CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/01/10
Document Type:
Collection:
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST):
02696829
Release Decision:
RIPPUB
Original Classification:
U
Document Page Count:
8
Document Creation Date:
May 24, 2019
Document Release Date:
May 30, 2019
Sequence Number:
Case Number:
Publication Date:
January 10, 1952
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULL[15638395].pdf | 317.92 KB |
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SECUBY INFORMATION
10 January 1952
Copy No.
47
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS,
I DEC1 ASSIFIED
CLASS: CHANGED TO: IS 3 C
NEXT tiEVIEW DATE:
AUT4 Hfl 70-ind,
DAT , /144
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECURITY INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
1. MIG-15 unit transfers from Korean border to East China (page 3).
2. Interim replacements for De Lattre named (page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
3. Comment on Kashmir efforts to throw off Indian domination (page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Saudi Arabian King makes new demand on Arabian American Oil
Company (page 5).
5. French Minister recommends unilateral approach to Syria (page 5).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Bucharest orders militia to report all incidents in Hungarian-Rumanian
border areas (page 6).
7. US Ambassador in Warsaw foresees new restrictions on American
missions (page 7).
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer wants clarification of German defense contribution (page 7).
9. American Ambassador urges early negotiations with Spain (page 8).
* * * *
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FAR EAST
1. MIG-15 unit transfers from Korean border to East China:
Comment: The Sixth Regiment, equipped with
about 25 MIG-15's, moved to Takushan in early November. This is the
first known transfer of a jet fighter unit from Manchuria. Several other
Chinese air units rrioved from Mariphuria to East China in December and
early January, but these moves involved only conventional aircraft
The purpose of transferring a MIG-15 combat-
tested untt from the Korean theater to East China may be to strengthen the
inadequate air defenses of the Shanghai area.
2. Interim replacements for De Lattre named:
The US Military Attache in Hanoi has been in-
formed that General Salan, General de Lathe's
deputy, has been appointed Commander-in-
Chief, "pending de Lathe's return." At the
same time Governor-General Gautier, De Lattre's chief civil aide, was
named Acting High Commissioner. De Lattre will probably need several.
months to recover from a recent operatilon.
3
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Comment: General de Lattre has recently
undergone a second operation which was apparently more serious than earlier
reports suggested. Re cent reports indicate that the general will not be willing
to reassume his command because of disillusionment with the stalemate in
Indochina as well as kr reasons of health.
SOUTH ASIA
3. Comment on Kashmir efforts to throw off Indian domination:
Kashmir's National Conference Party, led by
Prime Minister Sheikh Abdullah, has taken another step toward complete
autonomy for Indian-held Kashmir. It has passed a resolution claiming for
the new Kashmiri Legislature the right to participate in foreign affairs and
defense matters, heretofore recognized by the Kashmiris as the exclusive
prerogative of the Government of India.
The Indian Government, possibly under-
estimating the Kashmiris' desire for autonomy, countenanced earlier steps
which included the decision to establish a Kashmiri Constituent Assembly,
the rigged elections of last October which placed members of the National
Conference in every seat of the Assembly, and the November amendment of
the state constitution to convert the Assembly into a Legislature with
supreme authority over all matters except foreign affairs, defense, and
communications.
A high Indian official recently admitted that his
government has had difficulties in dealing with the Kashmiris, who were in-
clined to be "unreasonable and stubborn," The current Kashmiri maneuver
challenges India's most jealously guarded rights in the state, and it may
lead Sheikh Abdullah into open conflict with India.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
. Saudi Arabian King makes new demand on Arabian American Oil Company:
King Ibn Saud has recently demanded that the
Trans-Arabian Pipeline Company which de-
livers the oil of the Arabian American Oil
Company to the Mediterranean, be put on a
profit-making basis. The King believes that he will thus be able to demand
50 percent of any profits made by the ARAMCO subsidiary which no operates
on a cost basis.
The Executive Board of ARAMCO expects to
discuss this and other issues with the King when it meets with him in mid-
January. Ibn Saud's recent expressions of bitterness over the company
do not presage a happy atmosphere for solving their outstanding differences.
� Comment: If Trans-Arabian Pipeline is put
on a profit-making basis, the money allotted to the King will actually come
from the parent company, ARAMCO. It is unlikely therefore that fulfill-
ment of the King's wishes will give him more money than he is now getting
on the basis of a 50-50 agreement with ARAMCO itself.
