CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/26

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973626
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: September 26, 1952

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SEC INFORMATION
26 September 1952
Copy No. 57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
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AUTH: HR 70-2
Office of Current Intelligence DA1E/9k-7ff REVIEWER 3.5(c)
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. Soviet aircraft active off Hokkaido coast (page 3).
2. Pacific "peace conference postponed to 10 October (page 3).
3. CommuniSt8 reportedly plan roads and airfields in Tibet (page 4).
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Serious guerrilla opposition in Celebes in July indicated (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Greek-Yugoslav military talks considered satisfactory (page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Adenauer foresees opportunity to press France on EDC ratification
(page 6).
7.
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FAR EAST
1. Soviet aircraft active off Hokkaido coast:
fr
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Soviet air flights crossed the demarca-
tion line between the Kuril Islands and
Hokkaido, with depths of penetration ranging
up to 15 miles. On 24 September a single aircraft flew beyond the
line for 56 minutes. American F-84's which intercepted two flights
were unable to overtake the intruders.
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the objective
of this activity may be either reconnaissance or the testing of US air
defenses and radar.
Comment: Since the strait is less than
20 miles wide at its narrowest point, some of these flights must
have extended over Japanese territory.
During August there was one Soviet over-
flight of northeastern Hokkaido, and one close approach to the coast
of central Japan. Both involved pursuit of US reconnaissance air-
craft and may have been inadvertent. The concentration of planes in
this latest operation and the duration of one of the flights suggest
that it was planned. Exceptfor the instances cited,SOviet aircraft have
observed the Hokkaido-Kuril demarcation line.
2. Pacific "peace" conference postponed to 10 October:
A Chinese Communist broadcast to the Viet 3.3(h)(2)
Minh on 25 September stated that the open-
ing of the Asian and Pacific Regions Peace
Conference has been postponed to 10 October
owing to_the_inability of many delegates to arrive by the planned open-
ing date, 26 September.
. Comment: Many of the 300 to 500 delegates
to the "peace" conference have been unable to obtain visas or have
encountered other obstacles. Similar Communist-sponsored conferences
have often been postponed as a result of organizational problems.
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By postponement, the Communists will
avoid a conflict with Peiping's third anniversary ceremonies on
1 October and will have time to adjust to any new line developing
from the Soviet Communist Party's 19th Congress on 5 October.
3. Communists reportedly plan roads and airfields in Tibet:
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Chinese officials arriving in India from 3.3(h)(2)
Tibet reportedly stated that construction
work on the road to Lhasa from the Indian
border was progressing "very quickly," and the
construction of a highway from China proper into Tibet was also
planned. Airfields, they declared, were being constructed "in more
than one place in Tibet." 3.3(h)(2)
SOUTHEAST ASIA
4. Serious guerrilla opposition in Celebes in July indicated:
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Comment: Indonesian officials have
tended to dismiss guerrilla opposition in the Celebes as inconsequen-
tial. In May the government claimed that the guerrilla force there
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had been reduced to 300 armed men, and in mid-September the
Indonesian defense minister asserted that the Celebes rebel movement
was not large and was losing ground. 3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
5. Greek-Yugoslav military talks considered satisfactory:
The Greek Minister of Defense has told
Ambassador Peurifoy that the recent military
conversations between Greece and
Yugoslavia were quite satisfactory.
Yugoslavia has assured Greece that at
least one third of the Yugoslav forces will be available to protect an
area of common interest in northern Greece and southern Yugoslavia.
Although no detailed defense planning has begun, a Greek delegation
which will visit Belgrade shortly may consider more definite plans.
Comment: Nearly one third of Yugoslavia's
forces are already garrisoned in this area. Progress has been made
in the Greek-Yugoslav planning, but Greek reports on this subject
have been over-optimistic in the past.
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WESTERN EUROPE
6. Adenauer foresees opportunity to press France on EDC ratification:
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Chancellor Adenauer has confided to American
officials in Bonn that Premier de Gasperi told
him ratification of the EDC treaty would have
"clear sailing" in the Italian Parliament,
possibly in November, provided the new election
law was passed without trouble. Such prompt
Italian action, on top of American and British
ratification of the contractual agreement and
German acceptance of both treaties, would provide an opportunity for
successful exertion of pressure on the French, the ChancellOr emphasized.
In a conversation with American officials
in Paris, West German "Defense Minister" Blank stated, however, that
he was very pessimistic about French ratification.
Comment: Despite Foreign Minister Schuman's
24 September announcement that he would request the Assembly to act
promptly on the EDC treaty when it reconvened on 7 October, there is
still no evidence that the Pinay government as such is willing to give
the treaty priority over domestic issues.
The American Embassy in Rome has reported
that early italian ratification of EDC would be difficult, especially in
view of an expected Communist filibuster against the government's
legislative program.
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