to Moscow
(page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Regular airlift of supplies to Chinese Nationalists in Burma
Indicated (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
Ple'Comment on press report that Nasr will assume Egyptian
premiership (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. American officials in Bonn see Adenauer election victory
fairly certain (page 6).
�
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GENERAL
1. Britain prefers Satellite candidate for Security Council seat:
Preliminary British views call for
permitting a Soviet-designated Satel-
lite to occupy the UN Security Council
seat normally reserved for an Eastern
European state. Members of the British UN delegation believe
that a major conflict over the seat might deter what may be a
developing Soviet initiative to reduce world tensions.
The British Foreign Office, however,
wishes to avoid disagreements with the United States such as�
occurred over Indian participation in the Korean political con-
ference.
Comment: In 1951 Britain unsuccess-
fully supported Byelorussia rather than Greece for the East Euro-
pean Security Council seat on the grounds that a past understanding
permitted the Eastern European states, like the Commonwealth
countries, to choose their own representative.
2. British seen favoring limited aid for Iran:
The British Foreign Office recognizes
that the Zahedi regime will probably
need financial assistance to survive,
but hopes the United States will limit
any such aid in order to maintain pressure on Iran to settle the
oil question. The American embassy in London also has the
impression that Prime Minister Churchill is eager to pave the
Way for a resumption of diplomatic relations.
The Foreign Office is now studying
the question of possible forms of settlement. The embassy
feels the Anglo-Iranian Oil Company may adopt a "more en-
lightened" attitude toward a settlement than previously, but
detects no inclination to favor a lump-sum compensation pay-
ment.
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Comment: The British are still not
optimistic about reaching a,iiiiirilettlement with the new govern-
ment. Their readiness to see Iran receive even limited aid,
however, implies a recognition of the probable consequences
Should Zahedi fall.
FAR EAST
3. Comment on mission of North Korean delegation to Moscow:
The composition of the six-member
North Korean delegation which Radio Pyongyang announced had
departed for Moscow on 1 September suggests that implementa-
tion of the $250,000,000 Soviet loan for rehabilitation and recon-
struction will be an important topic of discussion between the two
governments. Members of the delegation include the chairman
of the state planning committee, a vice premier who is a special-
ist on economic affairs, and the minister of railways.
The other members -- Premier Kim
Il-sung, the vice chairman of the central committee of the Labor
(Communist) Party, and the minister of foreign affairs -- would
be likely to participate in either economic or political discussions.
No military officials are included in the delegation. The possi-
bility that the group also may receive instructions on strategy
for the Korean political conference is suggested by
that Peng Teh-huai, who headed the Chinese delegation at the truce
talks, has also left for Moscow.
None of the members is associated with
the Chinese-trained faction of the North Korean government. This
reinforces previous indications that the Chinese faction will not
play a major role in future internal Korean developments.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Regular airlift of supplies to Chinese Nationalists in Burma indicated:
Burma has confirmation from "unimpeach-
able" sources that the Chinese Nationalists
In Mong Hsat have been supplied regularly
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throughout the monsoon season by air from Thailand. According
to a high official of the Burmese Foreign Office, his government
has received specific details, including data on the planes and
companies involved.
The American embassy in Rangoon adds
that the Shan ruler of Kengtung State, where Mong Hsat is located,
reported on 26 August that as many as two or three flights a week
were arriving at the Nationalist headquarters,
Comment: Last spring the Nationalist
government promised that supply flights to Mong Hsat would be
suspended. In July both CAT and Fushing air lines, the two organ-
izations most frequently mentioned as being involved in these opera-
tions, denied that any of their planes had flown into Burma during
the preceding two months.
There have been numerous reports since
then, however, of a continuing airlift to Mong Hsat. Such activity
would tend to confirm suspicions of Nationalist insincerity in prom-
ising to cooperate in the evacuation of its troops from Burma.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Comment on press report that Nasr will assume Egyptian premiership:
The first public statement that Colonel Nasr,
Egyptian vice premier and strong man of the ruling army clique, may
soon take over the premiers in anneared cm 31 August in an Arab News
Agency release from Cairo.
It is unlikely that the news agency would report
General Nagib's possible replacement as prime minister without at
least the tacit approval of the authorities. The release of a press
report at this time suggests that Colonel Nasr is ready to complete
his assumption of overt authority in Egypt.
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Nasr's assumption of the premiership
would publicly confirm the existing power situation in Egypt.
Cabinet changes, which may accompany such a move, would be
more important, however, particularly if young, inexperienced
army officers replace such capable ministers as those of foreign
affairs and finance.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. American officials in Bonn see Adenauer election victory fairly
certain:
The US high commission in Bonn states
that Adenauer's retention of the chancellor-
ship following the 6 September elections can
be anticipated "fairly safely." It is highly
unlikely that the opposition Social Democrats can win 200 of the 484
Bundestag seats, the approximate number necessary to defeat him.
Moreover, Adenauer's potential parliamentary support is now greater
than it was in 1949 since two small parties, the Bavarian and Center,
have already pledged him their Bundestag votes.
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