5. French Minister recommends unilateral approach to Syria:
The French Minister in Damascus has recom-
mended a unilateral French approachto the Syrian
Army. Chief of Staff, Lt. Col.Shishakli, prior
to a tripartite exchange of military and eco-
nomic commitments with the new Syrian Govern-
ment. The French Minister argues that France is in a better position to
initiate descreet talks with the Syrians than the Americans, who Shishakli
fears will impose a trusteeship over Syria, or the British,whom the Syrian
military accuse of having failed in commitments to the Army.
�
According to the Minister, Syrian conviction that
the United States is in league with Israel makes American plans suspect, and
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the sympathy shown by the new Syrian leaders for the Egyptian cause mili-
tates against British action with the Syrian General Staff.
Comment: The US Embassy in Damascus has
previously warned that French attempts to promote their own special
interests in Syria might seriously hamper any unified action taken by the
US, Britain and France in dealing with the new Syrian regime and also en-
danger Western efforts to gain general Arab support for the Middle East
Command proposals.
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Bucharest orders militia to report all incidents in Hungarian-Rumanian
border areas:
The Rumanian Militia Directorate General has
ordered militia posts in the four districts along
the Hungarian border to make urgent detailed
factual reports on all crimes committed by
Hungarian and Rumanian nationals in Rumanian-Hungarian frontier localities
from 23 August 1944 to 3 December 1951. The reports are to include cases
of border crossings by criminals and accomplices of either nationality and
instances of collaboration between Rumanian and Hungarian police in the pur-
suit and capture of culprits.
Comment: On 23 August 1944 the pro-German
regime in Rumania was overthrown and Rumania joined the Allies. The
urgency and thoroughness of the report requested by Rumanian authorities
suggests that some friction may have developed with Hungary over the con-
trol of the common border areas. There is no other evidence to substantiate
this itypotheMs, however, and both countries have prided themselves on
their success as socialist states in resolving the traditional Transylvanian
issue.
�
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3.3(h)(2)
7. US Ambassador in Warsaw foresees new restrictions on American missions:
American Ambassador Flack in Warsaw comments
that the rapid trial in Poland of five
alleged US spies suggests a possible build-up to
justify increasing restrictions on American
missions in Eastern Europe.
The Ambassador points out it is possible that an
anti-American build-up, at Soviet instigation, is being deliberately carried
to a point likely to provoke US withdrawal of one or more missions in Eastern
Europe, The Ambassador states that his analysis is consistent with recent
Satellite notes and propaganda portraying US missions as espionage agencies
which do not perform legitimate diplomatic functions.
Comment: The charges against the Polish
defendants did not specify that they had contacts with the US Embassy in
Warsaw, but alleged that they were-recruited in Germany by US intelligence
officers. The recent notes, while attacking former members of US missions
in Eastern Europe, did not mention any current members. So far there have
been no indications that the USSR or the Satellites no longer desire to main-
tain diplomatic missions in the West.
WESTERN EUROPE
8. Adenauer wants clarification of German defense contribution:
American negotiators, meeting with Federal
Republic representatives on the German finan-
cial contribution to Western defense, feel that
Chancellor Adenauer is "dragging his feet" in
these discussions. He is now insisting that German experts be sent before
the NATO Temporary Council Committee to redetermine the amount of the
German defense contribution. He argues that the Bonn Parliament will not
approve these negotiations unless it appears that the body which fixed other
NATO nations' contributions also fix the German contribution in the same
manner.
3.5(c)
3.3(h)(2)
3.5(c)
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Comment: No German representatives were
present when the Committee fixed the size of the German contribution.
Adenauer's demand for new Committee hearings reflects his feeling that a
German defense contribution fixed by the Allies alone resembles occupation
costs.
Allied representatives have reasonable hope
that agreement will be reached on the annexed conventions to the Contractual
Agreement -- with the possible exception of this issue -- before the next
NATO conference.
9. American Ambassador urges early negotiations with Spain:
The American Ambassador in Madrid urges that
the Untted States take full advantage of an un-
usually pro-US atmosphere in Spain by sending
teams to negotiate military and economic aid
agreements.
3.3(h)(2)
The Ambassador feels that a highly cordial atti-
tude on the part of the Spanish Government has been created by recent press
statements of two American officials regarding the results of the survey of
the Spanish economy recently completed by a special US mission. In his
opinion, these statements show that American interest in improving the
Spanish ecbnomy and popular living standards is quite separate frorn political
considerations.
Comment: The Spanish Government,
through the controlled press, is apparently trying to create the impression
that negotiation of an economic agreement will begin at any moment,
regardless of military considerations, and that every sector of the Spanish
economy will receive considerable immediate aid. This tactic rejlects the
overwhelming political importance which the regime attaches to American
aid.
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