CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1952/03/06

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 03176566
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 7
• Document Creation Date: May 24, 2019
• Document Release Date: May 30, 2019
• Publication Date: March 6, 1952

Approved for Release: 2019/05/08 C03176566
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SEC INFORMATION
6 March 1952
Copy No. 49
CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO.
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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3.5(c)
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SE i INFORMATION
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SUMMARY
USSR
I. Arbitrary recomputation of Soviet factory output indicated
(page 3).
SOUTH ASIA
2. Pakistani Foreign Minister promotes Moslem bloc (page 3).
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. Mossadeq does not intend to renew American Military Mission
contract (page 4).
4. Lebanese Prime Minister expresses reliance on France (page 5).
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WESTERN EUROPE
5. Completion of Berlin canal by-pass reportedly delayed (page 5).
6. Chances for French-German understanding on Saar impaired
(page 6).
7. France takes steps to limit use of American military depots
(page 6).
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USSR
1. Arbitrary recomputation of Soviet factory output indicated: 3.3(h)(2)
1951, the Irkutsk heavy machine building plant,
which had evidently failed to meet its November
plan by a considerable margin, was ordered by
its Ministry in Moscow to recompute its output
data in order to show that the plan had been fulfilled. The Moscow official
added, "Send a supplementary telegram stating that gross output is 100
percent and later we will somehow readjust it on the balance sheet."
the plant was again ordered to cover up its failure to fulfill the December
plan.
3.3(h)(2)
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: This is the first appearance in
of deliberate falsification of plan figures, 3.3(h)(2)
although defectors have often reported that this practice is not uncommon.
The Irkutsk plant is a key installation in the manufacture of metallurgical
machinery.
SOUTH ASIA
2. Pakistani Foreign Minister promotes Moslem bloc:
3.3(h)(2)
During a recent tour of the Near East, Pakistani
Foreign Minister Zafrullah Khan discussed with
the governments of Egypt, Turkey, Syria, and
Lebanon the idea of periodic consultations on
questions of mutual interest. According to the Pakistani Foreign Ministry,
the reaction was uniformly favorable, and Zafrullah Khan will now draft
the procedure to be observed by participating states. The Pakistani
Foreign Minister envisages similar approaches to other Moslem govern-
ments.
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Comment: Pakistan has long been interested
in achieving a prominent position in the Moslem world. To further this
aim, it recently agreed to sponsor the Tunisian case, before the UN
Security Council.
While there is little basis on which a genuinely
permanent Moslem league can be established, a temporary working
arrangement among Near Eastern and other Asian powers has already
occurred on several occasions. The effort of an eloquent spokesman
such as Zafrullah may soon result in a highly articulate bloc in the
United Nations.
NEAR EAST - AFRICA
3. Mossadeq does not intend to renew American Military Mission contract:
There is "no possibility whatsoever" that any 3.3(h)(2)
member of the Iranian Government will give
written authorization for a renewal of the US
Army Mission contract, Prime Minister Mossadeq
told Ambassador Henderson on 3 March. Mossadeq suggested that the
mission might remain for a few months, however, until a new Majlis
had been formed and the oil problem settled, at which time Iran could
"dispassionately consider" the advisability of retaining the mission.
The Ambassador thinks that Mossadeq is
personally hostile to the concept of an army mission and that only the
urgings of the Shah and certain of his military and political advisers
induced him to suggest that the mission remain until a Majlis decision
could be reached.
Comment: Mossadeq's refusal to renew the
army mission contract, which expires on 20 March, was foreshadowed
in late December 1951 when his adamant stand against giving Mutual
Security Act assurances resulted in the cessation of US military aid.
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Mossadeq is firmly opposed not only to foreign
missions but also to a strong, independent Iranian Army. Without a
contract, the US Army Mission would be subject to any restrictions
Mossadeq might choose to impose; its effectiveness would diminish
and an important channel of American influence would gradually be closed.
4. Lebanese Prime Minister expresses reliance on France:
cooperate by
3.3(h)(2)
Lebanese Prime Minister Sami Solh, who took
office early in February, has told the French
that he intends to rely strongly upon
France. Solh stated his determination to
encourage French capital and urged that France
not discouraging French investments in Lebanon.
3.3(h)(2)
Comment! The Prime Minister's statements
indicate the success France has achieved since World War II in strengthen-
ing its relations with Lebanon as well as with Syria.
In addition to the Prime Minister, the President
and other Lebanese officials have close connections with private French
economic interests.
WESTERN EUROPE
5. Completion of Berlin canal by-pass reportedly delayed:
The completion date for East Germany's
high-priority project for by-passing Wpgt
Berlin by canal,
has been postponed from May to Sep-
tember or October of this year. High water and a shortage of floating
dredges are hampering construction.
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3.3(h)(2
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Comment: The by-pass project, reportedly
employing 6,000 workers, is designed to increase Soviet harassing
capabilities in Berlin by removing one of the main sources of Allied
retaliation, the ability to halt or delay Soviet and East German barges
passing through West Berlin.
6. Chances for French-German understanding on Saar impaired:
The German complaint to the Council of Europe
regarding the Saar has brought a threat from
French Foreign Office officials to release a .
long record of German interference in the area.
Frence is now convinced that the Federal Republic is not really interested
in a European solution but has the ultimate objective of full reintegration
of the Saar into Germany. The French Foreign Office has discarded the
idea of any interim solution of the Saar problem.
3.3(h)(2)
Comment: The Germans have asked the Council
of Europe to induce the Saar Government to grant freedom of political
action to its people. When Chancellor Adenauer and Foreign Minister
Schuman discussed the Saar issue in London last month they succeeded
only in separating it momentarily from the European defense problem.
Prospects for a bilateral understanding at the
Council of Europe Ministers meeting in Paris on 19 March could be
seriously impaired by agitation from either side.
7. France takes steps to limit use of American military depots:
The question of the use of atomic weapons by
American forces in France has just been raised
for the first time by the French Foreign Office,
which is attempting to restrict the use of
specific depot sites to conventional type ammunition. The US Military
Facilities Negotiating Group interprets this step as a French effort to
ensure that no atomic weapons will be introduced into France without
prior US-French consultation.
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Comment: The French Government has become
increasingly sensitive over its domestic prestige as plans for US military
installations in France have materialized.
Recent reports indicate that French civilians
are becoming aware that military installations in their vicinity constitute
a hazard as well as a protection, and the French Government is probably
anxious to forestall Communist propaganda exploitation of such sentiment.
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