CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1953/01/09

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02900511
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: July 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: July 22, 2019
• Publication Date: January 9, 1953

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9 January 1953
Copy Noo5B
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 411,,
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NEXT REVIEW DATE;
AUTH: 0-2
Wag:
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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INFORMA
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet Union plans termination of fishing agreement with Britain
(page 3).
SOVIET UNION
2. USSR reportedly planning microwave communications system (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Yoshida-Rhee meeting in Tokyo inconclusive (page 4).
4. Peiping's attitude toward Indians and Pakistanis shows "complete
mistrust" (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
5. Burma may end military pact with Britain (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6.
7. Comment on deteriorating Syrian-Lebanese relations (Dare 6)
8.
EASTERN EUROPE
9. Britain sees need for closer study of West's cooperation with Tito
(page 7).
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WESTERN EUROPE
10. Complete split of East and West Berlin may occur before spring (page 8).
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GENERAL
1. Soviet Union plans termination of fishing agreement with Ilritain:
The Soviet Government has informed the
British Embassy in Moscow that it intends
to terminate a 1930 agreement which per-
mits British fishing in the Barents Sea
area outside a three-mile territorial limit.
The reasons cited for this action were
lack of reciprocity, in that Soviet fishermen did not fish off the Bri-
tish coast, and numerous violations of the three-mile limit by British
fishermen.
The British Embassy expects London to pro-
test the termination, but doubts that the protests will be effective.
Secondarily, the Kremlin may also consider
that any exception to its announced policy defining territorial waters
as extending 12 miles from its shores might undermine its efforts to
force Scandinavian acceptance of the 12-mile limit in the Baltic.
SOVIET UNION
2. USSR reportedly planning microwave communications system:
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the USSR is planning a micro-
wave communications system.
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Comment: Establishment of such a multi-
channel system would be the most important recent development in
Soviet bloc telecommunications. It can carry simultaneous transmission
of many telephone and telegraph circuits.
East German factories producing mobile,
fixed and portable types of radio relay equipment have been given in-
creasingly higher priorities since 1949.
FAR EAST
3. Yoshida-Rhee meeting in Tokyo inconclusive:
Ambassador Murphy reports that the meeting
between President Rhee and Prime Minister
Yoshida on 6 Ianuary was marked by ostensible
cordiality. The conversation, however, was
largely inconcil,fth Yoshida remaining extremely tight-lipped and
noncommittal.
Murphy reports that there were no definite
indications that the talk would lead to a resumption of negotiations for
normal relations between the two countries.
4. Peiping's attitude toward Indians and Pakistanis shows "complete mistrust":
he Pakistani Ambassador to Communist China, 3.3(h)(2)
ho has just returned to Karachi for consultation,
escribes the Chinese Communist attitude toward
oth the Indians and Pakistanis as one of "com-
plete mistrust." He tol t e American Charge that, despite Peiping's pro-
fessions of the mutual interests of Asians, the Chinese regard the Indians
and Pakistanis as "spies for the Anglo-Americans"
The Chinese Communists have been able to exploit
the Indian desire for friendship, but apparently have been unsuccessfulwith
the Pakistanis.
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SOUTHEAST ASIA
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5. Burma may end military pact with Britain:
Burmese Army Commander Ne Win informed
the American Army Attache on 7 January that J'3(h)(2)
he favors the procurement of military equip-
ment from the United States after Burma's
military agreement with Britain expires on
1 January 1954.
6.
Comment: Although Burmese authorities have
never been satisfied with the British agreement, they have adhered to it
as the sole means of obtaining essential military supplies.
Since, according to the British Foreign Office,
Ne Win in early December indicated a desire for expansion of the British
mission, he may still renew the agreement if he does not receive suffictent
aid from the United States.
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that he would "become the most fervent defender of American policy'? if
the United States gave Iran $100,000,000.
Comment:: Kashani has frequently offered his
services as a defender of American policy for a price, and his statements
are in line with his past efforts to extract more aid from the United States.
7. Comment on deteriorating Syrian-Lebanese relations:
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Press and radio reports from Syria and Lebanon
on the cancellation of economic talks, the closing of the border, and the
banning of Lebanese newspapers in Syria emphasize the sudden deterioration
in relations between the two countries.
Present tension was caused by Shishakli's efforts
to apprehend prominent Syrian political leaders who failed in a coup on 19
December and then sought refuge in Lebanon. Their attacks on Shishakli
have been widely publicized in the Lebanese press, which reflects suspicion
of the Colonel's intentions toward Lebanon.
Business Leaders in Lebanon are now strongly
opposed to any economic union between the two countries because they feel
it would be adapted to Syria's policy of self-sufficiency.
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EASTERN EUROPE
9. Britain sees need for closer study of West's cooperation with Tito:
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The British chiefs of staff believe that General3.3(h)(2)
Handy's report on contingent military planning
with Yugoslavia does not distinguish sufficiently
between the possibilities of a general war and
one localized in the Yugoslav area. They believe that the build-up of
Satellite military forces has overtaken their own estimate, and have
ordered a study of the Yugoslays' capability of repelling a Satellite attack,
with the West and the USSR each supplying military equipment and logistic
support but no troops.,
The Foreign Office considers it essential to
clarify American, British, and French views regarding some form of
political commitment to Yugoslavia before Marshal Tito visits London
in March. The British are thinking in terms of a "limited political re-
assurance" rather than an outright guarantee which is precluded by NATO
commitments.
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WESTERN EUROPE
10. Complete split of East and West Berlin may occur before spring:
The American High Commissioner's office
in Berlin interprets current propaganda in
the East Berlin press as suggesting that
West Berlin may be completely cut off from
the eastern half of the city in the "not very
distant future," possibly even before West
Germany ratifies the Bonn and Paris treaties.
Heretofore, evidence generally indicated that
a separation of the city was not likely until the other EDC signatory mem-
bers were ready to ratify the treaty.
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HICOG officials note that some residents of West Berlin have already
received "special type" passes.
Comment: A division of the city would heighten
West Berlin's acute unemployment problem. Except for the disruption of
the elevated system, however, all public utilities would probably be able
to continue almost normal operations.
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