CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN - 1951/07/03

• Document Type: SPECIALCOLLECTION
• Collection: Current/Central Intelligence Bulletin Collection
• Document Number (FOIA) /ESDN (CREST): 02740735
• Release Decision: RIPPUB
• Original Classification: U
• Document Page Count: 8
• Document Creation Date: April 15, 2019
• Document Release Date: April 22, 2019
• Publication Date: July 3, 1951

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3 July 1951
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CURRENT INTELLIGENCE BULLETIN
DOCUMENT NO
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Office of Current Intelligence
CENTRAL INTELLIGENCE AGENCY
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SUMMARY
GENERAL
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USSR
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FAR EAST
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5. bin has strengthened its military forces in oil field area age 6).
EASTERN EUROPE
6. Role of Czech Army seen as defensive (page 7).
7. Yugoslav Government requests stoppage of strategic metal shipment to
Czechoslovakia (page 7).
8� Western officials observe no alarming Yugoslav activity regarding Albania
(page 8).
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� 3.3(h)(2)
NEAR EAST
. Iran has strengthened its military forces in oil field area.
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The US Military Attache in Tehran reports
that, as of 1 July, the total Iranian ground
force at Abadan is estimated to be 2, 500.
Its equipment consists of small arms, mortars,
machine guns and 11 tanks mounting 75mm guns. Naval strength is placed
at 500 men with several small vessels, whose largest guns are four inch.
The bulk of the Tenth Iranian Division is located at Ahwaz, some 80 miles
away from Abadan (three hours distant in time).
The Military Attache believes the troops now
in Abadan are completely adequate to preserve order. The Iranians are
apparently not awed by the British cruiser with its six inch guns off Abadan
and would resist any British efforts to land military forces. Personnel from
the British cruiser have already been denied landing permission. There is
no doubt, according to the Military Attache, that any British effort to land
would result in Iranian military action that would cease only when sufficient
Aritish forces were brought in to defeat Iranian units.
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Comment: This latest US military estimate
of Iranian deployment and Irania � � � � � � . � rdted
by all available reports,
Iran's moves to
strengthen its military forces in Abadan and elsewhere are, however, also
aimed at preventing internal disorders.
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EASTERN EUROPE
6. Role of Czech Army seen ag defensive:
The US Military Attache in Prague estimates
that owing to the absence of strong leadership,
the shortage of modern equipment and the low
morale of the average soldier, the Czechoslovak
Army is at present better adapted for a defensive than an offensive mission.
He also expresses the opinion that Soviet failure to make a determined effort
to reorganize and re-equip the Czechoslovak army indicates that the USSR
intends to keep Czechoslovakia as a supply base for the present.
Comment: Previous evidence has indicated
an effort in Czechoslovakia, as well as in the other Soviet European Satel-
lites, to improve the size and quality of the armed forces. Of the Satellite
armies, the Bulgarian and Rumanian seem to be relatively better prepared
ideologically and technically to carry out Soviet aggressive designs.
Yugoslav Government requests stoppage of strategic metal shipment to
Czechoslovakia,:
The Yugoslav Government has requested that
US-British authorities in Trieste and Austria
stop a 150 ton railroad shipment of Yugoslav
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ferro-chrome, rerouted to Czechoslovakia
from Trieste by a Western European firm to
which it had been sold. According to the US
Political Adviser in Trieste, the ferro-chrome
shipment is being held in the British Zone of Austria pending a decision on
Its final disposition.
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Comment, Although Yugoslav trade with the
Soviet Orbit has progressively decreased since 1948,
points tothe continued purchase through intermediaries of Yugoslav non-
ferrous metals by bot .h Czechoslovakia and Hungary. No firm evidence
is available that this trade is being carried on with the knowledge and
consent of the Yugotailay Government
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Western officials observe no alarming Yugoslav activity regarding,Albaniw
US Ambassador Allen in Belgrade reports that
his British and French colleagues concur with
his opinion that Yugoslavia is not currently
instigating any pro-Tito moves in Albania and
that the Tito government is keenly aware of the danger of provoking a situa-
tion that might invite Soviet intervention. Allen advises that, if a demarche
tti the Yugoslav Government on its Albanian political activity is still consid-
ered advisable, it should be drafted as a general statement that the US opposes
all foreign adventures in Albania. Allen expresses the opinion that nothing
would arouse Yugoslav sensibilities or discourage Albanian resistance more
than the implication that Soviet control would be supplanted by some other
foreign influence.
Comment: Several reports have recently
pointed to increased Yugoslav efforts to organize and support Albanian
refugees in Yugoslavia for subversive activity in Albania. Investigation
of these reports by the US Embassy in Belgrade has thus far failed to re-
veal any Yugoslav-sponsored militant activity among the Albanian refugees.
It is improbable that the Tito government would sponsor such activity to
the point where it might result in the overthrow of the Albanian regime and
thus invite Soviet intervention.
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