CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/07/24

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973571
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: July 24, 1952

,,--Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 00597357'
TOP SECRET D
SECUTY INFORMATION
3.5(c)
24 duly 1952
Copy No. 53
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENTNO
ettAita 141
oacummo
CLASS. CRAN0E0 TO: TS S C
NEXTRV1EW DATE. 9-4004?
Atillt HA 70-2
DATE-
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP-SECRET
SEfltfTY INFORMATION
REVIEWER:
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
4.
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
Gp
SECRET
3.5(c)
SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Britain and France oppose American plan for separate Eastern
export control group (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
2. Soviet plane attacks UN aircraft off Dairen (page 3).
FAR EAST
3. Enemy reportedly concentrates on defense of Manchurian border
(page 4).
4. Burmese Premier intends to request Communist aid (page 4).
SOUTH ASIA
5. Comment on probable change of government in Nepal (page 5).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Comment on military coup in Egypt (page 6).
7. Greek Ambassador in Paris suggests that France Support Cyprus
union (page 6).
8. Greek-Yugoslav staff talks expected soon (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
9. Publication of Duclos notebook considered effective counter-
propaganda (page 7).
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
-Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
c---,Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
TCA) SECRET
3.5(c)
GENERAL
1. Britain and France oppose American plan for separate Eastern export
control group:
The French Foreign Office has reiterated 3.3(h)(2)
its support of the Japanese request for full
membership in COCOM. It states that the
American plan for a separate Far Eastern
control organization would prejudice the
French political position in Indochina, and
points out that other COCOM members share
its fear that Japan would obtain privileged
treatment.
In London, officials indicate that Britain
would at the most agree only to the establishment of a standing Far
Eastern secretariat in COCOM's Consultative Group, together with
a Far East working level committee, with Japan as a member of both.
Comment: Britain, France and Canada have
previously made known their opposition to the United States proposal
to include Japan in a Far Eastern controls group parallel to, but
separate from, COCOM.
SOVIET UNION
2. Soviet plane attacks UN aircraft off Dairen:
3.3(h)(2)
la MIG-15 subordinate
to the 5th Fleet at Port Arthur was probably
involved in the interception of a UN recon-
naissance B-26 on 16 July, 45 miles southeast
of Dairen.
3 -
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
/----Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
TC,,RECRET
3.5(c)
Comment: The interception of the UN plane
is another in a series of incidents in which the Soviet Air Force has
reacted to surveillance missions in widely separated sections of the
periphery of the Soviet Orbit, A UN B-29 lost off Vladivostok on
13 June was probably shot down by Soviet aircraft.
3.3(h)(2)
FAR EAST
3. Enemy reportedly concentrates on defense of Manchurian border:
j enemy planes continue to be more
active in protecting the Manchurian border
than in defending Pyongyang. When UN
bombers raided Pyongyang on 10 July, 23 Communist planes were
airborne. Instead of protecting Pyongyang, they concentrated on
patrolling the Antung area.
Comment: Russian-manned jet units in
Manchuria have pursued an erratic policy in intercepting UN bombers
in recent weeks. While failing to disrupt UN attacks on the power
plants in late June and on Pyongyang on 10 July, they made a deter-
mined effort on 4 July to break up the attack on a North Korean mili-
tary academy near Sakchu in northwest Korea.
4. Burmese Premier intends to request Communist aid:
The American Embassy in Rangoon reports
that contrary to earlier information, the
Burmese Premier intends to carry out his
recent proposal to request economic assist-
ance from the Soviet Union and Communist China. The Embassy adds
that the Premier is confident his action will embarrass the USSR and
China and undercut accusations that he has abandoned neutrality by
accepting American aid.
4
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
TO ET
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
3.5(c)
pproved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
TSECRET
3.5(c)
Comment: It is unlikely that either the
Soviet Union or Communist China would be embarrassed by this move,
although they may eventually find it expedient to give vague, public
promises of future aid.
