CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/10/04

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 05973633
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 9
• Document Creation Date: June 6, 2019
• Document Release Date: June 27, 2019
• Publication Date: October 4, 1952

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SECURI INFORMATION
4 October 1952
Copy No.
57
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
Office of Current Intelligence
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DOCUMENT NO. 6
NO CHANGE IN CLASS. X
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CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S C
NEXT REVIEW DATE. LOW"
AUTH: HS 70-2
DATE/ IOU:1i REVIEWER:
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
SOVIET UNION
1. Yugoslav UN delegate sees cautious Soviet foreign policy
(page 3).
2. Two new Soviet radar locations disclosed in Europe (page p).
3. Comment on Moscow's demand for Kennan's recall (page 5).
FAR EAST
4. Tibetan tribesmen attack Chinese Communists in Szechwan
(page 8).
SOUTH ASIA
5. Nehru seeks lifting of Pakistani "blockade" of Afghanistan
(page t).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Mossadeq aware of Kashani plot to seize power (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Current Yugoslav position on Trieste (page I).
8. German Socialist chief reported planning to support EDC after
four-power talks (page c).
LATIN AMERICA
. Chilean "president-elect" Ibanez moderates anti-US stand
(page 9).
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SOVIET UNION
1. Yugoslav UN delegate sees cautious Soviet foreign policy:
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The Soviet Union has concluded that it has �
become too dangerous to provoke a war with
the United States, in the opinion of the
Yugoslav delegate to the UN. He points
Out that before mid-1950 Soviet foreign policy contemplated direct
acts of aggression against free world members by Satellites. As a
result of Korea and of growing US strength as manifested in Western
rearmament and the German and Japanese treaties, however, Soviet
action has been limited to "indirect aggression," fifth column activity
and sabotage.
The Yugoslav delegate believes that the
USSR now sees an opportunity of using the UN to isolate the United
States. Such efforts will center on alienating the Moslem and Asian
countries from the Atlantic community and charging the US with
unilaterally carrying on an aggressive war in Korea.
2. Two new Soviet radar locations disclosed in Europe:
The US Air Force in Europe reports that 3.3(h)(2)
two new CPS-6 type Soviet radar locations
have been identified. One is located in the
Soviet Zone of Austria not far from Linz
and the other in the southwest portion of
the Soviet Zone of Germany. (See map)
Comment: These two stations bring the
total of possible PPS-6*type Soviet radar stations Europe to eight.
Together with the Satellite radar nets, they provide increasingly dense
coverage from the Baltic to the Black Sea.
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100
200 300 400 ' 500 Statute Mlles
Locations of possible CPS-6 Type Radar (3 Oct. 1952)
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. 3. Comment on Moscow's demand for Kennan's recall
Moscow's decision to demand the recall
of Ambassador Kennan appears to spring from a desire to exclude
him personally rather than an intention to alter the present state
of Soviet-US relations.
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Following Kerman's arrival in Moscow last
April the volume of cable traffic from the Embassy markedly increased,
a fact which must have been immediately noticeable to the Soviet author-
ities. The Kremlin probably connected this with the publication in
the Western press of such items as those exposing the USSR% "hate-
America campaign."
The Ambassador's recent "insulting" parallel
between the treatment accorded him in thd USSR and in Nazi Germany
probably convinced the Kremlin that his continued presence in Moscow
could result only in further revelations inimical to the present Soviet
"peace campaign."
FAR EAST
4. Tibetan tribesmen attack Chinese Communists in Szechwan
Tibetan tribesmen attacked 200 Chinese
Communist garrison troops at Sungpan
in northwestern Szechwan on 26 September,
anti-Communist Tibetan tribes in the area can muster
8, 000 men.
Comment: Sungpan is located about 50
miles north of the district in which regular Chinese Communists
troops were engaged in anti-guerrilla activity in late July. This
report is the first indication that the guerrillas in that area were
not suppressed as a result of those operations.
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SOUTH ASIA
5. Nehru seeks lifting of Pakistani "blockade" of Afghanistan:
On 2 October Indian Prime Minister Nehru
urged that the United States bring "all
possible influence" to bear on Pakistan to
ease transport restrictions and end its
"blockade" of Afghanistan in order to strengthen the latter's position
against the Soviet Union.
