CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/03/05

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02046562
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: March 5, 1952

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SECIIRT INFORMATION
5 March 1952
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
NO G1 IANGE 1M CLASS.
DECLASSTED
CLASS. CHANCE-J.; TO:. TS 3�
NEXT REViEW DATCZ:
AUTH: HR
DATEIZAT:71REVIEWED
ito
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SEC INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
FAR EAST
USSR probably controls Korean air war from Mukden (page 3).
Burmese rebel leader reportedly recruiting in China (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3, American Ambassador in Cairo assesses Egyptian situation
(page 4).
4. Tunisian official fears Arab bloc will over-extend demands
(page 4).
WESTERN EUROPE
Italian Foreign Office experts pessimistic on Trieste problem
(page 5).
6. Gaullist regime reported imminent in France (page 5).
LATIN AMERICA
7., American Ambassador advises delaying termination of aid to
Guatemala (page 6).
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FAR EAST
1. USSR probably controls Korean air war from Mukden:
The US Air Force believes that the USSR
probably exercises over-all command control
over enemy air combat operations in Korea
from a combined So � h'
headquarters located in Mukden.
Comment: This combined headquarters at
Mukden presumably commands the jet fighter units of the Chinese,
Ronian and Sovwt Air .Forces based at combat airfields in the Antung area.
2. Burmese rebel leader reportedly recruiting in China:
An estimated 5,000 Kachins and "Sino-Shans"
who attended a recent Chinese Communist-
sponsored festival at Paoshan, near the Sino-
Burmese border, were urged by Naw Seng,
the Kachin rebel leader from Burma, to join his forces. Volunteers
were promised military training before an invasion of Burma scheduled
"in the near future."
Comment: Naw Seng's long refuge in China
is an irritant in Sino -Burmese relations, particularly because of the
patent insincerity of Peiping's Embassy in Rangoon when approached
on the matter by Burmese authorities.
Naw Seng's impending return to Burma has
often been reported over the past year.
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NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3 American Ambassador in Cairo assesses Egyptian �.I.Lation:
cabinets under
The new cabinet of Prime Minister Hilali can3.3(h)(2)
give Egypt a good government only if Great
Britain offers major concessions on the Suez
base and Sudan issues, according to the Ameri-
can Ambassador in Cairo. The opposition of
the strong Wafd Party to the new government
will make it more difficult for Hilali to accept
Western terms than it was for the previous
All Maher and Nahas Pasha.
Meanwhile the American Ambassador in
London reports that the British Government will for the presentwait
to see how the situation develops. Britain does not wish to act quickly
lest the Egyptian Cabinet be accused of being a "British creature."
The British also feel that Egypt must first cope with the Wafd before
it can tackle Anglo-Egyptian negotiations.
Comment: While the new Egyptian Premier
is a stronger personality than his predecessor, his ability to meet
Wafd opposition successfully over the long term depends, in large part,
upon the outcome of any future negotiations with the British.
4. Tunisian official fears Arab bloc will over-extend demands:
pendence when the
Security Council.
a Security Council
leading to internal
Government.
The Tunisian Minister of Justice, himself
a nationalist, fears that the more extremist
Arab representatives in the United Nations
may include a request for Tunisian inde-
problem of the protectorate is brought before the
The Tunisian nationalists themselves desire only
recommendation that France proceed with reforms
autonomy by direct negotiation with the Tunisian
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Comment: The essentially moderate nature
of the Tunisian position remains unchanged. An auxiliary demand is for
the release of imprisoned nationalist leaders prior to the resumption of
negotiations.
The Tunisian Ministers also are afraid that
their position might be jeopardized by inaccuracies in the brief which
Pakistan has agreed to sponsor and which is being prepared largely
without Tunisian supervision.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Italian Foreign Office experts pessimistic on Trieste problem:
Italian Foreign Office specialists see no hope
for a settlement of the Trieste issue following
Premier de Gasperi's rejection of Marshal
Tito's proposal for an Italo-Yugoslav condo-
miniuth. The incident has inflamed Italian nationalist sentiment.
Comment: This is the first comment from
Foreign Office specialists regarding prOspects for a solution of the Trieste
issue. Their view confirms previous indications that a settlement of the
problem is highly improbable for the foreseeable future.
6. Gaullist regime reported imminent in France:
one of De Gaulle's chief advisers
believes that within sixty days the General
"will be in power," at least to the extent that
his Rally of the French People will participate in a new government.
It will, however, expect to dominate such a government.
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7.
that Jacques
Soustelle, head of the Gau-Lnsts par 'amen ary group, was summoned
last week-end for a conference with President Auriol, who said he
wanted to see De Gaulle but feared Communist reaction.
Comment: The Gaullifsts would probably not
demand the premiership as the price of permitting formation of a new
government; they would, however, insist on acceptance of their program
for .constitutional reforms and a major French reorientation within the
Atlantic alliance. There is no evidence that sufficient deputies of other
parties are swinging to acceptance of the Gaullists in a coalition on these
terms.
Summoning Soustelle, as the parliamentary
leader of a major party, would be normal at the beginning of a Cabinet
crisis.
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LATIN AMERICA
American Ambassador advises delaying termination of aid to Guatemala:
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Because the United Fruit Company's dispute
with the Guatemalan Government is at a crucial
point, Ambassador Schoenfeld recommends
that the United States delay for a few days any
decision to terminate technical assistance programs in Guatemala. He
feels that abrupt action by the United States at this moment would harm
rather than help the company's chances of arriving at an agreement with
the government.
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� The Ambassador suggests that if the dispute
becomes more serious, measures then be adopted which could be
justified on the grounds that conditions are not conducive to cooperative
programs. He feels, however, that such measures are not likely to
improve matters and will at best be a concession to American public
opinion.
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Comment: The present crisis between
Guatemala and the United Fruit Company arose from a court order that
the company's properties on the Pacific coast be sold at public auction
on 5 March to satisfy the back wage demand of some 3,700 workers.
These laborers were suspended by the company after wind storms did
major damage to the plantations last September.
The company has refused to rehabilitate the
plantations without guarantees against increased labor costs during the
next three years. The company can be expected to reach some agree-
ment with the workers in order not to lose such valuable properties.
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