CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/08/16

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02002000
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: August 16, 1951

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' �..) .CAL�itr.,
16 August 1951
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CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
NO CHANGE IN CLASS.
, DECLASSIFIED
CLASS. CHANGED TO: TS S loaf
NEXT !REVIEW DATE.
AUT H
DAlI. '
Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
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GENERAL
1. Embassy Moscow anticipates submission of Japanese peace treaty .
"counterdraft" by USSR (page 3).
2. Philippines concerned over Soviet presence at San Francisco (page 4).
FAR EAST 3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST
4 USSR takes no action to revise Turkish Straits convention (page 5
EASTERN EUROPE
3.3(h)(2)
. Trieste Military Commander opposed to election postponement (page 7).
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GENERAL
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�Embassy MQSCOW anticipates submission of Javanese peace treaty "counter-
draft" by USSR: 3.3(h)(2)
Embassy Moscow considers Soviet attendance
at the Japanese peace conference not sur-
prising in view of Moscow's basic objective of
delaying the treaty, of previous indications
that it would present new views, and of the new
Soviet pretense of a desire for settlement on
major issues with the Westi
The Embassy anticipates that the USSR will
demand Chinese Communist participation at the conference and will restate
its past criticisms, probably by submitting a counterdrafte Such a counter-
draft-would be coordinated With attempts to capitalize on reservations of�
India9 Burma and other states to the US-UK draft.
The embassy reports that in a conversation with
the British, Ambassador Gromyko stated that "it would be incorrect to assume
that Soviet views will differ from those previously presented on the subject of
the Japanese treaty."
The Department of State is informing the
Soviet Government in a note acknowledging Soviet acceptance of the US invi-
tation that the San Francisco conference is not being held to reopen negotiations
on peace terms.,
Comment: There are several indications*
among them Gromyko's remarks on 20 July to Ambassador Kirk on possible
Russian suggestions, that a Soviet draft for the Japanese peace treaty will be
submitted* The 10 June note from the Soviet Foreign Office concerning the
Japanese treaty negotiations proposed a conference for "consideration of
tilMilable drafts" of the peace treaty*
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Philippines concerned over Soviet presence at San Francisco,: 3.3(h)(2)
Philippine Secretary of Foreign Affairs
Romulo seriously concerned over Soviet par-
ticipation in the Japanese peace treaty con-
ferences, fears that Russian maneuvers may
leave the Philippines as the only Asian nation prepared to sign the treaty, He
considers the position of his government would then become untenable, from
a domestic viewpoint, in the face of demands for reparations, Romulo
recommends that any modification of the reparations clause, that the US and
the UK are prepared to make in anticipation of this difficulty, be made now in
order to forestall the expected Soviet maneuvers.
US Ambassador Cowen comments that he does
not regard Romulo's concern as merely a device to reopen the reparations
question and believes the Filipinos will stand by their acceptance of the pre-
sent draft�
Comment: The reparations clause of the
treaty has been criticized by Burmap Indonesia and the Philippines, although
the Philippine Government has finally accepted a slightly modified draft de-
spite extensive public opposition?
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NEAR EAST
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The USSR has failed to request a revision on
the Montreu,x Convention. The deadline for
submission of revisions was 8 August. There
have been no comments in the Turkigh press
Comment: According to the terms of the
Montreux Convention governing the passage of shipping through the Turkish
Straits v any of the nine signatories may request revision at the end of each
five year period., During an exchange of notes on the subject in 1946 by the
major powersj the USSR made strong demands for revision of the status of
the Straits. However, the final Turkish note expressing 'willingness on the
part of the Wett to convene a conference to negotiate revisions was never
anSWered by the Soviet Union,
In April 1950, a Soviet newspaper charged
Turkey with allowing US naval units into the Black Sea and termed the Mon-
treux Convention prejudicial to USSR security. Vox' the past year, however,
only minor attention has been paid the subject of the Straits and no references
made to the Convention.
Russian inaction relieves some of the concern
that has been voiced by Turkey and other interested nations over an anticipated
Soviet demand for revision.
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EASTERN EUROPE
Trieste Military Comma9der opposed to election postponement:
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The British Commander of the Allied Military
Government is opposed in principle to pOtt-
poning the Trieste elections. He feels that an
Indefinite postponement would allow the
Italians to undermine AMG 's authority and sees no genuine Italian effort to
compromise with the Ytigolavs. The commander indicates that he will risk
postponement to the end of the year, however, if there is any real prospect
of opening negotiations for a Trieste settlement.,
Comment: In view of the currently inflamed
state of Italian public opinion on Trieste, it is unlikely that the Italian Govern-
ment would make sufficient concessions at this time to effect a settlement.
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