CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/04/17

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02064583
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 6
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: April 17, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2064583
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SEC INFORMATION
17 April 1952
Copy No.
52
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN tit
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S
NEXT REVIEW DATE
AUTH: I-IR 70-2
DATE) 2.46.
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SECU INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Britain anticipates prolonged Soviet campaign against West German
integration (page 3).
SOVIET UNION
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FAR EAST
3. Greater communications activity among North Korean commands
(page 4).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
4. Tudeh plans May Day demonstrations throughout Iran (page 4)..
5. New Anglo-Egyptian statement drafted (page 5).
6. King Farouk considering change of government in Egypt (page 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
Western talks on Trieste jeopardize US-Yugoslav relations (page 6).
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RET
GENERAL
1. Britain anticipates prolonged Soviet campaign against West German
integration:
The British Foreign Office believes that the
Soviet note of 9 April may have been designed
to elicit a Western refusal to hold discussions
on a German peace treaty, and that such a
refusal would prejudice West German ratification of the European Defense
Community treaty and the contractual agreements. Britain favors Chancel-
lor Adenauer's suggestion that the Western reply point out the necessity
for advance agreement on essentials without actually rejecting the possi-
bility of four-power talks.
Foreign Secretary Eden urges that the Western
reply be coordinated in London or Paris rather than in Washington to avoid
European criticism that the United States is dominating Western policy.
Comment: The chief of German affairs in the
British Foreign Office had stated earlier that the USSR could make trouble
in its efforts to prevent German integration with the West by offering
genuinely free election of an all-German government. Britain evidently
now believes that the USSR is preparing a prolonged diplomatic campaign
aimed at blocking the ratification, if not the signature, of the EDC treaty
and the Allied-German contract.
West German ratification would be endangered
only if the Soviet Union offered proposals for unification whichguaranteed
Germany's independence.
SOVIET UNION
2. Major military communications changes throughout Soviet Armed Forces:
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P,3-ECRET
FAR EAST
3. Greater communications activity among North Korean commands:
The Far East Command reports that for the
irst time since late January the three North
Korean corps which are now at the front are
in daily radio contact with each other and
with front line headquarters. Concurrent with this development, North
Korean Supreme Headquarters has been in active communication with
both the front line headquarters and the remaining North Korean combat
corps, at present in reserve in the Wonsan area.
Comment:
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
. Tudeh plans May Day demonstrations throughout Iran:
the Tudeh
and its front organizations are planning large-
scale May Day demonstrations throughout Iran,
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security forces are capable of
controlling provincial demonstrations but that a determined Tudeh effort
in the capital would severely tax government forces there.
;hat in spite of army advice, Mossadeq will not extend martial
law to include 1 May.
Comment: Martial law, which was imposed
in Tehran immediately following the Tudeh riots of 28 March, is scheduled
to end in late April. Mossadeq, who is allegedly alarmed by the recent
riots, may extend it. Last year, despite army advice, Mossadeq permit-
ted Tudeh May Day demonstrations. The security forces, however, are
considered capable of successfully controlling any isolated Tudeh activities
along these lines.
5. New Anglo-Egyptian statement drafted:
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The text of an exchange of letters on defense 3.3(h)(2)
problems has now been agreed to by the Egyptian
Prime Minister and the British Ambassador in
Cairo. Egyptian agreement, however, is
conditional on the conclusion of a satisfactory statement on the Sudan.
The British Foreign Office feels that if the
British Cabinet approves this text, the conversations in London withformer
Egyptian Ambassador Amr, who is scheduled to arrive on 16 April, can
be confined to the Sudan. The Foreign Office still refuses to suspend the
new Sudanese constitution, but hopes that Egypt may be induced to associ-
ate itself with the constitutional development.
Comment: The formulation of a statement on
the Sudan satisfactory to both parties is remote as long as the British
Foreign Office refuses to recognize Farouk's title to the Sudan or to sus-
pend the new constitution.
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. King Farouk considering change of government in Egypt:
King Farouk is determined to prevent the
return to power of the influential Wald Party
and will therefore be forced to replace Prime
Minister Hilali Pasha with someone who is
nrAnnrPd to govern Egypt indefinitely without Parliament
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the two likely
candidates to succeed Hilali are the former Minister of Foreign Affairs,
Abd-al Hamid Badawi Pasha, and the current Minister of Interior, War,
and Navy, Ahmad Murtada al-Maraghi Bey.
Comment: There has been some evidence in
recent weeks that Hilali may not wish to continue in office if Egypt is un-
able to reach an agreement soon with Britain.
EASTERN EUROPE
7. Western talks on Trieste jeopardize US-Yugoslav relations:
The American Charge in Belgrade emphasizes
that the London conversations concerning Italian
demands for a greater voice in Trieste involve
the United States in an issue deeply affecting
ugOi�lOant�, He warns that despite Yugoslav dependence
on Western aid, the United States runs the risk of forfeiting its unique
position of high prestige and influence in Yugoslavia.
The Charge points out that the Yugoslav Commu-
nist Party has found the Trieste issue an increasingly useful one and states
that official Yugoslav reaction against an Italian assumption of civil affairs
in Zone A would be "very strong," rendering a final solution of the Trieste
problem even more difficult.
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