CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/09/14

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
05973616
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
8
Document Creation Date: 
June 6, 2019
Document Release Date: 
June 27, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
September 14, 1952
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PDF icon CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15655771].pdf248.26 KB
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Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973616 0 TOP SECRET SECURIT NFORMATION 14 September 1952 3.5(c; Copy No.57 3.5(c) CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN 3.5(c) DOCUMENT NO. 'NO CHANGE IN CLASS. ;fir U DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C NEXT REVIEW DATE: Office of Current Intelligencemmi: HR 70-2 3.5(c) 7 DATE:MaitAREVIEWER: CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY 3.5(c) TOP SECRET SEC NFORMATION 'Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973616 Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616 SECRET . -- 3.5(c) SUMMARY GENERAL 1. Kennan believes Sino-Soviet talks involve real bargaining (page 3). 2. USSR reportedly offers to buy Bolivian minerals (page 3). SOVIET UNION 3. Large Soviet convoy moving along Northern Sea Route (page 4). FAR EAST 4. Comment on militant Soviet line for Peiping "peace" conference (page 4). SOUTHEAST ASIA 5. Burmese mission to US will try to avoid commitments in seeking arms (page 5). NEAR EAST - AFRICA 6. Greek Government requests inclusion in MEDO discussion (page 5). 7. Mossadeq and his opposition in deadlock (page 6), 8. Disaffection reported among elements of the Egyptian army (page 6). 9. General strike in Lebanon reportedly called for 15 September (page 7), 10. South African official sees possible withdrawal from UN (page 7). WESTERN EUROPE 11. Comment on the dissolution of the West German Socialist Reich Party (page 8). * * * * 2 3.5(c) TOP RET Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616, TPSECRET 3.5(c) GENERAL 1. Kennan believes Sino-Soviet talks involve real bargaining: Ambassador Kennan believes that a tour by the Chinese delegation to points of interest in the USSR indicates that Lino- Soviet negotiations have reached a point where instructions from Peiping have become necessary. Kennan considers that the length of the talks shows that they are not "pro-forma" in character, but that real bargaining is taking place. Comment: Communist cadres in China are being led to believe that increased Soviet aid will result from the talks. 2. USSR reportedly offers to buy Bolivian minerals: 3.3(h)(2) 3.3(h)(2) Comment: Bolivia has no significant trade with the USSR, and despite its critical financial situation, it prob- ably will not quickly be attracted by this small offer. Not only can Bolivia find other markets for these minerals, but it would hardly wish to disqualify itself for US financial assistance. 3 39SEC�T Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973616 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 005973616 SOVIET UNION 3. Large Soviet convoy moving along Northern Sea Route: A convoy of approximately 20 Soviet vessels is proceeding along the eastern stretch of the Northern Sea Route toward Provideniya on the tip of the Chukhotsk Peninsula, By 9 September the convoy had passed between Cape Billings and Wrangel Island. Comment: This is the largest convo ever noted in the Northern Sea Route, which tends to confir that the 1952 volume of shipping over this route will exceed all previous years. Current weather reports support a message of 2 September indicating that the entire route is open. FAR EAST 4. Comment on militant Soviet line for Peiping "peace" conference: The Chairman of the Soviet Peace Committee has stated that the "peace" conference to open in Peiping in late September will be of special importance since it will "intensify the struggle for national independence and territorial sovereignty." His statement, which appeared in the Peiping press of 12 September, pro- vides the first reliable Soviet hint on how the conference will deal with the wars in Indochina and Malaya. The conference is committed to call for a "peaceful settlement" of current conflicts in Southeast Asia. This militant Soviet line suggests that the conference will not propose truce negotiations on the Korean pattern in Indochina and Malaya but will merely repeat demands for withdrawal of foreign troops. - 4 - T 0 l'SE FC) SEC�Er Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616 3.5(c) TOP SEC1tET Comment: This personal opinion of an astute official probably reflects current sentiment in the govern- ment, which has frequently stated that it will not tolerate UN interference in a domestic matter. Relations between South Africa and the UN have already been aggravated by the discussion of the Indian minority question and the status of South-West Africa, WESTERN EUROPE 11. Comment on the dissolution of the West German Socialist Reich Party: The recent voluntary dissolution of the neo-Nazi Socialist Reich Party (SRP) removes a threat to the con- servative right-wing parties of Chancellor Adenauer's federal coalition. In consequence the right wing will probably emerge from the forthcoming federal elections with no material loss of strength. The German Party, most conservative in the coalition, may however swing even farther right in an effort to capture support of the followers of the dissolved party. If this is successful, extremists may wrest party control from the moderates. The decision of the SRP was made in anticipation of a Constitutional Court decision which would almost certainly have banned the party. The government was confident that "unequivocal evidence of SRP collaboration with the Soviet Union" would have brought about the legal extinction of the party. If the party attempts to go underground as its former leader Fritz Doris allegedly plans, its subversive effective- ness will be negligible. 8 - rr�>P CRET Approved for Release: 2019/05/31 C05973616 3.5(c)