CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/04/27

Document Type: 
Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 
02692626
Release Decision: 
RIPPUB
Original Classification: 
U
Document Page Count: 
6
Document Creation Date: 
May 24, 2019
Document Release Date: 
May 30, 2019
Sequence Number: 
Case Number: 
Publication Date: 
April 27, 1952
File: 
Body: 
Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 TOP ItiET Nor SECUBITr1NFORMATION 27 April 1952 Copy No, 5L CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN DOCUMENT NO NO CHANGE IN CLASS. III DECLASSIFIED CLASS. CHANGED TO: T3 S NEXT REVIEW DATE: AUTH: HR 70-/ DATE.n if 7 REVIEWER: Office of Current Intelligence CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY TOP ET SE9TY INFORMATION Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 SUMMARY SOVIET UNION 1. Unusual number of Soviet aircraft fly to Chukotsk Peninsula (page 3). FAR EAST 2. Vehicle sightings in North Korea approach record high (page 3). WESTERN EUROPE 3. Prospects for French ratification of EDC seen improving (page 4). 4. Adenauer coalition objects to haste on contractual agreements (page 5). LATIN AMERICA 5. Bolivian coup may complicate US-Chilean copper problem (page 6). * * * * -2 3.5(c) 3.5(c) 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 P RET SOVIET UNION 1. Unusual number of Soviet aircraft fly to Chukotsk Peninsula: an unprecedented number of flights from south- eastern Siberia northward along the coast into the Chukotsk Peninsula. At least 94 military aircraft, most of them sub- ordinate to the 10th Air Army and the Commander in Chief, Soviet Far East, participated in this activity. The majority of the aircraft had been based in the Khabarovsk area. Some of them may have come from as far away as Kuibyshevka, a major military center several hundred miles west of Khabarovsk on the Trans-Siberian Railroad, Comment: The staging of these flights suggests that the aircraft involved are of relatively limited range and are probably military transports or light bombers. In the past, activity of this type, pointing to a priority air lift, has frequently accompanied the transfer of a Soviet Air Force unit from one base to another. It therefore suggests a strengthening of air power in the Chukotsk area. It is also possible that the aircraft are trans- porting cargoes for economic enterprises in the Chukotsk region, al- though there is no information indicating a pressing need for priority cargoes at this time. FAR EAST 2. Vehicle sightings in North Korea approach record high: 3.5(c) 3.3(h)(2) The Far East Command reports that enemy 3.3(h)(2) vehicle sightings in North Korea during the week 19 - 25 April totaled 24,142, double that of the preceding period and the second highest weekly total on record. Southbound traffic comprised 59 percent 3 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 P. SECRET 3.5(c) of the sightings, a relatively low figure, although an increase over the previous week. Sixty-one percent of the sightings were south of the 39th parallel, which is above recent averages. Communist traffic reached a new weekly high on the road between Pyongyang and Sariwon in western Korea, and heavy traffic was noted on the route from Wonsan to Chorwon in the east and central sector. Comment: The enemy has maintained a con- sistently high level of supply movement throughout the cease-fire talks, resulting in a greatly improved position in supplies and personnel. WESTERN EUROPE 3. Prospects for French ratification of EDC seen improving: On the basis of an "extensive inquiry" just 3.3(h)(2) concluded, the American Embassy in Paris reports that the French National Assembly is taking a somewhat more favorable attitude to- ward tile European Det�e Community, in particular because of the Soviet Union's advocacy of a new German Army. A crucial remaining issue is the hope-for assurances from the United States and Britain against a break-up of the community because of the withdrawal of any member. Opponents of the community find their best campaign issue in the popular confusion over the nature and extent of the expected American and British commitments. While Socialist leader Guy Mollet can now be expected to defend the treaty, although without enthusiasm, at his party's congress opening 22 May, the question remains whether enough deputies will consider that the US and British assurances are sufficient 4 3.5(c) -Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 JP .-SECRET 3.5(c) Comment: The French Government obtained a scant vote of confidence in February on the European Defense Commu- nity plan, with reservations designed to placate the Socialists. The vote was obtained on the strength of a promise by Foreign Minister Schuman that he would seek not only declarations by the American and British Governments but also "legal and political commitments" from the parliaments of those countries. 4. Adenauer coalition objects to haste on contractual agreements: American representatives in West Germany 3.3(h)(2) note signs of opposition within the government coalition to the negotiations on contractual agreements which might delay signature beyond 19 May. Heinrich von Brentano, Christian Democratic leader in the Bundestag, complained at Adenauer's refusal to keep the coalition informed on the negotiations and his "unreasonable demand" that the member parties approve the contracts in too short a time. Bren- tano and other coalition leaders felt that certain features of the contracts would meet stubborn resistance from their parties. American representatives in Bonn believe that Brentano probably exaggerated the extent of the coalition objections. Comment: This reaction by Bundestag leaders is similar to objections voiced many times in the past to Adenauer's lone-hand tactics. The present timetable for the conclusion of negoti- ations gives the government parties a full two weeks to consider the con- tractual agreements. 5 T21E1C�1) RET Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 3.5(c) Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626 LA TIN AMERICA 5. Bolivian coup may complicate US-Chilean copper problem /difficul- ties in solving the copper price problem have been attributed to "Yankee imperialism's hostility" and lack of understanding by spokes- men of all parties. "It is not easy to foresee," he said, "how far this campaign will go with the impulse which it will necessarily receive from the triumph of the Bolivian revolutions" if the United States should make concessions on tin to Paz Estenssoro which it had not made in other price conflicts, "it would be inviting a positive incitement to revolt and civil war in countries which have problems which they in- terpret as similar. " 6 Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 CO2692626