CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/12/02

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03003750
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: December 2, 1953

A SECT O
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2 December 1953
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Copy No. 84
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO 653., -
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: IS $ C
NEXT REVIEW DATE: 200_9 3.5(c)
AUTH: HR 70-2
IDATF� 20/./X /79 1AFV1Fwgii
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURITY INFORMA I [UN
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1.
2.
SUMMARY
GENERAL
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Swiss reject participation in Korean political conference (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
3. Ambassador Bohlen comments on removal of high party official (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4.
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SOUTH ASIA
5. Afghanistan seeks improvement of relations with Pakistan (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Turkey interested in defense pact with Pakistan (page 5).
7. Jordan may agree to armisttce talks with Israel (page 6).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer wants Allies to stall on four-power conference (page 7).
9. Copenhagen rejects peacetime stationing of foreign units th Denmark
(page 7).
10. Reported offer of Ho Chi Minh ncreases French dilficulties (page 8).
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1.
2.
GENERAL
Swiss reject participation in Korean political conference:
According to a spokesman of the Swiss
Foreign Ministry, the Federal Council
has decided that Switzerland cannot par-
ticipate as an observer in the proposed
Korean political conference.
Comment: The Swiss government has
increasingly felt that the truce as originally envisaged cannot be
enforced.
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India has also declined to attend the
conference as an observer, and Sweden has said that it could not
participate with any enthusiasm.
SOVIET UNION
3. Ambassador Bohlen comments on removal of high party official:
4.
Ambassador Bohlen, in commenting on
the removal of V. M. Andrianov as first
secretary of the Leningrad Oblast com-
mittee, points out that it is still premature
to attribute Andrianov's removal to an intraparty struggle. He sug-
gests, nevertheless, that the presence of All-Union party secretary
N. S. Khrushchev at the meeting which ousted Andrianov probably
indicates that important party matters were discussed.
Comment: Andrianov has long been
associated with Malenkov. The retention of the rest of the Leningrad
party hierarchy, with the exception of N. G. Ignatov, who was trans-
ferred to work in the Central Committee apparatus in Moscow, sug-
gests that no widespread shake-up is contemplated in the Leningrad
area.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
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SOUTH ASIA
5. Afghanistan seeks imvovement of relations with Pakistan:
The Afghan foreign minister told the
Pakistani ambassador in Kabul that the
purpose of his government's request to
renegotiate the Anglo-Afghan treaty of
raen ip o o clear the way for a treaty with Pakistan.
The Pakistani ambassador was "cautiously optimistic" that a satis-
factory aicTangement could be reached, though he, like the British
ambassador and the American charge, felt Afghanistan might be
seeking to force discussion of the Pushtoonistan question.
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Comment: Afghanistan is probably seeking
an opportunity to settle border and trade disputes with Pakistan in a
new setting. The new Afghan government, unlike its predecessor, has
been moderate on the question of creation of an independent Pushtoonistan.
It probably recognizes that it cannot hope to embarrass Pakistan by renew-
ing strong agitation for tribal autonomy.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Turkey interested in defense pact with Pakistan:
President Bayar has confirmed Turkey's
willingness to sign a defense pact with
Pakistan, according to the governor general
of Pakistan, who recently concluded diplo-
matic conversations in Ankara. Bayar also affirmed Turkey's willing-
ness eventually to include Iran in the agreements, but emphasized
Ankara's refusal to include any Arab state in regional defense planning.
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Comment: This report illustrates the
seriousness with which Turkey and Pakistan view mutual defense
problems and underscores their willingness to perfect a regional
defense arrangement.
Recurring friction involving Turkey and
the Arab states precludes any inclusive Near Eastern collective
security pact, but there is increasing possibility of an alignment
which may eventually include Turkey, hag, Iran, and Pakistan.
7. Jw-dan may agree to armistice talks with Israel:
American charge Lynch in Amman believes 3.3(h)(2)
there is a fair chance that Jordan will agree
to a UN request to hold talks with Israel
within the framework of the general armistice
agreement He states, however, that Amman
is extremely apprehensive over the domestic
implications of any action which might be con-
strued by the opposition as opening peace ne-
gotiations with Israel, and that the prime minis-
ter wants to discuss the subject with the other
Arab states.
The Iraqi prime minister told American
ambassador Berry in Baghdad that he would not oppose Jordan's par-
ticipation in a conference. The Egyptian Foreign Office reportedly
holds a similar viewpoint
Comment: Such a conference, which under
the armistice agreement is mandatory when called by the UN secretary
general, offers little hope of reducing tension. Israel apparently called
for the talks in an effort to avert the recent UN resolution on Qibya, and
the domestic situation in Jordan precludes any significant changes in its
policy toward Israel.
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WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer wants Allies to stall on four-power conference:
Chancellor Adenauer, in a conversation with 3.3(h)(2)
Ambassador Conant on 30 November, recom-
mended that the Allied reply to the latest Soviet
note be so phrased as to result in postponement
of a four-power conference. He feels that it would be "dangerous in the
extreme" for the Bermuda meeting to agree on an immediate conference,,
since the present French government is in no position to make firm commit-
ments on European policy.
Comment: Adenauer was previously quoted as
stating unqualifiedly that the Allies should accept the Soviet offer of 26 No-
vember for four-power talks. He may now fear that present French leaders
would be unduly influenced by domestic and political considerations in view
of the proximity of the presidential election.
9. Copenhagen rejects peacetime stationing of foreign units in Denmark:
Top Danish officials told General Gruenther
during his visit to Copenhagen
that their country could not accept an offer to
station foreign NATO air units in Denmark in
peacetime.
Gruenther comments that this decision will
substantially reduce NATO military capabilities in northern Europe, and
that SHAPE military planning will have to be revised. He believes that
as far as military effectiveness is concerned, there is no satisfactory
alternative.
Comment: The American embassy in Copen-
hagen had believed that Denmark might agree at least to the temporary
stationing of American air units in the country.
The Danish decision may adversely influence
Norway's attitude on the question of stationing NATO units in that country
during peacetime.
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10. Reported offer of Ho Chi Minh increases French difficulties:
The American embassy in Paris feels
that Ho Chi Minh's reported willingness
to open negotiations to end the Indochina
war has increased considerably the diffi-
culties of the French government. While no one in the cabinet expects
anything specific to results Minister for Associated States Jacquet
believes Ho is serious and will attempt to open negotiations after the
Bermuda conferences "probably on impossible terms."
Comment: The French cabinet is to dis-
cuss the reported offer from Ho on 2 December. Those members of
the government who have been anxious for five-power talks will in-
crease their pressure on Premier Laniel to negotiate.
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