CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/05/14

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02020579
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: May 14, 1953

r Approved for Release: 2019/06/26 CO2020579
TOP SECT
SECURITY ORMATION
14 May 1953
Copy No. rn
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
/
DOCUMENT NO.
:'..4
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. - $
DECLASS/PIED
CLASS. CHANGLD TO: TS C*
tin ii:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP S ET
SECUR NFORMATION
3 5(c)
3.5(c)
,p4
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vise Ur. Jr, .m.r,
SEC ITY INFORM iviN
3.5(c)
SUMMARY
GENERAL
ifloGeneral Nagib adamant on Egyptian position (page 3).
Drni-inhip rnmrnimist resnonse to new UN truce proposals (page 4).
4.
3.3(h)(2)
SOVIET UNION
3.3(h)(2)
FAR EAST
Le/Chiang Kai-shek "determined" not to withdraw forces from Burma
(page 5).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
6. Devaluation of piaster stirs strong reactions in Indochina (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
4ugoslavia opposes NATO representation in staff talks with Greece
and Turkey (page 6).
* * * *
2
TOP SECRET
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
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S I Ur
SECURI INFO
3.5(c)
GENERAL
1. General Nagib adamant on Egyptian position:
General Nagib told Secretary Dulles on 11 May 3.3(h)(2)
that he foresaw a worsening of Anglo-Egyptian
relations, adding: "an agreement I could make
with the United Kingdom now, I will not be able
to ma e m a mon or wo." He predicted that if Anglo-Egyptian differ-
ences are not resolved, the resulting situation in Egypt might be exploited
by "the United Kingdom, the Communists, and others who have an interest
in chaos."
The general stated that Egypt insists on full
control of the Suez base, and that anything else would be an infringement
of Egyptian sovereignty.
Nagib told the Secretary that no Arab government
could go against the will of the people, who "hate the British" and are
bitter against the United States and France for supporting Britain. A de-
fense agreement will be possible only if confidence is re-established be-
tween the United Kingdom and Egypt. "If I and my people feel oppressed,
there is no point in making an agreement with us," he declared. He
charged that within a week of the conclusion of the recent Sudan agree-
ment, British officials "began to undermine it."
Nagib stated that "after the British get out, I am
pretty sure I can reach an agreement" on peace with Israel. The general
added that he was prepared to discuss informally with the United States
the question of planning for area defense.
Comment: Indefinite British occupation of the
canal zone under present arrangements could develop into a catastrophe
for Western relations with the Arab world. Britain accordingly faces
the choice between unconditional withdrawal in the hope that subsequently
Egypt will agree to some Western participation in maintaining the base, and
remaining in the canal zone at the risk of serious disorders. There is no
indication that Britain is willing to yield on its stand.
3
3.5(c)
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SE dRITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
2, Probable Communist response to new UN truce proposals:
The Communists are expected to reject flatly
the current proposals of the UN Command regarding prisoners unwilling
to be repatriated. The United Nations has suggested that the unwilling
Korean prisoners be released as soon as an armistice is signed, and
further, that those Chinese be released who remain unwilling to return
after 60 days of Communist access to them.
3.
Communist negotiators have consistently refused
to agree to any arrangement which, in their view, would be likely to result
in the nonrepatriation of a substantial number of prisoners. They have
shown no interest in recent months in distinguishing between Korean and
Chinese prisoners. They have demanded a lengthy period for "explana-
tions" to all of the unwilling and, for those who remain so, disposition by
a political conference.
The Communists have most recently sought
four months for "explanations," after first seeking six; they are unlikely
to compromise on less than three. Relying on India as the fifth member
of the five-nation neutral commission, the Communists, if threatened
with a recess in the talks, might eventually propose that the fate of those
who remain unwilling to be repatriated be decided by that body.
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33(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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SE RITY INFO
JAJ1N
3.5(c)
4.
Comment: Moscow's anti-Zionist campaign
was toned down following &�M�Vs death. Vyshinsky's remarks, however,
indicate that the USSR still intends to exploit this theme among the Arabs.
SOVIET UNION
FAR EAST
5. Chiang Kai-shek 'determined" not to withdraw forces from Burma:
Chiang Kai-shek is "strongly determined"
that Li Mi's forces in Burma will not be
withdrawn "under any circumstances."
lang s policy is to "play along" with American efforts, short of
actual evacuation.
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3.3
h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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SECJ6RITY INFORMATION
Comment:
Nationalist forces in Burma are awaiting Taipei approval to begin a
campaign to drive Burmese troops from the area east of the 5 lween
River and establish a sevarate state there (see map, p. 7 ).
that supply flights to Li Mi's forces will
resumed if American efforts to prevent them are eased.
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
Should the Nationalist lack of good faith in the
evacuation effort become apparent to the Burmese, the latter may be
expected to renew their protests to the United Nations with added bitterness.
SOUTHEAST ASIA
6. Devaluation of piaster stirs strong reactions in Indochina:
The reaction of the Vietnamese Government to
the French devaluation of the piaster on 10 May
has been emphatically unfavorable and it has
formally protested France's failure to consult
in con ormi y wi e French�Vietnamese economic agreement.
Laotian officials are reported to be even angrier than the Vietnamese
at the failure of the French to consult them. A high French official
expects the Cambodians to use the devaluation as a pretext for with-
drawal from the Indochinese monetary union.
A significant unofficial Vietnamese attitude is
that devaluation indicates the inherent weakness of France and favors
greater Vietnamese direction of their own affairs.
EASTERN EUROPE
� 7. Yugoslavia opposes NATO representation in staff talks with Greece
and Turkey
The Yugoslav Foreign Office has tentatively
rejected the Turkish plan to have a NATO
representative included in future discussions
of the joint staffs of Yugoslavia, Greece and
Turkey.
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TOP ET
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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PROVISIONAL
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Niue ur 3 1�..C. 1 I
SEGJRITY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
3.3(h
Comment: This negative Yugoslav reception of
the Turkish plan demonstrates Belgrade's reluctance to become too closely
identified with NATO in the absence of any clear-cut guarantee of military
assistance from the principal NATO powers in the event of Soviet attack.
8
TOP RET
)(2)
3.5(c)
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