CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/07/29

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020586
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: July 29, 1953

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29 July 1953
Copy No. 67
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Comment on Pravda editorial on Korean armistice (page 3).
2.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese suggest: Peiping's aid may be sought in ousting Chinese
Nationalists 4page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
4. India contravenes Battle Act provisions (page 4).
5. Indo-Pakistani prime ministers' talks producing no results (page 5).
6.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
7. Egyptian foreign minister to contact British delegates informally
(page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
8. Bulgaria reportedly willing to resume relations with US (page 7).
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GENERAL
1. Comment on Pravda editorial on Korean armistice:
Analysis of the 28 July Pravda editorial on the
Korean armistice suggests that Soviet conciliatory tactics will continue.
The editorial describes the armistice as a "supremely important"
vindication of the current Soviet position favoring settlement of inter-
national questions by negotiation, and not by the "policy of force."
2.
Pravda repeats another familiar propaganda
claim that the truce represents a victory for "peace-loving forces" in
that the UN allies were compelled by the pressure of world opinion to
enter the armistice talks. It stresses Moscow's role in this marshall-
ing of world opinion, and repeats Malenkov's 27 July promise of support
and help from the USSR and "other democratic countries" in restoring
Korean national unity and rehabilitating the national economy.
As regards the political settlement, Pravda's
repetition of earlier demands that the destiny of Korea should be
determined by the Koreans themselves, without foreign interference,
may foreshadow an early Communist demand for the immediate with-
drawal of all foreign troops from Korea.
In line with past Communist propaganda,
Pravda places full responsibility for the actions of the South Korean
government on the United States.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
3. Burmese suggest Peiping's aid may be sought in ousting Chinese
Nationalists:
Acting Foreign Minister Kyaw Nyein told 3.3(h)(2)
Ambassador Sebald in Rangoon on 23 July
that he is seriously considering recommending
that Burma seek some arrangement with
Peiping to use Chinese Communist troops in ousting the Chinese
Nationalists. He said that his government is convinced that Taipei has
decided not to withdraw the troops.
Sebald believes that Kyaw Nyein's remarks
should not be taken too seriously in view of his previous known stand
against communism, but that it is possible they reflect the thinking
of some Burmese leaders.
Comment: The Burmese government has
been wary of Chinese Communist involvement in the Nationalist
problem, but its growing impatience with the lack of progress toward
solution of the problem has been evident for some time. Other govern-
ment leaders and the progovernment press have previously alluded to
a request for Chinese Communist aid; as a last resort, the govern-.
ment may seriously consider taking such action.
SOUTH ASIA
4. India contravenes Battle Act provisions:
3.3(h)(2)
According to the Indian finance minister, Prime
Minister Nehru personally authorized the 17
Juty /shipment from India to Communist China
of 2,248 pounds of thorium nitrate. The
issuance of an export license had been delayed
for 30 days "in view of the international situation," but the commodity
is now enroute to China'via Colombo, Ceylon, aboard the Polish vessel
Mickiewicz.
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The Indian government has been informed that
under the terms of the Battle Act the United States will have to terminate
all aid to India if the shipment is not off-loaded in Ceylon. Both the
Indian finance minister and the foreign secretary assert that only the
prime minister can authorize the off-loading and that it will be difficult
to find a legal basis for doing so. According to the foreign secretary,
neither he nor the prime minister had been aware of the implications
of the shipment.
Comment: Nehru presumably was responsible
for holding up the export license for 30 days, and he probably was
generally aware of the strategic nature of the shipment and of the American
reaction to be expected.
High officials have publicly emphasized that
India is free to trade at will with all countries. Furthermore, Nehru's
personal pride and freedom of action are now involved, and he may
therefore be disinclined to recall the shipment.
5. Indo-Pakistani prime ministers' talks producing no results:
Pakistani foreign minister Zafruilah Khan on 3.3(h)(2)
27 July told the American :charge in Karachi
that the talks between Prime Ministers Nehru
and Mohammad Ali had made no progress
toward agreement on Kashmir or any other issue.
The Pakistani cabinet was indignant at Nehru's
unwillingness to come to grips with the problems, but finally agreed
that the discussions should be continued in New Delhi if Nehru should
so desire. The cabinet also agreed to do everything possible to keep
the public calm and to prevent any anti-Indian outbreaks.
Comment: The Pakistani public has become
used to the failure of Indo-Pakistani negotiations and is unlikely to
react strongly in this instance, though some bitter statements will
probably appear in the press.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6.
7. Egyptian foreign minister to contact British delegates informally:
3.3
(h)(2)
British charge Hankey and General Robertson 3.3(h)(2)
military :delegate for the Anglo-Egyptian
talks, will meet Egyptian foreign minister
Fawzi
soon, according to Ambassador Caffery.
Fawzi also said that the Pakistani charge
in Cairo had invited him to dtnner with Hankey and Robertson on
30 July.
Comment: These two proposed meetings
should offer the necessary opportunity to arrange a resumption of
the Anglo-Egyptian talks, which have been suspended since 6 May.
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EASTERN EUROPE
. Bulgaria reportedly willing to resume relations with US:
Bulgarian officials recently told French 3.3(h)(2)
minister Baudier in Sofia that they were willing
to resume relations with the United States but
would not make the first move, according to
the Israeli charge in Sofia. Baudier told the charge of similar state-
ments in April, but said that immediately after the Berta purge he had
been told that there were enough "imperialist agents" in Sofia and no
more were desired.
US minister Ravndal in Budapest notes that the
Bulgarian minister there had made several friendly gestures at recent
diplomatic receptions.
Comment: A Bulgarian willingness to
resume relations with the US would be in accord with recent Soviet
policy toward Yugoslavia and the West. Baudier, however, has not
always been accurate in his reporting.
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