CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/02/27

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02698158
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: February 27, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2698158
10"
�SEC INFORMATION
27 February 1952
- CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO. 4
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
TOP SECRET
SECU INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
1. Soviet Ambassador says USSR will sign separate treaty with East
Germany (page 3).
FAR EAST
2. Communists in Korean theater step up combat pilot training
(page 3).
3, Burmese Commander fears Chinese Communist intervention
(page 4).
NEAR EAST AFRICA
4. Saudi Arabian King reportedly prepared to abdicate (page 4).
5. Czechoslovakia offers to buy Iranian oil for shipment via Caspian Sea
(page 5).
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Comment on loopholes in Austrian trade controls ( page 5).
7., Labor Party may urge that Britain join European Army (page 6).
8. British act to block shipment of German explosives to Egypt (page 7).
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GENERAL
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1. Soviet Ambassador says USSR will sign separate treaty with East-Germany:
states that the Soviet Ambassador to East
Germany, G. M. Pushkin, told Foreign Minis-
ter Georg Dertinger early in February that,
"if a bloodless revolution does not come about" after West Germany
signs the General Agreement, the Soviet Union will sign a separate peace
treaty with the German Democratic Republic. Pushkin said that after the
conclusion of the treaty, which will take months, Soviet forces will remain
as security troops.
The Ambassador said that the USSR assumes
that the West will reject President Grotewohl's proposal for a treaty.
Comment: Dertinger, a member of the weak
East German Christian Democratic Party, is retained as a figurehead
to strengthen the Communist contention that the East German Government
is a coalition of several parties.
Although the likelihood of a separate peace
treaty is remote, the West Germans
reluctant to split Liermany by integrating the Federal Republic into
Western Europe.
FAR EAST
2. Communists in Korean theater step up combat pilot training:
The record total of 1,387 MIG-15's sighted
over North Korea last week, coupled with
increased aggressiveness of enemy pilots,
indicates to the Far East Air Force that the
enemy is taking advantage of the stalemated armistice talks to provide
training for as large a number of pilots as possible. By basing combat
aircraft on fields deeper in Manchuria and shuttling them into the Antung
complex, the enemy can commit larger numbers of pilots in training
flights over the combat area.
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The Far East Air Force also notes the possibility
that the Communists, after a two-month lull, may be planning to exploit
their capability for expanding air operations into UN-held territory,
Comment: The current move from Shanghai
to the Korean border area of MIG-15's of the 12th Chinese Communist
Division, not previously committed to combat, is further evidence of
Communist emphasis on combat training.
. Burmese Commander fears Chinese Communist intervention:
The American Army Attache in Rangoon 3.3(h)(2)
reports that according to the Burmese
Commander in Chief, General Ne Win, five
fresh Chinese Communist divisions have been
massed along the China-Burma frontier. Ne Win
at these troops may move against the Chinese Nationalists in
northeastern Burma at an "early date" and push them into Thailand.
Comment: A number of
reports have stated that the Chinese Communists have been shifting
troops away from the Indochina frontier towards Burma. The Swiss
Minister in Peiping reported recently that southwestern Yunnan was
declared a military zone in January. This is the first statement from
a highly-placed Burmese source suggesting that Chinese Communist
intervention against the Nationalist troops in Burma is imminent.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
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4. Saudi Arabian King reportedly prepared to abdicate:
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the aging King
Ibn Saud of Saudi Arabia has decided to abdicate
in favor of his eldest son, Crown Prince Emir
Saud, The King is reportedly anxious that the
transfer of royal power, take place while he is still living in order to
prevent the disturbances which might occur if the succession were delayed
until his death.
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Prince Feisal,
currently Saudi Arabian Foreign Minister, would succeed Emir Saud as
Crown Prince.
Comment: There has been an increasing
number of reports during the last few weeks on the poor-health of the
King and the possibility of succession troubles.
5. Czechoslovakia offers to buy Iranian oil far shipment via Caspian Sea:
The National Iranian Oil Company has been
asked by the Czechoslovak oil monopoly for a
quotation before 31 March on up to fifty
thousand tons of high octane aviation gasoline,
motor gasoline, kerosene and diesel oil. The
pro uc s are o e s ipped via Bandarshah on the Caspian Sea, and the
Czechs requested port and shipping information.
Comment:
Czechs were ready to buy up to 500,000 tons of oil products and
were attempting to obtain ocean shipping facilities. This is the first
known time a deadline has been set and may indicate that the Czechs
actually intend to buy at least a small amount of petroleum products.
In spite of the poor transportation facilities
in Iran, the required amount of petroleum products probably could be
moved from Abadan to Bandarshah over a period of time. Thereafter,
shipment would involve long hauls over Soviet-bloc transport facilities.
WESTERN EUROPE
6. Comment on loopholes in Austrian trade controls:
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Despite Austria's cooperation with COCOM
members in restricting the flow of strategic materials to the Orbit,
the inadequacy of Austrian control procedures and the failure of Western
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European governments to appreciate the unreliability of end-use
certificates issued solely by the Austrian Government are permitting.
some important items to leak through Western controls.
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reported lead and zinc sales by British firms to a notorious middleman
in Vienna whose letterhead was accepted as a guarantee of Austrian use.
In previous sales to this sante dealer, the British were given certificates
which the firm, by citing legitimate buyers, had obtained from the
Austrian Government. The absence of a centralized agency for issuing
end-use certificates and the apparent absence of formal procedures for
verifying deliveries permitted the dealer to use such certificates to obtain
metals for diversion to Orbit purchasers.
diversions so serious that they have recommen
against the British firms who made such sales.
7. Labor Party may urge that Britain join European Army:
European Defense Force.
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A powerful group within the British Labor Party
is urging that the party support Britain's
participation in a European Army in order to
prevent German domination of the projected
The American Embassy in London fears that,
should the Labor Party formhlly adopt this position, the French Socialist
Party may be further encouraged to insist on British membership as an
essential condition of its support for the European Defense Force in the
National Assembly.
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Comment: Although the British Government is
not expected to modify its policy of close association with rather than
participation in a European Army, it would be embarrassed by such a
marked change of policy on the part of Labor.
Furthermore, various members of the center
parties in the French National Assembly would probably join the Socialist
Party in its demands for British participation in the European Defense
Community.
8. British act to block shipment of German explosives to Egypt:
The British High Commissioner in Germany
has been instructed by his government to take
unilateral action under the Occupation Statute
to prevent a shipment of German-manufactured
explosives to Egypt. Federal Republic authorities had originally agreed
to comply with a British request to halt the shipment, scheduled to be
sent from Hamburg, but reversed themselves after a protest from the
manufacturer.
Comment: Since Britain stopped sending arms
to Egypt over a year ago, the Egyptians have been attempting to obtain
arms and explosives from other European countries on both sides of the
Iron Curtain.
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