SOUTH ASIA
5. Comment on probable change of government in Nepal:
Renewed terrorism aimed at Indian landlords
and political maneuvers designed to oust pro-Indian Prime Minister
M. P. Koirala are the latest developments marking the steady growth
of anti-Indian feeling in Nepal and the struggle for power between the
� moderate Prime Minister and his anti-Indian half-brother, Nepal
Congress Party President B. P. Koirala.
The party's reported demand that the
Prime Minister, accept cabinet changes which would favor B. P. Koirala
or resign suggests that the latter is about to replace his more con-
servative half-brother. B. P. Koirala's assumption of the Prime
Ministership would encourage irresponsible elements of the Nepalese
Congress Party, as well as the Communists,to further anti-Indian
excesses.,
India is unlikely to accept passively the ex-
istence of an anti-Indian government in Nepal, which would represent
a threat to the security of its northern frontiers. Indian military
intervention in Nepal's affairs without the invitation of the Nepalese
Government, however, would constitute a breach of the treaty of 1950
which guarantees the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Nepal.
-.5
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
(---Approved for Release: 21519/05/31 005973571
T3SERE
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Comment on military coup in Egypt:
The military coup on 23 July led by General
Mohammed Nagib, a hero of the 1948 Palestine War, represents the
most drastic blow to Egyptian constitutional government to date.
Whether or not harmony is eventually restored between King Farouk
and the new army leaders, the King's prestige has been impaired and
a precedent has been set for military dictation to civil government.
Army dissatisfaction with top military leaders
has been growing since the arms scandals of the Palestine War leaked
out to the public three years ago. Last week, when Farouk became
involved in the dispute, the resultant army differences forced the fall
of the Sirry cabinet, making way for the two-day Hilali government.
The fall of Hilali has been followed by the
appointment to the premiership of All Maher, whom King Farouk en-
trusted with the government last January. Nagib put his stamp of
approval on Maher prior to the appointment. The position of Maraghi,
who was Minister of Interior in the previous Maher cabinet and the two
Hilali cabinets, and who has long been considered a candidate for the
premiership, is not clear. 3.3(h)(2)
7, Greek Ambassador in Paris suggests that France support Cyprus union:
that he had suggested to Foreign
Minister Schuman on 26 June that France
could influence the British Government to
change its stand against the union of Cyprus
with Greece. 3.3(h)(2)
Schuman stated that he understood the popular
Greek demand for union. He warned, however, that nothing should be
done to affect Allied relations and praised the Greek Government's
present policy of waiting.
6 -
3.5(c)
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
TUP RET
3.5(c)
Comment:
a growing frustration over inability to pro-
mote the union of Cyprus with Greece through bilateral negotiations
with Great Britain. The Ambassador's discussion with Schuman
appears to be part of the current Greek campaign to present the issue
to the United Nations,
3.3(h)(2)
8. Greek-Yugoslav taff talks expected soon:
la Yugoslav military
delegation will go to Ath6s shortly for staff
talks.
The Yugoslav Minister suggested unofficially
that it would be preferable for the NATO Greek-Turkish area command
to be located in Greece rather than Turkey, as that would facilitate
eventual coordination with Yugoslavia.
Comment Apparently, Yugoslav-Greek
cooperation is moving faster than had been anticipated. The Turks
have expected Yugoslavia to approach them first, and will be irritated
by the extent of Greek-Yugoslav progress on joint planning. It can be
expected also that Turkey would resent any Greek-Yugoslav pressure
to have the NATO area command located in Greece.
WESTERN EUROPE
9. Publication of Duclos notebook considered effective counterpropaganda:
The recent publication, probably with the 3.3(h)(2)
connivance of the French Government, of large
parts of the Duclos notebook, is useful because
of its counterpropaganda value, in the opinion
of the American Embassy in Paris. The document brings out clearly
that the French Communist Party received instructions from Moscow for
"direct action" shortly before the May disturbances, and that party leaders
themselves are admitting difficulties and the loss of strength.
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
- 7 -
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571
3.5(c)
Comment: The propaganda value of Duclos'
notebook is evident from surveys which indicate that over 75 percent
of the 5,000,000 Frenchmen who voted Communist in last year's
national election do not believe that the French Communist Party is
closely tied to Soviet policy.
3.5(c)
Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973571