Nehru added that if a committee were estab-
lished to study the Pushtoonistan question, Pakistan might be persuaded
to give Afghanistan the support that it may need in the near future.
Comment: Following the delivery of the
recent Soviet protest on oil drilling operations in northern Afghanistan,
both Afghanistan and India made it clear that they expect Pakistan to
ease the pressure on Afghanistan by making concessions on the Push-
toonistan and other issues.
If national security were actually endangered,
the Afghan government would probably voluntarily abandon its propa-
ganda campaign advocating autonomy for frontier tribesmen in Pakistani
territory.
It therefore appears that both Afghanistan
and India are exploiting the Soviet-Afghan crisis to embarrass
Pakistan.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
6. Mossadeq aware of Kashani plot to seize power:
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Ambassador Henderson reports that General
Zahedi and his co-plotters have renewed
their campaign to remove Mossadeq. Zahedi
has been able to obtain the tentative support
of disgruntled elements in the National Front
and was scheduled to discuss "a deal" with
Kashani on 2 or 3 October.
Mossadeq, however, is aware of the plot.
although he has not yet taken steps to counter it.
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the army, National
Front leader Baghai and other prominent Nationalist leaders are
firmly committed to the Prime Minister.
Comment: Mossadeq's awareness of the
plot and the conflicting interests of the factions aligned against him
have lessened the chances of a successful coup. Moreover, he has
already taken measures to ensure support of the Imperial Guards.
Mossadeq's announcement on 2 October that
he was prepared to break diplomatic relations with the British
should strengthen his public support.
WESTERN EUROPE
7. Current Yugoslav position on Trieste:
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Ambassador Allen believes that several
major considerations have led to the current
YugosLav proposal for a division of the Free
Territory of Trieste along the present zonal
boundary, The Yugoslav Government is satisfied with the present divi-
sion of the TerritOry and is confident that Italy and the Western powers
cannot force it to retreat because of Yugoslavia's strategic value to the
West. Ambassador Alien points out that Tito has found the Trie8te
issue to be a useful rallying point for nationalistic sentiment.
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The Yugoslays are suspicipus of mediation
by Western powers because they believe that Italy's membership in
NATO, and Western concern over De Gasperi's internal position,
unduly influence the West on the form of a Trieste settlement. Believ-
ing that there is no immediate danger of Soviet aggression, the
Yugoslays see no urgent need for cooperating with Italy.
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8. German Socialist chief reported planning to support EDC after four-
power talks:
ns Hedtoft, chairman of the Danish Social
Democratic Party, has told American
Embassy officials that Erich 011enhauer, new
eader of the West German Social Democratic
rty, with whom he recently had several long conferences, wants
to turn his party away from the policies of the late Kurt Schumacher.
He cannot do so, however, until four-power talks have shown that
the USSR will never agree to German unity on the basis of free elec-
tions. According to Hedtoft� theSocial Democratic. 'Mayors of Berlin
Bremen, and Hamburg, who often disagreed with Schumacher, are in
complete agreement with 011enhauer.
Comment: At their recent convention, the
German Social Democrats for the first time adopted a positive state-
ment regarding European defense, declaring that the party would
"press for an effective system of collective security in which Germany
can participate as an equal, and without endangering its unity." This
position leaves the door open for the Social Democrats to reverse their
stand against the EDC.
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LATIN AMERICA
9. Chilean "president-elect" Ibanez moderates anti-US stand:
The Chilean-American military agree-
ment will not be abrogated and strategic
materials will not be exported to the Soviet
Orbit after Carlos Ibanez assumes the
presidency on 4 November, according to assurances he has sent
to the American Ambassador,
Comment: A responsible emissary from
Ibanez asserted on 26 September that the mines would not be nation-
alized and that diplomatic relations would definitely not be resumed
with the USSR. He promised that the anti-US campaign would be
dropped after Congress had declared Ibanez president on 24 October
and emphasized Chile's intention to take advantage of any American
military or economic assistance.
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